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Inspired Entertainment, Inc. (INSE)
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Inspired Entertainment (INSE) AI Stock Analysis

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INSE

Inspired Entertainment

(NASDAQ:INSE)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$9.00
▲(8.17% Upside)
Inspired Entertainment's overall stock score is driven by its strong earnings call performance and favorable valuation, indicating potential undervaluation. However, financial performance concerns, particularly the heavily leveraged balance sheet, and mixed technical indicators temper the overall score. The company's strategic financial maneuvers and positive corporate events provide additional support to the stock's outlook.
Positive Factors
Earnings Beat
Inspired Entertainment reported 3Q24 EBITDA of $30M, beating consensus expectations by 3%.
Interactive Division Growth
Interactive division increased EBITDA by 47% and beat consensus by 13%.
Strategic Partnerships
The hybrid dealer product continued to make progress with a strategic partnership with FanDuel, one of the largest gaming operators in the United States.
Negative Factors
Gaming Segment Decline
Gaming 2Q revenues and EBITDA declined by 13% and 12% year-over-year.
Valuation Concerns
Shares of INSE are currently trading sub-5x EV/EBITDA, below peers, recent supplier M&A transactions, and its historic levels.
Virtual Sports Challenges
Virtual Sports continues to face headwinds resulting in EBITDA being 16% below consensus.

Inspired Entertainment (INSE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Inspired Entertainment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInspired Entertainment, Inc., a business-to-business gaming technology company, supplies content, platform, and other products and services to regulated lottery, betting, and gaming operators worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Gaming, Virtual Sports, Interactive, and Leisure. The Gaming segment supplies gaming terminals and software to betting offices, casinos, gaming halls, and high street adult gaming centers; a portfolio of games through its digital terminals under the Centurion and Super Hot Fruits names; and traditional casino games, such as roulette, blackjack, and number games. The Virtual Sports segment designs, develops, markets, and distributes ultra-high-definition sports games that include greyhounds, tennis, motor racing, cycling, cricket, speedway, golf, and dart, and other horse racing games under the V-Play Soccer, V-Play Football, V-Play Basketball, Virtual Grand National, and V-Play NFLA names. The Interactive segment provides a range of premium random number generated casino content from feature-rich bonus games to European-style casino free spins and table games. The Leisure segment supplies gaming terminals and amusement machines in pubs, bingo halls, and adult gaming centers, as well as family entertainment centers, bowling centers, and other entertainment venues. Inspired Entertainment, Inc. is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyInspired Entertainment generates revenue through multiple key streams. Primarily, the company earns money by licensing its gaming content and technology to operators, including lottery organizations and online gaming platforms. This licensing model allows Inspired to receive ongoing royalties and fees based on the performance of its games. Additionally, the company sells its proprietary gaming machines and systems, which are installed in various venues, contributing to hardware sales revenue. Significant partnerships with major gaming operators and regulatory bodies help expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings, further driving revenue growth. Inspired also explores opportunities in emerging markets, leveraging its expertise in virtual sports to tap into new customer bases and increase its overall earnings.

Inspired Entertainment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -5.67%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in key areas, particularly the Interactive and Gaming segments, with significant growth in EBITDA and strategic partnerships. However, there were challenges in the Virtual Sports segment and a slow start in the Brazilian market. Overall, the sentiment is positive given the outweighing highlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong EBITDA Growth
EBITDA of $28.4 million was up 15% over Q2 2024, with EBITDA margins improving from 33% to 35%. The Interactive business was a key driver, growing EBITDA by nearly 50% year-over-year.
Significant Interactive Segment Performance
The Interactive segment marked its eighth consecutive quarter of more than 40% year-over-year adjusted EBITDA growth, with an adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 200 basis points to 67%.
Successful Refinancing and Debt Management
The company refinanced its credit facility and is arranging a swap to fixed rate debt, which is expected to lower the current effective rate and provide protection against rising rates.
Gaming Business Expansion
Gaming EBITDA was up 35% year-over-year, boosted by a strong partnership with William Hill. A new contract was secured to supply 100% of gaming machines for Jenningsbet, a leading UK bookmaker.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Virtual Sports Segment
While Virtual Sports EBITDA showed sequential improvement, it declined year-over-year, indicating challenges in achieving consistent growth.
Slow Start in Brazil
The company faced a tough start in Brazil at the beginning of the year due to the transition from a non-regulated to a regulated market.
Company Guidance
During the Inspired Entertainment Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call, key metrics highlighted the company's robust performance and strategic initiatives. The EBITDA for the quarter was $28.4 million, marking a 15% increase over Q2 2024 and outperforming consensus expectations. The EBITDA margin improved from 33% to 35%. The Interactive business emerged as a primary growth driver, with its EBITDA growing by nearly 50% year-over-year. The Gaming segment also witnessed substantial growth, with EBITDA up 35%, partly due to the strong performance of William Hill. The company successfully refinanced its credit facility, and the anticipated sale of the Holiday Park is expected to further enhance liquidity. Additionally, the company aims to improve its overall EBITDA margin to 40% by the year's end. The Virtual Sports segment showed stabilization, with promising sequential improvements in revenue and EBITDA. Inspired Entertainment continues to see strong momentum across its Interactive and Gaming segments, with strategic expansions in key markets like North America, Brazil, and the U.K.

Inspired Entertainment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Inspired Entertainment's financial performance is mixed. The income statement shows improving profitability but inconsistent revenue growth. The balance sheet is heavily leveraged with negative equity, posing financial risk. However, strong operating cash flow and improved free cash flow indicate good liquidity and financial flexibility.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Inspired Entertainment shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The gross profit margin for TTM is strong, indicating efficient cost management, but revenue growth has been inconsistent, with recent declines. The net profit margin has improved due to higher net income, enhancing profitability. However, the EBIT margin has decreased, suggesting potential operational challenges. Overall, profitability is improving, but growth remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals significant leverage with a high debt-to-equity ratio, as the company has negative equity. This poses financial risk. Return on Equity is not meaningful due to negative equity. The equity ratio is also negative, indicating that liabilities exceed assets. The company needs to address its capital structure to improve financial stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis highlights strong operating cash flow relative to net income, indicating good cash generation from operations. The free cash flow has grown significantly in the TTM period despite past volatility, reflecting improved capital expenditure management. This is a positive sign for liquidity and financial flexibility, although sustained performance is crucial.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue294.40M297.10M323.00M285.40M208.90M199.80M
Gross Profit209.00M204.80M155.40M213.40M158.20M155.30M
EBITDA48.00M82.30M84.00M90.70M53.90M53.00M
Net Income70.40M64.80M7.60M20.60M-36.70M-29.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets458.90M438.40M340.90M309.40M331.70M324.10M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments39.00M29.30M40.00M25.00M47.80M47.10M
Total Debt360.50M350.80M331.50M288.50M322.50M311.10M
Total Liabilities461.10M441.70M418.90M367.10M409.70M412.80M
Stockholders Equity-2.20M-3.30M-78.00M-57.70M-78.00M-88.70M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow32.50M2.90M-2.30M-5.00M-19.20M23.00M
Operating Cash Flow53.60M31.70M45.50M34.80M6.20M52.90M
Investing Cash Flow-47.50M-40.10M-48.40M-40.40M-37.90M-29.90M
Financing Cash Flow-3.10M-1.60M16.20M-11.10M31.20M-8.20M

Inspired Entertainment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.32
Price Trends
50DMA
8.52
Negative
100DMA
8.17
Positive
200DMA
8.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.09
Positive
RSI
39.70
Neutral
STOCH
42.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INSE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.88, below the 50-day MA of 8.52, and below the 200-day MA of 8.90, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 42.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for INSE.

Inspired Entertainment Risk Analysis

Inspired Entertainment disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Inspired Entertainment reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Inspired Entertainment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$369.56M21.1410.86%27.57%-40.98%
68
Neutral
$518.40M10.8649.64%6.60%778.46%
65
Neutral
$224.25M3.83-12.77%-4.95%
63
Neutral
£1.74B10.544.37%3.49%0.66%-39.52%
55
Neutral
$373.34M589.052.77%
51
Neutral
$91.53M229.13%7.02%74.19%
47
Neutral
$130.00M-101.45%8.24%-43.10%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
INSE
Inspired Entertainment
8.32
-0.23
-2.69%
FLL
Full House Resorts
3.55
-1.53
-30.12%
AGS
Playags
12.49
1.17
10.34%
GAN
GAN
1.97
0.27
15.88%
CDRO
Codere Online
8.07
0.27
3.46%
GAMB
Gambling.com
8.61
-1.56
-15.34%

Inspired Entertainment Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Inspired Entertainment Completes £270M Private Placement
Positive
Jun 9, 2025

On June 9, 2025, Inspired Entertainment completed a private placement of £270 million in senior secured notes due 2030 and established a new £17.8 million revolving credit facility. The proceeds will be used to refinance existing notes and credit facilities, cover related fees, and support general corporate purposes. This financial maneuver aims to strengthen Inspired’s financial position by replacing existing debt with more favorable terms, potentially enhancing its operational flexibility and market competitiveness.

The most recent analyst rating on (INSE) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Inspired Entertainment stock, see the INSE Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Inspired Entertainment Elects Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 27, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Inspired Entertainment, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where seven directors were elected to serve until the 2026 Annual Meeting. Additionally, the appointment of CBIZ CPAs P.C. as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was ratified.

The most recent analyst rating on (INSE) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Inspired Entertainment stock, see the INSE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025