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Iberdrola (IBDRY)
OTHER OTC:IBDRY
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Iberdrola (IBDRY) AI Stock Analysis

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IBDRY

Iberdrola

(OTC:IBDRY)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$105.00
▲(8.76% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/22/26
The score is driven by strong technical positioning (price above key moving averages with positive MACD) and a notably positive earnings-call outlook with reaffirmed growth guidance and solid operational momentum. Offsetting factors are weaker financial flexibility from volatile/thin free cash flow and recent revenue contraction, while valuation is only moderately attractive due to a relatively high P/E despite a supportive dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Regulated networks / RAB expansion
An expanding regulated asset base (RAB) and stepped-up networks investment underpin predictable, tariff‑backed cash flows and stable returns. Higher RAB tilts Iberdrola's earnings mix toward regulated remuneration, reducing merchant exposure and supporting long‑term EBITDA resilience and reinvestment capacity.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage relative to equity
Sustained debt levels above equity increase interest‑rate and refinancing risk over the medium term. For a capital‑intensive utility, higher leverage constrains financial flexibility, raises cost of capital when rates climb, and limits capacity to de‑risk via rapid debt reduction without compressing growth or payouts.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulated networks / RAB expansion
An expanding regulated asset base (RAB) and stepped-up networks investment underpin predictable, tariff‑backed cash flows and stable returns. Higher RAB tilts Iberdrola's earnings mix toward regulated remuneration, reducing merchant exposure and supporting long‑term EBITDA resilience and reinvestment capacity.
Read all positive factors

Iberdrola (IBDRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Iberdrola Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Iberdrola, S.A. is a prominent energy utility based in Spain, conducting electricity generation, transmission, distribution, and supply operations both domestically and across various international markets. The company harnesses a diverse portfoli...
How the Company Makes Money
Iberdrola makes money primarily by generating, moving, and selling electricity, supported by a mix of regulated and market-based revenue streams. (1) Regulated networks (transmission and distribution): A significant portion of earnings comes from ...

Iberdrola Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 22, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a predominantly positive operational and financial picture: strong profit and EBITDA growth, accelerated investment (notably in regulated Networks), an expanded renewables and storage pipeline, accretive M&A (Caruna) and solid liquidity and credit metrics. The main negatives are FX headwinds, higher net debt and some region-specific earnings weakness/one-off impacts (derivatives, asset sales, ancillary costs). Overall the positive drivers (robust earnings growth, larger regulated asset base, pipeline and strong liquidity/ratings) materially outweigh the challenges.
Positive Updates
Strong Net Profit Growth
Reported net profit rose 22% year-on-year to EUR 4,336 million; adjusted net profit increased 8% to EUR 3,565 million (would have grown ~14% excluding FX headwinds).
Negative Updates
Foreign Exchange Headwinds
Depreciation of the U.S. dollar and British pound vs euro negatively impacted operating results by ~EUR 106 million and adjusted gross margin by ~EUR 220 million; adjusted net profit growth would have been materially higher (14% excl. FX).
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Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Net Profit Growth
Reported net profit rose 22% year-on-year to EUR 4,336 million; adjusted net profit increased 8% to EUR 3,565 million (would have grown ~14% excluding FX headwinds).
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Company Guidance
Iberdrola reaffirmed its 2026 guidance of adjusted net profit growth above 8% (H1 adjusted net profit EUR 3,565m; H1 adjusted EBITDA EUR 8,050m), noting that excluding FX the adjusted net profit could grow ~14%; management said this outlook is supported by strong operational metrics — 100% of expected energy already sold, 1,600 MW commissioned in H1 and 2.1 GW targeted by year‑end (3.5 GW added in the last 12 months), pumped‑storage at ~35% of hydro output with hydro reserves ~8.3 TWh/73% fill — and by continued Networks momentum (RAB up, RIIO‑T3 in the U.K., full-year Neoenergia contribution, Caruna deal) plus accelerated investment (CapEx +25% to >EUR7bn H1, Networks ≈EUR4.4bn ≈2/3 of CapEx), a development pipeline (2.2 GW under construction, +3 GW ready for FID, 4 GW advanced) that could lift capacity additions to 15.5 GW by 2030 (vs 9.5 GW previously), and solid financial headroom (FFO/adj net debt 22.4%, liquidity EUR21.5bn ≈20 months, adj net debt/EBITDA 3.5x, adjusted leverage 45.3%, net debt ~EUR56bn expected year‑end); management also flags AI efficiency gains (300 projects in production, 150 in development, >4,000 trained) worth “hundreds of millions” and said if Q2 trends persist they may upgrade guidance after summer.

Iberdrola Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is solid with improving net and EBITDA margins over time, but recent revenue declines (including a sharp drop in 2025) weaken near-term momentum. Leverage is meaningful (debt above equity), and cash flow quality is the main drag: operating cash flow fell in 2025 and free cash flow is thin/volatile, reducing flexibility for dividends, debt reduction, and reinvestment.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
57
Neutral
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue45.14B43.75B44.74B49.34B53.95B39.11B
Gross Profit17.31B11.19B23.88B23.30B20.20B17.06B
EBITDA18.21B16.76B17.53B14.36B12.77B11.80B
Net Income7.05B6.04B5.61B4.80B4.34B3.88B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets165.10B160.69B158.29B150.03B154.67B141.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.61B6.34B4.57B3.81B7.47B5.52B
Total Debt62.47B59.77B57.73B63.93B50.42B44.27B
Total Liabilities102.66B97.30B97.24B89.74B96.55B85.63B
Stockholders Equity50.85B50.05B47.13B43.11B41.12B40.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.001.14B2.05B4.25B3.66B1.19B
Operating Cash Flow0.008.45B11.93B12.13B10.44B8.11B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-11.30B-8.40B-9.69B-10.15B-9.49B
Financing Cash Flow0.002.69B-2.27B-4.09B151.00M1.87B

Iberdrola Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price96.54
Price Trends
50DMA
94.15
Positive
100DMA
92.40
Positive
200DMA
88.42
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
47.07
Neutral
STOCH
36.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IBDRY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 96.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 96.01, above the 50-day MA of 94.15, and above the 200-day MA of 88.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IBDRY.

Iberdrola Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$157.05B19.1213.55%3.28%8.55%42.44%
64
Neutral
$19.23B59.667.74%4.33%16.38%3611.34%
64
Neutral
$57.89B28.296.53%2.80%2.23%-35.44%
62
Neutral
$10.47B7.8128.87%4.74%2.76%5.46%
59
Neutral
$7.33B9.6116.88%7.37%10.16%-29.63%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IBDRY
Iberdrola
94.82
24.41
34.66%
BIP
Brookfield Infrastructure
39.91
10.47
35.55%
CIG
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais
2.15
0.46
27.14%
SRE
Sempra Energy
86.65
7.78
9.87%
AES
AES
14.68
2.45
20.02%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 22, 2026