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Indivior PLC (INDV)
NASDAQ:INDV

Indivior (INDV) AI Stock Analysis

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INDV

Indivior

(NASDAQ:INDV)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$39.00
▲(7.29% Upside)
Indivior's overall stock score is driven by strong technical momentum and positive earnings call sentiment, despite financial instability and high valuation concerns. The company's strategic initiatives and raised guidance contribute positively, but financial risks and valuation limit the score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The increase in revenue, driven by SUBLOCADE's performance, indicates strong market demand and effective product positioning, supporting long-term growth.
Cost Reduction Initiatives
Significant cost savings will enhance profitability and operational efficiency, providing a more sustainable financial structure over the long term.
Strategic Redomiciliation
Redomiciliation to the U.S. aligns Indivior with key markets and stakeholders, potentially improving market access and regulatory alignment.
Negative Factors
Negative Equity
Negative equity indicates financial instability, which can limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt.
Organizational Restructuring Costs
High restructuring costs can strain financial resources and may impact short-term profitability, affecting long-term financial health.
Limited LAI Market Growth
Limited growth in the LAI market suggests challenges in expanding market share for SUBLOCADE, potentially affecting future revenue growth.

Indivior (INDV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Indivior Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIndivior PLC is a global pharmaceutical company focused on the treatment of opioid use disorder and other addiction-related conditions. The company operates primarily in the healthcare sector and is best known for its core product, Suboxone, a combination of buprenorphine and naloxone, which is used to help individuals reduce their dependence on opioids. Indivior develops and commercializes innovative therapies aimed at addressing the complex challenges of addiction and has a commitment to improving patient outcomes through its specialized treatment solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyIndivior generates revenue primarily through the sale of its pharmaceutical products, with Suboxone being its flagship product, contributing a significant portion of its sales. The company operates on a revenue model that includes direct sales to healthcare providers and pharmacies, as well as partnerships with healthcare organizations and distributors. Additionally, Indivior has engaged in licensing agreements and collaborations that provide further revenue streams. The company also invests in research and development to expand its product portfolio, aiming to introduce new therapies that target addiction and related disorders, which can enhance its earnings potential over time.

Indivior Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally optimistic outlook with strong performance and growth in SUBLOCADE, raised financial guidance, and significant cost-saving initiatives. However, organizational restructuring costs and challenges in expanding the LAI market were noted as concerns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
SUBLOCADE Strong Performance
SUBLOCADE net revenue increased 15% year-over-year and 5% sequentially, with improved commercial execution leading to solid dispense unit growth of 8% versus the prior year.
Raised Full Year 2025 Guidance
Indivior raised its 2025 financial guidance, expecting total net revenue to increase, driven by SUBLOCADE growth of 10% at the midpoint. Adjusted EBITDA guidance increased by 15% versus 2024 at the midpoint.
Significant Cost Reduction Initiatives
Strategic decisions are expected to result in at least $150 million in annual operating expense savings starting in 2026, including a 32% reduction in headcount.
Direct-to-Consumer Campaign Launch
A new direct-to-consumer campaign, 'Move Forward in Recovery,' was launched on October 1 to connect with patients and drive awareness of SUBLOCADE.
Stable SUBOXONE Film Pricing
SUBOXONE Film benefited from continued price stability in the U.S., contributing to the overall performance.
Negative Updates
Organizational Restructuring Costs
Non-GAAP charges of $65 million to date from restructuring activities, including severance costs and write-offs for inventory and equipment.
Challenges with OPVEE
Discontinued sales and marketing efforts in support of OPVEE, with a continued commitment to meet all required contractual and regulatory obligations.
Limited Growth in LAI Category
The overall LAI category still sits at 8% penetration, indicating challenges in significantly increasing market share for SUBLOCADE.
Company Guidance
During Indivior PLC's Q3 2025 earnings call, the company announced a raised full-year 2025 financial guidance, driven by strong performance in its SUBLOCADE product, which saw a 15% year-over-year net revenue growth and an 8% increase in dispense volume. Total net revenue increased by 2% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA rising by 14%. The company now expects total net revenue for 2025 to surpass 2024 levels, projecting a 10% growth in SUBLOCADE at the midpoint and stable SUBOXONE Film pricing for the rest of the year. Indivior also plans for a 15% growth in adjusted EBITDA versus 2024. As part of its cost-reduction strategy, the company aims to achieve a $150 million reduction in annual operating expenses by 2026, with a 2026 operating budget not exceeding $450 million. This reduction is part of a broader effort to simplify operations and position the company for future success.

Indivior Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Indivior shows strong revenue growth and improving profitability, with a robust gross profit margin and net profit margin improvement. However, the balance sheet is concerning due to negative equity and high leverage, and cash flow management is mixed with declining free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Indivior's income statement shows a strong gross profit margin of 82.8% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin improved significantly to 14.1% TTM from near breakeven levels in previous years, reflecting enhanced profitability. Revenue growth is robust at 59.6% TTM, showcasing strong sales momentum. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins, while improved, still suggest room for operational efficiency gains.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning negative stockholders' equity, leading to a negative debt-to-equity ratio. This indicates potential financial instability and high leverage risk. Return on equity is negative, highlighting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is also negative, suggesting a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 30.7% TTM, indicating potential liquidity issues. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio improved to 0.20 TTM, suggesting better cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.69 TTM indicates a reasonable level of cash generation relative to profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.18B1.19B1.09B901.00M791.00M647.00M
Gross Profit978.00M957.00M919.00M750.00M664.00M550.00M
EBITDA315.00M84.00M-99.00M-46.00M238.00M-123.00M
Net Income166.00M2.00M-129.00M-44.00M205.00M-148.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.42B1.32B1.76B1.78B1.83B1.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments445.00M320.00M410.00M897.83M1.10B858.00M
Total Debt356.00M375.00M283.00M277.00M286.00M285.00M
Total Liabilities1.62B1.67B1.96B1.73B1.63B1.45B
Stockholders Equity-207.00M-348.00M-191.00M51.28M203.00M82.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow134.49M7.00M-353.00M-9.00M319.00M-197.00M
Operating Cash Flow193.43M36.00M-300.00M-4.00M353.00M-193.00M
Investing Cash Flow-35.01M69.00M-95.00M-222.00M-14.00M-4.00M
Financing Cash Flow4.44M-102.00M-64.00M-101.00M-94.00M-10.00M

Indivior Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.35
Price Trends
50DMA
31.23
Positive
100DMA
27.36
Positive
200DMA
19.91
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.34
Positive
RSI
67.95
Neutral
STOCH
62.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INDV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.35 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.05, above the 50-day MA of 31.23, and above the 200-day MA of 19.91, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 67.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for INDV.

Indivior Risk Analysis

Indivior disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Indivior reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Indivior Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.26B11.7314.84%-0.03%-27.66%
69
Neutral
$1.12B57.702.90%3.14%
66
Neutral
$4.55B36.19-0.25%
64
Neutral
$1.81B49.517.83%48.87%
55
Neutral
$2.95B-151.73-1.86%4.54%-130.59%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
46
Neutral
$1.10B-6.32-17.46%-1.19%5.06%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
INDV
Indivior
36.35
24.03
195.05%
PCRX
Pacira Pharmaceuticals
25.74
5.93
29.93%
SUPN
Supernus Pharmaceuticals
51.71
15.43
42.53%
ANIP
ANI Pharmaceuticals
80.73
25.23
45.46%
AMPH
Amphastar Pharmaceuticals
26.45
-11.72
-30.70%
EVO
Evotec AG
3.14
-1.74
-35.66%

Indivior Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Indivior Added to S&P SmallCap 600, Enhancing Visibility
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

On December 22, 2025, Indivior PLC announced that its ordinary shares were included in the S&P SmallCap 600 index, aligning its capital markets profile more closely with its U.S.-focused business and signaling that it meets key criteria for liquidity and financial viability in the small-cap segment. Management highlighted the move as a significant milestone that supports its strategy to grow SUBLOCADE, its leading long-acting injectable treatment for moderate to severe opioid use disorder, under a simplified operating model, which could enhance visibility among investors and potentially bolster its competitive position in the addiction-treatment market.

Executive/Board Changes
Indivior approves executive salary increases for senior leadership
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

On December 12, 2025, Indivior PLC’s board approved base salary increases for its top executives, effective January 1, 2026, following a competitive market review and recommendations from its Compensation Committee and external consultants. Chief Executive Officer Joseph Ciaffoni’s annual base salary will rise from $1,050,000 to $1,115,000, while Chief Financial Officer Ryan Preblick’s base pay will increase from $559,000 to $604,000, signaling the company’s intention to retain and reward senior leadership amid ongoing market pressures in the pharmaceutical sector.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Indivior Shareholders Approve Scheme of Arrangement
Neutral
Dec 15, 2025

On December 11, 2025, Indivior PLC shareholders approved amended articles of association to facilitate a scheme of arrangement. This scheme ensures that Indivior PLC becomes a wholly-owned subsidiary of Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc. The approval process included two shareholder meetings, with resolutions passed to authorize necessary actions for the scheme’s implementation. The scheme’s completion is pending a court sanction expected in January 2026.

Legal Proceedings
Indivior Concludes DOJ Settlement with Final Payment
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

On November 20, 2025, Indivior PLC announced the conclusion of its legacy matter with the U.S. Department of Justice by paying the remaining $295 million obligation. This payment, funded from the company’s cash reserves, terminates the resolution agreement with the DOJ, removing a significant liability and simplifying Indivior’s capital structure.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Indivior Plans Re-domicile to Delaware by December
Neutral
Nov 14, 2025

On November 14, 2025, Indivior PLC announced its plan to re-domicile from the U.K. to Delaware, a move that will be voted on by shareholders at an Extraordinary General Meeting on December 11, 2025. This strategic shift is aimed at establishing Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc. as the new holding company for the Indivior Group, potentially impacting its operational framework and market positioning.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Indivior Raises 2025 Guidance Amid Strategic Moves
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

Indivior reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results, showing a 2% year-over-year increase in total net revenue to $314 million, driven by a 15% rise in SUBLOCADE’s net revenue. The company has raised its full-year 2025 financial guidance, expecting significant growth in adjusted EBITDA. Indivior is optimizing its Rest of World business by exiting several non-U.S. markets and plans to redomicile in the U.S. These strategic moves are expected to generate substantial operating expense savings and improve cash generation starting in 2026.

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Indivior Announces Redomiciliation to U.S. from U.K.
Positive
Oct 1, 2025

On October 1, 2025, Indivior PLC announced its intention to redomicile from the U.K. to the U.S. by establishing a new parent company, Indivior Pharmaceuticals, Inc., in Delaware. This strategic move follows its Nasdaq listing and aims to enhance its U.S. capital market presence, simplify governance, and align with U.S. health policy stakeholders. The redomiciliation process involves a U.K. court-sanctioned scheme of arrangement and requires shareholder approval, with the transition expected to be completed by late January 2026. This change is anticipated to position Indivior as a U.S.-based treatment innovator, facilitating collaboration on advancing its opioid use disorder treatment, SUBLOCADE®.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 23, 2025