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Imperial Petroleum, Inc. (IMPP)
NASDAQ:IMPP
US Market

Imperial Petroleum (IMPP) AI Stock Analysis

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Imperial Petroleum

(NASDAQ:IMPP)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
Imperial Petroleum's overall score reflects its strong financial health and undervaluation, tempered by recent declines in revenue and free cash flow. The technical analysis indicates stable but cautious trading, while the earnings call provides optimism for future growth despite market challenges.
Positive Factors
Earnings
IMPP reported better results than expected due to the use of short-term tanker spot contracts to take advantage of periodic spikes in rates.
Financial Performance
Imperial Petroleum, Inc. has a strong cash position with $206.7M and no debt, which can support ship acquisitions.
Operating Costs
Operating costs per ship were lower than expected, contributing to reduced overall operating expenses.
Negative Factors
Demand
The decrease in demand from China for dry bulk and oil has led to sharply lower shipping rates.
Revenue
Revenue declined year-over-year as market rates were stronger last year due to higher demand for dry bulk and tanker cargoes.
Time Charter Equivalent Rates
Imperial Petroleum's time charter equivalent rates were significantly below forecasts, impacting revenue negatively.

Imperial Petroleum (IMPP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Imperial Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionImperial Petroleum, Inc. (IMPP) is a shipping company that operates in the marine transportation sector, focusing primarily on the transportation of petroleum products and other liquid cargoes. The company manages a fleet of vessels that are deployed across various routes worldwide, offering logistics services essential for global energy distribution.
How the Company Makes MoneyImperial Petroleum, Inc. makes money by providing marine transportation services to oil and gas companies, refineries, and other industrial entities that require the movement of liquid cargoes. The company earns revenue primarily through the chartering of its vessels, which can be contracted on a time charter or spot charter basis. Time charters involve leasing vessels for a fixed period, providing steady and predictable income, while spot charters are typically shorter-term agreements that allow the company to capitalize on fluctuating market rates. Additionally, IMPP may engage in strategic partnerships with other shipping companies or stakeholders in the oil and gas industry to optimize fleet utilization and expand market reach. Factors such as global oil demand, fuel prices, and regulatory changes in maritime shipping can significantly influence the company's earnings.

Imperial Petroleum Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 23, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 43.55%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a mixed outlook with some strong financial improvements and strategic expansions counterbalanced by declines in year-over-year revenue and geopolitical uncertainties. The company demonstrates resilience and strategic growth, but market volatility remains a concern.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Financial Performance
Revenue increased by $5.9 million (22.5%) and net income rose by $7.4 million (190%) compared to Q4 '24. The company remains profitable and debt-free.
Strong Cash Position
Imperial Petroleum ended Q1 '25 with a cash base of close to $227 million, which is about three times higher than the current market cap.
Fleet Expansion
The company is adding 7 ships by the beginning of Q3, increasing fleet size by 60%, with a total of 19 ships, including 10 bulk carriers and 9 tankers.
Positive Market Conditions
OPEC's announcement to increase output and U.S.-China tariff rollback contributed positively to market conditions, boosting tanker rates.
Negative Updates
Decline in Revenue Compared to Previous Year
Revenues in Q1 '25 were $32.1 million, marking a 22% decline compared to the same period in 2024 due to lower market rates.
Market Volatility and Geopolitical Uncertainty
Ongoing geopolitical factors, including U.S. tariffs, sanctions on tankers involved in Russian oil, and trade disruptions, added uncertainty to the market.
Company Guidance
In the Q1 '25 conference call, Imperial Petroleum reported revenue of $32.1 million and a net income of $11.3 million, reflecting a 22.5% increase in revenue and a 190% rise in net income compared to Q4 '24. Despite a challenging market with softer average rates for Suezmax and product tankers down by about 25% from last year, the company remained profitable and debt-free, boasting a cash reserve of nearly $227 million. The fleet's expansion includes adding seven new dry bulk ships, increasing the fleet size by 60% to 19 ships. The company's strong performance is underpinned by strategic time charter employment, operational cost management, and opportunities arising from geopolitical events, such as sanctions and trade tariffs. The management anticipates further positive impacts from OPEC's increased output and a potential reopening of the Red Sea Gulf of Aden.

Imperial Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Imperial Petroleum demonstrates strong profitability and financial stability, with high profit margins and a robust balance sheet featuring a high equity ratio and minimal debt. However, the decline in revenue and free cash flow poses a challenge.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Imperial Petroleum has shown strong revenue growth over the years with a significant increase in gross profit and net income. The 2024 annual report shows a gross profit margin of 45.7% and a net profit margin of 34.0%, indicating strong profitability. However, the revenue decreased from 2023 to 2024, suggesting a potential challenge in maintaining growth. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy, supporting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company exhibits a robust balance sheet with a high equity ratio of 93.6% in 2024, indicating strong financial stability and low reliance on debt. The return on equity (ROE) is impressive at 11.9%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The debt-to-equity ratio is negligible due to low total debt, reducing financial risk.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow from 2023 to 2024, with a free cash flow growth rate of -94.1%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable at 1.55, indicating strong cash generation relative to income. However, the decrease in free cash flow poses a potential liquidity concern.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
147.48M183.73M97.02M17.36M20.30M
Gross Profit
50.40M73.37M32.64M-2.34M367.66K
EBIT
44.14M66.02M29.82M-3.49M-355.00K
EBITDA
67.55M88.58M43.41M5.18M8.25M
Net Income Common Stockholders
50.16M71.13M29.51M-3.64M-394.00K
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
206.73M124.03M118.90M3.39M6.45M
Total Assets
449.51M376.83M366.58M128.47M138.12M
Total Debt
78.76K0.0069.96M27.84M0.00
Net Debt
-67.70M-91.93M19.06M24.45M-6.45M
Total Liabilities
28.84M14.53M84.17M31.72M4.06M
Stockholders Equity
420.67M362.31M282.41M96.75M134.06M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
3.02M51.39M-77.78M5.10M8.14M
Operating Cash Flow
77.70M79.53M40.90M5.24M8.87M
Investing Cash Flow
-106.65M12.29M-186.68M-142.60K-728.00K
Financing Cash Flow
4.81M-57.40M196.95M-6.37M-9.33M

Imperial Petroleum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.56
Price Trends
50DMA
2.70
Positive
100DMA
2.67
Positive
200DMA
3.10
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.20
Negative
RSI
78.69
Negative
STOCH
61.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IMPP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.97, above the 50-day MA of 2.70, and above the 200-day MA of 3.10, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.20 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.69 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IMPP.

Imperial Petroleum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$117.01M2.6511.07%-19.73%-95.29%
PEPED
62
Neutral
$60.28M3.8115.47%28.49%6115.63%
58
Neutral
$7.53B3.34-4.45%10.13%0.83%-49.64%
PVPVL
54
Neutral
$64.68M22.926.10%1.74%-80.46%-51.76%
53
Neutral
$137.14M9.453.93%-4.20%-96.92%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IMPP
Imperial Petroleum
3.56
0.03
0.85%
AMPY
Amplify Energy
3.68
-2.46
-40.07%
PVL
Permianville Royalty
1.92
0.87
82.86%
PED
Pedevco
0.73
-0.10
-12.05%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.