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Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation (HKHC)
OTHER OTC:HKHC
US Market

Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation (HKHC) AI Stock Analysis

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HK

Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation

(OTC:HKHC)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation faces significant profitability challenges despite strong revenue growth and cash flow improvements. The technical indicators are mixed, and the valuation suggests caution due to negative earnings. While recent corporate events reflect positive strategic initiatives, the overall financial health remains a concern, resulting in a moderate overall stock score.

Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation (HKHC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHorizon Kinetics Holding Corporation (HKHC) is an investment management firm that operates primarily in the financial sector. It offers a range of investment products and services focused on wealth management, including mutual funds, private funds, and separately managed accounts. The company is known for its contrarian and fundamental research-driven approach to investment, seeking long-term capital appreciation for its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyHorizon Kinetics Holding Corporation generates revenue primarily through management fees charged on the assets under its management. These fees are typically a percentage of the total assets managed and are collected from various investment products such as mutual funds, private funds, and individually managed accounts. Additionally, the company may earn performance-based fees, which are contingent upon exceeding certain benchmark returns. Such a fee structure aligns the firm's interests with those of its clients, incentivizing the pursuit of superior investment performance. HKHC's earnings are also supported by its research and advisory services, which may include partnerships or collaborations with other financial institutions, although specific details of such arrangements are not publicly disclosed.

Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 26, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 35.14%|
Next Earnings Date:May 14, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook with significant revenue growth, strategic advances in cryptocurrency and ETF offerings, and strong financial positioning. However, challenges such as platform fees affecting profit margins and marketing difficulties due to concentrated funds were noted. The sentiment is generally optimistic with strategic plans to address existing challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Increase
The company reported revenues of $19.8 million for the quarter, which is a meaningful increase from the $12.1 million in the first quarter of 2024, primarily due to an increase in assets under management. Additionally, the advisor-only model revenues were $22 million, a notable increase from $14 million in the previous year.
Performance and Cash Position
The company had $70 million in investment returns during the quarter, with $59 million allocated to client accounts. The company's cash position was significantly bolstered during the quarter, reaching $34 million, due to the collection of incentive fees earned in 2024.
Strategic Investment in Cryptocurrency
Horizon Kinetics has invested in cryptocurrency mining through Consensus Mining, which will soon be quoted and traded on OTC Markets. This strategic move aims to increase profitability and explore tax advantages.
ETF Growth and New Offerings
The INFL ETF reached over $1.2 billion in AUM, and a new Japan Owner Operator fund has been launched, focusing on owner-operated businesses in Japan, which present unique investment opportunities.
Significant Deferred Tax and Long-term Investment Strategy
The company has almost $100 million in deferred tax liability, which allows for strategic long-term investment benefits. Horizon Kinetics has over $400 million of its own capital invested with clients, indicating confidence in its investment strategies.
Negative Updates
Platform Fees Impact on Profit Margins
The company faces challenges in maximizing profit margins due to platform fees associated with SEC registered funds, which are a significant reduction in profitability.
Marketing Challenges with Concentrated Funds
The company's successful long-term investment strategies lead to concentrated fund positions, which create marketing challenges due to perceived risk from potential clients.
Limited Trading Volume and Uplisting Challenges
Horizon Kinetics faces challenges in uplisting its stock due to limited trading volume and the need for more shareholder activity or potential stock offerings.
Company Guidance
During the call, Horizon Kinetics provided several key metrics and insights into their financial performance for the first quarter of 2025. The company reported revenues of $19.8 million, a significant increase from $12.1 million in Q1 2024, largely due to a rise in assets under management. When excluding consolidated investment products, quarterly revenues were $22 million, up from $14 million in the prior year. The consolidated funds saw $70 million in investment returns, with $59 million allocated to client accounts and redeemable non-controlling interests. The company holds substantial cash and investments, bolstered by the collection of 2024 incentive fees, resulting in a cash position of $34 million. Horizon also holds 131 Bitcoin, mined internally, and emphasized their commitment to long-term investment strategies that leverage private placements, which are valued at $194 million. Furthermore, the company's substantial deferred tax liability, nearly $100 million, reflects unrealized gains from their investments, emphasizing their strategic focus on long-term growth and tax efficiency.

Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation demonstrates mixed financial performance. Strong gross margins and a solid equity position are positive indicators, yet profitability remains a significant challenge due to negative net income and volatile revenue growth. Cash flow has shown improvement, but the lack of profitability affects the financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation has faced challenges with profitability, as demonstrated by a consistently negative net income. The gross profit margin is strong at 92.82% for the TTM, indicating efficient production relative to revenue. However, the net profit margin is deeply negative, reflecting significant operating and financial expenses relative to revenue. Revenue growth has been volatile, with a substantial increase in TTM revenue compared to previous years, but this has not translated into profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's balance sheet indicates a strong equity position with a high equity ratio of 72.68% in the TTM, suggesting financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is low at 0.03, highlighting a conservative approach to leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing challenges in generating profits from shareholders' equity.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement shows improvement with positive operating cash flow in the TTM, indicating better cash generation from operations. Free cash flow has also improved, showing positive growth compared to previous negative figures. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests inefficiencies, as strong cash flows have not yielded corresponding net income.
Breakdown
Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income StatementTotal Revenue
Gross Profit
1.45M1.37M12.53M11.65M10.81M
EBIT
-5.12M-9.91M-6.53M-2.44M-1.01M
EBITDA
-4.72M-9.29M-4.71M-655.00K-352.00K
Net Income Common Stockholders
380.00K-8.85M-11.09M-1.55M-657.00K
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Assets
6.37M10.73M20.87M33.56M26.09M
Total Debt
2.51M6.17M5.91M8.80M216.00K
Net Debt
-1.17M6.12M5.14M8.80M-878.00K
Total Liabilities
3.10M7.91M9.33M11.09M2.47M
Stockholders Equity
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-861.00K-1.85M-322.00K4.07M688.00K
Operating Cash Flow
-861.00K-1.85M-322.00K3.58M679.00K
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price45.88
Price Trends
50DMA
37.83
Positive
100DMA
36.75
Positive
200DMA
33.96
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.62
Negative
RSI
63.45
Neutral
STOCH
83.12
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HKHC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 45.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.68, above the 50-day MA of 37.83, and above the 200-day MA of 33.96, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.12 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HKHC.

Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation Risk Analysis

Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation reported the most risks in the "Ability to Sell" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.98B18.348.07%-4.60%-26.61%
73
Outperform
$381.30M37.2014.73%12.84%-22.88%
CHCHD
65
Neutral
$24.08B41.9613.35%1.21%2.18%-26.08%
65
Neutral
$8.77B15.114.67%3.71%3.60%-2.96%
CLCLX
64
Neutral
$15.27B22.251176.27%3.94%-2.64%189.29%
51
Neutral
$854.90M18.1532.98%0.47%-67.95%90.47%
BGBGS
47
Neutral
$351.91M-32.48%17.23%-7.06%-83.82%
44
Neutral
$154.33M-31.83%-8.50%-186.18%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HKHC
Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation
45.88
27.49
149.48%
BGS
B&G Foods
4.37
-3.21
-42.35%
CENT
Central Garden Pet
34.25
-4.36
-11.29%
CHD
Church & Dwight
96.16
-12.51
-11.51%
CLX
Clorox
122.10
-12.09
-9.01%
LWAY
Lifeway Foods
24.70
11.61
88.69%
HAIN
Hain Celestial
1.70
-5.27
-75.61%

Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Horizon Kinetics Reports Strong Q3 2024 Performance
Positive
Nov 12, 2024

Horizon Kinetics Holding Corporation reported a strong third quarter for 2024, with a remarkable 20.6% increase in revenues to $15.4 million, largely driven by a surge in assets under management (AUM) to $8.3 billion. The growth was fueled by the appreciation of Texas Pacific Land Corporation’s market value, alongside gains from proprietary funds and investment securities. Despite increased operating expenses, the company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.053 per share, reflecting its robust financial performance and strategic growth initiatives.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.