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Codere Online (CDRO)
NASDAQ:CDRO

Codere Online (CDRO) AI Stock Analysis

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CDRO

Codere Online

(NASDAQ:CDRO)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▼(-1.48% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/13/26
The score is primarily supported by improving financial performance—strong revenue growth, positive net profitability, and solid free cash flow with low leverage. This is tempered by thin operating margins and a challenging valuation profile (high P/E and no dividend yield), while technical indicators suggest only moderate trend strength with recent softness.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained 24.1% revenue growth indicates successful customer acquisition and product-market fit across core verticals. Durable top-line expansion provides scale to invest in product, technology and compliance, improving long-term competitive positioning and supporting future margin recovery.
Cash Generation
Near-parity of operating cash flow and net income and strong free cash flow demonstrate efficient cash conversion. Persistent cash generation gives the company flexibility to fund growth, service finance costs, pursue M&A or buybacks, and withstand cyclicality in gaming demand over months.
Low Leverage
A low debt-to-equity ratio and improved net debt position create financial resilience. This durable balance sheet strength reduces refinancing risk, supports investment in markets and product, and provides capacity to absorb regulatory or market shocks without threatening operations.
Negative Factors
Thin Operating Margins
Very low operating margins limit the company's ability to convert revenue gains into sustainable profits. In a competitive online gaming environment, thin margins reduce the buffer for higher marketing, compliance or payment costs and constrain free cash available for strategic investments.
Eroding Equity Base
Declining assets and equity shrink the capital cushion and increase sensitivity to losses or higher finance costs. Over several quarters, a contracting equity base can limit strategic options, raise funding costs, and constrain growth or M&A capacity in the medium term.
Regional Concentration & FX Risk
Heavy exposure to Spain and Latin America concentrates revenue and subjects earnings to local macro and currency swings. Persistent FX volatility and region-specific regulatory shifts can materially affect reported revenue and margins, raising structural earnings variability over months.

Codere Online (CDRO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Codere Online Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCodere Online Luxembourg, S.A. operates as an online casino gaming and sports betting company. The company also offers online casino wagering products and services. It primarily operates in Spain, Italy, Mexico, Colombia, Panama, and Argentina. The company is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.
How the Company Makes MoneyCodere Online generates revenue primarily through its online sports betting and casino gaming platforms. The company earns money by taking a percentage of the bets placed on its platform, known as the 'hold,' which can vary depending on the type of game or wager. Additionally, Codere Online benefits from player deposits and ongoing play, as they charge fees for transactions and offer premium features. The company also engages in strategic partnerships with payment providers and other technology firms to enhance its services, which can help attract more users and increase earnings. Furthermore, marketing initiatives aimed at acquiring new customers play a crucial role in driving revenue growth.

Codere Online Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 08, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call was largely positive: management reported record net gaming revenue, significant improvement in adjusted EBITDA (more than doubling year‑over‑year), strong customer growth and improving marketing efficiency, supported by a stronger cash position and an executed share buyback. Key risks include regulatory and tax uncertainty (notably in Mexico and Colombia), continued competitive intensity in Mexico, and some regional revenue declines (other LATAM markets). Management emphasized mitigation actions and provided conservative, growth‑oriented 2026 guidance, indicating confidence that positives outweigh the headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Annual and Quarterly Net Gaming Revenue
Full-year 2025 net gaming revenue reached EUR 224 million (record) and Q4 2025 NGR was EUR 60.7 million, up 15% year‑over‑year and the highest quarterly NGR in company history.
Strong EBITDA Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA for full-year 2025 was EUR 13.8 million, more than double 2024 (EUR 6.4m). Q4 adjusted EBITDA was EUR 6.7 million, EUR 4.8 million higher than Q4 2024, with Q4 EBITDA margin ~11% versus <4% in Q4 2024.
Mexico Drives Growth
Mexico NGR increased 31% year‑on‑year to EUR 32.8 million in Q4; active customers in Mexico rose to ~99,000 in Q4 (from 69,000 prior year) and exceeded 100,000 in December for the first time.
Continued Growth in Spain
Spain NGR increased 7% year‑on‑year to EUR 24.5 million in Q4, driven by a 14% increase in active customers to ~56,000 while maintaining strong profitability in a mature market.
Customer and Acquisition Metrics Improved
Average monthly actives ~177,000 in Q4, up 20% YoY. First-time depositors (FTDs) in Q4 totaled 89,000 (+22% YoY). Consolidated CPA was ~EUR 166 (lowest since early 2023) and trending down.
Marketing Efficiency Gains
Marketing expense was EUR 21.4 million in FY terms, slightly below prior year in absolute terms and significantly lower as a percentage of NGR, reflecting improved marketing efficiency and cost discipline.
Stronger Cash Position and Share Buybacks
Total cash at year-end EUR 50 million (approx. EUR 45 million available). Generated EUR 13.4 million cash flow before buybacks and FX; available cash increased ~EUR 10 million during 2025. Repurchased ~391,000 shares for ~$2.7 million under a $7.5 million program.
Confident 2026 Guidance
2026 guidance: NGR EUR 235–245 million (midpoint ~7% growth vs 2025) and adjusted EBITDA EUR 15–20 million (midpoint >25% growth vs 2025), reflecting management confidence and planned initiatives.
Negative Updates
Weakness in Other Markets (Colombia, Panama, Buenos Aires)
Combined contribution from Colombia, Panama and City of Buenos Aires was EUR 3.5 million in Q4, down 25% YoY, driven largely by declines in Colombia due to a 19% tax on deposits applied for most of 2025.
Regulatory and Tax Uncertainty in Mexico
Recent tax increase in Mexico is a negative for the sector and creates an EBITDA headwind; federal regulatory framework remains uncertain and two large competitors were recently shut down, creating short‑term market disruption and political risk.
Lower Average Monthly Spend per Active
Average monthly spend per active was EUR 114 in Q4, approximately 4% below Q4 2024, reflecting a larger and more diversified customer portfolio with a higher proportion of Mexican players.
Colombia Policy Volatility
Uncertainty around permanence of VAT removal in Colombia; company is conservatively treating VAT as if it remains in budgets, and recent emergency decrees may introduce a new small tax — the environment remains fluid.
Competitive Intensity and Advertising Saturation
Mexico remains competitive on promotional activity and advertising; while some competitors are out, others are rumored to enter, and marketing intensity in Mexico remains elevated during the growth phase, pressuring margins until scale and efficiency improve.
FX and Market Assumptions Risk
Guidance incorporates FX forecasts but remains exposed to MXN/EUR movements; guidance assumes marketing broadly in line with 2025 (World Cup year) which could amplify sensitivity to costs and FX if markets shift.
Company Guidance
Codere Online guided 2026 net gaming revenue of EUR 235–245 million (midpoint EUR 240m, roughly +7% vs 2025's EUR 224m) and adjusted EBITDA of EUR 15–20 million (midpoint EUR 17.5m, >25% growth vs 2025's EUR 13.8m), with the outlook reflecting management initiatives and recent regulatory/tax changes and assuming marketing investment broadly in line with 2025 (a World Cup year and a focus on Mexico); management expects marketing as a % of NGR to trend down over time as the business scales, and framed the guidance against a 2025 finish that included record NGR (Q4 NGR EUR 60.7m), positive Q4 adjusted EBITDA of EUR 6.7m, EUR 50m total cash (≈EUR 45m available), negative net working capital of ≈EUR 22m (~10% of FY NGR) and EUR 13.4m cash flow before buybacks.

Codere Online Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are improving with strong revenue growth (+24.1%) and a swing to positive net margin (1.95%), supported by solid cash conversion (operating cash flow to net income 1.01) and positive free cash flow. Balance sheet leverage is low (debt-to-equity 0.22) with improved net debt, but EBIT/EBITDA margins remain thin (2.16%/2.35%), limiting the score.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Codere Online has shown a significant improvement in its income statement over the past year. The gross profit margin is strong at approximately 96.14%, and the net profit margin has turned positive to 1.95% from a previous negative position, highlighting improved operational efficiency. Revenue growth was robust, with a 24.1% increase from the previous year, indicating a successful expansion strategy. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins remain low at 2.16% and 2.35% respectively, suggesting room for improvement in operational leverage.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet of Codere Online indicates a moderate financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.22, reflecting a relatively low level of leverage, which is positive. The equity ratio stands at 32.29%, showing a fair proportion of equity financing. Return on equity is healthy at 16.23%, but the overall equity base is small, which could limit growth opportunities. The company has improved its net debt position, with significant cash reserves, which enhances financial stability.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Codere Online's cash flow statement reveals strong free cash flow growth from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.01, indicating that the company efficiently converts its net income into cash. Free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.94, showing strong cash generation relative to earnings. With positive free cash flow, the company is well-positioned to reinvest in its operations or reduce debt.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Mar 2022Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue200.70M161.65M115.75M80.25M70.50M
Gross Profit192.97M155.37M110.90M73.17M65.34M
EBITDA4.72M-14.64M-30.22M-24.91M-13.38M
Net Income3.91M-2.42M-46.38M-68.01M-16.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets74.54M73.80M69.31M105.28M18.55M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments53.80M51.68M60.58M98.81M15.66M
Total Debt5.37M5.11M4.95M2.98M39.23M
Total Liabilities50.32M52.51M44.76M37.12M58.47M
Stockholders Equity24.07M21.14M24.40M68.01M-40.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.69M-11.82M-42.52M-5.27M3.80M
Operating Cash Flow3.94M-11.58M-42.36M-5.19M3.86M
Investing Cash Flow-256.00K-245.00K-164.00K-83.00K-72.00K
Financing Cash Flow-2.04M1.33M0.0089.33M254.00K

Codere Online Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.12
Price Trends
50DMA
7.93
Positive
100DMA
7.36
Positive
200DMA
7.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Positive
RSI
59.75
Neutral
STOCH
75.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CDRO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.02, above the 50-day MA of 7.93, and above the 200-day MA of 7.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.75 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CDRO.

Codere Online Risk Analysis

Codere Online disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Codere Online reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Codere Online Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$4.71B55.9027.50%23.15%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
56
Neutral
$728.61M-118.26-1.37%3.71%-12.25%-84.89%
56
Neutral
$369.91M23.16%1.79%
53
Neutral
$178.05M-16.00184.28%4.03%
52
Neutral
$149.89M-5.88-24.91%24.21%-92.49%
43
Neutral
$623.87M-1.64-114.88%0.36%47.55%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CDRO
Codere Online
8.12
1.02
14.37%
GDEN
Golden Entertainment
27.60
1.33
5.08%
INSE
Inspired Entertainment
6.58
-2.59
-28.24%
RSI
Rush Street Interactive
20.25
9.42
86.98%
GAMB
Gambling.com
4.21
-8.15
-65.94%
BALY
Bally's Corporation
12.69
-5.40
-29.85%

Codere Online Corporate Events

Codere Online Posts Higher H1 2025 Revenue but Swings to Deeper Net Loss
Dec 22, 2025

Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A. reported unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements for the six months ended June 30, 2025, filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on December 22, 2025. The figures show revenue rising to €105.3 million from €102.1 million a year earlier and operating income improving to €3.0 million from €1.6 million, but higher finance costs drove a net loss of €3.1 million versus a small €0.3 million loss in the prior-year period, while total assets fell to €69.6 million from €74.5 million and equity decreased to €20.6 million from €24.2 million, signaling pressure on the balance sheet despite stronger top-line performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (CDRO) stock is a Buy with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Codere Online stock, see the CDRO Stock Forecast page.

Codere Online Appoints New Director and Extends Share Repurchase Authorization
Dec 1, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A. held an extraordinary shareholders’ meeting where two key resolutions were approved. The company appointed Mr. Oscar Iglesias to its Board of Directors and extended the authorization for its board to repurchase up to one million ordinary shares on the Nasdaq Stock Market until December 31, 2026. These decisions are expected to strengthen the company’s governance and provide flexibility in managing its share capital, potentially impacting its market positioning and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (CDRO) stock is a Buy with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Codere Online stock, see the CDRO Stock Forecast page.

Codere Online Announces EGM to Appoint New Board Member
Nov 26, 2025

On November 26, 2025, Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A. announced an Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM) scheduled for December 9, 2025, to appoint Gaëtan Dumont to the Board of Directors. Mr. Dumont brings extensive experience in corporate finance and governance, having held leadership roles in various industries. His appointment is expected to strengthen the company’s strategic direction and governance, potentially impacting its operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (CDRO) stock is a Buy with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Codere Online stock, see the CDRO Stock Forecast page.

Codere Online Reports Steady Q3 2025 Financials Amid Strategic Changes
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Codere Online reported its preliminary unaudited financial results for the third quarter of 2025, revealing a net gaming revenue of €51.6 million, consistent with the previous year. Despite challenges such as the devaluation of the Mexican peso, the company saw a 39% increase in active customers in Mexico. Codere Online also announced the appointment of Marcus Arildsson as Chief Financial Officer, succeeding Oscar Iglesias, who is expected to join the Board. Additionally, the company has repurchased $1.7 million of its shares and plans to extend its share buyback program.

The most recent analyst rating on (CDRO) stock is a Hold with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Codere Online stock, see the CDRO Stock Forecast page.

Codere Online Appoints New CFO Amid Leadership Transition
Nov 17, 2025

On November 17, 2025, Codere Online announced the appointment of Marcus Arildsson as the new Chief Financial Officer, succeeding Oscar Iglesias. Mr. Arildsson brings over 25 years of experience in investment banking and corporate finance, having held significant roles at companies like Millenium Hospitality Real Estate and Ladorian. His appointment is expected to strengthen Codere Online’s financial leadership as the company continues to expand its operations in the competitive online gaming industry. An Extraordinary General Meeting is scheduled for December 1, 2025, to approve Mr. Iglesias’s transition to the Board of Directors, reflecting the company’s strategic leadership realignment.

The most recent analyst rating on (CDRO) stock is a Hold with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Codere Online stock, see the CDRO Stock Forecast page.

Codere Online to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results on November 17
Oct 28, 2025

Codere Online announced on October 28, 2025, that it will release its financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on November 17, 2025. The company will hold a conference call on the same day to discuss the results and provide a business update. This announcement is significant as it provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial health and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market positioning and investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (CDRO) stock is a Hold with a $8.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Codere Online stock, see the CDRO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 13, 2026