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Indivior PLC (INDV)
NASDAQ:INDV
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Indivior (INDV) AI Stock Analysis

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INDV

Indivior

(NASDAQ:INDV)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$1,288.00
▲(5264.43% Upside)
Indivior's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and positive corporate events, offset by financial instability and lack of technical analysis data. The company's strategic initiatives and improved guidance provide a positive outlook, but financial and valuation concerns remain.
Positive Factors
Financial Stability
Indivior is well-positioned to fund any legal obligations, reinvest in its lead assets, and pursue share repurchases or accretive transactions with $538M in cash and investments.
Leadership and Growth Potential
Indivior's established leadership in the OUD sector and the potential for significant growth in the LAI category could see both Sublocade and Brixadi flourish.
Operational Efficiency
The company achieved significant opex savings, contributing to the group sales beat expectations by 9%, gross margin by 10%, and adj. EBIT by over 40%.
Negative Factors
Competitive Pressure
Sublocade was ultimately $100M below initial 2024 guidance from competitor Brixadi share gains and also CJS funding disruption.
Market Headwinds
CJS funding gaps remain a key headwind, affecting Sublocade sales and contributing to a 38% decline in the CJS market.
Spending and Efficiency
The company is believed to be overspending on G&A, and the operational structure could become much more efficient, enhancing future profitability.

Indivior (INDV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Indivior Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIndivior PLC, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of buprenorphine-based prescription drugs for the treatment of opioid dependence and co-occurring disorders in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company develops medicines to treat substance use disorders, serious mental illnesses, and opioid overdose. Its core marketed products include SUBLOCADE and SUBUTEX PRO buprenorphine extended-release monthly injections; SUBOXONE, a buprenorphine and naloxone sublingual film; SUBOXONE, a buprenorphine and naloxone sublingual tablet; and SUBUTEX, a buprenorphine sublingual tablet for the treatment of opioid use disorder. The company also offers OPVEE nasal spray for opioid overdose reversal; and PERSERIS extended-release injectable suspension for the treatment of schizophrenia in adults. In addition, it is developing INDV-2000, a selective orexin-1 receptor antagonist that completed phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of opioid use disorder (OUD); INDV-1000, a selective GABAb positive allosteric modulator, which is in pre-clinical development phase for the treatment of alcohol use disorder in collaboration with ADDEX therapeutics; INDV-6001, a buprenorphine-based long-acting injectable for the treatment of OUD in collaboration with Alar Pharmaceuticals Inc.; and CT-102, a digital therapeutic for the treatment of OUD in collaboration with Click Therapeutics. Further, the company is developing INDV-5004, a drinabant injection to treat acute cannabinoid overdose. It has a strategic partnership with Aelis Farma to develop AEF0117, a synthetic CB1 specific signaling inhibitor that is in phase 2B clinical trial for the treatment of cannabis use disorder. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in North Chesterfield, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyIndivior makes money primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical products, particularly those targeting opioid addiction treatment. The company's revenue model is based on the commercialization of its proprietary medications, including Suboxone Film and Sublocade, which are sold to healthcare providers, pharmacies, and government agencies. Indivior's earnings are significantly influenced by its market share in the addiction treatment sector, ongoing clinical trials, and regulatory approvals that allow for the expansion of its product offerings. Additionally, partnerships with healthcare organizations and distribution agreements play a crucial role in broadening the reach of its products and enhancing revenue streams.

Indivior Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Indivior's record-breaking performance with SUBLOCADE, upwardly revised financial guidance, and strategic initiatives to streamline operations and improve execution. However, challenges such as pricing pressure on SUBOXONE Film and opportunities for improvement in U.S. commercial execution were acknowledged. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment leans towards the positive due to the significant achievements and strategic roadmap.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record SUBLOCADE Net Revenue
SUBLOCADE achieved record net revenue with a 9% increase compared to Q2 2024 and a 19% sequential increase from Q1 2025.
Upwardly Revised Financial Guidance
Indivior raised its full year 2025 net revenue guidance to $1.030 billion to $1.080 billion and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $275 million to $300 million, representing a 20% increase at the midpoint.
Stable Market Share for SUBLOCADE
SUBLOCADE's market share in the U.S. remained stable at approximately 75% during the first half of 2025.
Operational Momentum with Indivior Action Agenda
The company launched the Indivior Action Agenda, a multiyear operational roadmap focusing on generating momentum, accelerating growth, and achieving financial breakout.
Successful Cost-Reduction Initiatives
Non-GAAP G&A expenses decreased by 7% and R&D expenses decreased by 20% versus the year-ago quarter.
Negative Updates
Pricing Pressure on SUBOXONE Film
Despite stable pricing through the first half of 2025, the company continues to forecast pricing pressure in the second half of the year for SUBOXONE Film.
Challenges in U.S. Commercial Execution
The company acknowledged that U.S. commercial execution represents an opportunity for improvement and is not yet satisfied with the current performance.
Limited Growth in Criminal Justice System Channel
The company faced pressure in the criminal justice system channel, particularly with the Federal Bureau of Prisons formulary changes, affecting SUBLOCADE's growth.
Company Guidance
During Indivior's Second Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the company announced an upward revision of its financial guidance for 2025, driven by record net revenue from SUBLOCADE and stable pricing for SUBOXONE Film. Indivior expects total net revenue to range from $1.030 billion to $1.080 billion, with SUBLOCADE net revenue projected between $765 million and $785 million. The company's adjusted EBITDA guidance has also been raised to between $275 million and $300 million. Key metrics from the quarter highlighted a 9% year-over-year increase in SUBLOCADE net revenue and a stable U.S. market share of around 75%. Indivior's Indivior Action Agenda aims to simplify operations, reduce costs, and improve execution to generate momentum in 2025 and accelerate growth in 2026.

Indivior Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Indivior shows strong revenue growth and improving profitability, but faces significant balance sheet challenges with negative equity and high leverage. Cash flow improvements are promising, yet operational efficiency needs enhancement.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Indivior's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 83.99% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved to 10.90% TTM, reflecting enhanced profitability compared to previous periods. Revenue growth rate of 20.4% TTM is robust, signaling positive sales momentum. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins, while improved, remain moderate at 21.98% and 23.25% TTM, respectively, suggesting room for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning negative stockholders' equity of $-258 million TTM, leading to a negative debt-to-equity ratio, which indicates financial instability. The return on equity is also negative, highlighting profitability challenges. The equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity, underscoring the need for capital restructuring.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 43.37% TTM, indicating better cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.22 TTM, suggesting limited cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 80.08% TTM, reflecting effective cash management despite operational challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.17B1.19B1.09B884.63M777.48M689.68M
Gross Profit986.00M957.00M907.00M715.75M639.87M573.49M
EBITDA273.00M84.00M68.61M-44.18M233.93M-128.98M
Net Income128.00M2.00M2.00M-52.04M205.00M-157.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.45B1.32B1.95B1.78B1.83B1.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments510.00M320.00M410.00M897.83M1.10B858.00M
Total Debt366.00M375.00M282.00M278.50M285.44M285.00M
Total Liabilities1.71B1.67B1.95B1.73B1.63B1.45B
Stockholders Equity-258.00M-348.00M67.90M51.28M202.60M82.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow189.00M7.00M-368.00M-9.82M313.55M-210.00M
Operating Cash Flow236.00M36.00M-315.00M-3.93M346.97M-205.73M
Investing Cash Flow20.00M69.00M-100.36M-218.95M-13.76M-4.26M
Financing Cash Flow-50.00M-102.00M-46.00M-98.18M-92.39M-10.66M

Indivior Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price24.01
Price Trends
50DMA
18.78
Positive
100DMA
15.16
Positive
200DMA
12.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.63
Positive
RSI
77.28
Negative
STOCH
57.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INDV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 24.01 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 23.21, above the 50-day MA of 18.78, and above the 200-day MA of 12.94, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.63 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 77.28 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for INDV.

Indivior Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$2.53B39.436.38%5.55%1145.24%
68
Neutral
$1.42B11.4618.32%1.37%-18.10%
66
Neutral
$2.03B-2.82%38.68%-160.14%
61
Neutral
$1.20B-15.57%2.25%-301.59%
58
Neutral
$3.03B34.26
2.27%
51
Neutral
$7.85B-0.21-41.41%2.22%22.81%-2.01%
41
Neutral
$1.24B-16.34%-1.03%8.13%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
INDV
Indivior
24.28
12.11
99.51%
PCRX
Pacira Pharmaceuticals
26.67
11.49
75.69%
SUPN
Supernus Pharmaceuticals
45.12
10.41
29.99%
ANIP
ANI Pharmaceuticals
93.50
30.47
48.34%
AMPH
Amphastar Pharmaceuticals
30.62
-16.36
-34.82%
EVO
Evotec AG
3.50
0.05
1.45%

Indivior Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Indivior Launches Action Agenda for Business Enhancement
Neutral
Aug 26, 2025

Indivior PLC has launched the Indivior Action Agenda, a multi-year operational roadmap to enhance its business potential and impact on opioid use disorder treatment. As part of Phase 1, the company is implementing initiatives to simplify its organization, including headcount reductions and real estate consolidations, expecting to incur restructuring charges of $39 to $50 million in 2025. Additionally, Indivior is exploring strategic alternatives for OPVEE® and its non-U.S. business, which could lead to further cost savings.

Executive/Board Changes
Indivior Updates CFO Employment Agreements
Neutral
Aug 22, 2025

On August 20, 2025, Indivior PLC updated its employment agreements with CFO Ryan Preblick to align with current U.S. executive agreements, without altering his compensation or responsibilities. The new agreements include an annual base salary of $558,819, a cash bonus opportunity, and potential long-term incentive awards, reflecting the company’s commitment to maintaining competitive executive compensation structures.

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Indivior Raises 2025 Guidance After Strong Q2 Results
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Indivior reported its second-quarter financial results, showing a total net revenue of $302 million, with SUBLOCADE net revenue increasing by 9% year-over-year. The company raised its full-year 2025 financial guidance due to better-than-expected performance, with expectations for total net revenue and adjusted EBITDA increasing significantly. Indivior is implementing Phase 1 of its Action Agenda to grow U.S. SUBLOCADE revenue and streamline operations, positioning itself for future growth. The company also announced its inclusion in the Russell Equity Indexes and completed its transition to trading exclusively on Nasdaq.

Executive/Board Changes
Indivior Appoints Tony Kingsley as Non-Executive Director
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Indivior PLC announced the appointment of Tony Kingsley as a non-executive director, effective July 1, 2025. Kingsley, an accomplished biopharmaceutical executive, is expected to bring significant commercial and clinical development experience to Indivior, enhancing its efforts to advance its mission and strengthen its position in delivering treatments for opioid use disorder. His appointment aligns with Indivior’s relationship agreement with affiliates of Oaktree Capital Management, and he will be compensated in line with other non-executive directors.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 26, 2025