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Healthequity (HQY)
NASDAQ:HQY

Healthequity (HQY) AI Stock Analysis

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Healthequity

(NASDAQ:HQY)

71Outperform
Healthequity's strong financial performance, particularly in revenue growth and cash flow generation, is a significant positive factor. However, the high P/E ratio and absence of dividends indicate a premium valuation that may pose risks if growth does not meet expectations. The technical analysis suggests mixed signals with some short-term strength but longer-term caution. The earnings call supports a positive outlook, though increased costs due to fraud need close monitoring. Overall, the stock exhibits a solid growth trajectory but with valuation and cost challenges that could impact future performance.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
HQY reported strong operating results including revenue growth of 19% y/y and total HSA asset growth of 27% y/y.
Growth Potential
Longer term, there is a favorable outlook on the growing HSA market, HQY's ability to gain market share, and HSA cash repricing at higher yields, which should lead to margin expansion and double-digit EPS growth.
Market Position
The stock had been outperforming peers and the market due in part to the flight to quality for some investors, the growing expectation for federal legislative improvements in the functionality of HSAs, and a reasonably stable interest rate outlook.
Negative Factors
Cybersecurity Expenses
Temporarily elevated cybersecurity expenses are expected to carry over into the first half of FY26.
Management and Governance
The stock's recent underperformance is due in part to its disclosure of fraud against some of its HSA customers and near-term investor concerns about recent management changes.
Operational Costs
Service costs have increased due to the need to address fraudulent account activity.

Healthequity (HQY) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Healthequity Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHealthEquity, Inc. (HQY) is a leading provider in the financial technology sector that specializes in administering health savings accounts (HSAs) and other consumer-directed benefits. Founded in 2002 and headquartered in Draper, Utah, the company offers a comprehensive platform that empowers individuals to optimize their healthcare savings and spending. HealthEquity's core services include HSA administration, flexible spending accounts (FSAs), health reimbursement arrangements (HRAs), and COBRA administration, catering to employers, individuals, and health plan providers.
How the Company Makes MoneyHealthEquity generates revenue through a multi-faceted model primarily centered around its health savings account (HSA) administration services. The company earns money by charging fees for account maintenance and management, which are usually paid by employers or health plan providers. Additionally, HealthEquity benefits from interchange fees on HSA debit card transactions and earns interest on custodial funds held in HSAs. Another significant revenue stream comes from investment income, as account holders can invest their HSA funds in mutual funds and other investment vehicles through HealthEquity's platform. The company also partners with employers and health plans to provide a suite of consumer-directed benefits, such as FSAs and HRAs, which contribute to its earnings through service fees and administration charges. Strategic partnerships with health insurers and financial institutions further enhance its market reach and revenue potential.

Healthequity Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Healthequity exhibits robust financial performance across all verticals. The income statement highlights strong revenue growth and improving profit margins. The balance sheet showcases a solid equity position with low leverage, though there is potential to enhance ROE. The cash flow statement confirms strong cash generation and effective capital management. Overall, the company's financials indicate a strong growth trajectory with stable profitability and liquidity.
Income Statement
Healthequity shows strong revenue growth with a 20% increase year-over-year, reaching $1.2 billion in total revenue. Gross profit margins are high at 64.8%, indicating effective cost management. Net profit margin improved significantly to 8.1% from the previous year's 5.6%, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 13.5%, showcasing profitability. Overall, the income statement reflects a robust growth trajectory and operational strength.
Balance Sheet
75
The company maintains a healthy equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02, reflecting low leverage. The equity ratio stands at 61.3%, indicating a strong equity base. Return on equity improved to 4.6%, demonstrating better profitability from shareholders' investments. While the balance sheet shows stability and low financial risk, the moderate ROE indicates room for improvement in utilizing equity efficiently.
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow increased substantially, resulting in a favorable operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.5, indicating strong cash generation relative to net earnings. Free cash flow grew by 71.7%, demonstrating effective cash management. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 3.5 also highlights the company's ability to generate cash beyond its operational needs. Overall, the cash flow statement reflects solid financial health and liquidity.
Breakdown
Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.20B999.59M861.75M756.56M733.57M
Gross Profit
777.26M622.64M490.09M423.71M415.33M
EBIT
162.33M128.13M38.92M34.64M83.28M
EBITDA
337.54M282.42M171.53M102.97M154.93M
Net Income Common Stockholders
96.70M55.71M-26.14M-44.29M8.83M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
295.95M403.98M254.27M225.41M328.80M
Total Assets
3.45B3.16B3.09B3.11B2.71B
Total Debt
1.11B933.14M994.49M1.01B1.07B
Net Debt
812.57M529.16M740.22M782.82M746.17M
Total Liabilities
1.33B1.13B1.19B1.25B1.33B
Stockholders Equity
2.11B2.04B1.90B1.85B1.38B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
337.77M196.75M31.52M3.91M84.66M
Operating Cash Flow
339.86M242.83M150.65M141.00M181.62M
Investing Cash Flow
-505.45M-46.07M-119.13M-639.25M-96.96M
Financing Cash Flow
57.57M-47.04M-2.67M394.86M52.42M

Healthequity Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price91.42
Price Trends
50DMA
90.83
Positive
100DMA
97.02
Negative
200DMA
90.53
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Negative
RSI
58.25
Neutral
STOCH
86.77
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HQY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 91.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 84.19, above the 50-day MA of 90.83, and above the 200-day MA of 90.53, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.77 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HQY.

Healthequity Risk Analysis

Healthequity disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Healthequity reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Healthequity Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$11.13B59.2821.24%17.47%49.87%
75
Outperform
$1.99B41.4011.14%7.22%-9.84%
73
Outperform
$1.87B16.391.76%4.11%-10.24%-106.48%
HQHQY
71
Outperform
$7.83B83.854.66%20.03%71.43%
68
Neutral
$1.80B110.092.21%5.61%
52
Neutral
$5.35B3.83-41.61%2.85%17.10%1.22%
48
Neutral
$1.24B-54.49%-2.54%-322.03%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HQY
Healthequity
91.42
11.04
13.73%
PINC
Premier
20.51
1.91
10.27%
TDOC
Teladoc
7.15
-5.73
-44.49%
PGNY
Progyny
23.40
-9.66
-29.22%
GDRX
GoodRx Holdings
4.69
-2.84
-37.72%
DOCS
Doximity
59.39
35.02
143.70%

Healthequity Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 18, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: -10.08%|
Next Earnings Date:Jun 09, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
HealthEquity demonstrated strong growth in HSAs and financial metrics, achieving significant milestones and launching new product initiatives. However, the positive results were somewhat overshadowed by increased service costs due to fraud and cyber threats, impacting margins.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking HSA Growth
HealthEquity achieved a milestone with 1 million new Health Savings Accounts (HSAs) added from sales for the year, a first in the company's history.
Strong Financial Growth
Revenue increased by 19% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA grew by 9% in Q4. For the entire fiscal year, revenue was up 20%, and adjusted EBITDA rose 28%.
Significant Increase in HSA Assets
HSA Assets increased by $6.9 billion year-over-year, with a 27% increase compared to the previous year.
Growth in HSA Investor Accounts
The number of HSA members who invest grew by 23% year-over-year, driving invested assets up 44% to $14.7 billion.
Launch of Assist Portfolio
HealthEquity announced the Assist portfolio, which includes Analyzer and Navigator, aimed at improving member engagement and healthcare decision-making.
Negative Updates
Increased Service Costs due to Fraud
Gross profit during the quarter was reduced by approximately $17 million due to additional service costs incurred to protect members from sophisticated fraud activity.
Challenges with Fraud Prevention
Increased cyber threats and fraud attacks required significant investment in fraud prevention and detection capabilities, impacting service costs.
Margin Pressure
Adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of revenue decreased from 38% to 35% in Q4, affected by service costs related to fraud activity.
Company Guidance
In the HealthEquity Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported robust year-over-year growth in several key metrics. Revenue increased by 19%, while adjusted EBITDA rose by 9%. Health Savings Accounts (HSAs) grew 14%, and Consumer-Directed Benefits (CDB) accounts increased by 2%, driving Total Accounts up by 9%. HSA Assets saw a significant 27% rise, reaching a total of $32 billion, with $6.9 billion in year-over-year growth. The number of HSA members who invest increased by 23%, contributing to a 44% increase in invested assets, now totaling $14.7 billion. HSA cash reached $17.4 billion. HealthEquity opened 471,000 new HSAs in the fourth quarter, achieving a milestone of 1 million new HSAs from sales for the year. Despite an increase in service costs due to fraud prevention and cyber threats, the company remains committed to enhancing member experiences through technological advancements, such as a new app and AI-driven claims processing. For fiscal 2026, HealthEquity anticipates revenue between $1.28 billion and $1.305 billion, with adjusted EBITDA projected to range from $525 million to $545 million.

Healthequity Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Paul Black Resigns from HealthEquity Board
Neutral
Apr 28, 2025

On April 22, 2025, Paul Black resigned from the Board of Directors of HealthEquity, Inc., leading to a reduction in the Board’s size to ten members. His resignation was not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations or policies. Additionally, the Board will further reduce to nine members on April 30, 2025, following Jon Kessler’s previously announced retirement.

Spark’s Take on HQY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, HQY is a Neutral.

Healthequity’s strong financial performance and growth in key metrics are the primary drivers of its stock score. The company’s robust revenue and profit growth, coupled with effective cash management, present a positive outlook. However, technical indicators reflect weak market momentum, and a high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation risks. The recent earnings call provided optimism but was dampened by increased costs related to fraud prevention. Overall, while the company has a solid financial foundation, market sentiment and valuation concerns weigh on the stock’s attractiveness.

To see Spark’s full report on HQY stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.