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Gambling.com (GAMB)
NASDAQ:GAMB
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Gambling.com (GAMB) AI Stock Analysis

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GAMB

Gambling.com

(NASDAQ:GAMB)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▲(14.82% Upside)
Gambling.com's overall stock score reflects a combination of strong revenue growth and high gross profit margins, offset by declining net profit margins and increased leverage. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation. The earnings call highlighted growth in sports data services but also pointed out challenges in the marketing segment. These factors collectively contribute to a moderate stock score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates effective market penetration and product demand, supporting long-term business expansion and stability.
Sports Data Services Expansion
Rapid growth in sports data services diversifies revenue streams and positions the company for future growth in a high-demand sector.
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition of Spotlight.Vegas strengthens market position and expands offerings, enhancing competitive advantage in the online gambling industry.
Negative Factors
Declining Net Profit Margin
A declining net profit margin suggests rising costs or reduced profitability, which could impact long-term financial health and shareholder returns.
Increased Leverage
Higher leverage can strain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially affecting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Challenges in Marketing Business
Flat revenue in the marketing segment due to search ranking issues could hinder growth and necessitate strategic adjustments to regain momentum.

Gambling.com (GAMB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gambling.com Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGambling.com Group Limited operates as a performance marketing company for the online gambling industry worldwide. The company provides digital marketing services for the iGaming and sports betting. It publishes various branded websites, including Gambling.com and Bookies.com. Gambling.com Group Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is based in St. Helier, Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyGambling.com primarily generates revenue through affiliate marketing, where it earns commissions for directing traffic to online gambling operators. When users click on links to gambling sites from Gambling.com's platform and subsequently create accounts or place bets, the company receives a percentage of the revenue generated by those users. Key revenue streams include CPA (Cost Per Acquisition) deals, where operators pay a fixed fee for each new customer referred, and revenue share agreements, where Gambling.com earns a percentage of the player's losses. The company also benefits from partnerships with various gambling operators, enhancing its offerings and reach in the market, which in turn contributes to its overall earnings.

Gambling.com Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong growth in the sports data services segment and record revenue, but challenges in the marketing business due to unfavorable search dynamics and flat revenue. While the company remains optimistic about future growth, particularly in data services, current issues with search rankings are impacting the marketing segment's performance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Third Quarter Revenue and EBITDA
The company generated record third quarter revenue of $39 million, up 21% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA grew 3% to $13 million.
Sports Data Services Business Growth
The sports data services business grew over 300% year-on-year in the third quarter, becoming a significant future growth area for the company.
OpticOdds Revenue Doubling
OpticOdds, the enterprise solution for sportsbook operators, doubled its revenue year-over-year, reflecting growth in both customers and revenue per customer.
EGR Affiliate of the Year Award
The company's marketing business won the EGR Affiliate of the Year Award for the third time, highlighting its leading position in the online gambling affiliate industry.
Strong Free Cash Flow
The company generated $9.6 million in free cash flow with a strong cash conversion from adjusted EBITDA of 74%.
Negative Updates
Flat Marketing Business Revenue
The marketing business revenue was flat year-over-year due to less favorable search rankings and persistent low-quality search results in the gaming space.
Decline in New Depositing Customers (NDCs)
NDCs were down 13% year-over-year, impacting the marketing business performance.
Reduced Gross Profit Margin
Gross profit margin decreased to 91.2% compared to 94.7% in the year-ago period, reflecting costs associated with traffic source diversification and acquisitions.
Adjusted Net Income Decline
Adjusted net income fell 16% from the year-ago period to $9.3 million, primarily due to increased interest expense.
Challenges with Google Search Dynamics
The company faced headwinds from poor search dynamics affecting revenue, with expectations that Google will address these issues in the future.
Company Guidance
During the Gambling.com Group's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance. The group reported a record third quarter revenue of $39 million, marking a 21% increase year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA grew by 3% to $13 million. They highlighted significant growth in their sports data services business, which saw over a 300% increase year-over-year and contributed 25% to the 2025 revenue. The marketing business faced challenges due to unfavorable search rankings, resulting in flat revenue year-on-year. The company revised its full-year guidance to an expected revenue of approximately $165 million and adjusted EBITDA of approximately $58 million, reflecting a 30% and 19% year-over-year growth respectively. The guidance was adjusted due to ongoing headwinds from poor search dynamics but noted improvements in search marketing dynamics since late October. Additionally, Gambling.com Group expects to generate more revenue from non-SEO channels than SEO for the first time as a public company in Q4, indicating a successful diversification strategy.

Gambling.com Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gambling.com shows strong revenue growth and high gross profit margins, indicating effective revenue generation and cost control. However, declining net profit margins and increased leverage pose potential risks. The cash flow situation reflects challenges in maintaining cash generation, though the company still manages to generate adequate cash relative to its net income.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Gambling.com has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 4.65%. The company maintains a high gross profit margin of 94.02% in the TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 9.66% in the TTM from 24.12% in 2024, reflecting increased expenses or reduced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also seen a decline, suggesting potential challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased to 0.68 in the TTM, indicating higher leverage compared to previous years. Despite this, the return on equity remains reasonable at 10.65%, though it has decreased from 24.90% in 2024. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced approach to financing assets through equity.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Gambling.com's free cash flow growth rate is negative at -9.21% in the TTM, indicating a decline in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.67, showing a decrease in cash flow efficiency. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 0.71, suggesting that the company is still generating sufficient cash relative to its net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue154.52M127.18M108.65M76.51M42.32M27.98M
Gross Profit143.97M119.65M99.54M73.55M42.32M27.98M
EBITDA25.51M42.75M23.13M10.83M15.23M14.70M
Net Income1.89M30.68M18.26M2.39M12.45M15.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets305.12M178.58M154.87M138.88M91.03M45.38M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.36M13.73M25.43M29.66M51.17M8.22M
Total Debt88.20M27.96M1.72M2.07M7.62M7.93M
Total Liabilities171.43M55.40M35.95M51.77M11.12M11.17M
Stockholders Equity133.68M123.19M118.92M87.11M79.91M34.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow30.15M3.81M8.67M9.47M8.42M10.80M
Operating Cash Flow42.75M37.64M17.91M18.75M14.00M10.89M
Investing Cash Flow-94.85M-43.84M-19.47M-32.70M-5.57M-90.00K
Financing Cash Flow42.83M-5.24M-3.14M-7.31M34.99M-10.20M

Gambling.com Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.79
Price Trends
50DMA
7.43
Negative
100DMA
8.76
Negative
200DMA
10.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.73
Positive
RSI
15.96
Positive
STOCH
7.07
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GAMB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.79 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.58, below the 50-day MA of 7.43, and below the 200-day MA of 10.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.73 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 15.96 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.07 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GAMB.

Gambling.com Risk Analysis

Gambling.com disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gambling.com reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gambling.com Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$3.95B68.7829.67%23.15%
65
Neutral
$209.49M3.914.03%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
$170.54M80.231.46%24.21%-92.49%
54
Neutral
$762.71M159.721.15%3.42%-12.25%-84.89%
54
Neutral
$823.96M-114.88%0.36%47.55%
49
Neutral
$259.70M415.332.77%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GAMB
Gambling.com
4.79
-8.21
-63.15%
GDEN
Golden Entertainment
29.14
-3.36
-10.34%
INSE
Inspired Entertainment
6.87
-3.08
-30.95%
RSI
Rush Street Interactive
17.23
3.75
27.82%
CDRO
Codere Online
6.11
-1.19
-16.30%
BALY
Bally's Corporation
16.76
-5.31
-24.06%

Gambling.com Corporate Events

Gambling.com Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results with Increased Revenue but Net Loss
Nov 13, 2025

Gambling.com Group Limited reported its financial results for the third quarter and nine months ending September 30, 2025. The company experienced a revenue increase to $38.98 million for the quarter, up from $32.12 million the previous year. However, the company reported a net loss of $3.86 million for the quarter, compared to a net income of $8.51 million in the same period last year, due to increased sales, marketing, and technology expenses, as well as fair value movements on contingent consideration.

Gambling.com Group Reports Record Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 13, 2025

On November 13, 2025, Gambling.com Group Limited announced record financial results for the third quarter ending September 30, 2025, with a significant increase in revenue and Adjusted EBITDA. Despite challenges in the marketing business due to low-quality search results, the company saw over 300% year-over-year growth in its sports data services, which now accounts for 24% of total revenue. The company remains optimistic about future growth, particularly in its sports data services, and has undertaken share buybacks to reflect confidence in its business trajectory.

Gambling.com Completes Acquisition of Spotlight.Vegas
Sep 2, 2025

On September 1, 2025, Gambling.com Group Limited, through its subsidiary GDC America, Inc., completed the acquisition of BGMD Holdings LLC, known as Spotlight.Vegas. This strategic move is expected to enhance Gambling.com’s market presence by integrating Spotlight.Vegas’s online booking platform, which offers consumers access to live events and local attractions. The acquisition is anticipated to strengthen the company’s operations and expand its offerings, potentially benefiting stakeholders by increasing the company’s competitive edge in the online gambling and entertainment industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 18, 2025