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Full House Resorts (FLL)
NASDAQ:FLL

Full House Resorts (FLL) AI Stock Analysis

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Full House Resorts

(NASDAQ:FLL)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▲(7.66%Upside)
Full House Resorts' overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial challenges, including high leverage and negative profitability. Positive technical indicators and strategic cost-saving initiatives offer some optimism. However, the negative P/E ratio and operational inefficiencies weigh down the score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Full House Resorts generated revenue of $73M, which is 1% higher than consensus expectations, and its EBITDA increased by 13% compared to consensus, marking its first EBITDA beat in four quarters.
Free Cash Flow
The company is expected to deleverage and generate positive free cash flow for the first time in several years, which is seen as a catalyst for the stock.
Legal and Regulatory
The Illinois Supreme Court ruled in favor of the Illinois Gaming Board, allowing Full House Resorts to proceed with construction on a casino project.
Negative Factors
Consumer Challenges
The company faces challenges with lower-end consumer headwinds and snow levels in Colorado, which are expected to impact EBITDA results negatively.
Expense Management
Chamonix struggled to manage expenses over the year, leading to adjustments in estimates to reflect a slower ramp at the property.

Full House Resorts (FLL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Full House Resorts Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFull House Resorts, Inc. is a publicly traded company that operates in the gaming and hospitality sectors. The company focuses on developing, owning, and operating gaming facilities, which include casinos, hotels, and other entertainment amenities across the United States. Full House Resorts aims to provide a comprehensive entertainment experience, combining gaming, lodging, dining, and entertainment options at its properties.
How the Company Makes MoneyFull House Resorts generates revenue primarily through its casino operations, which include gaming activities such as slot machines, table games, and sports betting. The company earns money from hotel accommodations and food and beverage services offered at its properties. Additionally, Full House Resorts may benefit from non-gaming entertainment amenities, special events, and partnerships with local businesses to enhance the overall guest experience. Revenue is also influenced by the company's ability to attract tourists and local patrons, optimize its gaming and hospitality offerings, and manage operating costs effectively.

Full House Resorts Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 26.67%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted various positive developments such as significant revenue growth at multiple properties, cost-saving initiatives, and record gaming revenues. However, there were also notable challenges including EBITDA losses at some properties and operational inefficiencies requiring management changes. The sentiment of the call is balanced with both positive growth and operational challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Silver Slipper Adjusted Property EBITDA Growth
Adjusted property EBITDA at Silver Slipper grew by 21% compared to the previous year's first quarter, despite a slight decline in revenue.
Chamonix and Bronco Billy's Revenue Increase
Revenue increased by 34% in the first quarter for Chamonix and Bronco Billy's, although expenses grew at a similar pace.
American Place Record Gaming Revenue
American Place achieved an all-time record gaming revenue month in March, crossing $10 million and almost reaching $11 million.
Cost Savings Initiatives
Several cost-saving measures were implemented including $1.5 million annual savings in food and beverage, $800,000 in overtime cost reduction, and $350,000 savings by replenishing minibars internally.
Database Growth at American Place
Crossed 100,000 guests in the database at American Place, with a continued pace of new entries, indicating ongoing growth potential.
Sale of Stockman's and Revolver Maturity Extension
Completed the sale of Stockman's and extended the revolver maturity date from March 2026 to January 2027.
Negative Updates
EBITDA Loss at Chamonix and Bronco Billy's
Despite revenue growth, Chamonix and Bronco Billy's still experienced a loss in EBITDA, though sequential improvement was noted.
Operational Challenges and Mismanagement at Chamonix
Significant management changes were necessary at Chamonix due to operational inefficiencies and mismanagement.
Temporary Gaming Revenue Decline at Silver Slipper
Silver Slipper experienced a slight decline in property revenue, although profit was up due to cost savings.
Challenges in Relocating Rising Sun
Rising Sun faces market challenges with newer casinos opening in surrounding areas, and relocation efforts face legislative hurdles.
Company Guidance
During the Full House Resorts first quarter 2025 earnings call, significant guidance was provided around key performance metrics and operational strategies. Notably, Silver Slipper experienced a 21% growth in adjusted property EBITDA despite a small decline in revenue, attributed to $2 million in annualized cost savings. At Chamonix and Bronco Billy's, revenue grew by 34% in the first quarter, although EBITDA remained slightly negative due to parallel expense growth. Management changes were highlighted as a strategic move to improve operations, with a focus on cost reductions, including $1.5 million in annual savings in the food and beverage department and $800,000 from a new overtime approval process. The company's American Place property achieved a record gaming revenue month in March, nearly hitting $11 million, and the guest database grew to over 100,000 names. Additionally, Full House Resorts extended the maturity date of its revolver from March 2026 to January 2027 and began paying down its revolver balance, reducing it to $25 million. The company also addressed future construction plans for a permanent casino in Illinois, with intentions to break ground in the second half of 2025.

Full House Resorts Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Full House Resorts faces significant financial challenges, particularly with profitability and cash flow. Despite a stable gross profit margin, the company struggles with net losses and high debt levels. The balance sheet shows substantial leverage, while cash flow issues raise concerns about future financial flexibility.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Full House Resorts shows a volatile performance in terms of revenue and net income, with significant fluctuations over the years. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is 51.10%, indicating a solid ability to cover direct costs, but the net profit margin remains negative due to substantial net losses. The revenue growth rate is modest, and negative net income indicates challenges in achieving profitability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's balance sheet reflects high leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 17.10, suggesting a heavy reliance on debt financing. The equity ratio is low at 4.72%, which may pose a risk if the company faces financial distress. Return on equity is negative due to net losses, highlighting profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
38
Negative
Cash flow statements reveal a declining trend in free cash flow, with a negative free cash flow growth rate. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.22, indicating a weak conversion of earnings into cash. Continued negative free cash flow poses a concern for liquidity and future capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue297.20M292.06M231.63M163.28M180.16M125.59M
Gross Profit150.98M149.90M131.42M87.84M103.01M65.05M
EBITDA43.70M42.63M31.26M15.79M41.67M16.27M
Net Income-39.16M-40.67M-24.90M-14.80M11.71M147.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets657.20M673.33M688.46M595.33M473.84M212.62M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments30.71M40.22M36.16M56.59M88.72M37.70M
Total Debt529.99M527.67M514.84M424.06M321.36M129.24M
Total Liabilities626.20M653.73M610.61M495.54M361.13M155.94M
Stockholders Equity31.00M40.50M77.85M99.79M112.72M56.68M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-24.05M-38.74M-176.77M-166.56M-7.49M6.35M
Operating Cash Flow8.78M13.85M22.34M4.38M29.50M8.99M
Investing Cash Flow-25.91M-45.67M-198.76M-172.11M-37.22M-2.62M
Financing Cash Flow1.80M-1.50M59.03M93.62M235.31M1.48M

Full House Resorts Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.18
Price Trends
50DMA
3.41
Positive
100DMA
3.81
Positive
200DMA
4.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.19
Negative
RSI
67.11
Neutral
STOCH
89.67
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.56, above the 50-day MA of 3.41, and below the 200-day MA of 4.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FLL.

Full House Resorts Risk Analysis

Full House Resorts disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Full House Resorts reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Full House Resorts Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$231.71M3.43-12.77%-7.53%2035.55%
62
Neutral
$16.85B11.50-7.38%2.96%1.59%-23.36%
62
Neutral
$93.40M113.700.98%1.51%-2.62%-90.75%
FLFLL
54
Neutral
$150.38M-79.70%13.92%-54.82%
48
Neutral
$69.96M-350.66%-1.27%-230.55%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FLL
Full House Resorts
4.18
-0.84
-16.73%
CPHC
Canterbury Park Holding
18.51
-2.43
-11.60%
CNTY
Century Casinos
2.28
-0.14
-5.79%
INSE
Inspired Entertainment
8.61
-0.32
-3.58%

Full House Resorts Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Full House Resorts Announces New CEO Employment Agreement
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 14, 2025, Full House Resorts, Inc. announced a new employment agreement with its CEO, Daniel R. Lee, which will be in effect until June 14, 2030. The agreement outlines a base salary of $700,000, eligibility for specific milestone and annual bonuses, and long-term incentives through stock options and restricted stock grants. The agreement also includes provisions for severance and change in control scenarios, as well as an option for Mr. Lee to transition to an Executive Chairman role after two years. This new agreement aims to align Mr. Lee’s compensation with the company’s performance and strategic goals, potentially impacting the company’s operations and stakeholder interests by incentivizing key milestones and growth targets.

The most recent analyst rating on (FLL) stock is a Buy with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Full House Resorts stock, see the FLL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Full House Resorts Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Full House Resorts held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where 86.3% of shares were represented. During the meeting, stockholders elected seven directors, approved the 2025 Equity Incentive Plan, ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent auditor, and voted on executive compensation matters, deciding to hold advisory votes on executive compensation annually.

The most recent analyst rating on (FLL) stock is a Buy with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Full House Resorts stock, see the FLL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Full House Resorts Appoints New Chief Marketing Officer
Neutral
May 13, 2025

On May 13, 2025, Full House Resorts announced the appointment of Joshua Le Duff as Senior Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer, pending customary gaming approvals. Le Duff, with extensive experience in the casino industry, previously served as Vice President of Marketing at Pala Casino Spa Golf Resort. To incentivize his employment, the company granted him 29,940 restricted shares, vesting over three years, as approved by the Compensation Committee under Nasdaq rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (FLL) stock is a Buy with a $5.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Full House Resorts stock, see the FLL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 05, 2025