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HERA S.p.A. (IT:HER)
:HER
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HERA S.p.A. (HER) AI Stock Analysis

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IT:HER

HERA S.p.A.

(HER)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
€4.50
▲(10.02% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/13/26
The score is driven by attractive valuation (low P/E and a ~3.6% dividend yield) and generally steady profitability/ROE typical of utilities. Offsetting factors are the sustained revenue decline and uneven cash-flow profile, while technical signals suggest only mild trend support with mixed momentum.
Positive Factors
Diversified regulated and market-facing business model
HERA’s mix of long-duration regulated concessions (water, gas distribution) plus competitive waste and energy retail creates durable cash pillars. Integration across waste, networks and energy supports operational synergies and circular-economy revenue optionality over multiple years.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue decline
A clear three-year revenue decline, culminating in a sharp 2025 drop, undermines organic growth prospects and limits earnings upside from scale. Persisting top-line contraction can pressure margins, reduce reinvestment capacity, and complicate regulated tariff growth assumptions over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified regulated and market-facing business model
HERA’s mix of long-duration regulated concessions (water, gas distribution) plus competitive waste and energy retail creates durable cash pillars. Integration across waste, networks and energy supports operational synergies and circular-economy revenue optionality over multiple years.
Read all positive factors

HERA S.p.A. (HER) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

HERA S.p.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Hera S.p.A., a multi-utility company, engages in the waste management, water services, and energy businesses in Italy. It engages in the sale and distribution of methane and natural gas, as well as in the district heating and heating management bu...
How the Company Makes Money
HERA makes money through a combination of regulated utility revenues and market-based (competitive) revenues. (1) Regulated networks and utilities: it earns revenues from operating regulated infrastructure and public-service concessions, primarily...

HERA S.p.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Stable utility-style profitability and solid mid-to-low-teen ROE support the score, but a clear multi-year revenue decline (2023–2025) and uneven operating/free cash flow reduce confidence in longer-term earnings and cash compounding.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.81B13.06B15.41B19.87B10.56B
Gross Profit733.30M5.37B4.47B1.33B1.48B
EBITDA1.54B1.46B1.36B1.01B1.02B
Net Income464.30M494.50M441.40M255.20M333.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.13B15.06B15.08B17.12B14.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments876.20M1.36B1.40B1.98B932.50M
Total Debt5.02B4.79B4.73B5.68B3.35B
Total Liabilities9.73B11.07B11.33B13.47B10.61B
Stockholders Equity4.08B3.68B3.44B3.40B3.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow196.90M-7.30M756.90M-673.80M456.70M
Operating Cash Flow1.22B853.00M1.57B35.70M1.05B
Investing Cash Flow-1.08B-804.60M-857.40M-758.40M-662.60M
Financing Cash Flow-610.70M-65.60M-1.32B1.78B-484.30M

HERA S.p.A. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.09
Price Trends
50DMA
4.15
Negative
100DMA
4.12
Negative
200DMA
3.98
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Negative
RSI
49.37
Neutral
STOCH
36.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:HER, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.04, below the 50-day MA of 4.15, and above the 200-day MA of 3.98, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IT:HER.

HERA S.p.A. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
€7.60B9.6513.08%4.37%9.30%-13.13%
64
Neutral
€4.75B9.7914.57%4.33%-33.27%44.64%
63
Neutral
€5.88B8.7013.30%3.76%-0.60%-7.61%
63
Neutral
€100.79B22.7723.22%5.05%1.73%-39.94%
61
Neutral
€3.34B23.799.06%5.06%10.48%9.06%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
54
Neutral
€3.44B49.155.96%4.61%0.75%-65.10%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IT:HER
HERA S.p.A.
4.02
0.00
0.00%
IT:A2A
A2A SpA
2.43
0.30
13.96%
IT:ACE
ACEA SPA
22.34
2.54
12.83%
IT:ENEL
Enel S.p.A.
9.92
2.68
36.94%
IT:ERG
Erg SPA
22.98
5.98
35.20%
IT:IRE
Iren S.p.A.
2.60
0.21
8.64%

HERA S.p.A. Corporate Events

Hera Publishes Minority Lists for Board and Auditor Appointments Ahead of April Meeting
Apr 8, 2026
Hera S.p.A. has published the minority shareholder lists of candidates for its Board of Directors and Board of Statutory Auditors ahead of the shareholders’ meeting scheduled for 29 April 2026. The lists, submitted within the required deadli...
Hera Publishes 2025 Financial Statements and Governance Reports
Apr 7, 2026
Hera S.p.A. has made its draft separate and consolidated financial statements for the year ended 31 December 2025 publicly available, together with the reports from the Board of Statutory Auditors and the external audit firm. These documents can b...
Hera Discloses Share Exchange with Intesa San Paolo for Sostelia Acquisition
Apr 1, 2026
HERA S.p.A. disclosed a transaction involving its own listed shares with Intesa San Paolo S.p.A. as the counterparty. According to the notice, Intesa San Paolo sold 156,358 HERA shares on 16 March 2026 at an average weighted price of €4.1573...
Hera Publishes Documentation Ahead of April 2026 Shareholders’ Meeting
Mar 27, 2026
Hera S.p.A. has made available the documentation for its Ordinary Shareholders’ Meeting scheduled for 29 April 2026, publishing materials at its registered office, through the authorised storage mechanism 1INFO, and on the Hera Group website...
Gruppo Hera Lifts Profit, Record Investments and Dividend as It Expands in Waste and Water
Mar 25, 2026
Gruppo Hera closed 2025 with net profit attributable to shareholders up 3.9% on a like-for-like basis and investments rising nearly 20% to a record €1.03 billion, even as revenue and EBITDA edged slightly lower. The company highlighted stron...
Gruppo Hera Publishes Majority Lists for New Board and Auditors
Mar 24, 2026
Gruppo Hera has published the majority lists of candidates for its Board of Directors and Board of Statutory Auditors, submitted by shareholders ahead of the shareholders’ meeting scheduled for 29 April 2026. The documentation is available a...
Gruppo Hera Buys Gruppo Sostelia, Becomes Italy’s Top Water Treatment Player
Mar 16, 2026
Gruppo Hera has completed the acquisition of 100% of Gruppo Sostelia, a group of water treatment companies led by STA Società Trattamento Acque and rooted across northern Italy, for an enterprise value of €138 million. The deal consolid...
Hera Public Shareholders Back Continuity at the Top Ahead of 2026–2029 Term
Mar 4, 2026
Hera S.p.A.’s public shareholders’ syndicate committee, chaired by the Mayor of Modena, has approved its proposed slate of candidates for the company’s Board of Directors and Board of Statutory Auditors, to be voted on at the sha...
Hera Publishes Board Reports Ahead of 29 April 2026 Shareholders’ Meeting
Mar 3, 2026
Hera S.p.A. has made available to the public the documentation for its Ordinary Shareholders’ Meeting scheduled for 29 April 2026 in Bologna. The materials include the Board of Directors’ explanatory reports on item 5 and on items 6 to...
HERA Reports Intesa San Paolo Purchase of 100,000 Shares on MTA
Mar 2, 2026
HERA S.p.A. disclosed a transaction in its own listed shares involving Intesa San Paolo S.p.A. as the counterparty. The filing reports that on 13 February 2026 Intesa San Paolo purchased 100,000 HERA shares on the Italian MTA market at an average ...
Intesa San Paolo Increases Stake in HERA with 92,000-Share Purchase on MTA
Feb 2, 2026
In January 2026, Italian bank Intesa San Paolo S.p.A. purchased 92,000 HERA S.p.A. shares listed on the Italian MTA market, at an average weighted price of €4.0082 per share, executed through 24 separate transactions. The disclosure highligh...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 13, 2026