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Codere Online (CDRO)
NASDAQ:CDRO
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Codere Online (CDRO) AI Stock Analysis

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CDRO

Codere Online

(NASDAQ:CDRO)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(21.78% Upside)
Codere Online's overall stock score reflects a mix of positive financial performance and significant external challenges. Strong revenue growth and improved profitability are offset by high valuation concerns and technical indicators suggesting bearish momentum. The earnings call provided a balanced view of growth potential and risks, particularly in key markets like Mexico and Colombia.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth reflects successful market expansion and increased user engagement, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Customer Acquisition
Successful customer acquisition strategies indicate effective marketing and brand strength, crucial for sustained growth in competitive markets.
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing for reinvestment in growth opportunities and debt reduction.
Negative Factors
Currency Devaluation Impact
Currency devaluation in key markets like Mexico poses a risk to revenue stability, affecting profitability and financial projections.
Increased Competition
Increased competition in Spain could pressure margins and customer retention, challenging market share and growth prospects.
Leadership Transition
Leadership changes can create uncertainty and disrupt strategic continuity, impacting long-term planning and execution.

Codere Online (CDRO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Codere Online Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCodere Online Luxembourg, S.A. operates as an online casino gaming and sports betting company. The company also offers online casino wagering products and services. It primarily operates in Spain, Italy, Mexico, Colombia, Panama, and Argentina. The company is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.
How the Company Makes MoneyCodere Online generates revenue primarily through its online sports betting and casino gaming platforms. The company earns money by taking a percentage of the bets placed on its platform, known as the 'hold,' which can vary depending on the type of game or wager. Additionally, Codere Online benefits from player deposits and ongoing play, as they charge fees for transactions and offer premium features. The company also engages in strategic partnerships with payment providers and other technology firms to enhance its services, which can help attract more users and increase earnings. Furthermore, marketing initiatives aimed at acquiring new customers play a crucial role in driving revenue growth.

Codere Online Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call indicates a stable financial performance with positive developments in customer acquisition and EBITDA growth. However, challenges such as currency devaluation and taxation in key markets like Mexico and Colombia present significant hurdles. While the company is optimistic about future growth, especially in Mexico, external factors continue to pose risks.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Regained NASDAQ Compliance
Codere Online has regained compliance with all applicable NASDAQ listing requirements, reducing uncertainty about its continuity as a publicly traded company.
Stable Net Gaming Revenue
Net gaming revenue for Q2 2025 was EUR 55 million, roughly flat compared to the previous year. On a constant currency basis, this would equate to EUR 61 million, showing a 12% increase.
Strong Customer Acquisition
The company reported 78,000 first-time depositors, a 7% increase from the previous year, demonstrating successful customer acquisition strategies.
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA was positive EUR 2.3 million, marking a 5% increase in contribution from the Spanish business compared to the previous year.
Cash Flow and Financial Position
The company generated EUR 7.5 million of available cash in the first half of 2025, ending the quarter with EUR 45 million in total cash, maintaining a stable financial position.
Negative Updates
Impact of Mexican Peso Devaluation
The Mexican peso devalued by over 19%, resulting in a EUR 5.7 million negative impact on net gaming revenue.
Challenges in Colombia
Net gaming revenue in Colombia was EUR 1.6 million lower due to a new value-added tax on player deposits, representing a significant challenge for the market.
Increased Competition in Spain
The reintroduction of welcome bonuses in Spain created a more competitive landscape, affecting growth and customer retention.
Lower Spend Per Active Customer
There was a 5% decrease in average monthly spend per active customer, primarily due to the weaker Mexican peso.
Company Guidance
During Codere Online's second-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance that included anticipations for net gaming revenue between EUR 220 million and EUR 230 million and adjusted EBITDA ranging from EUR 10 million to EUR 15 million for the full year. The company reported a net gaming revenue of EUR 55 million for the quarter, reflecting a 1% increase, despite significant challenges such as the Mexican peso devaluation and tax changes in Colombia. On a constant currency basis, net gaming revenue would have increased by 12%. The adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was positive EUR 2.3 million, with Spain contributing EUR 6.3 million, up 5% from the previous year. Codere Online achieved a 7% increase in average monthly active customers for the quarter but noted a 5% decrease in average monthly spend per active customer, mainly due to the weaker Mexican peso. Additionally, the company highlighted its strong acquisition performance, with 78,000 first-time depositors, a 7% increase from the prior year, and an average cost per acquisition (CPA) of EUR 218. The company's marketing strategy in Mexico focused on leveraging existing customers and optimizing acquisition costs, anticipating that these efforts would support further growth leading up to the 2026 World Cup.

Codere Online Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Codere Online shows a positive trajectory with strong revenue growth and improved profitability metrics. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage and strong cash reserves, although profitability margins need improvement.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Codere Online has shown a significant improvement in its income statement over the past year. The gross profit margin is strong at approximately 96.14%, and the net profit margin has turned positive to 1.95% from a previous negative position, highlighting improved operational efficiency. Revenue growth was robust, with a 24.1% increase from the previous year, indicating a successful expansion strategy. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain low at 2.16% and 2.35% respectively, suggesting room for improvement in operational leverage.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet of Codere Online indicates a moderate financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22, reflecting a relatively low level of leverage, which is positive. The equity ratio stands at 32.29%, showing a fair proportion of equity financing. Return on equity is healthy at 16.23%, but the overall equity base is small, which could limit growth opportunities. The company has improved its net debt position, with significant cash reserves, which enhances financial stability.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Codere Online's cash flow statement reveals strong free cash flow growth from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.01, indicating that the company efficiently converts its net income into cash. Free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.94, showing strong cash generation relative to earnings. With positive free cash flow, the company is well-positioned to reinvest in its operations or reduce debt.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue102.11M200.70M161.65M115.75M80.25M70.50M
Gross Profit92.67M192.97M155.37M110.90M76.23M66.24M
EBITDA1.70M4.72M-14.64M-30.22M-65.77M-13.15M
Net Income-252.00K3.91M-2.42M-46.38M-68.01M-16.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets71.78M74.54M73.80M69.31M105.28M18.55M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments40.43M53.80M51.68M53.81M98.81M15.66M
Total Debt5.17M5.37M5.11M4.95M2.98M39.23M
Total Liabilities52.85M50.32M52.51M44.76M37.12M58.47M
Stockholders Equity18.78M24.07M21.14M24.40M68.01M-40.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-439.00K3.69M-11.82M-42.52M-5.27M3.80M
Operating Cash Flow-237.00K3.94M-11.58M-42.36M-5.19M3.86M
Investing Cash Flow-202.00K-256.00K-245.00K-164.00K-83.00K-72.00K
Financing Cash Flow-222.00K-2.04M1.33M0.0089.33M-175.00K

Codere Online Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.98
Price Trends
50DMA
8.04
Negative
100DMA
7.95
Negative
200DMA
7.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.36
Positive
RSI
32.83
Neutral
STOCH
26.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CDRO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.58, below the 50-day MA of 8.04, and below the 200-day MA of 7.50, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CDRO.

Codere Online Risk Analysis

Codere Online disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Codere Online reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Codere Online Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$4.96B107.743.04%26.99%
71
Outperform
$6.67B50.3620.29%2.03%26.85%1963.28%
66
Neutral
$290.88M20.0610.21%27.57%-40.98%
55
Neutral
$318.57M509.492.77%
52
Neutral
$37.64B-64.85-30.16%25.80%27.64%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CDRO
Codere Online
6.98
-1.01
-12.64%
DKNG
DraftKings
42.32
3.12
7.96%
GAN
GAN
1.97
0.20
11.30%
RSI
Rush Street Interactive
21.72
10.87
100.18%
SGHC
Super Group (SGHC)
13.30
9.80
280.00%
GAMB
Gambling.com
8.17
-1.85
-18.46%

Codere Online Corporate Events

Codere Online CFO Transition Announced Amid Strategic Continuity
Sep 2, 2025

On August 28, 2025, Codere Online’s Chief Financial Officer, Oscar Iglesias, announced his decision to step down for personal reasons, effective by December 31, 2025, or upon the appointment of his successor. Despite stepping down, Iglesias will remain involved with the company as a board member, continuing to influence its strategic direction. His departure is not due to any disagreements with the company, and he has been a key figure in Codere Online’s growth, notably leading its public listing in 2021. The company has initiated a search for a new CFO to ensure a smooth transition.

Codere Online Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results and Growth in Mexico
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Codere Online released its preliminary unaudited financial results for the second quarter of 2025, reporting a net gaming revenue of €54.8 million, a slight increase from the previous year despite currency challenges. The company saw significant growth in Mexico, with a 23% increase in net gaming revenue in constant currency terms, and a 36% rise in active customers. Despite a net loss of €3.1 million in the first half of 2025, Codere Online remains optimistic about meeting its annual financial outlook. Additionally, the company repurchased $0.7 million of its shares under its buyback plan and regained compliance with Nasdaq listing requirements.

Codere Online to Announce Q2 2025 Financial Results on July 31
Jul 10, 2025

On July 10, 2025, Codere Online announced its intention to release its financial results for the second quarter of 2025 on July 31, 2025. The company plans to host a conference call on the same day to discuss these results and provide a business update. This announcement highlights Codere Online’s commitment to transparency and its strategic focus on maintaining its position as a leading player in the online gaming industry in Spain and Latin America.

Codere Online Announces AGM Success and New Compliance Chair
Jun 30, 2025

On June 30, 2025, Codere Online announced the successful resolution of all 24 agenda items at its Annual General Meeting, including the renewal of its Board members. Additionally, A.G. Burnett was appointed as the new Chairman of the Compliance Committee, effective July 1, 2025, bringing extensive experience in gaming regulation and law. This strategic appointment and the AGM outcomes are expected to strengthen Codere Online’s governance and compliance framework, reinforcing its position in the competitive online gaming industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 05, 2025