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Iberdrola (IBDRY)
OTHER OTC:IBDRY

Iberdrola (IBDRY) AI Stock Analysis

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IBDRY

Iberdrola

(OTC:IBDRY)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$102.00
▲(13.64% Upside)
Iberdrola's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call, which highlight robust growth and strategic investments. The technical indicators suggest caution due to potential overbought conditions, and the valuation indicates moderate upside. The company's stable financial profile and strategic focus on renewables and networks support its long-term prospects, though regulatory challenges in Spain and debt levels warrant attention.
Positive Factors
Renewable-focused, diversified global business
Iberdrola's integrated model across generation, distribution and retail plus a large renewable asset base provides diversified, durable cashflows. Its global footprint reduces reliance on any single market and aligns with the long-term energy transition driving sustained demand for clean power and networks.
Strong operational cash generation
Robust operating cash flow (2.48x net income) and positive free cash flow give Iberdrola durable funding for capex, dividends and debt reduction. Sustainable cash generation supports its long-term investment program in renewables and networks without excessive external financing dependence.
Large, sustained investment program and regulated growth
Record €9bn investments and plans to grow the regulated asset base materially increase scale and predictable regulated revenues. Building regulated assets and new capacity strengthens long-term EBITDA visibility and supports returns profile as regulatory frameworks in key markets mature.
Negative Factors
Moderate leverage and sizable net debt
A debt-to-equity around 1.15 and substantial consolidated net debt create structural leverage in a capital-intensive business. This constrains financial flexibility, increases interest-rate sensitivity and could limit the pace of future investments or increase funding costs if market conditions tighten.
Regulatory uncertainty in core market (Spain)
Uncertainty over Spain's network regulatory framework threatens returns on regulated investments and could delay or reprice planned projects. For a company with significant Iberian exposure, unclear rules raise long-term risk to cashflows, capital allocation and the pace of domestic network expansion.
Exposure of renewables margins to market and ancillary costs
Merchant renewables remain exposed to wholesale price swings and rising ancillary service costs, which can erode margins absent long-term contracts. Persistent market volatility or structural system operation changes could depress returns on new capacity and require more hedging or contracted revenue strategies.

Iberdrola (IBDRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Iberdrola Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIberdrola, S.A. engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and supply of electricity in Spain and internationally. It generates and markets electrical power using renewable sources, such as onshore and offshore wind, hydro, solar photovoltaic, combined cycle gas, nuclear, and biomass, as well as through installation of batteries. The company is also involved in the purchase and sale of electricity and gas on wholesale markets; development of green hydrogen projects; and distribution and sale of gas. It has a total installed capacity of 58,320 MW, including 38,138 MW of renewable installed capacity; and operates 1.2 million kilometers of electricity transmission and distribution lines, as well as serves 36.11 million consumers. In addition, the company offers energy storage, heat pumps, self-consumption, and electric vehicles for residential customers; and management of energy facilities, as well as supplies green H2, industrial heat, etc. to industrial customers. Iberdrola, S.A. was founded in 1840 and is headquartered in Bilbao, Spain.
How the Company Makes MoneyIberdrola generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from electricity generation, distribution, and retail services. The company capitalizes on its extensive portfolio of renewable energy assets, which produce electricity that is sold to wholesale markets and directly to consumers. Revenue is also derived from its regulated distribution networks, which charge fees for delivering electricity to end-users. Furthermore, Iberdrola earns income through long-term energy supply contracts, especially in regions where it has established a strong market presence. Strategic partnerships with other companies and investments in international markets enhance its revenue potential. The company's commitment to sustainability and innovation in energy solutions further solidifies its position in the growing renewable energy market, contributing positively to its earnings.

Iberdrola Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call conveyed a strong overall performance with significant growth in net profit and investments, particularly in the Networks and Renewables sectors. However, challenges such as increased costs due to system operation changes and regulatory uncertainties in Spain were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Profit Growth
Reported net profit reached EUR 5,307 million, marking a 17% increase in adjusted net profit for the first 9 months of 2025, excluding capital gains from asset rotation.
Robust Networks Business Performance
EBITDA for the Networks business rose by 26%, driven by a higher rate base and improved regulatory frameworks, particularly in the United Kingdom and Brazil.
Record Investment and Capacity Expansion
Total investment reached a record EUR 9 billion, with 2,000 megawatts of new capacity added in the last 12 months.
Improved Financial Position
The company reduced consolidated net debt by EUR 3.2 billion to EUR 48.5 billion, improving financial ratios and aligning with a BBB+ rating.
Increased Shareholder Remuneration
Interim shareholder remuneration increased by 8.2% to EUR 0.25 per share, reflecting strong operating performance and financial position.
Positive Developments in Renewable Energy Projects
Significant progress was made in offshore wind projects in the UK and US, including the East Anglia THREE and Vineyard Wind 1 projects.
Negative Updates
Impact of Ancillary Service Costs
EBITDA from Renewables & Customers was negatively impacted by lower market prices and higher ancillary service costs in Iberia due to system operation changes.
Challenges in Spain's Regulatory Framework
The company faces uncertainty regarding the regulatory framework for networks in Spain, affecting investment plans.
Negative Impact from Blackout in Iberia
The blackout in Iberia resulted in increased costs for ancillary services, impacting financial results.
Downturn in Brazilian Renewables
Brazil experienced a 23.6% decline in renewable and thermal production EBITDA compared to last year.
Company Guidance
During the call, Iberdrola provided guidance for the fiscal year 2025, highlighting several key metrics. The company reported a 17% increase in adjusted net profit, excluding capital gains from asset rotation, with a net profit of EUR 5,307 million for the first nine months of 2025. EBITDA reached EUR 12,438 million, driven by a 26% increase in the Networks business. Investments hit a record EUR 9 billion, with a focus on expanding the regulated asset base to nearly EUR 50 billion. The company also reduced net debt by EUR 3.2 billion to EUR 48.5 billion, improving financial ratios in line with a BBB+ rating. In terms of shareholder returns, interim remuneration increased by 8.2% to EUR 0.25 per share. Iberdrola projected double-digit growth in adjusted net profit to over EUR 6.2 billion, even excluding a EUR 389 million cost recognition in the U.S., aiming to reach EUR 6.6 billion by year-end. The company intends to use capital gains from transactions to enhance future efficiencies and plans further investment in storage and renewable energy projects, particularly in the U.S. and the U.K.

Iberdrola Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Iberdrola demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent profitability and efficient cost management. The income statement shows solid margins, and the balance sheet reflects a stable financial structure despite moderate leverage. Cash flows are robust, supporting operational and investment needs, though the debt level requires careful management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Iberdrola has shown consistent profitability with strong gross profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin stands at approximately 48.97%, and the EBIT margin is around 18.19%, indicating efficient cost management. Despite a slight revenue decline from 2022 to 2023, the net profit margin remains healthy at about 9.74%. Overall, the company demonstrates solid income statement performance with stable margins.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a balanced equity ratio of about 29.76% and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.15, which is moderate for the industry. While the equity ratio indicates a stable financial structure, the relatively high debt level could pose a potential risk if not managed carefully. Return on equity is strong at approximately 10.19%, reflecting effective use of shareholder capital.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Iberdrola's cash flow statements reveal robust operational cash flows, with an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.48, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow has seen a decline, yet it remains positive, demonstrating financial flexibility. The company maintains a healthy free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.43, indicating efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue55.33B44.74B49.34B53.95B39.11B33.15B
Gross Profit27.03B23.88B23.30B20.20B17.06B16.14B
EBITDA20.55B17.53B14.36B12.77B11.80B10.12B
Net Income6.38B5.61B4.80B4.34B3.88B3.61B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets157.57B158.29B150.03B154.67B141.75B122.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.34B4.57B3.81B7.47B5.52B3.98B
Total Debt56.38B57.73B63.93B50.42B44.27B40.51B
Total Liabilities98.15B97.24B89.74B96.55B85.63B75.30B
Stockholders Equity53.88B47.13B43.11B41.12B40.48B35.41B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.48B2.05B4.25B3.66B1.19B2.50B
Operating Cash Flow6.62B11.93B12.13B10.44B8.11B8.35B
Investing Cash Flow-6.01B-8.40B-9.69B-10.15B-9.49B-6.64B
Financing Cash Flow-2.21B-2.27B-4.09B151.00M1.87B-71.00M

Iberdrola Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price89.76
Price Trends
50DMA
85.21
Positive
100DMA
81.31
Positive
200DMA
76.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.35
Negative
RSI
66.39
Neutral
STOCH
88.03
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IBDRY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 89.76 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 87.42, above the 50-day MA of 85.21, and above the 200-day MA of 76.50, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.03 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IBDRY.

Iberdrola Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$147.50B23.2011.16%3.38%2.21%-16.95%
70
Outperform
$7.01B8.8213.35%12.98%-0.38%-53.94%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$56.27B26.557.10%2.91%9.07%-28.58%
65
Neutral
$10.49B8.9723.02%5.06%-1.55%12.83%
59
Neutral
$16.92B37.527.99%4.92%8.14%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IBDRY
Iberdrola
89.76
34.04
61.10%
BIP
Brookfield Infrastructure
36.70
5.37
17.14%
CIG
Companhia Energetica Minas Gerais
2.21
0.55
33.53%
SRE
Sempra Energy
87.00
7.31
9.17%
AES
AES
16.09
6.18
62.31%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 28, 2025