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International Consolidated Airlines Group, S.A. (ICAGY)
OTHER OTC:ICAGY

International Consolidated Airlines (ICAGY) AI Stock Analysis

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International Consolidated Airlines

(OTC:ICAGY)

Rating:84Outperform
Price Target:
$10.50
▲(13.76%Upside)
International Consolidated Airlines is well-positioned with strong financial performance, bullish technical signals, and positive earnings call highlights. The low P/E ratio suggests undervaluation, making it an attractive investment. However, the high debt level remains a risk, requiring careful monitoring.

International Consolidated Airlines (ICAGY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

International Consolidated Airlines Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInternational Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. (ICAGY), commonly known as IAG, is a leading multinational airline holding company headquartered in Madrid, Spain, and registered in the UK. It operates primarily in the aviation sector, owning and managing several major airlines, including British Airways, Iberia, Aer Lingus, and Vueling. IAG provides a wide range of services, including passenger and cargo transportation, aircraft maintenance, and related ancillary services. The company is known for its extensive network of routes across Europe, the Americas, Africa, and Asia, offering both premium and low-cost travel options to its customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyInternational Consolidated Airlines Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of airline tickets for passenger travel across its network of airlines. The company operates under multiple brands that cater to different market segments, from premium services to low-cost options, allowing it to capture a diverse customer base. In addition to passenger revenue, IAG earns money through its cargo operations, transporting goods and freight globally. Ancillary services such as in-flight sales, seat selection, and baggage fees further contribute to its income. Strategic partnerships and participation in international alliances, such as the Oneworld alliance, enhance its global connectivity and market reach, driving additional revenue through code-sharing and joint business agreements. Moreover, IAG benefits from economies of scale in its operations, leveraging its size to negotiate favorable terms with suppliers and optimize its cost structure.

International Consolidated Airlines Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 09, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 19.40%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook for IAG, with significant revenue and profit growth, new strategic aircraft orders, and strong performances in key markets like Iberia. However, challenges such as the one-day closure of Heathrow Airport and softness in US economy leisure travel were notable. Despite these issues, the overall sentiment remains positive due to strong financial results and strategic investments.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
IAG reported a revenue increase of 9.6% in Q1 2025, with total revenue reaching €7 billion.
Operating Profit and Margin Increase
Operating profit grew by €130 million to €198 million, with an operating margin increase of 1.7 percentage points to 2.8%.
New Aircraft Orders
IAG announced an order for 53 widebody aircraft and exercised options for 18 aircraft in Q1, supporting their long-term strategy.
Strong Performance of Iberia
Iberia's profits increased by €100 million to €137 million, with an operating margin growing approximately three points to 7.5%.
Balance Sheet Strengthening
Net debt decreased by over €1.4 billion to €6.2 billion, and gross debt reduced by €1.9 billion, strengthening their balance sheet.
Negative Updates
Heathrow Closure Impact
The one-day closure of Heathrow Airport on March 21 cost British Airways approximately €50 million.
US Economy Leisure Travel Softness
There was noted weakness in US point-of-sale for economy leisure travel, though premium cabins remained strong.
Non-Fuel Cost Increase
Non-fuel costs increased by 8.8% in Q1, with factors including foreign exchange impacts and the Heathrow closure.
Company Guidance
During the International Airlines Group's Q1 2025 earnings call, CEO Luis Gallego and CFO Nicholas Cadbury reported strong financial performance and provided guidance for the year. The company achieved a 9.6% increase in revenue, reaching €7 billion, with operating profit rising by €130 million to €198 million, leading to a 1.7 percentage point increase in operating margin to 2.8%. This growth was driven by robust demand, especially in the North and South Atlantic markets, and strong performance across all airlines, particularly British Airways and Iberia. Non-fuel costs increased by around 3%, while fuel unit costs dropped by 7% due to lower commodity prices and more efficient aircraft. The company announced an order for 53 widebody aircraft, supporting strategic growth, and highlighted a strengthened balance sheet with net debt reduced by €1.4 billion to €6.2 billion. The company remains optimistic about demand, with plans to grow capacity by 3% and continue creating shareholder value through sustainable dividends and a share buyback program.

International Consolidated Airlines Financial Statement Overview

Summary
International Consolidated Airlines shows strong revenue and profit growth, with robust profitability metrics. However, a high debt-to-equity ratio poses some risk, necessitating careful financial management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
International Consolidated Airlines has demonstrated a substantial recovery in its financial performance, with total revenue growing from $29.45 billion in 2023 to $32.1 billion in 2024, resulting in a revenue growth rate of 8.73%. The gross profit margin stands at 23.61%, while the net profit margin is 8.51%, indicating strong profitability relative to revenue. The EBIT margin of 13.34% and EBITDA margin of 21.27% further highlight efficient operations and cost management. These metrics reflect robust profitability and a positive growth trajectory, positioning the company strongly in the transportation sector.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's balance sheet is marked by a relatively high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.81, reflecting significant leverage, which poses potential risks in terms of financial stability. However, the return on equity (ROE) is impressive at 44.26%, signaling effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 14.09% indicates a moderate level of shareholder equity in relation to total assets. The company's ability to manage its liabilities and equity efficiently is evident, though the high leverage warrants careful monitoring to mitigate risks.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
International Consolidated Airlines showcases strong cash flow management, with a free cash flow growth rate of 169.39% from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.33, reflecting robust cash generation relative to net income, while the free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.30 indicates healthy cash flow available for investment and debt repayment. These metrics underscore the company's strong cash position and ability to support its operations and strategic initiatives.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
21.95B32.10B29.45B23.07B8.46B7.81B
Gross Profit
5.30B7.58B7.91B5.36B164.00M-1.10B
EBIT
1.88B4.28B3.51B1.39B-2.94B-4.34B
EBITDA
2.60B6.83B4.43B2.20B-2.25B-5.08B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.41B2.73B2.65B431.00M-2.93B-6.93B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
6.23B9.80B6.81B9.57B7.91B5.88B
Total Assets
0.0043.80B37.68B39.30B34.41B30.26B
Total Debt
0.0017.34B16.08B19.98B19.61B15.68B
Net Debt
6.23B9.16B10.64B10.79B11.72B9.90B
Total Liabilities
0.0037.63B34.40B37.28B33.56B28.95B
Stockholders Equity
6.72B6.17B3.27B2.02B840.00M1.31B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.77B3.56B1.32B960.00M-885.00M-5.24B
Operating Cash Flow
5.20B6.37B4.86B4.83B-141.00M-3.30B
Investing Cash Flow
-1.27B-2.50B-3.42B-3.46B-181.00M1.56B
Financing Cash Flow
-4.45B-1.18B-5.19B-56.00M2.23B3.67B

International Consolidated Airlines Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.23
Price Trends
50DMA
7.67
Positive
100DMA
7.90
Positive
200DMA
6.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.38
Positive
RSI
68.89
Neutral
STOCH
85.31
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ICAGY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.88, above the 50-day MA of 7.67, and above the 200-day MA of 6.97, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 68.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.31 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ICAGY.

International Consolidated Airlines Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$21.01B7.4559.10%0.59%9.05%3.58%
DADAL
80
Outperform
$33.27B9.0327.52%1.17%4.91%-27.21%
UAUAL
76
Outperform
$27.51B7.6133.57%5.31%35.95%
74
Outperform
$29.70B18.4122.41%1.46%5.39%-15.92%
LULUV
68
Neutral
$19.08B39.765.63%2.14%3.26%27.77%
66
Neutral
$4.49B12.345.40%248.65%4.13%-12.33%
AAAAL
61
Neutral
$7.77B13.58-21.27%1.92%36.07%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ICAGY
International Consolidated Airlines
9.23
4.93
114.65%
DAL
Delta Air Lines
51.68
1.65
3.30%
RYAAY
Ryanair Holdings
57.84
10.53
22.26%
LUV
Southwest Airlines
34.36
6.58
23.69%
UAL
United Airlines Holdings
83.20
30.27
57.19%
AAL
American Airlines
11.84
0.34
2.96%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.