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Indivior PLC (INDV)
NASDAQ:INDV

Indivior (INDV) AI Stock Analysis

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INDV

Indivior

(NASDAQ:INDV)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$35.00
▲(4.07% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:01/26/26
The score is driven by a strong operational and cash-flow rebound plus constructive guidance/cost actions, but is held back most by balance-sheet weakness (negative equity) and recent bearish technical momentum; valuation is also demanding with a ~32.8 P/E and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Revenue and profit rebound
A material TTM recovery—~60% revenue growth with ~23% operating margin and positive free cash flow—signals restored commercial execution and margin sustainability. This improves reinvestment capacity and earnings resiliency, supporting durable operating leverage if execution remains consistent.
SUBLOCADE commercial momentum
SUBLOCADE’s persistent double-digit revenue and unit growth reflects durable product adoption for OUD therapy and leverages a proprietary long‑acting injectable delivery. As the company’s core franchise, sustained SUBLOCADE growth underpins predictable revenue and margins over the medium term.
Legal/structural overhang cleared
Finalizing the $295M DOJ payment and completing U.S. domestication reduces legacy legal overhang and simplifies capital structure. This durable removal of a major contingent liability enhances financial clarity and lowers regulatory risk that previously constrained strategic flexibility.
Negative Factors
Negative shareholders' equity
Persistent negative equity reflects accumulated deficits that limit financial flexibility and can increase counterparty and investor caution. Even with moderate absolute leverage, negative equity can constrain access to capital, complicate covenant negotiations, and amplify downside during stress periods.
Cash flow volatility
While FCF is positive (~$134M TTM) and covers much of net income, historical swings and a YoY FCF decline show inconsistent cash conversion. Durable investment, debt service, or buyback programs require sustained FCF; volatility raises execution risk for long‑term capital allocation plans.
Low LAI market penetration
SUBLOCADE’s addressable upside is constrained by slow long‑acting injectable adoption (8% penetration). Expanding share depends on persistent changes in prescriber behavior, payer coverage, and patient acceptance—structural barriers that can delay and cap sustainable growth rates.

Indivior (INDV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Indivior Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIndivior Pharmaceuticals Inc is a holding company, which engages in the development, manufacture and sale of buprenorphine-based prescription drugs for treatment of opioid dependence. Its products include Suboxone Film, Suboxone Tablet, and Subutex Tablet. It operates through the following geographical segments: United States, Rest of World, and United Kingdom. The company was founded on September 26, 2014 and is headquartered in North Chesterfield, VA.
How the Company Makes MoneyIndivior generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical products, with Suboxone being its flagship product, contributing a significant portion of its sales. The company operates on a revenue model that includes direct sales to healthcare providers and pharmacies, as well as partnerships with healthcare organizations and distributors. Additionally, Indivior has engaged in licensing agreements and collaborations that provide further revenue streams. The company also invests in research and development to expand its product portfolio, aiming to introduce new therapies that target addiction and related disorders, which can enhance its earnings potential over time.

Indivior Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple meaningful achievements: record SUBLOCADE and company revenues, strong adjusted EBITDA growth and margin expansion, clear commercial momentum (prescriber and new patient growth), disciplined cost targets, improved cash flow guidance, and a $400 million opportunistic buyback. Offsets include expected U.S. SUBOXONE pressure, rest-of-world optimization impacts, restructuring charges, gross-to-net volatility, reliance on SUBLOCADE for growth, and some R&D and debt-related uncertainties. On balance, the progress, upgraded profitability guidance, and capital deployment flexibility outweigh the risks and challenges discussed.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Company Revenue and Year-over-Year Growth
Total net revenue for 2025 was $1.24 billion, up 4% versus 2024; fourth quarter net revenue was $358 million, up 20% year-over-year.
SUBLOCADE Strong Performance
SUBLOCADE net revenue reached a record $856 million in 2025, a 13% increase versus 2024; Q4 SUBLOCADE net revenue was $252 million, up 30% year-over-year. Full-year SUBLOCADE dispense volume grew 7% in 2025, with Q4 dispense growth of 12% year-over-year and 6% sequentially. Company expects mid-teens SUBLOCADE dispense unit growth in 2026 and SUBLOCADE net revenue guidance of $905–945 million (≈ +8% at midpoint).
Commercial Momentum — Prescribers, New Patients, and DTC Impact
New patient starts in Q4 were up 25% year-over-year; total active SUBLOCADE prescribers and prescribers treating 5+ patients each grew ~14% year-over-year and ~6% sequentially. The 'Move Forward in Recovery' DTC campaign drove a 60% increase in branded online search volume in Q4 versus pre-launch, a 70% increase in usage of the Find a SUBLOCADE Treatment Provider tool, and CRM enrollments rose to ~1,400/month in Q4 from ~60/month prior to the campaign.
Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA was a record $428 million for 2025, up 20% year-over-year with a 500 basis point margin improvement. Q4 adjusted EBITDA rose 91% year-over-year to $142 million. 2026 guidance targets adjusted EBITDA of $535–575 million (≈ +30% at midpoint) and a target adjusted EBITDA margin of ~48%.
Cost Discipline and Operating Expense Targets
Non-GAAP operating expenses were $622 million for 2025 (down 5% year-over-year) and $164 million in Q4 (down 8% year-over-year). Company expects non-GAAP operating expenses of $430–450 million in 2026 and stated operating expenses will not exceed $450 million in 2026.
Strengthened Financial Profile and Capital Deployment
Paid the outstanding $295 million DOJ obligation in 2025, eliminating a legacy liability. Ended 2025 with gross cash and investments of $222 million and net leverage below 1x. Company expects ~ $300 million in cash flow from operations in 2026 and announced a new $400 million share repurchase authorization (up to 18 months) while prioritizing debt management and opportunistic M&A.
Pipeline Readiness and Clear BD Criteria
Two phase II trials completed at end of 2025 with database lock expected by end of Q1 2026 and top-line results in Q2. Company defined business development criteria: commercial-stage assets, peak sales potential >$200M, long runway (mid-to-late 2030s), and differentiated products.
Negative Updates
Guidance Driven by SUBOXONE Pressure and Other Offsets
2026 midpoint guidance shows a modest decline in total net revenue versus 2025, primarily due to expected U.S. SUBOXONE Film revenue pressure from generics, lower rest-of-world net revenue from prior optimization, and continued runoff of PERSERIS.
Gross-to-Net Volatility and Inventory Effects
2025 results included gross-to-net benefits that aided 2025 results (Q4 gross/net benefit ~ $19M/$10M from ~2 days trade inventory increase; full year gross/net benefit ~$49M). Management expects gross-to-net dynamics to be a headwind in 2026, creating revenue comparability risk.
Restructuring and Simplification Charges
Charges related to simplification actions totaled $120 million in 2025 (including $55 million in Q4) for severance, lease and inventory write-offs, intangibles, and other termination/consulting costs; related cash costs were approximately $28 million in 2025.
R&D Reductions and Uncertainty around Late-Stage Advancement
Non-GAAP R&D expenses declined 22% for the full year and 36% in Q4 year-over-year driven by reprioritization and restructuring. Advancement to phase III for two programs depends on clinical readouts plus manufacturing feasibility and payer-validated evidence—creating uncertainty in future R&D spend and program timelines.
International Revenue Optimization and Product Runoff
Company expects lower net revenue from the rest of the world due to 2025 optimization actions and continues to face runoff of PERSERIS, which negatively impacts total revenue growth.
High Reliance on SUBLOCADE and Category Penetration Risk
SUBLOCADE represents the primary near-term growth driver; long-acting injectable (LAI) penetration remains low (~9% noted), indicating upside but also concentration risk if market expansion or payer access stalls. Management also noted ongoing challenges in certain channels (e.g., medical benefit vs pharmacy benefit) that create access barriers.
Debt and Capital Allocation Considerations
Management acknowledged 'expensive debt' on the balance sheet and indicated debt management is a priority; capital allocation decisions (debt paydown vs opportunistic buybacks vs BD) will depend on market conditions and business needs, adding near-term execution uncertainty.
Company Guidance
For 2026 the company guided total net revenue of $1.125–$1.195 billion and SUBLOCADE net revenue of $905–$945 million (≈+8% at the midpoint vs. 2025), driven by an expected acceleration to mid‑teens U.S. SUBLOCADE dispense unit growth (vs. 7% in 2025); non‑GAAP operating expenses are forecast at $430–$450 million (management said operating expenses will not exceed $450M), adjusted EBITDA $535–$575 million (≈+30% at the midpoint vs. 2025) implying roughly a 48% adjusted EBITDA margin at the midpoint (a ~13 percentage‑point expansion), and cash flow from operations of about $300+ million; capital priorities include managing debt, an opportunistic $400 million share repurchase program (up to 18 months), and selective business development, with 2025 year‑end cash & investments of $222 million and net leverage below 1x.

Indivior Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong TTM turnaround with ~60% revenue growth and healthy profitability (about 23% operating margin, ~14% net margin) plus positive free cash flow (~$134M). Offsetting this, the balance sheet shows negative equity and results/cash flow have been volatile across recent years, raising durability and flexibility risk.
Income Statement
78
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show a sharp profitability rebound: revenue is up ~60% with strong operating profitability (about 23% operating margin) and solid net profitability (about 14% net margin). This is a major improvement versus 2024, where profits were close to breakeven. The main weakness is historical volatility—results swung from strong profits (2021) to sizable losses (2022–2023) before the recent recovery, which raises confidence risk around durability of current margins.
Balance Sheet
34
Negative
Leverage is moderate in absolute terms (TTM total debt ~$356M versus ~$1.4B assets), but the balance sheet is weakened by negative equity (TTM stockholders’ equity is negative), which limits financial flexibility and can amplify risk during downturns. Equity has been negative across recent years (including 2024), indicating accumulated deficits despite the improved earnings profile.
Cash Flow
56
Neutral
Cash generation improved materially in TTM (operating cash flow ~$193M and free cash flow ~$134M), and free cash flow covers a meaningful portion of net income (roughly 70%). However, free cash flow declined versus the prior period (TTM free cash flow growth is negative), and the company has a track record of cash flow volatility (notably negative operating/free cash flow in 2022–2023). Overall, cash flow is positive now but not yet consistently stable.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.18B1.19B1.09B901.00M791.00M647.00M
Gross Profit978.00M957.00M919.00M750.00M664.00M550.00M
EBITDA315.00M84.00M-99.00M-46.00M238.00M-123.00M
Net Income166.00M2.00M-129.00M-44.00M205.00M-148.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.42B1.32B1.76B1.78B1.83B1.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments445.00M320.00M410.00M897.83M1.10B858.00M
Total Debt356.00M375.00M283.00M277.00M286.00M285.00M
Total Liabilities1.62B1.67B1.96B1.73B1.63B1.45B
Stockholders Equity-207.00M-348.00M-191.00M51.28M203.00M82.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow137.89M7.00M-353.00M-9.00M319.00M-197.00M
Operating Cash Flow196.40M36.00M-300.00M-4.00M353.00M-193.00M
Investing Cash Flow-34.57M69.00M-95.00M-222.00M-14.00M-4.00M
Financing Cash Flow4.44M-102.00M-64.00M-101.00M-94.00M-10.00M

Indivior Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price33.63
Price Trends
50DMA
34.70
Negative
100DMA
31.99
Positive
200DMA
25.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Positive
RSI
46.01
Neutral
STOCH
23.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INDV, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 33.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.27, below the 50-day MA of 34.70, and above the 200-day MA of 25.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for INDV.

Indivior Risk Analysis

Indivior disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Indivior reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Indivior Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$13.14B28.1016.38%19.61%11.36%
64
Neutral
$4.61B1,026.769.50%
63
Neutral
$39.96B27.6221.37%-0.25%
62
Neutral
$4.13B33.48-0.25%
62
Neutral
$1.43B28.4722.96%26.34%-32.79%
55
Neutral
$3.06B-82.35-1.86%4.54%-130.59%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
INDV
Indivior
33.63
24.75
278.72%
NBIX
Neurocrine
131.15
13.64
11.61%
SUPN
Supernus Pharmaceuticals
56.32
24.56
77.33%
TEVA
Teva Pharmaceutical
33.62
17.30
106.00%
COLL
Collegium Pharmaceutical
45.75
17.33
60.98%
AMRX
Amneal Pharmaceuticals
14.58
6.20
73.99%

Indivior Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Indivior Completes U.S. Domestication and Governance Realignment
Positive
Jan 26, 2026

On January 26, 2026, Indivior U.S. announced the effectiveness of a court-approved Scheme of Arrangement and the completion of its U.S. Domestication, under which Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc. became the ultimate parent of Indivior U.K., each Indivior U.K. ordinary share was exchanged for Indivior U.S. common stock, and the company’s financial reporting and capital structure shifted from the U.K. to a Delaware, U.S.-listed framework. In connection with the change of domicile, the company amended its existing Note Purchase Agreement so that financial statements and related covenants are now reported at the U.S. top company level, put in place broad indemnification agreements for directors and executive officers, replicated the prior U.K. board and committee structure under Indivior U.S., assumed and updated legacy equity incentive and savings plans while adopting a new 2026 Omnibus Equity Incentive Plan and a detailed non-employee director compensation policy, and implemented a Delaware-style charter and bylaws featuring anti-takeover protections, director election mechanics, and forum-selection and indemnification provisions that collectively strengthen its U.S. corporate governance framework and may influence control contests and stockholder litigation dynamics.

The most recent analyst rating on (INDV) stock is a Buy with a $50.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Indivior stock, see the INDV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesFinancial DisclosuresLegal ProceedingsShareholder Meetings
Indivior issues 2026 guidance and enters Accelerate phase
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 8, 2026, Indivior issued full-year 2026 financial guidance, projecting total net revenue between $1.125 billion and $1.195 billion, with SUBLOCADE net revenue expected at $905 million to $945 million, non-GAAP operating expenses of $430 million to $450 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $535 million to $575 million, implying strong margin expansion driven by growth in SUBLOCADE dispense units and a simplified operating model. The company reported completing Phase I of its Indivior Action Agenda in 2025—generating momentum by growing U.S. SUBLOCADE revenue, simplifying the organization and transforming its operating model to deliver at least $150 million in annual non-GAAP operating expense savings—and said it entered Phase II, “Accelerate,” on January 1, 2026, while also highlighting its December 22, 2025 inclusion in the S&P SmallCap 600 index, shareholder approval to redomicile from the U.K. to the U.S. with the new parent Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc. expected on January 26, 2026, and the full settlement of a legacy U.S. Department of Justice obligation of $295 million, collectively reinforcing its financial flexibility, U.S. market focus and standing with investors and regulators.

The most recent analyst rating on (INDV) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Indivior stock, see the INDV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Indivior Added to S&P SmallCap 600, Enhancing Visibility
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

On December 22, 2025, Indivior PLC announced that its ordinary shares were included in the S&P SmallCap 600 index, aligning its capital markets profile more closely with its U.S.-focused business and signaling that it meets key criteria for liquidity and financial viability in the small-cap segment. Management highlighted the move as a significant milestone that supports its strategy to grow SUBLOCADE, its leading long-acting injectable treatment for moderate to severe opioid use disorder, under a simplified operating model, which could enhance visibility among investors and potentially bolster its competitive position in the addiction-treatment market.

The most recent analyst rating on (INDV) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Indivior stock, see the INDV Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Indivior approves executive salary increases for senior leadership
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

On December 12, 2025, Indivior PLC’s board approved base salary increases for its top executives, effective January 1, 2026, following a competitive market review and recommendations from its Compensation Committee and external consultants. Chief Executive Officer Joseph Ciaffoni’s annual base salary will rise from $1,050,000 to $1,115,000, while Chief Financial Officer Ryan Preblick’s base pay will increase from $559,000 to $604,000, signaling the company’s intention to retain and reward senior leadership amid ongoing market pressures in the pharmaceutical sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (INDV) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Indivior stock, see the INDV Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Indivior Shareholders Approve Scheme of Arrangement
Neutral
Dec 15, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Indivior PLC shareholders approved amended articles of association to facilitate a scheme of arrangement. This scheme ensures that Indivior PLC becomes a wholly-owned subsidiary of Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc. The approval process included two shareholder meetings, with resolutions passed to authorize necessary actions for the scheme’s implementation. The scheme’s completion is pending a court sanction expected in January 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (INDV) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Indivior stock, see the INDV Stock Forecast page.

Legal Proceedings
Indivior Concludes DOJ Settlement with Final Payment
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

On November 20, 2025, Indivior PLC announced the conclusion of its legacy matter with the U.S. Department of Justice by paying the remaining $295 million obligation. This payment, funded from the company’s cash reserves, terminates the resolution agreement with the DOJ, removing a significant liability and simplifying Indivior’s capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (INDV) stock is a Buy with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Indivior stock, see the INDV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings
Indivior Plans Re-domicile to Delaware by December
Neutral
Nov 14, 2025

On November 14, 2025, Indivior PLC announced its plan to re-domicile from the U.K. to Delaware, a move that will be voted on by shareholders at an Extraordinary General Meeting on December 11, 2025. This strategic shift is aimed at establishing Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc. as the new holding company for the Indivior Group, potentially impacting its operational framework and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (INDV) stock is a Buy with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Indivior stock, see the INDV Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Indivior Raises 2025 Guidance Amid Strategic Moves
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Indivior reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, showing a 2% year-over-year increase in total net revenue to $314 million, driven by a 15% rise in SUBLOCADE’s net revenue. The company has raised its full-year 2025 financial guidance, expecting significant growth in adjusted EBITDA. Indivior is optimizing its Rest of World business by exiting several non-U.S. markets and plans to redomicile in the U.S. These strategic moves are expected to generate substantial operating expense savings and improve cash generation starting in 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (INDV) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Indivior stock, see the INDV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 26, 2026