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Healthequity (HQY)
NASDAQ:HQY
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Healthequity (HQY) AI Stock Analysis

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HQY

Healthequity

(NASDAQ:HQY)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$98.00
▲(9.11% Upside)
Healthequity's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are significant strengths, contributing to a solid overall score. However, bearish technical indicators and a high P/E ratio suggest caution. The stock buyback program adds a positive note, but the overall outlook is tempered by valuation concerns and technical weaknesses.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
HealthEquity reported financial results that topped expectations and full-year guidance was raised.
Legislation Impact
The revised Senate bill reinstates provisions allowing Bronze & Catastrophic plans to qualify as HDHPs for HSAs, unlocking a 5MM+ member TAM.
Revenue Growth
Total revenue increased 15.0% to $330.8 million, driven by robust custodial revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Legislative Challenges
The draft of the Senate Bill lacks any reference to HSAs, cooling sentiment on HQY as legislative TAM unlock returns to the back-burner.
Macroeconomic Environment
Account growth was relatively weak in the quarter, reflecting a general saturation of HSA adoption and a weaker macro environment.
Market Sentiment
Sentiment has cooled recently, as HQY shares dropped significantly while the S&P saw a slight increase, suggesting market anticipated the HSA omission in Senate's version of the bill.

Healthequity (HQY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Healthequity Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHealthequity (HQY) is a leading provider of health savings account (HSA) solutions and a prominent player in the healthcare financial technology sector. The company specializes in administering HSAs, flexible spending accounts (FSAs), and health reimbursement arrangements (HRAs), enabling individuals and employers to manage healthcare costs more effectively. Healthequity's platform offers a range of services, including account management, investment options, and user-friendly interfaces that facilitate seamless transactions and financial planning for healthcare expenses.
How the Company Makes MoneyHealthequity generates revenue through multiple key streams. Primarily, the company earns fees from account holders, which include monthly maintenance fees, transaction fees, and investment fees for those who choose to invest their HSA balances. Additionally, Healthequity collaborates with employers and third-party administrators, providing them with customized HSA and benefits solutions, for which it charges service fees. The company also benefits from interest income generated on the cash balances held in HSAs. Significant partnerships with employers, insurance companies, and financial institutions bolster its client base and enhance its service offerings, contributing to its overall earnings.

Healthequity Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 03, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: -13.43%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 02, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong start to fiscal 2026, with significant growth in key metrics, successful fraud reduction efforts, and positive legislative developments that could expand the HSA market. Despite some challenges with softer HSA sales and ongoing fraud costs, the company's raised financial guidance and strategic investments in technology and security contribute to a positive outlook.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Year-Over-Year Growth
Revenue increased by 15%, adjusted EBITDA grew by 19%, HSAs increased by 9%, and HSA assets rose by 15% year-over-year. Total accounts reached over 17 million, with HSA assets increasing by $4 billion.
HSA Investment Growth
The number of HSA members who invest grew by 16%, with invested assets up 24% to $14.2 billion.
Fraud Reduction Success
Fraud service costs reduced from $11 million in Q4 to $3 million in Q1, with significant investments in fraud detection and prevention technologies.
Positive Legislative Developments
Proposed budget bill includes provisions that could expand HSA access to up to 20 million more American families, including working seniors eligible for Medicare Part A.
Technology and Security Advancements
Expansion of Member First secure mobile experience, AI-driven expedited claims processing, and enhanced security measures to protect member assets.
Raised Financial Guidance
Raised fiscal 2026 revenue guidance to $1.285-$1.305 billion and adjusted EBITDA to $530-$550 million.
Negative Updates
Softer HSA Sales
150,000 new HSAs opened in the quarter, down from a record-setting last year, indicating softer macroeconomic conditions impacting new account growth.
Continued Fraud Challenges
Despite improvements, fraud costs of $3 million remain a concern, with ongoing efforts required to achieve target fraud cost levels.
Company Guidance
During the HealthEquity First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call, significant guidance metrics were shared, highlighting robust financial performance and strategic initiatives. The company reported a 15% year-over-year revenue increase, with adjusted EBITDA rising by 19%. Health Savings Accounts (HSAs) grew by 9%, while Consumer-Directed Benefits (CDB) accounts increased by 4%, leading to a total account growth of 7%. HSA assets saw a 15% rise, reaching over $31 billion, with invested assets increasing by 24% to $14.2 billion. The number of HSA members who invest grew by 16%, and HSA cash stood at $17.1 billion. HealthEquity ended the quarter with more than 17 million total accounts, including net CDB account growth of 260,000. The company raised its fiscal year 2026 outlook, projecting revenue between $1.285 billion and $1.305 billion, and adjusted EBITDA between $530 million and $550 million. The forward guidance reflects optimism in enterprise pipeline build and adoption of HSA-qualified health plans, alongside significant investments in technology and security to enhance fraud prevention and operational efficiencies.

Healthequity Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Healthequity demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and improved profitability. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, and cash flows are healthy, reflecting efficient operations and effective cash management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Healthequity shows a strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and improved profitability. Gross Profit Margin is robust at 63.0%, and Net Profit Margin has improved to 9.8% in the TTM period. Revenue growth is impressive, with a 24.1% increase from the previous year. The EBIT Margin is healthy at 16.5%, and the EBITDA Margin is solid at 30.5%, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Healthequity is stable with a reasonable Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.52, indicating moderate leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) has improved significantly to 5.7%, showing effective utilization of equity. The Equity Ratio is strong at 62.2%, highlighting a solid equity base. However, total debt levels have increased slightly, which should be monitored for future stability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong operational cash generation with an Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 2.78, indicating robust cash conversion. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is healthy at 158.6% from the previous period, and the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.72, showing effective cash management. Despite a high capital expenditure, free cash flow remains positive.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.24B1.20B999.59M861.75M756.56M733.57M
Gross Profit783.45M777.26M622.64M490.09M423.71M415.33M
EBITDA379.70M337.54M282.42M171.53M102.97M154.93M
Net Income121.81M96.70M55.71M-26.14M-44.29M8.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.42B3.45B3.16B3.09B3.11B2.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments287.89M295.95M403.98M254.27M225.41M328.80M
Total Debt1.11B1.11B933.14M994.49M1.01B1.07B
Total Liabilities1.29B1.33B1.13B1.19B1.25B1.33B
Stockholders Equity2.12B2.11B2.04B1.90B1.85B1.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow87.52M337.77M196.75M31.52M3.91M84.66M
Operating Cash Flow339.17M339.86M242.83M150.65M141.00M181.62M
Investing Cash Flow-251.65M-505.45M-46.07M-119.13M-639.25M-96.96M
Financing Cash Flow-50.85M57.57M-47.04M-2.67M394.86M52.42M

Healthequity Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price89.82
Price Trends
50DMA
96.97
Negative
100DMA
94.89
Negative
200DMA
97.83
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.08
Negative
RSI
41.62
Neutral
STOCH
40.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HQY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 89.82 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 91.89, below the 50-day MA of 96.97, and below the 200-day MA of 97.83, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 41.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HQY.

Healthequity Risk Analysis

Healthequity disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Healthequity reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Healthequity Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$11.92B55.2524.25%19.45%46.46%
76
Outperform
$1.99B39.9510.94%9.62%-6.61%
69
Neutral
$7.78B64.815.77%19.21%50.06%
66
Neutral
$1.62B47.095.27%3.20%
61
Neutral
$2.11B116.013.56%3.29%-24.79%-78.38%
51
Neutral
$7.82B-0.16-39.78%2.19%21.38%-1.56%
47
Neutral
$1.30B-14.18%-2.57%79.86%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HQY
Healthequity
89.82
13.86
18.25%
PINC
Premier
25.14
5.92
30.80%
TDOC
Teladoc
7.68
0.37
5.06%
PGNY
Progyny
23.53
1.83
8.43%
GDRX
GoodRx Holdings
4.56
-3.59
-44.05%
DOCS
Doximity
67.74
31.10
84.88%

Healthequity Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsStock Buyback
Healthequity Announces New $300 Million Stock Buyback
Positive
Jun 27, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Healthequity held its Annual Meeting where stockholders approved all three proposals, including the election of nine directors and the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent accounting firm. Additionally, the board authorized a new $300 million stock repurchase program, supplementing the previous program, allowing the company to repurchase shares under favorable market conditions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025