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Iberdrola (IBDRY)
OTHER OTC:IBDRY
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Iberdrola (IBDRY) AI Stock Analysis

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IBDRY

Iberdrola

(OTC:IBDRY)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$99.00
▲(9.65% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/04/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial fundamentals—solid profitability but weaker recent revenue and free-cash-flow generation—tempered by notable leverage. Offsetting this, the latest earnings call was constructive with upgraded 2026 guidance and improving credit metrics, while technicals and valuation are supportive but not strongly bullish.
Positive Factors
Regulated Networks Momentum
Sustained double-digit Networks EBITDA growth reflects entrenched regulated cash flows and execution on large transmission/distribution contracts. Regulated earnings are less cyclically exposed, supporting durable EBITDA visibility and funding for capex, dividends and deleveraging over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Recent Revenue Contraction
A large recent top-line decline increases uncertainty about sustainable growth and may pressure margins if volume or price recovery stalls. Persistent revenue weakness can constrain reinvestment, slow RAB growth translation, and make earnings targets harder to hit without further network offset.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulated Networks Momentum
Sustained double-digit Networks EBITDA growth reflects entrenched regulated cash flows and execution on large transmission/distribution contracts. Regulated earnings are less cyclically exposed, supporting durable EBITDA visibility and funding for capex, dividends and deleveraging over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Iberdrola (IBDRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Iberdrola Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Iberdrola, S.A. engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and supply of electricity in Spain and internationally. It generates and markets electrical power using renewable sources, such as onshore and offshore wind, hydro, solar photo...
How the Company Makes Money
Iberdrola primarily makes money through a mix of regulated and market-based electricity businesses. (1) Regulated networks: A substantial portion of earnings comes from electricity distribution (and, where applicable, transmission) networks that a...

Iberdrola Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 22, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple clear strengths: double-digit adjusted net profit growth, resilient EBITDA supported by a strong Networks business (notably U.K. and U.S.), large and focused investment accelerating regulated RAB growth, completed asset rotation (Mexico) that improved pro forma leverage, strong liquidity and upgraded guidance for 2026. Offsetting these positives are notable headwinds: FX-driven reporting weakness, weakness in the Power & Customers segment (particularly U.S. timing effects and Iberia ancillary costs), a rising gross debt level (management expects ~EUR 55bn by year-end), and regulatory/operational uncertainties (Spain blackout-related ancillary costs and U.S. regulatory reviews). On balance, the highlights outweigh the lowlights due to the strength and visibility of regulated networks cash flows, improved credit metrics on a pro forma basis, and an upgraded outlook.
Positive Updates
Adjusted Net Profit Growth
Adjusted net profit rose 11% year-on-year to EUR 1,865 million in Q1 2026; excluding negative FX effects (~EUR 99 million) adjusted net profit would have grown ~17%.
Negative Updates
Power & Customers Business Pressure
Power & Customers EBITDA fell ~3% to EUR 2.0 billion YoY, with Iberia EBITDA down ~3.2% to EUR 1,002 million (impacted by higher ancillary costs, regulated gas rate and lower prices). U.S. Power EBITDA decreased ~32% to $196 million due to lower wind/thermal contribution and timing effects.
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Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Adjusted Net Profit Growth
Adjusted net profit rose 11% year-on-year to EUR 1,865 million in Q1 2026; excluding negative FX effects (~EUR 99 million) adjusted net profit would have grown ~17%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Iberdrola upgraded 2026 guidance to expect adjusted net profit growth of more than 8% (excluding asset‑rotation capital gains), driven by networks as the main growth engine and supported by strong investment, hedging and cash generation: Q1 adjusted net profit was €1,865m (+11%) and adjusted EBITDA €4.1bn (+2.4%); Q1 investment was €2,705m (€14.5bn L12M) with more than half allocated to the U.K. and U.S. (46% U.K., 26% U.S., 20% Brazil, ~10% Spain), and Iberdrola added 3,300 MW over 12 months (2 GW wind, 1 GW solar, >300 MW storage) and expects to commission a further 2.7 GW in 2026 on top of 1 GW already in Q1. Financial guidance/metrics include a pro‑forma net debt of €50.3bn (reported €51.9bn at March), target year‑end net debt ~€55bn, liquidity €21.4bn (covers 23 months), 77% of debt fixed, adjusted net debt/EBITDA 3.4x (vs 3.7x Q1‑25), adjusted FFO/adj net debt ~24% (vs 21.2%), adjusted leverage 44% (vs 47%), FFO +7% (to ~12%), regulated asset base €53bn (RAB +8% YoY; transmission RAB +29% to €14bn), and production hedges of 100% for 2026, ~80% for 2027 and ~75% for 2028; the company also expects an effective tax rate to move toward ~20% by year‑end.

Iberdrola Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability trends are solid (net margin and EBITDA margin improved into 2025), but the overall picture is constrained by recent revenue declines (including a sharp drop in 2025) and weakening/volatile free cash flow, which reduces financial flexibility. Leverage remains meaningful (debt above equity), adding rate/refinancing sensitivity despite being common for utilities.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
57
Neutral
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue55.33B43.75B44.74B49.34B53.95B39.11B
Gross Profit27.03B11.19B23.88B23.30B20.20B17.06B
EBITDA20.55B15.94B17.53B14.36B12.77B11.80B
Net Income6.38B6.04B5.61B4.80B4.34B3.88B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets157.57B160.69B158.29B150.03B154.67B141.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.34B6.34B4.57B3.81B7.47B5.52B
Total Debt56.38B59.77B57.73B63.93B50.42B44.27B
Total Liabilities98.15B97.30B97.24B89.74B96.55B85.63B
Stockholders Equity53.88B50.05B47.13B43.11B41.12B40.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.48B1.14B2.05B4.25B3.66B1.19B
Operating Cash Flow6.62B8.45B11.93B12.13B10.44B8.11B
Investing Cash Flow-6.01B-11.30B-8.40B-9.69B-10.15B-9.49B
Financing Cash Flow-2.21B2.69B-2.27B-4.09B151.00M1.87B

Iberdrola Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price90.29
Price Trends
50DMA
92.08
Negative
100DMA
90.88
Positive
200DMA
84.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.58
Positive
RSI
45.43
Neutral
STOCH
45.59
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IBDRY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 90.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 92.27, below the 50-day MA of 92.08, and above the 200-day MA of 84.37, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.58 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.59 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IBDRY.

Iberdrola Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
61
Neutral
$152.26B19.6911.79%3.38%7.64%28.60%
61
Neutral
$59.79B13.816.53%2.91%2.23%-35.44%
59
Neutral
$7.50B47.5416.88%12.98%10.16%-29.63%
55
Neutral
$18.11B-48.287.74%4.92%13.02%
53
Neutral
$10.50B5.1728.87%5.06%2.76%5.46%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IBDRY
Iberdrola
91.12
20.02
28.16%
BIP
Brookfield Infrastructure
39.19
8.47
27.57%
CIG
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais
2.29
0.63
38.29%
SRE
Sempra Energy
91.46
16.90
22.67%
AES
AES
14.73
5.10
52.90%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 04, 2026