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A2A SpA (IT:A2A)
:A2A

A2A SpA (A2A) AI Stock Analysis

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IT:A2A

A2A SpA

(A2A)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
€2.50
▼(-0.79% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/19/26
The score is driven primarily by improving profitability and cash generation, tempered by high leverage and variability in revenue/margins. Technicals are neutral with a slightly weaker intermediate-term trend, while valuation is a clear positive due to the low P/E and strong dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified regulated + market businesses
A2A’s multi-utility model blends regulated concession businesses (networks, water, municipal services) with market-facing generation and retail. This structural diversification cushions cash flows: regulated tariffs and concessions provide stable, volume-insensitive revenue while market arms capture upside, improving resilience over years.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Debt materially above equity raises refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity risks. High structural leverage constrains strategic flexibility, increases vulnerability to rate cycles, and may force higher portions of future cash flow toward debt service rather than reinvestment or shareholder returns unless materially reduced.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified regulated + market businesses
A2A’s multi-utility model blends regulated concession businesses (networks, water, municipal services) with market-facing generation and retail. This structural diversification cushions cash flows: regulated tariffs and concessions provide stable, volume-insensitive revenue while market arms capture upside, improving resilience over years.
Read all positive factors

A2A SpA (A2A) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)

A2A SpA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
A2A S.p.A. engages in the production, sale, and distribution of gas and electricity, and district heating in Italy and internationally. The company generates electricity through hydroelectric, thermoelectric, photovoltaic, cogeneration, waste trea...
How the Company Makes Money
A2A makes money through multiple regulated and market-based businesses. (1) Energy generation and wholesale activities: A2A earns revenue by generating electricity and selling it into the wholesale market or via bilateral contracts; profitability ...

A2A SpA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability has recovered versus 2022 (net margin ~5.5% in 2025), and operating/free cash flow improved materially with positive FCF in 2024–2025. Offsetting this, revenue has been volatile, 2025 margins stepped down versus 2024, free cash flow has been variable (negative in 2023), and leverage remains structurally high (debt-to-equity ~1.23 in 2025).
Income Statement
66
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
64
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.74B12.57B14.63B22.95B11.35B
Gross Profit1.35B1.58B2.90B2.44B2.26B
EBITDA2.20B2.31B1.85B1.58B1.33B
Net Income750.00M864.00M659.00M401.00M504.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.38B19.89B18.80B21.37B18.01B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.88B1.55B1.47B2.60B973.00M
Total Debt7.26B7.27B6.35B6.89B5.07B
Total Liabilities14.89B13.89B14.00B16.90B13.71B
Stockholders Equity5.92B5.45B4.24B3.90B3.76B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow942.00M408.00M-336.00M20.00M61.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.11B1.46B1.04B1.26B1.14B
Investing Cash Flow-1.27B-2.81B-1.36B-1.14B-1.59B
Financing Cash Flow-511.00M1.27B-932.00M1.20B40.00M

A2A SpA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.52
Price Trends
50DMA
2.44
Positive
100DMA
2.41
Positive
200DMA
2.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
63.03
Neutral
STOCH
91.13
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:A2A, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.52 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.39, above the 50-day MA of 2.44, and above the 200-day MA of 2.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.13 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IT:A2A.

A2A SpA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
€768.24M16.409.91%4.59%20.11%75.92%
64
Neutral
€7.89B9.6513.08%4.37%8.61%-22.69%
64
Neutral
€4.87B9.7914.57%4.33%-26.96%25.00%
63
Neutral
€99.20B22.7723.22%5.05%-3.10%26.28%
61
Neutral
€3.27B23.799.06%5.06%10.48%9.06%
56
Neutral
€6.00B8.7013.30%3.76%15.98%19.01%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IT:A2A
A2A SpA
2.52
0.69
37.67%
IT:ACE
ACEA SPA
22.92
5.83
34.07%
IT:ASC
Ascopiave S.p.A.
3.55
0.71
24.87%
IT:ENEL
Enel S.p.A.
9.77
3.36
52.35%
IT:HER
HERA S.p.A.
4.10
0.60
17.31%
IT:IRE
Iren S.p.A.
2.55
0.47
22.40%

A2A SpA Corporate Events

A2A Calls April 2026 Shareholders’ Meeting to Approve 2025 Results and Renew Governance
Mar 19, 2026
A2A has convened its Ordinary Shareholders&#8217; Meeting in Brescia for 28 April 2026, with a possible second call on 29 April, to vote on the 2025 financial statements, profit allocation and dividend, a new 2026-2028 long-term incentive plan, an...
A2A Lifts Investment and Green Debt Share as 2025 Profits Dip on Hydro Normalization
Mar 17, 2026
A2A SpA reported 2025 investments of &#8364;1.7 billion, up 11% year on year, largely directed to electricity network upgrades, greater generation flexibility and circular economy projects, with about 70% of spending eligible under the EU Taxonomy...
A2A Reports February 2026 Share Buyback Transactions on Italian Market
Mar 6, 2026
A2A S.p.A. disclosed a series of transactions in its own shares carried out on the Italian stock market during February 2026, involving its ordinary shares identified by ISIN IT0001233417. The disclosure forms part of regulatory transparency requi...
A2A publishes governance guidelines for renewal of Board of Statutory Auditors
Mar 4, 2026
A2A has published the outgoing Board of Statutory Auditors&#8217; guidelines for shareholders on how to structure and remunerate the next Board of Statutory Auditors, ahead of the shareholders&#8217; meeting scheduled for 28 April 2026. The docume...
A2A Confirms Exploratory Nature of Rumored Talks With ERG
Feb 27, 2026
A2A SpA has responded to market rumors about potential transactions involving the company and ERG, clarifying that it routinely reviews strategic options in line with its industrial plan and holds discussions with various potential partners. The c...
A2A Buys 840,000 Treasury Shares in February Buyback Tranche
Feb 9, 2026
A2A SpA has continued its treasury share repurchase program, authorized by shareholders in April 2025, buying 840,000 shares on Euronext Milan between 2 and 6 February 2026 at an average price of &#8364;2.5622, for a total outlay of about &#8364;2...
A2A Discloses January 2026 Buy-Side Transactions in Its Own Shares
Feb 6, 2026
A2A S.p.A. has reported a series of transactions in its own shares carried out on the Italian market (MI EXM) over the period 19&#8211;30 January 2026, involving daily purchases of between 170,000 and 360,000 shares at average prices ranging rough...
A2A Buys Back 850,000 Shares Under Ongoing Treasury Share Programme
Feb 2, 2026
A2A has continued its share buyback programme authorised by shareholders, repurchasing 850,000 treasury shares on Euronext Milan between 26 and 30 January 2026 at an average price of &#8364;2.518 per share, for a total outlay of about &#8364;2.14 ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 19, 2026