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Ichor Holdings (ICHR)
NASDAQ:ICHR

Ichor Holdings (ICHR) AI Stock Analysis

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Ichor Holdings

(NASDAQ:ICHR)

58Neutral
Ichor Holdings is currently facing profitability challenges, reflected in its negative net income and EBIT. However, the company is showing signs of financial stability with effective debt management and improving cash flow. Technical indicators suggest a mild upward trend, but valuation metrics highlight significant concerns. The latest earnings call offers a positive outlook for revenue growth and demand but also underscores margin pressures and rising expenses, adding to the mixed outlook.
Positive Factors
Demand for components
ICHR has added headcount in anticipation of higher demand for components in CY25.
NAND market demand
Improved visibility on NAND market demand is seen as a positive factor for ICHR.
Revenue growth
Revenue growth is accelerating, outpacing analyst and consensus expectations.
Negative Factors
Gross margin pressures
Near-term gross margin pressures from inventory charges and higher labor costs could weigh on ICHR's financial results.
Product mix and costs
The suboptimal product mix and non-recurring inventory write-offs are factors driving a lower gross margin and earnings per share.
Year-end inventory charges
ICHR reported a lower GM for C4Q due to year-end inventory charges and unfavorable mix, impacting EPS.

Ichor Holdings (ICHR) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Ichor Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIchor Holdings, Ltd. engages in the design, engineering, and manufacture of fluid delivery subsystems and components for semiconductor capital equipment. It primarily offers gas and chemical delivery systems and subsystems that are used in the manufacturing of semiconductor devices. The company's gas delivery subsystems deliver, monitor, and control gases used in semiconductor manufacturing processes, such as etch and deposition; and chemical delivery subsystems blend and dispense the reactive liquid chemistries used in semiconductor manufacturing processes comprising chemical-mechanical planarization, electroplating, and cleaning. It also manufactures precision machined components, weldments, electron beam, laser-welded components, precision vacuum and hydrogen brazing, surface treatment technologies, and other proprietary products for use in fluid delivery systems. The company primarily markets its products directly and through resellers to equipment OEMs in the semiconductor equipment market in the United States, the United Kingdom, Singapore, Malaysia, Korea, Mexico, and internationally. Ichor Holdings, Ltd. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Fremont, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyIchor Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale of its fluid delivery subsystems and components to semiconductor equipment manufacturers. These products are essential in the semiconductor fabrication process, as they ensure precise and reliable delivery of critical gases and chemicals. Ichor's revenue model is largely based on long-term partnerships and contracts with leading semiconductor equipment companies, benefiting from the consistent demand for advanced semiconductor fabrication technology. Additionally, the company invests in research and development to expand its product offerings and maintain a competitive edge in the market.

Ichor Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ichor Holdings faces profitability challenges with negative net income and EBIT, impacting its financial performance. While revenue shows modest growth, the company is effectively managing its debt and improving cash flow generation. Overall, the financial stability is supported by a strong equity base, though profitability remains a concern.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Ichor Holdings shows declining profitability with a negative EBIT and net income in the latest TTM period, indicating operational challenges. The gross profit margin stands at 11.67%, and net profit margin is negative, reflecting ongoing issues in cost management and revenue generation. However, there is a slight revenue growth of 4.68% from the previous year, which is a positive sign.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company maintains a solid equity position with an equity ratio of 70.15%. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved due to reduced total debt, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity is negative due to negative net income, highlighting profitability concerns.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flow is positive, and free cash flow is growing, indicating improvements in cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative due to the net loss, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is positive, suggesting potential for future profitability.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
849.04M811.12M1.28B1.10B914.24M
Gross Profit
103.33M103.40M211.86M177.48M124.89M
EBIT
-7.64M-10.89M85.82M81.01M41.55M
EBITDA
-7.64M22.88M121.49M106.20M65.28M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-20.82M-42.98M72.80M70.90M33.28M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
108.67M79.95M86.47M75.50M252.90M
Total Assets
995.56M938.48M1.08B1.02B774.17M
Total Debt
53.18M286.33M341.74M322.74M210.67M
Net Debt
-55.49M206.38M255.27M247.25M-42.23M
Total Liabilities
297.23M373.80M496.25M520.16M362.48M
Stockholders Equity
698.34M564.68M587.50M500.71M411.69M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
10.24M42.14M2.02M-5.31M27.96M
Operating Cash Flow
27.88M57.63M31.45M15.53M38.26M
Investing Cash Flow
-17.64M-15.50M-28.93M-289.85M-14.60M
Financing Cash Flow
18.47M-48.65M8.46M96.91M168.62M

Ichor Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.85
Price Trends
50DMA
28.39
Negative
100DMA
30.29
Negative
200DMA
31.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.47
Positive
RSI
30.57
Neutral
STOCH
10.13
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ICHR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.35, below the 50-day MA of 28.39, and below the 200-day MA of 31.09, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.47 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.13 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ICHR.

Ichor Holdings Risk Analysis

Ichor Holdings disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ichor Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ichor Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$118.34B19.0635.19%1.10%4.45%-10.01%
72
Outperform
$1.18B16.6710.43%7.63%
70
Outperform
$6.06B30.8911.01%21.01%65.27%
65
Neutral
$5.41B28.567.93%1.10%-0.99%
58
Neutral
$758.27M-3.30%4.68%55.72%
57
Neutral
$20.94B10.43-13.41%2.52%4.53%-23.34%
55
Neutral
$947.78M42.322.77%20.92%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ICHR
Ichor Holdings
17.85
-19.95
-52.78%
AMAT
Applied Materials
135.51
-66.18
-32.81%
MKSI
MKS Instruments
64.27
-63.06
-49.52%
ONTO
Onto Innovation
109.83
-74.80
-40.51%
UCTT
Ultra Clean Holdings
18.71
-26.36
-58.49%
VECO
Veeco
18.59
-15.84
-46.01%

Ichor Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Feb 4, 2025 | % Change Since: -36.72% | Next Earnings Date: May 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook with strong revenue growth and demand, particularly in proprietary products and strategic market segments. However, challenges remain with gross margin pressures and increased operating expenses.
Highlights
Record Revenue Growth in Q4
Q4 revenue reached $233 million, exceeding expectations and marking a 10% sequential increase. Annual revenue for 2024 was $849 million, up 5% from 2023.
Strong Demand and Market Outlook
Customer demand strengthened in Q4, with significant growth anticipated in Etch and CVD applications, advanced logic, DRAM markets, and a recovery in NAND technology investments.
Proprietary Product Qualifications
Ichor successfully qualified high-purity valves with a second customer and is progressing with a third. Proprietary fittings and substrates have also been qualified by major customers.
Debt Reduction
Total debt reduced to $129 million at year-end, down from $250 million a year ago, with a net-debt coverage ratio decline to 1.6 times.
Lowlights
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin fell to 12% in Q4, below expectations by 300 basis points, primarily due to higher direct labor costs and inventory charges.
Higher Operating Expenses Projected
Q1 operating expenses are projected to increase to $23.5 million, partly due to seasonal payroll taxes and variable compensation costs.
Inventory and Labor Cost Headwinds
Higher-than-expected inventory charges and direct labor costs impacted Q4 results, with some residual impacts expected in Q1 of 2025.
Company Guidance
During the Ichor Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance that reflected optimism for 2025, with expected revenue in the range of $235 million to $255 million for Q1. Gross margins are projected to improve, reaching 14% to 15% in Q1, with expectations of exceeding 16% for the full year. The company highlighted a 25% to 30% flow-through, with contributions from new proprietary products such as high-purity valves and next-generation gas panels set to drive margin expansion. Operating expenses for Q1 are anticipated to be around $23.5 million, with net interest expense for the year expected to be approximately $6 million. The non-GAAP effective tax rate for 2025 is projected at 12.5%, with Q1 EPS expected between $0.20 and $0.32. Overall, the company is preparing for a strong growth year, driven by increasing demand in etch and deposition applications, and a favorable mix in wafer fab equipment demand.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.