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Henderson Land Development (HLDCY)
:HLDCY
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Henderson Land (HLDCY) AI Stock Analysis

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HLDCY

Henderson Land

(OTC:HLDCY)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$4.00
â–²(14.94% Upside)
Henderson Land shows strong technical momentum and attractive dividend yield, overshadowing concerns about declining revenue and modest ROE. The stock is currently overbought, suggesting potential for short-term correction.

Henderson Land (HLDCY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Henderson Land Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHenderson Land Development Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the property development and investment activities in Hong Kong and Mainland China. The company operates through Property Development, Property Leasing, Department Stores and Supermarket-Cum-Stores Operations, Other Businesses, and Utility and Energy segments. The Property Development segment develops and sells real estate properties. Its property portfolio primarily includes offices, shopping arcades, shopping malls, commercial complexes, and residential properties. The Property Leasing segment leases properties. The Department Stores and Supermarket-Cum-Stores Operations segment operates and manages department stores and supermarket-cum-stores. The Other Businesses segment operates and manages hotels; provides construction, finance, project management, property management, agency, and cleaning and security guard services; trades in building materials; and disposes leasehold land, as well as engages in the food and beverage and travel operations. The Utility and Energy segment is involved in production, distribution, and marketing gas; and water supply and environmentally friendly energy businesses. The company was incorporated in 1976 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong. Henderson Land Development Company Limited is a subsidiary of Henderson Development Limited.
How the Company Makes MoneyHenderson Land generates revenue primarily through the sale and leasing of residential and commercial properties. Its revenue model includes the development and sale of residential units, where it profits from the appreciation of real estate values. Additionally, the company earns rental income from its commercial properties, which include shopping malls and office buildings. Significant partnerships with local and international firms enhance its capabilities in large-scale projects. The company also benefits from government contracts and joint ventures, which contribute to its earnings through diversified real estate investments and development projects.

Henderson Land Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Henderson Land exhibits strong cash flow and low leverage, but faces challenges with revenue decline and modest ROE. Profitability margins are healthy but slightly reduced. Focus on revenue growth and ROE improvement is needed.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The income statement shows some negative trends with a decrease in total revenue from 2023 to 2024. Gross profit margin for 2024 is 36.01%, and net profit margin is 24.92%, indicating stable profitability, but both are lower compared to 2023. EBITDA margin is 43.24% for 2024, reflecting strong operational efficiency. Revenue has decreased by 8.41% from 2023, which is a concern. Overall, the company maintains good margins but faces challenges in revenue growth.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26 for 2024, suggesting low leverage. Return on equity (ROE) is 1.95% for 2024, showing modest returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio stands at 60.64%, reflecting financial stability. Overall, the company has a strong balance sheet with prudent debt management, but the ROE has declined compared to previous years.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a positive trend with operating cash flow and free cash flow both at 15,297 million for 2024, demonstrating strong cash generation. The free cash flow has increased by 5.79% from 2023, indicating good cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.43, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 2.43, both indicating efficient cash conversion. Overall, the company exhibits strong cash flow generation and growth.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.26B27.57B25.44B23.89B25.42B
Gross Profit9.09B10.03B10.26B12.44B15.71B
EBITDA10.92B12.83B7.11B9.80B13.09B
Net Income6.30B9.26B9.24B13.20B10.19B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets531.24B542.55B529.79B550.30B461.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.77B22.11B11.74B11.34B6.13B
Total Debt83.25B161.69B150.09B159.48B96.29B
Total Liabilities190.66B198.45B184.64B198.13B128.90B
Stockholders Equity322.15B326.54B327.95B335.02B327.61B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.30B14.46B7.95B-54.16B4.51B
Operating Cash Flow15.30B14.46B11.13B685.00M7.07B
Investing Cash Flow-1.87B16.00M12.15B-50.04B-974.00M
Financing Cash Flow-21.20B-5.42B-21.30B52.05B-10.75B

Henderson Land Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.48
Price Trends
50DMA
3.49
Negative
100DMA
3.15
Positive
200DMA
2.99
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
47.87
Neutral
STOCH
17.35
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HLDCY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.54, below the 50-day MA of 3.49, and above the 200-day MA of 2.99, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.35 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HLDCY.

Henderson Land Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$16.94B21.881.89%6.72%-19.60%-6.55%
77
Outperform
$14.57B43.713.99%5.36%0.23%-41.66%
76
Outperform
$14.70B26.185.63%4.46%10.46%56.11%
73
Outperform
$12.97B31.475.99%3.13%7.19%15.70%
69
Neutral
$12.24B32.6723.16%3.28%-0.03%1.00%
65
Neutral
$2.06B17.064.00%5.06%1.74%-1.63%
65
Neutral
$12.22B73.371.97%6.27%15.91%-49.49%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HLDCY
Henderson Land
3.48
0.72
26.09%
ELS
Equity Lifestyle
60.47
-7.64
-11.22%
DOC
Healthpeak Properties
17.75
-3.48
-16.39%
KIM
Kimco Realty
22.20
-0.18
-0.80%
WPC
W. P. Carey Inc.
66.11
9.51
16.80%
AMH
American Homes
35.76
-1.70
-4.54%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 26, 2025