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Healthequity (HQY)
NASDAQ:HQY
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Healthequity (HQY) AI Stock Analysis

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HQY

Healthequity

(NASDAQ:HQY)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$102.00
▲(12.01%Upside)
HealthEquity's strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment are the primary drivers of its overall score. However, technical analysis indicates potential bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio suggests overvaluation. The stock buyback program provides a positive corporate event uplift, but economic uncertainties impacting HSA sales pose a risk.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
HealthEquity reported financial results that topped expectations and full-year guidance was raised.
Legislation Impact
The revised Senate bill reinstates provisions allowing Bronze & Catastrophic plans to qualify as HDHPs for HSAs, unlocking a 5MM+ member TAM.
Revenue Growth
Total revenue increased 15.0% to $330.8 million, driven by robust custodial revenue growth.
Negative Factors
Legislation Challenges
The likelihood of HSA provisions being added back is low due to the cost.
Macroeconomic Environment
Growth of HSA accounts showed a slight decline compared to the previous years, influenced by macroeconomic uncertainty.
Market Sentiment
Sentiment has cooled recently, as HQY shares dropped significantly while the S&P saw a slight increase, suggesting market anticipated the HSA omission in Senate's version of the bill.

Healthequity (HQY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Healthequity Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHealthEquity, Inc. provides technology-enabled services platforms to consumers and employers in the United States. The company offers cloud-based platforms for individuals to make health saving and spending decisions, pay healthcare bills, compare treatment options and prices, receive personalized benefit and clinical information, earn wellness incentives, grow their savings, and make investment choices; and health savings accounts. It also provides mutual fund investment platform; and online-only automated investment advisory services through Advisor, a Web-based tool. In addition, the company offers flexible spending accounts; health reimbursement arrangements; and Consolidated Omnibus Budget Reconciliation Act continuation services, as well as administers pre-tax commuter benefit programs. It serves clients through a direct sales force; benefits brokers and advisors; and a network of health plans, benefits administrators, benefits brokers and consultants, and retirement plan record-keepers. The company was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Draper, Utah.
How the Company Makes MoneyHealthEquity generates revenue through various streams, primarily from account fees, custodial fees, and interchange fees associated with its health savings accounts (HSAs). Account fees are charged to employers and individuals for maintaining and managing HSAs and other related accounts. Custodial fees are earned by managing the assets held in these accounts. Additionally, HealthEquity benefits from interchange fees on transactions made using HSA-linked debit cards. The company also partners with employers, benefits administrators, and health plans to offer its services as part of employee benefits packages, enhancing its market reach and revenue potential.

Healthequity Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 03, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: -12.24%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 09, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial growth and positive legislative developments, which could expand the market for HSAs significantly. While fraud prevention showed improvement, fraud costs remain a concern, and there is caution regarding economic conditions affecting new HSA sales. Overall, the positive aspects of growth and legislative progress outweigh the challenges of fraud costs and economic uncertainty.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Year-over-Year Growth
Revenue increased 15%, adjusted EBITDA up 19%, HSAs grew 9%, CDB accounts grew 4%, driving total accounts up 7%, and HSA assets up 15%.
Positive Legislative Developments
Proposed budget bill provisions could expand HSA usage for 20 million more American families, including allowing working seniors eligible for Medicare Part A to contribute to HSAs.
Record Custodial Revenue
Custodial revenue grew 29% to a record $156.5 million in the first quarter.
Improved Fraud Prevention
Fraud service costs reduced from $11 million in Q4 to $3 million in Q1, with ongoing investments in security yielding positive results.
Increase in HSA Investment
The number of HSA members who invest grew by 16% year-over-year, driving invested assets up 24% to $14.2 billion.
Strong Cash Flow and Share Repurchase
Generated $65 million of cash flow from operations and repurchased approximately $60 million of outstanding shares.
Negative Updates
Softer HSA Sales
Openings of new HSAs from sales in the quarter were down from last year's record-setting Q1, reflecting softer macroeconomic conditions.
Continued Fraud Costs
While reduced, fraud costs remain a concern with $3 million in reimbursements in Q1, indicating ongoing challenges despite improved prevention measures.
Economic Uncertainty Impact
Caution expressed regarding macroeconomic impact on job creation and GDP growth, which could affect new account sales.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call for HealthEquity's first quarter of fiscal year 2026, the company highlighted several strong financial metrics and strategic initiatives. Revenue increased by 15% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA rising 19%. Health Savings Accounts (HSAs) grew by 9%, and Consumer-Directed Benefits (CDB) accounts increased by 4%, leading to a 7% increase in total accounts, reaching over 17 million. HSA assets saw a significant rise, up 15% to over $31 billion, with invested assets jumping 24% to $14.2 billion. HealthEquity also made strides in reducing fraud costs, which decreased from $11 million in Q4 to $3 million in Q1, and plans to further enhance security measures. The company anticipates continued growth through strategic enhancements, such as leveraging AI for claims processing and expanding mobile app features, alongside legislative efforts to expand HSA access and flexibility.

Healthequity Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Healthequity demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and improved profitability. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, and cash flows are healthy, reflecting efficient operations and effective cash management. The company is well-positioned for future growth, though debt levels should be monitored.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Healthequity shows a strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and improved profitability. Gross Profit Margin is robust at 63.0%, and Net Profit Margin has improved to 9.8% in the TTM period. Revenue growth is impressive, with a 24.1% increase from the previous year. The EBIT Margin is healthy at 16.5%, and the EBITDA Margin is solid at 30.5%, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Healthequity is stable with a reasonable Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.52, indicating moderate leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) has improved significantly to 5.7%, showing effective utilization of equity. The Equity Ratio is strong at 62.2%, highlighting a solid equity base. However, total debt levels have increased slightly, which should be monitored for future stability.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong operational cash generation with an Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 2.78, indicating robust cash conversion. The Free Cash Flow Growth Rate is healthy at 158.6% from the previous period, and the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 0.72, showing effective cash management. Despite a high capital expenditure, free cash flow remains positive.
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.20B999.59M861.75M756.56M733.57M
Gross Profit777.26M622.64M490.09M423.71M415.33M
EBITDA337.54M282.42M171.53M102.97M154.93M
Net Income96.70M55.71M-26.14M-44.29M8.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.45B3.16B3.09B3.11B2.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments295.95M403.98M254.27M225.41M328.80M
Total Debt1.11B933.14M994.49M1.01B1.07B
Total Liabilities1.33B1.13B1.19B1.25B1.33B
Stockholders Equity2.11B2.04B1.90B1.85B1.38B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow337.77M196.75M31.52M3.91M84.66M
Operating Cash Flow339.86M242.83M150.65M141.00M181.62M
Investing Cash Flow-505.45M-46.07M-119.13M-639.25M-96.96M
Financing Cash Flow57.57M-47.04M-2.67M394.86M52.42M

Healthequity Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price91.06
Price Trends
50DMA
101.16
Negative
100DMA
95.02
Negative
200DMA
97.54
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.62
Positive
RSI
35.59
Neutral
STOCH
40.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HQY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 91.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 97.29, below the 50-day MA of 101.16, and below the 200-day MA of 97.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HQY.

Healthequity Risk Analysis

Healthequity disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Healthequity reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Healthequity Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$1.93B39.6910.11%9.47%-7.81%
76
Outperform
$10.74B51.7722.50%19.98%53.10%
74
Outperform
$7.87B66.285.77%19.21%50.06%
68
Neutral
$1.75B37.266.05%3.90%-17.69%-10.24%
64
Neutral
$1.62B60.974.43%4.35%
51
Neutral
$7.35B0.50-65.61%2.47%15.28%1.44%
44
Neutral
$1.23B-14.18%-2.57%79.86%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HQY
Healthequity
91.06
23.08
33.95%
PINC
Premier
21.27
2.16
11.30%
TDOC
Teladoc
6.94
-0.66
-8.68%
PGNY
Progyny
22.49
-2.83
-11.18%
GDRX
GoodRx Holdings
4.53
-3.72
-45.09%
DOCS
Doximity
57.33
31.34
120.58%

Healthequity Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsStock Buyback
Healthequity Announces New $300 Million Stock Buyback
Positive
Jun 27, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Healthequity held its Annual Meeting where stockholders approved all three proposals, including the election of nine directors and the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent accounting firm. Additionally, the board authorized a new $300 million stock repurchase program, supplementing the previous program, allowing the company to repurchase shares under favorable market conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (HQY) stock is a Hold with a $108.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Healthequity stock, see the HQY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025