Erg SPA (IT:ERG)
:ERG
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Erg SPA
(ERG)
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Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
€21.50
▼(-4.70% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/29/26
The score is mainly held back by weakened 2025 financial performance (sharp margin and free-cash-flow decline) and bearish technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD). A solid dividend yield helps, but the elevated P/E keeps valuation support limited.
Positive Factors
Renewable asset ownership
Owning and operating wind and solar assets provides a durable, asset-backed revenue stream from electricity generation. The mix of merchant sales and contracted arrangements offers diversified cash inflows, and the core renewable business aligns with long-term structural demand for green power.
Negative Factors
Profitability deterioration
A sharp drop in net margin halves prior profitability, reducing internal capital available for reinvestment and making earnings more sensitive to market prices or regulatory changes. Sustained margin weakness would impair returns and the company's ability to fund growth or maintain distributions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Renewable asset ownership
Owning and operating wind and solar assets provides a durable, asset-backed revenue stream from electricity generation. The mix of merchant sales and contracted arrangements offers diversified cash inflows, and the core renewable business aligns with long-term structural demand for green power.
Read all positive factors
Erg SPA (ERG) vs. iShares MSCI Italy ETF (EWI)
Market Cap
€3.37B
Dividend Yield4.61%
Average Volume (3M)257.07K
Price to Earnings (P/E)49.1
Beta (1Y)0.34
Revenue Growth-3.04%
EPS Growth-39.96%
CountryIT
Employees660
SectorGeneral
Sector StrengthN/A
IndustryRenewable Utilities
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.09
Shares Outstanding150,320,000
10 Day Avg. Volume300,009
30 Day Avg. Volume257,071
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.76
Price to Book (P/B)1.61
Price to Sales (P/S)4.29
P/FCF Ratio15.29
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
€21.50Price Target Upside-4.70% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Sell
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)1.16
Revenue Forecast (FY)€822.61M
Erg SPA Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
ERG S.p.A., through its subsidiaries, produces energy through renewable sources in Italy, France, Germany, Poland, Bulgaria, and Romania. The company generates electricity through wind, solar, hydroelectric, and thermoelectric power plants, as wel...
How the Company Makes Money
ERG primarily makes money by producing electricity from its renewable generation fleet (mainly onshore wind and solar PV) and selling that output. Revenue is typically generated through a mix of (a) sales into wholesale electricity markets at prev...
Erg SPA Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 744.00M | 738.06M | 740.94M | 713.84M | 601.41M |
| Gross Profit | 121.00M | 550.06M | 575.81M | 408.41M | 433.41M |
| EBITDA | 475.00M | 534.00M | 563.02M | 462.82M | 375.92M |
| Net Income | 65.00M | 175.00M | 178.67M | 378.94M | 172.90M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 5.75B | 6.32B | 5.20B | 5.33B | 6.00B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 509.10M | 1.05B | 709.26M | 633.70M | 1.28B |
| Total Debt | 2.63B | 3.09B | 2.34B | 2.28B | 3.54B |
| Total Liabilities | 3.71B | 4.09B | 3.06B | 3.28B | 4.44B |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.98B | 2.15B | 2.13B | 2.05B | 1.56B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 209.01M | 250.24M | 576.75M | 82.30M | -242.15M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 375.39M | 484.17M | 882.52M | 429.78M | 30.59M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 169.27M | -707.13M | -316.54M | 758.84M | -727.27M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -715.79M | 356.35M | -491.22M | -1.67B | 831.59M |
Erg SPA Technical Analysis
Positive
22.56
Price Trends
22.75
Positive
22.40
Positive
21.37
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.27
Negative
56.04
Neutral
81.54
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IT:ERG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.37, below the 50-day MA of 22.75, and above the 200-day MA of 21.37, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.54 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IT:ERG.
Erg SPA Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
64 Neutral | €7.89B | 9.65 | 13.08% | 4.37% | 8.61% | -22.69% | |
63 Neutral | €99.20B | 22.77 | 23.22% | 5.05% | -3.10% | 26.28% | |
61 Neutral | €3.27B | 23.79 | 9.06% | 5.06% | 10.48% | 9.06% | |
55 Neutral | $6.65B | 3.83 | -15.92% | 6.20% | 10.91% | 7.18% | |
54 Neutral | €3.37B | 49.15 | 5.96% | 4.61% | -3.04% | -39.96% | |
51 Neutral | €1.20B | 10.60 | 26.22% | 3.37% | 30.89% | 143.25% |
* General Sector Average
IT:ERG
Erg SPA
22.56
6.75
42.73%
IT:A2A
A2A SpA
2.52
0.60
31.15%
IT:ARN
Alerion CleanPower
22.30
8.72
64.16%
IT:EDNR
Edison Spa
2.19
0.47
27.10%
IT:ENEL
Enel S.p.A.
9.77
3.19
48.57%
IT:IRE
Iren S.p.A.
2.55
0.44
20.55%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.