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Blaize Holdings (BZAI)
NASDAQ:BZAI
US Market

Blaize Holdings (BZAI) AI Stock Analysis

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BZAI

Blaize Holdings

(NASDAQ:BZAI)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-10.31% Downside)
Blaize Holdings' overall score is driven by significant revenue growth and strategic partnerships, as highlighted in the earnings call. However, the stock faces challenges with profitability, negative valuation metrics, and bearish technical indicators.
Positive Factors
Record Revenue Growth
A 499% sequential revenue surge signals accelerating product adoption and expanding commercial traction in edge AI. Durable revenue scaling validates go-to-market execution and supports longer-term investment in product roadmap and customer deployments across automotive, smart cities, and other verticals.
Strategic Partnerships & Market Expansion
Partnerships with regional systems integrators deepen distribution and provide local channel access for large infrastructure projects. These alliances support sustained revenue growth and reduce go-to-market costs, positioning the company to capture structural demand in Middle East smart-city and public-safety AI deployments.
Secured Growth Capital
A $30M strategic investment materially extends runway and funds next-gen chip development, reducing near-term refinancing risk. This capital enables multi-quarter R&D and commercialization efforts, supporting durable competitiveness in AI edge hardware versus reliance on external funding cycles.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Elevated debt-to-equity raises interest and refinancing exposure, constraining financial flexibility for capex and R&D. Over a multi-quarter horizon, high leverage can force priority on cash conservation over strategic investments, increasing execution risk for hardware and chip development initiatives.
Negative Operating & Free Cash Flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flows indicate the business currently consumes cash to grow. Without consistent positive cash generation, the company remains dependent on external financing to fund operations and scale, creating execution risk if capital markets tighten or investor support wanes.
Weak & Declining Margins
A dramatic gross margin decline driven by third-party GPU use highlights structural margin vulnerability in hardware-heavy contracts. Until proprietary GSP cards replace costly components, margin recovery is uncertain, pressuring long-term profitability and the ability to sustainably scale commercial deployments.

Blaize Holdings (BZAI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Blaize Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlaize Holdings, Inc. provides artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled edge computing solutions. It offers AI edge computing products, including Blaize Pathfinder P1600 embedded system on modules, Blaize Xplorer X1600E EDSFF small form factor accelerators, Blaize Xplorer X600M M.2 small form factor accelerator platforms, Blaize Xplorer X1600P PCIe accelerators, Blaize Xplorer X1600P-Q PCIe accelerators, and Blaize Pathfinder 1600-DK embedded kits. The company also provides Blaize AI studio that delivers AI-driven application end-to-end data operations, development operations, and machine learning operation tools; and AI Studio marketplace, which allows users to browse and use AI/ML artifacts to run or share securely across their team and organization. It serves automotive, smart vision, and enterprise computing markets. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in El Dorado Hills, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlaize Holdings generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its proprietary edge computing hardware and software solutions. The company offers various products, including AI-optimized processors and integrated software platforms that enable clients to deploy machine learning applications at the edge. Additionally, Blaize engages in partnerships with technology firms and system integrators, allowing it to extend its market reach and create bundled offerings that enhance its value proposition. The company may also derive income from subscription-based services or licensing agreements for its software, contributing to recurring revenue. Furthermore, strategic collaborations with industry leaders help Blaize secure large-scale contracts, significantly boosting its earnings potential.

Blaize Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call for Blaize Holdings, Inc. showcased substantial revenue growth and strategic progress through new partnerships and investments. Despite the decline in gross margins and continued EBITDA losses, the company's financial position and expansion plans indicate a strong growth trajectory heading into 2026.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Blaize Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $11.9 million for Q3 2025, marking a 499% sequential increase from Q2. This exceeded the upper end of their guidance by $400,000.
Strong Investment and Financial Position
Secured a $30 million investment from Polar Asset Management Partners to support the company's growth and next-generation chip development. This positions the company to fund operations well into 2024 with a cash balance of over $60 million.
Strategic Partnerships
Announced collaborations with Technology Control Company (TCC) in Saudi Arabia and Reach Digital in the UAE, enhancing their presence in the Middle East and supporting regional infrastructure initiatives.
Expansion in AI Infrastructure
Highlighted significant projects such as the $120 million Starshine Hybrid AI infrastructure for smart city development in Asia and public safety rollouts in India.
Operational Efficiency
Exceeded Q3 adjusted EBITDA loss guidance by $2 million, reflecting better-than-expected execution and stronger operational discipline.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Decline
Gross margin decreased to 15% this quarter compared to 59% in 2025, primarily due to higher third-party hardware components in the Starshine contract.
Increased Operating Expenses
Sales and general and administrative costs increased by $3.6 million year-over-year, reflecting an increase in operating expenses as the company scales.
Continued EBITDA Loss
Reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $11.1 million, though it was an improvement over previous quarters.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Blaize Holdings, Inc. reported significant achievements, including a revenue of $11.9 million, marking a 499% increase from the previous quarter. The company anticipates doubling its revenue in Q4. They secured a $30 million investment from Polar Asset Management Partners to support growth and development. Key partnerships were established with Technology Control Company and Reach Digital, enhancing Blaize's presence in the Middle East. The Starshine Hybrid AI infrastructure initiative contributed approximately $10.4 million to Q3 revenue, with a focus on smart city development across Asia. Blaize's gross margin was reported at 15%, with efforts underway to improve margins by replacing third-party GPUs with their proprietary GSP cards. The company's Q3 adjusted EBITDA loss was $11.1 million, a $2 million outperformance against guidance. Blaize projects Q4 revenue to range between $21.1 million and $23.1 million. Looking forward, they expect sustained growth into 2026, with a focus on expanding practical AI solutions globally.

Blaize Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Blaize Holdings shows rapid revenue growth but faces significant profitability and cash flow challenges. High leverage and negative margins pose risks, requiring strategic improvements for stabilization.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Blaize Holdings shows significant revenue growth in the TTM, but this is overshadowed by substantial negative margins across the board, indicating persistent profitability challenges. The gross profit margin is low, and the net profit margin is deeply negative, reflecting high operational costs relative to revenue.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The company's balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio in the TTM, suggesting increased leverage and financial risk. The return on equity is negative, indicating that the company is not generating profits from its equity base. However, the equity ratio is relatively stable, showing some level of asset backing.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows negative operating and free cash flows, with a slight improvement in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, suggesting some alignment between cash flow and accounting profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.30M1.55M3.86M3.84M0.00
Gross Profit1.72M975.00K200.00K806.00K0.00
EBITDA-32.05M-46.75M-36.49M-47.47M-65.89K
Net Income-153.22M-61.20M-87.59M-104.63M-65.89K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets60.90M48.32M72.59M19.28M293.74M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments24.00M1.51K0.004.91M1.54M
Total Debt3.13M1.50M21.23M4.81M144.75K
Total Liabilities59.60M24.08M41.44M89.82M10.76M
Stockholders Equity1.31M24.24M31.15M-70.54M282.98M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-58.27M-54.43M-2.34M-40.72M100.27K
Operating Cash Flow-57.56M-53.53M-2.34M-40.22M100.27K
Investing Cash Flow-22.32M-902.00K230.12M-493.00K-291.81M
Financing Cash Flow54.34M101.71M-226.97M39.09M293.25M

Blaize Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price2.23
Price Trends
50DMA
2.40
Negative
100DMA
3.21
Negative
200DMA
3.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.08
Negative
RSI
49.96
Neutral
STOCH
76.21
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BZAI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 2.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.10, below the 50-day MA of 2.40, and below the 200-day MA of 3.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BZAI.

Blaize Holdings Risk Analysis

Blaize Holdings disclosed 15 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Blaize Holdings reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Nasdaq Rule 5815 was amended effective October 7, 2024 to provide for the immediate suspension and delisting for failure to meet the 36-month requirement in Nasdaq Rule IM 5101-2(b) to complete a business combination, and our securities will face an immediate suspension and delisting action once we receive a delisting determination letter from Nasdaq after the 36-month window ends on December 10, 2024 Q3, 2024

Blaize Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$1.48B11.81101.23%0.19%
58
Neutral
$213.94M-7.23-23.56%7.53%-15.00%
52
Neutral
$611.68M-47.84-4.22%5.55%-239.94%
50
Neutral
$746.99M20.45%12.28%
49
Neutral
$282.65M40.481.74%-10.74%
46
Neutral
$272.16M-0.96-1331.73%-1827.24%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BZAI
Blaize Holdings
2.23
-7.37
-76.77%
CEVA
Ceva
22.64
-11.13
-32.96%
VLN
Valens
2.09
-1.31
-38.53%
SKYT
SkyWater Technology
30.44
18.63
157.75%
AIP
Arteris
17.10
5.50
47.41%
XPER
Xperi Inc
6.10
-2.93
-32.45%

Blaize Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Blaize Holdings Formalizes Executive Change-in-Control Severance Program
Neutral
Jan 5, 2026

On November 5, 2025, Blaize Holdings, Inc.’s board approved a standardized four-year change-in-control and severance framework for its senior executives, later entering into these agreements with Vice President of Platform Engineering Santiago Fernandez-Gomez on December 26, 2025, and Chief Financial Officer Harminder Sehmi on January 4, 2026. The program defines severance terms for involuntary terminations both with and without a change in control, including lump-sum salary payments, continued medical benefits, extended stock option exercise periods, and varying levels of accelerated vesting of time-based and performance-based equity awards, with enhanced protections and richer benefits for certain key leaders such as the CEO and CFO; these agreements replace prior severance arrangements and signal a move to formalize executive protections around potential corporate transactions and leadership changes.

The most recent analyst rating on (BZAI) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blaize Holdings stock, see the BZAI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Blaize Holdings Concludes Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
Dec 4, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Blaize Holdings, Inc. conducted its Annual Meeting of Stockholders to elect seven directors, amend its Certificate of Incorporation regarding director removal, and ratify UHY LLP as its independent accounting firm for fiscal 2025. The election of directors was successful, but the amendment to the Certificate of Incorporation was not approved, while the ratification of UHY LLP was confirmed.

The most recent analyst rating on (BZAI) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blaize Holdings stock, see the BZAI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Blaize Holdings Secures $30M Investment for AI Growth
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

On November 11, 2025, Blaize Holdings announced a $30 million private placement led by Polar Asset Management Partners. This investment aims to fuel the growth and commercialization of Blaize’s AI platform across key verticals in growth markets and support the development of its next-generation chip. The company expects the proceeds, along with other funding sources, to support its core operations into the second half of 2026. Additionally, Blaize reported preliminary financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with expected revenue of approximately $11.9 million and a net loss of around $26.3 million. The company also recognized significant revenue from its first product shipment to Starshine Computing Power Technology Limited.

The most recent analyst rating on (BZAI) stock is a Sell with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Blaize Holdings stock, see the BZAI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025