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Evotec Ag (Adr) (EVO)
:EVO

Evotec AG (EVO) AI Stock Analysis

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Evotec AG

(NASDAQ:EVO)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▼(-0.25%Downside)
Evotec AG's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, particularly in profitability and cash flow. The technical analysis provides a neutral outlook, while valuation metrics are weak. Earnings call highlights some positives in specific segments and cost savings, but the overall sentiment is mixed due to revenue declines and increased debt.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Solid Just-Evotec Biologics (JEB) revenues of €57M (+65% y/y) were offset by light Shared R&D revenues of €164M (-2% y/y) due to Pharma funding uncertainties impacting demand.
Financial Performance
The company completed the first two steps by closing multiple sites to improve cost efficacy, which delivered annualized recurring gross savings of €40M, and completed the strategic review to 'rebuild' the business model.
Strategic Growth
Expanded collaborations and new customers with the Just-Evotec Biologics segment is helping combat the effects of the soft market environment.
Negative Factors
Investment Impact
Ongoing investments to bring the Toulouse facility fully online will likely offset some of the gains from JEB growth.
Market Environment
Shared R&D was affected by the overall soft biotech market environment.
Revenue Guidance
Pharma spending uncertainty driving lighter shared R&D revs guidance + moderating JEB growth given ramping Toulouse spend with strategic pivot to fewer assets/leaner business driving outlook.

Evotec AG (EVO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Evotec AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEvotec SE operates as drug discovery and development partner for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry worldwide. The company is developing pharmaceutical products in various therapeutic areas, such as diabetes and complications of diabetes, fibrosis, infectious diseases, CNS diseases, oncology, pain and inflammation, immunology, rare diseases, respiratory diseases, and women's health. It has collaboration agreements with Bayer AG; Lilly; Chinook Therapeutics; Novo Nordisk A/S; Galapagos; Pfizer Inc.; CONBA Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.; Bristol Myers Squibb Company; Zhejiang JingXin Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd; Kazia Therapeutics; Apeiron Biologics; and Takeda Pharmaceuticals. The company was formerly known as Evotec AG and changed its name to Evotec SE in April 2019. Evotec SE was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Hamburg, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyEvotec AG generates revenue primarily through its two main business segments: EVT Execute and EVT Innovate. EVT Execute provides fee-for-service agreements where the company undertakes specific research projects for its clients, typically large pharmaceutical companies. This segment is driven by multi-year service agreements and collaborations that ensure a steady income stream. EVT Innovate, on the other hand, focuses on developing its own drug candidates, which are out-licensed to partners at various stages of development. Revenue from this segment is generated through milestone payments, royalties, and licensing fees once the drug candidates are commercialized. Strategic partnerships with major pharmaceutical companies further bolster Evotec's revenue, as they often involve upfront payments, research funding, and profit-sharing arrangements.

Evotec AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.84%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment with strong performance in the Just - Evotec Biologics segment and progress in strategic collaborations offset by declines in Shared R&D revenue and overall group revenue. Cost reduction initiatives are on track, but the increased net debt and leverage pose challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Performance in Just - Evotec Biologics
The segment reported €59.4 million in revenue, exceeding expectations and showing strong growth compared to Q1 2024.
Progress in Strategic Collaborations with BMS
Significant advancements in collaborations, including a US$20 million payment for progress in neurology and €75 million for achievements in oncology.
Cost Reduction Initiatives on Track
Achieved more than 50% of planned savings through site closures, headcount reduction, and discretionary spend control by the end of Q1 2025.
Grant from Korean Government
Received a grant to develop novel antibody treatments for lung fibrosis, enhancing capabilities in drug discovery and future revenue streams.
Negative Updates
Decline in Shared R&D Revenue
Shared R&D revenue fell from €155.2 million in Q1 2024 to €140.6 million in Q1 2025, affected by a soft market and lower BMS activity.
Overall Group Revenue Decrease
Group revenues decreased by 4% compared to Q1 2024, reflecting a challenging market environment for Shared R&D.
Increased Net Debt and Leverage
Net debt increased to €107 million with a net debt leverage of 5.97 times adjusted EBITDA, though liquidity remains at €371 million.
Company Guidance
During the Evotec SE Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reiterated its guidance for the full fiscal year. Evotec expects group revenues to reach between €840 million and €880 million, with R&D expenditure ranging from €40 million to €50 million. The company also anticipates an adjusted EBITDA of €30 million to €50 million. Despite a 4% year-over-year decline in group revenues to €200 million for Q1 2025, driven by a 9.4% decrease in Shared R&D revenues to €140.6 million, the Just - Evotec Biologics segment showed strong growth, recording €59.4 million in revenue. The company also highlighted progress in cost-saving measures, including a 33% reduction in R&D spending and a reduction in headcount. Moreover, Evotec reconfirmed its mid-term outlook, projecting an average annual growth rate of 8% to 12% over the next four years and an EBITDA margin exceeding 20% by 2028.

Evotec AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Evotec AG's financial performance is challenged by profitability issues and negative cash flow. Despite revenue growth, declining gross margins, negative EBIT, and net income indicate operational inefficiencies. The balance sheet is stable, but the negative free cash flow poses a risk to financial flexibility.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Evotec AG's income statement reveals challenges in profitability, as highlighted by negative EBIT and net income figures for the recent year, indicating potential operational inefficiencies. Revenue has grown steadily over the years, but gross profit margins have been declining, suggesting increased cost pressures. The negative net profit margin implies that the company is currently not profitable, which is concerning for long-term sustainability.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet of Evotec AG indicates moderate financial health. The debt-to-equity ratio shows a stable capital structure, with liabilities well-managed in relation to equity. However, there's a declining trend in stockholders' equity and total assets, which might limit future growth opportunities. The equity ratio remains stable, reflecting a balanced financial position despite recent losses.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Evotec AG's cash flow statement highlights significant challenges in generating positive free cash flow, which has been negative in recent years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates difficulties in converting earnings into cash. The negative trend in free cash flow growth rate raises concerns about the company's ability to fund operations and investments from internal cash generation.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
788.22M796.97M781.43M751.45M618.03M500.92M
Gross Profit
107.35M114.88M175.05M174.06M151.54M125.74M
EBIT
-144.32M-142.52M-47.51M12.49M27.32M48.52M
EBITDA
-149.44M-80.66M24.13M-86.08M298.41M75.50M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-206.98M-196.08M-83.91M-175.66M215.51M6.28M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
396.80M396.80M604.11M729.98M858.50M492.22M
Total Assets
1.91B1.91B2.25B2.26B2.24B1.46B
Total Debt
443.54M443.54M626.20M506.67M512.92M491.96M
Net Debt
137.15M137.15M115.29M91.52M-186.41M69.80M
Total Liabilities
959.98M959.98M1.13B1.07B857.48M740.05M
Stockholders Equity
952.52M952.52M1.12B1.19B1.38B722.85M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-80.31M-114.02M-179.56M21.75M3.29M-54.35M
Operating Cash Flow
34.59M18.22M36.44M203.11M122.24M44.72M
Investing Cash Flow
-61.89M-71.19M-13.29M-415.82M-243.85M-155.09M
Financing Cash Flow
-120.12M-161.42M71.96M-52.41M398.43M246.41M

Evotec AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4.01
Price Trends
50DMA
3.81
Positive
100DMA
3.96
Positive
200DMA
3.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
49.68
Neutral
STOCH
26.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EVO, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.08, above the 50-day MA of 3.81, and above the 200-day MA of 3.97, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for EVO.

Evotec AG Risk Analysis

Evotec AG disclosed 10 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Evotec AG reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Financial risks Q4, 2022
2.
HR risks Q4, 2022
3.
Strategic risks Q4, 2022

Evotec AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.23B9.3919.90%8.05%-8.46%
76
Outperform
$939.52M24.2319.23%17.17%-51.97%
64
Neutral
$1.08B-37.23%53.49%33.18%
63
Neutral
$1.22B-12.27%3.08%-247.82%
63
Neutral
$1.32B-5.19%30.26%-173.36%
54
Neutral
$5.28B3.29-45.38%2.80%16.77%-0.08%
EVEVO
53
Neutral
$1.45B-20.41%0.45%-125.61%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EVO
Evotec AG
4.01
-0.77
-16.11%
PCRX
Pacira Pharmaceuticals
26.74
-1.83
-6.41%
ANIP
ANI Pharmaceuticals
59.88
-6.86
-10.28%
AMPH
Amphastar Pharmaceuticals
25.52
-15.19
-37.31%
COLL
Collegium Pharmaceutical
29.50
-3.69
-11.12%
HROW
Harrow Health
28.72
10.55
58.06%
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.