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Indra Sistemas (ISMAY)
OTHER OTC:ISMAY
US Market

Indra Sistemas (ISMAY) AI Stock Analysis

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ISMAY

Indra Sistemas

(OTC:ISMAY)

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Neutral 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
$28.00
▼(-16.84% Downside)
Indra Sistemas' strong financial performance and strategic advancements in defense and international expansion are the most significant factors driving the score. The technical analysis indicates a positive trend, although valuation concerns and cash flow challenges slightly offset the overall positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Strategic Defense Initiatives
Indra's focus on defense, supported by significant contracts, strengthens its market position and ensures long-term revenue growth in a stable sector.
International Expansion
Investments in key markets enhance production capabilities and global reach, supporting sustained growth and competitive positioning.
Revenue and Profit Growth
Consistent revenue and profit growth reflect strong operational performance and effective strategic execution, bolstering financial stability.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Challenges
Declining cash flow growth could limit the company's ability to invest in new projects and manage financial obligations, impacting long-term growth.
Working Capital Management
Increased days of sales outstanding indicates potential inefficiencies in cash conversion, which could strain liquidity and operational flexibility.
Net Debt Increase
Rising net debt levels may increase financial risk and constrain future investment capacity, affecting long-term strategic initiatives.

Indra Sistemas (ISMAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Indra Sistemas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIndra Sistemas, S.A. operates as a technology and consulting company worldwide. It designs, develops, produces, integrates, operates, maintains, repairs, and markets systems, solutions, and services based on the use of information technologies, electronics, and communication; and for surveillance and security control of facilities. It also researches, engineers, designs, develops, manufactures, markets, installs, maintains, and repairs devices, equipment, and systems for data communication, encryption systems, encryption, beacon, and command and control center; manages, executes, commercializes, and sells system engineering services for the defense industry; and provides engineering and maintenance services for air defense systems and other related systems, as well as architectural and engineering technical services. In addition, it offers systems to aid navigation and landing, and air traffic control systems; outsources business processes; delivers document management services and mortgage management; realizes measures for the settlement and registration; and manages digitalization and data capture. Further, it provides business consulting, technology and solutions consulting, administration, management, support, advisory, telecommunications, mobile telephony, credit card processing, and energy transport and distribution network manufacture services; engineering and consultancy services for environment, transport, construction, water, and industry areas; and digital agency, web communication and marketing, securities, computer programing, aerodrome air traffic, radio communication security, port infrastructure, airline training and coaching, and project services. Additionally, it researches and develops autonomous air systems and solutions in unmanned systems; and develops and produces aircraft, tactical communication systems, and toll and traffic control and management systems. Indra Sistemas, S.A. was founded in 1921 and is headquartered in Alcobendas, Spain.
How the Company Makes MoneyIndra Sistemas generates revenue primarily through the provision of technology services and solutions to businesses and governments. Its revenue model is diversified across several key streams, including software licensing, project-based consulting services, and long-term contracts for system integration. The company also benefits from recurring revenue through maintenance contracts and support services. Significant partnerships with various public and private sector organizations enhance Indra's earnings potential, as well as its involvement in large-scale infrastructure projects and digital transformation initiatives across different industries.

Indra Sistemas Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Indra demonstrated strong performance in revenue, profitability, and strategic defense initiatives. However, challenges in cash flow, working capital, and certain division margins were noted. The sentiment is balanced with significant achievements and a few noteworthy challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Backlog and Intake Growth
Backlog grew by 35% and order intake by 20% compared to the first 9 months of 2024, driven by the consolidation of TESS and new contracts.
Revenue and Profit Growth
Revenues grew by 6%, EBITDA and EBIT rose by 10%, and operating profit increased by 11% in absolute terms. Net profit reached EUR 291 million, an increase of 85% compared to the first 9 months of 2024.
Strategic Achievements in Defense
Indra received EUR 7.8 billion from 30 special modernization programs and aims to participate in 29 out of 31 programs, solidifying its position in defense.
International Expansion and Investments
Indra plans to invest over EUR 150 million in Spain and EUR 100 million in the United States to expand production and delivery capabilities.
IndraMind and Technological Advances
The launch and expansion of IndraMind, an AI-powered platform, aims to enhance decision-making for civil and military applications.
Shareholder Value and Market Capitalization
Indra's share price appreciated by more than 190%, and market capitalization reached around EUR 9 billion.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow generation was EUR 57 million, slightly less than 2024, due to preparation for increasing investment in defense.
Working Capital Challenges
Days of sales outstanding increased to plus 21 days, compared to plus 6 days at the end of September 2024, affected by TESS consolidation.
Net Debt Impact
Net debt stood at approximately EUR 140 million, compared with a net cash position of around EUR 86 million at the end of 2024, due to nonrecurring financial effects.
Mobility Division Margins
Margins in the Mobility division narrowed slightly, with EBITDA margin at 6% and EBIT margin also declining.
Company Guidance
During Indra's Q3 2025 earnings call, the company reported significant financial growth and strategic advancements. The backlog increased by 35% and order intake by 20% compared to the first nine months of 2024, driven by the consolidation of TESS and the Special Modernization Programs (PEMs). Revenues rose by 6%, with EBITDA and EBIT both up by 10%. Net profit surged to EUR 291 million, an 85% increase year-over-year. Indra's defense backlog is anticipated to exceed EUR 10 billion by 2026, bolstered by a EUR 7.8 billion award from 30 special modernization programs. The company also highlighted its strategic focus on aerospace and defense, with plans to invest over EUR 150 million in Spain and EUR 100 million in the U.S. for production expansion. Additionally, Indra aims to invest 8-10% of annual revenue in R&D&I throughout 2025. These efforts are part of Indra's "Leading the Future" strategy, positioning the company as a European leader in defense with aspirations to reach EUR 10 billion in revenue before 2030.

Indra Sistemas Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Indra Sistemas shows strong revenue growth and profitability improvements, particularly in net profit margins and return on equity. The balance sheet reflects improved leverage, although cash flow generation has faced recent challenges. Overall, the company demonstrates a solid financial position with areas for improvement in cost management and cash flow growth.
Income Statement
Indra Sistemas has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, with a TTM growth rate of 1.66%. The gross profit margin has decreased from 34.72% in 2024 to 23.72% in TTM, indicating potential cost pressures. However, the net profit margin has improved slightly to 6.21% in TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain stable, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The company has improved its debt-to-equity ratio to 0.70 in TTM, indicating better leverage management compared to previous years. Return on equity has increased to 28.67%, showcasing strong profitability. However, the equity ratio remains moderate, suggesting a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
Free cash flow growth has declined by 6.36% in TTM, indicating potential challenges in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.23 suggests adequate cash conversion, while the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.78 reflects reasonable cash flow management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.08B4.84B4.34B3.85B3.39B3.04B
Gross Profit1.44B1.68B1.08B1.29B1.04B837.53M
EBITDA667.71M545.28M455.06M388.86M340.79M75.44M
Net Income447.93M277.54M205.75M171.90M143.37M-65.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.48B4.96B4.72B4.54B4.54B4.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments704.40M556.58M656.29M974.10M1.26B1.19B
Total Debt1.01B850.87M1.04B1.24B1.58B1.94B
Total Liabilities5.03B3.64B3.59B3.53B3.69B3.78B
Stockholders Equity1.44B1.30B1.12B987.01M820.17M664.78M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow486.87M339.89M316.81M296.14M295.48M129.89M
Operating Cash Flow621.59M450.89M379.52M350.26M344.64M195.85M
Investing Cash Flow-110.20M-81.91M-274.27M-55.27M-26.77M-24.06M
Financing Cash Flow-207.90M-333.72M-439.63M-605.62M-269.20M172.12M

Indra Sistemas Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price33.67
Price Trends
50DMA
28.23
Positive
100DMA
25.01
Positive
200DMA
21.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.05
Negative
RSI
77.28
Negative
STOCH
97.14
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ISMAY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.67 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.90, above the 50-day MA of 28.23, and above the 200-day MA of 21.86, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.28 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.14 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ISMAY.

Indra Sistemas Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$6.72B28.9425.96%14.43%29.86%
78
Outperform
$8.16B15.2622.32%1.41%7.40%-14.45%
74
Outperform
$12.35B24.8513.14%12.61%11.85%
70
Neutral
$11.08B25.9028.45%0.53%8.96%61.02%
70
Neutral
$12.06B33.3010.21%14.26%-15.49%
64
Neutral
$6.11B15.9635.51%-1.90%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ISMAY
Indra Sistemas
33.67
24.47
266.09%
CACI
Caci International
562.79
131.55
30.51%
EPAM
Epam Systems
218.20
-7.42
-3.29%
EXLS
Exlservice Holdings
42.73
-2.38
-5.28%
G
Genpact
47.40
4.70
11.01%
KD
Kyndryl Holdings Incorporation
27.09
-9.65
-26.27%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 22, 2025