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Healthequity (HQY)
NASDAQ:HQY

Healthequity (HQY) AI Stock Analysis

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Healthequity

(NASDAQ:HQY)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$105.00
▲(11.09%Upside)
Healthequity shows strong financial performance and positive strategic initiatives, bolstered by a new stock buyback program. However, technical indicators and valuation concerns weigh on the overall score. Economic uncertainty and ongoing fraud costs present additional risks.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
HealthEquity reported financial results that topped expectations and full-year guidance was raised.
Legislation Impact
The revised Senate bill reinstates provisions allowing Bronze & Catastrophic plans to qualify as HDHPs for HSAs, unlocking a 5MM+ member TAM.
Revenue Growth
Total revenue increased 15.0% to $330.8 million, driven by robust custodial revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Account Growth
Account growth was relatively weak in the quarter, reflecting a general saturation of HSA adoption and a weaker macro environment.
Legislation Challenges
The draft of the Senate Bill lacks any reference to HSAs, cooling sentiment on HQY as legislative TAM unlock returns to the back-burner.
Legislative Exclusion
The exclusion of HSA provisions in the Senate version of the bill is disappointing.

Healthequity (HQY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Healthequity Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHealthEquity, Inc. is a leading provider of technology-enabled services that help consumers make healthcare saving and spending decisions. The company operates primarily in the healthcare sector, focusing on health savings accounts (HSAs) and other consumer-directed benefits. HealthEquity offers a comprehensive platform that integrates health and wealth management, empowering individuals to maximize their savings for healthcare expenses.
How the Company Makes MoneyHealthEquity generates revenue through various streams, primarily from account fees, custodial fees, and interchange fees associated with its health savings accounts (HSAs). Account fees are charged to employers and individuals for maintaining and managing HSAs and other related accounts. Custodial fees are earned by managing the assets held in these accounts. Additionally, HealthEquity benefits from interchange fees on transactions made using HSA-linked debit cards. The company also partners with employers, benefits administrators, and health plans to offer its services as part of employee benefits packages, enhancing its market reach and revenue potential.

Healthequity Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 03, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: -8.91%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 09, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial growth and positive legislative developments, which could expand the market for HSAs significantly. While fraud prevention showed improvement, fraud costs remain a concern, and there is caution regarding economic conditions affecting new HSA sales. Overall, the positive aspects of growth and legislative progress outweigh the challenges of fraud costs and economic uncertainty.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Year-over-Year Growth
Revenue increased 15%, adjusted EBITDA up 19%, HSAs grew 9%, CDB accounts grew 4%, driving total accounts up 7%, and HSA assets up 15%.
Positive Legislative Developments
Proposed budget bill provisions could expand HSA usage for 20 million more American families, including allowing working seniors eligible for Medicare Part A to contribute to HSAs.
Record Custodial Revenue
Custodial revenue grew 29% to a record $156.5 million in the first quarter.
Improved Fraud Prevention
Fraud service costs reduced from $11 million in Q4 to $3 million in Q1, with ongoing investments in security yielding positive results.
Increase in HSA Investment
The number of HSA members who invest grew by 16% year-over-year, driving invested assets up 24% to $14.2 billion.
Strong Cash Flow and Share Repurchase
Generated $65 million of cash flow from operations and repurchased approximately $60 million of outstanding shares.
Negative Updates
Softer HSA Sales
Openings of new HSAs from sales in the quarter were down from last year's record-setting Q1, reflecting softer macroeconomic conditions.
Continued Fraud Costs
While reduced, fraud costs remain a concern with $3 million in reimbursements in Q1, indicating ongoing challenges despite improved prevention measures.
Economic Uncertainty Impact
Caution expressed regarding macroeconomic impact on job creation and GDP growth, which could affect new account sales.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call for HealthEquity's first quarter of fiscal year 2026, the company highlighted several strong financial metrics and strategic initiatives. Revenue increased by 15% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA rising 19%. Health Savings Accounts (HSAs) grew by 9%, and Consumer-Directed Benefits (CDB) accounts increased by 4%, leading to a 7% increase in total accounts, reaching over 17 million. HSA assets saw a significant rise, up 15% to over $31 billion, with invested assets jumping 24% to $14.2 billion. HealthEquity also made strides in reducing fraud costs, which decreased from $11 million in Q4 to $3 million in Q1, and plans to further enhance security measures. The company anticipates continued growth through strategic enhancements, such as leveraging AI for claims processing and expanding mobile app features, alongside legislative efforts to expand HSA access and flexibility.

Healthequity Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Healthequity demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and improved profitability. The income statement is robust with a 24.1% revenue increase and solid profit margins. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, and cash flows show effective management with strong operating cash generation and healthy free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Healthequity shows a strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and improved profitability. Gross Profit Margin is robust at 63.0%, and Net Profit Margin has improved to 9.8% in the TTM period. Revenue growth is impressive, with a 24.1% increase from the previous year. The EBIT Margin is healthy at 16.5%, and the EBITDA Margin is solid at 30.5%, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Healthequity is stable with a reasonable Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.52, indicating moderate leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) has improved significantly to 5.7%, showing effective utilization of equity. The Equity Ratio is strong at 62.2%, highlighting a solid equity base. However, total debt levels have increased slightly, which should be monitored for future stability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong operational cash generation with an Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 2.78, indicating robust cash conversion. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is healthy at 158.6% from the previous period, and the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.72, showing effective cash management. Despite a high capital expenditure, free cash flow remains positive.
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.24B1.20B999.59M861.75M756.56M733.57M
Gross Profit783.45M777.26M622.64M490.09M423.71M415.33M
EBITDA379.70M337.54M282.42M171.53M102.97M154.93M
Net Income121.81M96.70M55.71M-26.14M-44.29M8.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.42B3.45B3.16B3.09B3.11B2.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments287.89M295.95M403.98M254.27M225.41M328.80M
Total Debt1.11B1.11B933.14M994.49M1.01B1.07B
Total Liabilities1.29B1.33B1.13B1.19B1.25B1.33B
Stockholders Equity2.12B2.11B2.04B1.90B1.85B1.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow87.52M337.77M196.75M31.52M3.91M84.66M
Operating Cash Flow339.17M339.86M242.83M150.65M141.00M181.62M
Investing Cash Flow-251.65M-505.45M-46.07M-119.13M-639.25M-96.96M
Financing Cash Flow-50.85M57.57M-47.04M-2.67M394.86M52.42M

Healthequity Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price94.52
Price Trends
50DMA
100.29
Negative
100DMA
96.48
Negative
200DMA
96.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.77
Positive
RSI
33.83
Neutral
STOCH
8.29
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HQY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 94.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 102.00, below the 50-day MA of 100.29, and below the 200-day MA of 96.37, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.77 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.29 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HQY.

Healthequity Risk Analysis

Healthequity disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Healthequity reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Healthequity Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$2.04B41.6710.11%9.47%-7.81%
73
Outperform
$11.28B54.3622.50%19.98%53.10%
68
Neutral
$1.74B65.954.43%4.35%
HQHQY
66
Neutral
$8.65B70.745.77%19.21%50.06%
64
Neutral
$1.78B37.596.05%3.91%-17.69%-10.24%
55
Neutral
$1.55B-54.49%-2.54%-322.03%
52
Neutral
$7.59B0.30-61.86%2.27%16.72%1.10%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HQY
Healthequity
94.52
18.03
23.57%
PINC
Premier
21.08
3.05
16.92%
TDOC
Teladoc
8.32
-1.07
-11.40%
PGNY
Progyny
23.21
-5.74
-19.83%
GDRX
GoodRx Holdings
4.74
-2.97
-38.52%
DOCS
Doximity
60.20
32.70
118.91%

Healthequity Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsStock Buyback
Healthequity Announces New $300 Million Stock Buyback
Positive
Jun 27, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Healthequity held its Annual Meeting where stockholders approved all three proposals, including the election of nine directors and the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent accounting firm. Additionally, the board authorized a new $300 million stock repurchase program, supplementing the previous program, allowing the company to repurchase shares under favorable market conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (HQY) stock is a Hold with a $108.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Healthequity stock, see the HQY Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Paul Black Resigns from HealthEquity Board
Neutral
Apr 28, 2025

On April 22, 2025, Paul Black resigned from the Board of Directors of HealthEquity, Inc., leading to a reduction in the Board’s size to ten members. His resignation was not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations or policies. Additionally, the Board will further reduce to nine members on April 30, 2025, following Jon Kessler’s previously announced retirement.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 11, 2025