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Indivior PLC (INDV)
NASDAQ:INDV
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Indivior (INDV) AI Stock Analysis

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Indivior

(NASDAQ:INDV)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
▲(5.20%Upside)
Indivior's overall stock score reflects a mix of strong technical momentum and positive financial trends, offset by valuation challenges and revenue pressures. The company's operational improvements and strategic appointments provide optimism, but caution is warranted due to negative equity and competitive pressures.
Positive Factors
Cost Management
The company achieved significant opex savings, contributing to the group sales beat expectations by 9%, gross margin by 10%, and adj. EBIT by over 40%.
Financial Performance
1Q25 group results beat expectations, with revenues declining a more modest 6% compared to a 14% expected decline.
Market Position
Sublocade retains a dominant market share with approximately 80% share within the cohort for buprenorphine-based LAI and 60% share of LAI-naive patients.
Negative Factors
Earnings Guidance
FY25 Sublocade guidance has been set at $725-765m, implying a broadly flat outlook due to ongoing funding issues within CJS.
Funding Challenges
CJS funding gaps remain a key headwind, affecting Sublocade sales and contributing to a 38% decline in the CJS market.
Market Competition
A 5th generic from Teva has not yet reached the market, indicating increasing generic pricing pressure.

Indivior (INDV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Indivior Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIndivior PLC, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacture, and sale of buprenorphine-based prescription drugs for the treatment of opioid dependence and co-occurring disorders in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company develops medicines to treat substance use disorders, serious mental illnesses, and opioid overdose. Its core marketed products include SUBLOCADE and SUBUTEX PRO buprenorphine extended-release monthly injections; SUBOXONE, a buprenorphine and naloxone sublingual film; SUBOXONE, a buprenorphine and naloxone sublingual tablet; and SUBUTEX, a buprenorphine sublingual tablet for the treatment of opioid use disorder. The company also offers OPVEE nasal spray for opioid overdose reversal; and PERSERIS extended-release injectable suspension for the treatment of schizophrenia in adults. In addition, it is developing INDV-2000, a selective orexin-1 receptor antagonist that completed phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of opioid use disorder (OUD); INDV-1000, a selective GABAb positive allosteric modulator, which is in pre-clinical development phase for the treatment of alcohol use disorder in collaboration with ADDEX therapeutics; INDV-6001, a buprenorphine-based long-acting injectable for the treatment of OUD in collaboration with Alar Pharmaceuticals Inc.; and CT-102, a digital therapeutic for the treatment of OUD in collaboration with Click Therapeutics. Further, the company is developing INDV-5004, a drinabant injection to treat acute cannabinoid overdose. It has a strategic partnership with Aelis Farma to develop AEF0117, a synthetic CB1 specific signaling inhibitor that is in phase 2B clinical trial for the treatment of cannabis use disorder. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in North Chesterfield, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyIndivior makes money primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical products designed for the treatment of addiction, with a significant portion of its revenue coming from its flagship product, Suboxone. The company generates revenue by selling its products to healthcare providers, pharmacies, and government health programs. Indivior also invests in research and development to create new treatments and improve existing ones, which can lead to additional revenue streams as these innovations reach the market. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with healthcare organizations and government bodies also contribute to its earnings, as they expand the company's reach and market penetration. Additionally, Indivior's global operations allow it to leverage diverse markets, further driving its revenue growth.

Indivior Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 71.01%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call reflects a challenging quarter for Indivior, with notable declines in revenue due to increased competition and funding challenges. Despite these issues, the company showed resilience through patient treatment growth and cost streamlining efforts. However, the lowlights outweigh the highlights, indicating significant negative trends.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Patient Treatment Growth
The company treated approximately 170,700 patients in the U.S. over the past 12 months, marking a 14% increase year over year.
SUBLOCADE Market Share Stability
SUBLOCADE's new patient share averaged over 70% and has been stable for three quarters, indicating a strong market position.
Cost Streamlining and Profit Protection
Indivior made progress in streamlining its cost base, achieving gross savings of over $100 million for 2025, and reinvesting $50 million into SUBLOCADE and its pipeline.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total net revenue for the quarter declined by 6% year over year, driven by competition from generic film providers and the discontinuation of PERSERIS.
SUBLOCADE Revenue Decline
SUBLOCADE net revenue declined by 2% in the first quarter, primarily due to near-term justice system funding challenges.
Challenges in Criminal Justice System
Significant reduction in dispense volume from the criminal justice system channel due to budget issues, impacting SUBLOCADE's performance.
Company Guidance
During the Indivior PLC Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance indicating that its performance was aligned with expectations and consistent with their full-year 2025 outlook. Total net revenue for the first quarter was $266 million, representing a 6% decline year-over-year, primarily due to intensified competition and the discontinuation of PERSERIS. SUBLOCADE's net revenue also saw a modest 2% decline, attributed to funding challenges in the criminal justice system. Despite these challenges, SUBLOCADE's share among new patients remained stable, averaging over 70% in the quarter. Indivior anticipates improved SUBLOCADE net revenue in the second half of the year, driven by commercial investments and label updates. The company reported a 10% increase in non-GAAP adjusted operating profit, reflecting reduced expenses and gross savings of over $100 million expected in 2025. Indivior is reinvesting approximately $50 million of these savings into SUBLOCADE and its pipeline, while the remaining savings will bolster profits. The guidance for full-year 2025 remains on track, backed by stable patient dynamics and anticipated strategic improvements.

Indivior Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Indivior demonstrates a positive financial trajectory with substantial revenue growth and improving profitability. The income statement reflects strong recovery, while the cash flow statement highlights improved cash generation. However, the negative equity position and low EBIT margin are key areas of concern that need attention.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Indivior's income statement shows a strong recovery and growth trend, with a significant increase in total revenue from $647M in 2020 to $1.17B in TTM. The company achieved a positive net income in TTM after a period of losses, indicating improved profitability. Gross profit margins have remained strong, and the net profit margin turned positive in TTM, reflecting effective cost management. However, the EBIT margin is relatively low, suggesting potential areas for operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a negative stockholders' equity position in TTM, which is a significant weakness, as it suggests more liabilities than assets. Despite this, the company has managed its debt levels well, with a low total debt. The equity ratio is negative, reflecting the need for strengthening equity capital. However, the low debt-to-equity ratio indicates that the company is not heavily leveraged, which is a positive aspect.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a significant improvement in operating cash flow, turning positive in TTM. Free cash flow has also grown substantially, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating efficient cash management. However, the fluctuation in free cash flow over the years points to potential volatility in cash generation.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.19B1.09B884.63M777.48M689.68M
Gross Profit957.00M907.00M715.75M639.87M573.49M
EBITDA84.00M68.61M-44.18M233.93M-128.98M
Net Income2.00M2.00M-52.04M205.00M-157.76M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.32B1.95B1.78B1.83B1.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments320.00M410.00M897.83M1.10B858.00M
Total Debt375.00M282.00M278.50M285.44M285.00M
Total Liabilities1.67B1.95B1.73B1.63B1.45B
Stockholders Equity-348.00M67.90M51.28M202.60M82.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow7.00M-368.00M-9.82M313.55M-210.00M
Operating Cash Flow36.00M-315.00M-3.93M346.97M-205.73M
Investing Cash Flow69.00M-100.36M-218.95M-13.76M-4.26M
Financing Cash Flow-102.00M-46.00M-98.18M-92.39M-10.66M

Indivior Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.16
Price Trends
50DMA
13.34
Positive
100DMA
11.55
Positive
200DMA
11.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.70
Negative
RSI
73.83
Negative
STOCH
72.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INDV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.84, above the 50-day MA of 13.34, and above the 200-day MA of 11.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.83 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for INDV.

Indivior Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.88B30.416.32%11.82%
71
Outperform
$1.44B-5.19%30.26%-173.36%
69
Neutral
$1.00B7.8819.90%8.05%-8.46%
68
Neutral
£1.95B
4.09%-640.24%
60
Neutral
$1.05B-12.27%3.08%-247.82%
60
Neutral
HK$16.23B5.53-7.44%3.84%11.55%-28.15%
EVEVO
49
Neutral
$1.50B-20.41%0.45%-125.61%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
INDV
Indivior
16.16
5.75
55.24%
PCRX
Pacira Pharmaceuticals
21.59
2.22
11.46%
SUPN
Supernus Pharmaceuticals
32.34
2.09
6.91%
ANIP
ANI Pharmaceuticals
66.30
4.11
6.61%
AMPH
Amphastar Pharmaceuticals
20.62
-18.99
-47.94%
EVO
Evotec AG
4.24
-0.46
-9.79%

Indivior Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Indivior Appoints Tony Kingsley as Non-Executive Director
Positive
Jun 24, 2025

On June 24, 2025, Indivior PLC announced the appointment of Tony Kingsley as a non-executive director, effective July 1, 2025. Kingsley, an accomplished biopharmaceutical executive, is expected to bring significant commercial and clinical development experience to Indivior, enhancing its efforts to advance its mission and strengthen its position in delivering treatments for opioid use disorder. His appointment aligns with Indivior’s relationship agreement with affiliates of Oaktree Capital Management, and he will be compensated in line with other non-executive directors.

The most recent analyst rating on (INDV) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Indivior stock, see the INDV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025