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Indivior PLC (INDV)
NASDAQ:INDV

Indivior (INDV) AI Stock Analysis

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INDV

Indivior

(NASDAQ:INDV)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$40.00
▲(18.94% Upside)
Score is driven by the operational rebound and constructive momentum (strong profitability recovery and positive trend/indicators), supported by upbeat guidance and cost-savings plans. It is held back by balance-sheet risk from negative equity and a relatively high P/E that leaves less room for execution missteps.
Positive Factors
Core product market traction (SUBLOCADE)
Consistent double-digit SUBLOCADE revenue and dispense growth indicates durable commercial adoption of its long‑acting injectable therapy. As the company's flagship product, sustained unit growth supports recurring revenue, stable prescribing patterns, and a defendable specialty-market position over the medium term.
Profitability and free cash flow recovery
A sharp rebound in margins and positive free cash flow (FCF) improves internal financing ability and operational resilience. Improved operating profitability and meaningful FCF enable funding of restructuring, reinvestment in commercial execution, and de-risking of legacy obligations without relying solely on external financing.
Structural de-risking and U.S. focus
Settlement of the DOJ obligation, planned U.S. re‑domicile and index inclusion materially reduce legal and structural overhangs while aligning governance with its primary market. Combined with a $150M annual opex savings goal, these actions should sustainably bolster margins, cash generation and strategic flexibility.
Negative Factors
Weakened balance sheet (negative equity)
Negative shareholders' equity signals accumulated deficits that limit financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to shocks. It can constrain capital allocation choices, reduce borrowing capacity or elevate funding costs, and amplify downside risk if cash generation slips or unexpected liabilities recur.
Multi-year earnings and cash flow volatility
Historic swings between profit and loss and variable cash flow reduce predictability of earnings and investment planning. This volatility suggests dependence on a narrow product set, regulatory/litigation sensitivity, and execution risk—challenges that can persist and hinder long‑term strategic commitments.
Limited LAI category penetration
The long‑acting injectable (LAI) market remains only modestly penetrated (~8%), capping near‑term TAM expansion for SUBLOCADE. Slow category adoption implies patient, prescriber, and payer hurdles that could restrain sustained unit growth and make revenue gains dependent on long, structural behavior shifts rather than quick wins.

Indivior (INDV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Indivior Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIndivior PLC, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of buprenorphine-based prescription drugs for the treatment of opioid dependence and co-occurring disorders in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company develops medicines to treat substance use disorders, serious mental illnesses, and opioid overdose. Its core marketed products include SUBLOCADE and SUBUTEX PRO buprenorphine extended-release monthly injections; SUBOXONE, a buprenorphine and naloxone sublingual film; SUBOXONE, a buprenorphine and naloxone sublingual tablet; and SUBUTEX, a buprenorphine sublingual tablet for the treatment of opioid use disorder. The company also offers OPVEE nasal spray for opioid overdose reversal; and PERSERIS extended-release injectable suspension for the treatment of schizophrenia in adults. In addition, it is developing INDV-2000, a selective orexin-1 receptor antagonist that completed phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of opioid use disorder (OUD); INDV-1000, a selective GABAb positive allosteric modulator, which is in pre-clinical development phase for the treatment of alcohol use disorder in collaboration with ADDEX therapeutics; INDV-6001, a buprenorphine-based long-acting injectable for the treatment of OUD in collaboration with Alar Pharmaceuticals Inc.; and CT-102, a digital therapeutic for the treatment of OUD in collaboration with Click Therapeutics. Further, the company is developing INDV-5004, a drinabant injection to treat acute cannabinoid overdose. It has a strategic partnership with Aelis Farma to develop AEF0117, a synthetic CB1 specific signaling inhibitor that is in phase 2B clinical trial for the treatment of cannabis use disorder. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in North Chesterfield, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyIndivior generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical products, with Suboxone being its flagship product, contributing a significant portion of its sales. The company operates on a revenue model that includes direct sales to healthcare providers and pharmacies, as well as partnerships with healthcare organizations and distributors. Additionally, Indivior has engaged in licensing agreements and collaborations that provide further revenue streams. The company also invests in research and development to expand its product portfolio, aiming to introduce new therapies that target addiction and related disorders, which can enhance its earnings potential over time.

Indivior Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally optimistic outlook with strong performance and growth in SUBLOCADE, raised financial guidance, and significant cost-saving initiatives. However, organizational restructuring costs and challenges in expanding the LAI market were noted as concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
SUBLOCADE Strong Performance
SUBLOCADE net revenue increased 15% year-over-year and 5% sequentially, with improved commercial execution leading to solid dispense unit growth of 8% versus the prior year.
Raised Full Year 2025 Guidance
Indivior raised its 2025 financial guidance, expecting total net revenue to increase, driven by SUBLOCADE growth of 10% at the midpoint. Adjusted EBITDA guidance increased by 15% versus 2024 at the midpoint.
Significant Cost Reduction Initiatives
Strategic decisions are expected to result in at least $150 million in annual operating expense savings starting in 2026, including a 32% reduction in headcount.
Direct-to-Consumer Campaign Launch
A new direct-to-consumer campaign, 'Move Forward in Recovery,' was launched on October 1 to connect with patients and drive awareness of SUBLOCADE.
Stable SUBOXONE Film Pricing
SUBOXONE Film benefited from continued price stability in the U.S., contributing to the overall performance.
Negative Updates
Organizational Restructuring Costs
Non-GAAP charges of $65 million to date from restructuring activities, including severance costs and write-offs for inventory and equipment.
Challenges with OPVEE
Discontinued sales and marketing efforts in support of OPVEE, with a continued commitment to meet all required contractual and regulatory obligations.
Limited Growth in LAI Category
The overall LAI category still sits at 8% penetration, indicating challenges in significantly increasing market share for SUBLOCADE.
Company Guidance
During Indivior PLC's Q3 2025 earnings call, the company announced a raised full-year 2025 financial guidance, driven by strong performance in its SUBLOCADE product, which saw a 15% year-over-year net revenue growth and an 8% increase in dispense volume. Total net revenue increased by 2% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA rising by 14%. The company now expects total net revenue for 2025 to surpass 2024 levels, projecting a 10% growth in SUBLOCADE at the midpoint and stable SUBOXONE Film pricing for the rest of the year. Indivior also plans for a 15% growth in adjusted EBITDA versus 2024. As part of its cost-reduction strategy, the company aims to achieve a $150 million reduction in annual operating expenses by 2026, with a 2026 operating budget not exceeding $450 million. This reduction is part of a broader effort to simplify operations and position the company for future success.

Indivior Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Indivior shows strong revenue growth and improving profitability, with a robust gross profit margin and net profit margin improvement. However, the balance sheet is concerning due to negative equity and high leverage, and cash flow management is mixed with declining free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Indivior's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 82.8% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved significantly to 14.1% TTM from near breakeven levels in previous years, reflecting enhanced profitability. Revenue growth is robust at 59.6% TTM, showcasing strong sales momentum. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins, while improved, still suggest room for operational efficiency gains.
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning negative stockholders' equity, leading to a negative debt-to-equity ratio. This indicates potential financial instability and high leverage risk. Return on equity is negative, highlighting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is also negative, suggesting a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 30.7% TTM, indicating potential liquidity issues. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio improved to 0.20 TTM, suggesting better cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.69 TTM indicates a reasonable level of cash generation relative to profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.18B1.19B1.09B901.00M791.00M647.00M
Gross Profit978.00M957.00M919.00M750.00M664.00M550.00M
EBITDA315.00M84.00M-99.00M-46.00M238.00M-123.00M
Net Income166.00M2.00M-129.00M-44.00M205.00M-148.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.42B1.32B1.76B1.78B1.83B1.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments445.00M320.00M410.00M897.83M1.10B858.00M
Total Debt356.00M375.00M283.00M277.00M286.00M285.00M
Total Liabilities1.62B1.67B1.96B1.73B1.63B1.45B
Stockholders Equity-207.00M-348.00M-191.00M51.28M203.00M82.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow134.49M7.00M-353.00M-9.00M319.00M-197.00M
Operating Cash Flow193.43M36.00M-300.00M-4.00M353.00M-193.00M
Investing Cash Flow-35.01M69.00M-95.00M-222.00M-14.00M-4.00M
Financing Cash Flow4.44M-102.00M-64.00M-101.00M-94.00M-10.00M

Indivior Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price33.63
Price Trends
50DMA
34.06
Negative
100DMA
29.15
Positive
200DMA
21.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Positive
RSI
37.93
Neutral
STOCH
13.41
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INDV, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 33.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.62, below the 50-day MA of 34.06, and above the 200-day MA of 21.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.41 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for INDV.

Indivior Risk Analysis

Indivior disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Indivior reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Indivior Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$13.49B32.3214.96%19.61%11.36%
72
Outperform
$1.47B28.9822.96%26.34%-32.79%
71
Outperform
$4.20B33.48-0.25%
60
Neutral
$37.08B53.3110.77%-0.25%
58
Neutral
$4.17B933.109.50%
55
Neutral
$2.97B-152.00-1.86%4.54%-130.59%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
INDV
Indivior
33.63
21.98
188.67%
NBIX
Neurocrine
135.33
-7.93
-5.54%
SUPN
Supernus Pharmaceuticals
51.80
14.06
37.25%
TEVA
Teva Pharmaceutical
32.64
10.72
48.91%
COLL
Collegium Pharmaceutical
46.57
13.22
39.64%
AMRX
Amneal Pharmaceuticals
13.25
4.99
60.41%

Indivior Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesFinancial DisclosuresLegal ProceedingsShareholder Meetings
Indivior issues 2026 guidance and enters Accelerate phase
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 8, 2026, Indivior issued full-year 2026 financial guidance, projecting total net revenue between $1.125 billion and $1.195 billion, with SUBLOCADE net revenue expected at $905 million to $945 million, non-GAAP operating expenses of $430 million to $450 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $535 million to $575 million, implying strong margin expansion driven by growth in SUBLOCADE dispense units and a simplified operating model. The company reported completing Phase I of its Indivior Action Agenda in 2025—generating momentum by growing U.S. SUBLOCADE revenue, simplifying the organization and transforming its operating model to deliver at least $150 million in annual non-GAAP operating expense savings—and said it entered Phase II, “Accelerate,” on January 1, 2026, while also highlighting its December 22, 2025 inclusion in the S&P SmallCap 600 index, shareholder approval to redomicile from the U.K. to the U.S. with the new parent Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc. expected on January 26, 2026, and the full settlement of a legacy U.S. Department of Justice obligation of $295 million, collectively reinforcing its financial flexibility, U.S. market focus and standing with investors and regulators.

The most recent analyst rating on (INDV) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Indivior stock, see the INDV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Indivior Added to S&P SmallCap 600, Enhancing Visibility
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

On December 22, 2025, Indivior PLC announced that its ordinary shares were included in the S&P SmallCap 600 index, aligning its capital markets profile more closely with its U.S.-focused business and signaling that it meets key criteria for liquidity and financial viability in the small-cap segment. Management highlighted the move as a significant milestone that supports its strategy to grow SUBLOCADE, its leading long-acting injectable treatment for moderate to severe opioid use disorder, under a simplified operating model, which could enhance visibility among investors and potentially bolster its competitive position in the addiction-treatment market.

The most recent analyst rating on (INDV) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Indivior stock, see the INDV Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Indivior approves executive salary increases for senior leadership
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

On December 12, 2025, Indivior PLC’s board approved base salary increases for its top executives, effective January 1, 2026, following a competitive market review and recommendations from its Compensation Committee and external consultants. Chief Executive Officer Joseph Ciaffoni’s annual base salary will rise from $1,050,000 to $1,115,000, while Chief Financial Officer Ryan Preblick’s base pay will increase from $559,000 to $604,000, signaling the company’s intention to retain and reward senior leadership amid ongoing market pressures in the pharmaceutical sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (INDV) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Indivior stock, see the INDV Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Indivior Shareholders Approve Scheme of Arrangement
Neutral
Dec 15, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Indivior PLC shareholders approved amended articles of association to facilitate a scheme of arrangement. This scheme ensures that Indivior PLC becomes a wholly-owned subsidiary of Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc. The approval process included two shareholder meetings, with resolutions passed to authorize necessary actions for the scheme’s implementation. The scheme’s completion is pending a court sanction expected in January 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (INDV) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Indivior stock, see the INDV Stock Forecast page.

Legal Proceedings
Indivior Concludes DOJ Settlement with Final Payment
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

On November 20, 2025, Indivior PLC announced the conclusion of its legacy matter with the U.S. Department of Justice by paying the remaining $295 million obligation. This payment, funded from the company’s cash reserves, terminates the resolution agreement with the DOJ, removing a significant liability and simplifying Indivior’s capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (INDV) stock is a Buy with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Indivior stock, see the INDV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Indivior Plans Re-domicile to Delaware by December
Neutral
Nov 14, 2025

On November 14, 2025, Indivior PLC announced its plan to re-domicile from the U.K. to Delaware, a move that will be voted on by shareholders at an Extraordinary General Meeting on December 11, 2025. This strategic shift is aimed at establishing Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc. as the new holding company for the Indivior Group, potentially impacting its operational framework and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (INDV) stock is a Buy with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Indivior stock, see the INDV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Indivior Raises 2025 Guidance Amid Strategic Moves
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Indivior reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, showing a 2% year-over-year increase in total net revenue to $314 million, driven by a 15% rise in SUBLOCADE’s net revenue. The company has raised its full-year 2025 financial guidance, expecting significant growth in adjusted EBITDA. Indivior is optimizing its Rest of World business by exiting several non-U.S. markets and plans to redomicile in the U.S. These strategic moves are expected to generate substantial operating expense savings and improve cash generation starting in 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (INDV) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Indivior stock, see the INDV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 08, 2026