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Iberdrola (IBDRY)
OTHER OTC:IBDRY

Iberdrola (IBDRY) AI Stock Analysis

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IBDRY

Iberdrola

(OTC:IBDRY)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$97.00
▲(7.43% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/03/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financials—improving profitability but pressured by declining revenue, thin/volatile free cash flow, and meaningful leverage. Technicals are moderately supportive, while valuation is fair-to-slightly expensive for the sector but helped by a solid dividend. Earnings call tone and reiterated guidance provide a positive offset, led by strong regulated Networks momentum.
Positive Factors
Regulated Networks Momentum
Sustained double-digit Networks EBITDA growth reflects entrenched regulated cash flows and execution on large transmission/distribution contracts. Regulated earnings are less cyclically exposed, supporting durable EBITDA visibility and funding for capex, dividends and deleveraging over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Recent Revenue Contraction
A large recent top-line decline increases uncertainty about sustainable growth and may pressure margins if volume or price recovery stalls. Persistent revenue weakness can constrain reinvestment, slow RAB growth translation, and make earnings targets harder to hit without further network offset.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulated Networks Momentum
Sustained double-digit Networks EBITDA growth reflects entrenched regulated cash flows and execution on large transmission/distribution contracts. Regulated earnings are less cyclically exposed, supporting durable EBITDA visibility and funding for capex, dividends and deleveraging over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Iberdrola (IBDRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Iberdrola Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Iberdrola, S.A. engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and supply of electricity in Spain and internationally. It generates and markets electrical power using renewable sources, such as onshore and offshore wind, hydro, solar photo...
How the Company Makes Money
Iberdrola generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from electricity generation, distribution, and retail services. The company capitalizes on its extensive portfolio of renewable energy assets, which produce electricity that is so...

Iberdrola Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong operational and financial momentum driven by the Networks business (robust EBITDA growth, large investments, increased RAB, secured long-term regulated frameworks and pipeline), solid cash generation, deleveraging and progressive shareholder returns. Weaknesses were concentrated in the Power & Customers segment (lower prices, volumes and higher ancillary costs), several one-off write-downs/provisions (renewable pipeline adjustments) and a sharp decline in Mexico's reported EBITDA tied to asset sales. Management maintains positive forward guidance (adjusted profit > EUR 6.6bn for 2026 and aims to exceed prior 2028 targets) and highlights multiple regulatory wins and financing successes that support growth and rating targets.
Positive Updates
Net Profit Growth
Reported net profit of EUR 6,285 million, up 12% year-on-year; adjusted net profit EUR 6,231 million, up 10.3% and management states EUR 6,749 million excluding EUR 464 million noncash renewable pipeline charges.
Negative Updates
Power & Customers EBITDA Decline
Power & Customers adjusted EBITDA fell ~10% (EUR 7.9bn in 2025 vs EUR 8.8bn in 2024 excluding asset-rotation gains) due to lower market prices, volumes and higher ancillary services costs (notably reinforced system operation in Iberia).
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Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Net Profit Growth
Reported net profit of EUR 6,285 million, up 12% year-on-year; adjusted net profit EUR 6,231 million, up 10.3% and management states EUR 6,749 million excluding EUR 464 million noncash renewable pipeline charges.
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Company Guidance
Management reiterated guidance for adjusted net profit of >€6.6 billion in 2026 (aiming to add ~€1.0 billion in two years) and to exceed the €7.6 billion 2028 target, supported by 2025 results of reported net profit €6.285 billion (adjusted net profit €6.231 billion), adjusted EBITDA €15.684 billion, operating cash flow €12.811 billion (+8.2%), and a regulated asset base ~€51 billion (management cites ~12% y/y growth) after total investment of €14.460 billion (≈2/3 to networks, ~€9bn). Management expects 2026 net debt of €54–55 billion (vs. €50.2 billion at 2025 year‑end), strong credit metrics (FFO/adjusted net debt 25.5%, adjusted net debt/EBITDA ~3.0x), and incremental EBITDA drivers already contracted or announced including NECEC +€125m p.a., Brazil transmission +€250m p.a.; operational build‑out includes 2.7 GW commissioned in 2025, 4.7 GW under construction and ~9 GW ready for 2028.

Iberdrola Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability has improved (higher net and EBITDA margins), but recent revenue contraction and weakening/volatile free cash flow reduce financial flexibility. Leverage remains meaningful (debt above equity), increasing sensitivity to rates and refinancing conditions despite utilities’ typically higher debt use.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
57
Neutral
Cash Flow
46
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue55.33B43.75B44.74B49.34B53.95B39.11B
Gross Profit27.03B11.19B23.88B23.30B20.20B17.06B
EBITDA20.55B15.94B17.53B14.36B12.77B11.80B
Net Income6.38B6.04B5.61B4.80B4.34B3.88B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets157.57B160.69B158.29B150.03B154.67B141.75B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.34B6.34B4.57B3.81B7.47B5.52B
Total Debt56.38B59.77B57.73B63.93B50.42B44.27B
Total Liabilities98.15B97.30B97.24B89.74B96.55B85.63B
Stockholders Equity53.88B50.05B47.13B43.11B41.12B40.48B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.48B1.14B2.05B4.25B3.66B1.19B
Operating Cash Flow6.62B8.45B11.93B12.13B10.44B8.11B
Investing Cash Flow-6.01B-11.30B-8.40B-9.69B-10.15B-9.49B
Financing Cash Flow-2.21B2.69B-2.27B-4.09B151.00M1.87B

Iberdrola Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price90.29
Price Trends
50DMA
90.81
Positive
100DMA
87.29
Positive
200DMA
80.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.35
Negative
RSI
52.97
Neutral
STOCH
63.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IBDRY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 90.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 89.76, below the 50-day MA of 90.81, and above the 200-day MA of 80.76, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IBDRY.

Iberdrola Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$7.71B6.5317.23%12.98%-0.38%-53.94%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
64
Neutral
$63.48B31.375.82%2.91%9.07%-28.58%
60
Neutral
$152.49B31.6912.54%3.38%2.21%-16.95%
59
Neutral
$16.69B35.609.74%4.92%8.14%
55
Neutral
$10.04B10.7620.40%5.06%-1.55%12.83%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IBDRY
Iberdrola
91.00
26.98
42.14%
BIP
Brookfield Infrastructure
36.12
7.31
25.37%
CIG
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais
2.39
0.88
58.70%
SRE
Sempra Energy
97.17
26.49
37.47%
AES
AES
14.09
2.29
19.37%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 03, 2026