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NIO Inc. Class A (HK:9866)
:9866
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NIO Inc. Class A (9866) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:9866

NIO Inc. Class A

(9866)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
HK$49.00
▼(-10.91% Downside)
NIO Inc.'s overall stock score reflects strong sales growth and technological advancements, but is heavily weighed down by financial challenges, including negative profitability and cash flow issues. The technical analysis shows mixed signals, and the valuation is poor due to ongoing losses.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for NIO's products, suggesting effective market penetration and a solid business model.
International Expansion
Expanding internationally diversifies revenue streams and reduces dependency on the domestic market, enhancing long-term growth prospects.
Strategic Partnerships
Strengthened partnerships, like with SunCar, enhance NIO's service offerings, improving customer experience and competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues indicate operational inefficiencies, which could hinder long-term financial sustainability and growth.
Rising Debt Levels
Increasing debt levels can strain cash flow and limit financial flexibility, posing risks to NIO's long-term financial health.
Cash Flow Challenges
Negative cash flow indicates liquidity issues, impacting NIO's ability to invest in growth and meet financial obligations.

NIO Inc. Class A (9866) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

NIO Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNIO Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells smart electric vehicles in China. It offers five, six, and seven-seater electric SUVs, as well as smart electric sedans. The company is also involved in the provision of energy and service packages to its users; design and technology development activities; manufacture of e-powertrains, battery packs, and components; and sales and after sales management activities. In addition, it offers power solutions, including Power Home, a home charging solution; Power Swap, a battery swapping service; Power Charger, a fast-charging solution; Power Mobile, a mobile charging service through charging vans; Power Map, an application that provides access to a network of public chargers and their real-time information; and One Click for Power valet service, where it offers vehicle pick up, charging, and swapping services. Further, the company provides repair, maintenance, and bodywork services through its NIO service centers and authorized third-party service centers; statutory and third-party liability insurance, and vehicle damage insurance through third-party insurers; courtesy vehicle services; roadside assistance; data packages; and auto financing and financial leasing services. Additionally, it offers NIO Certified, a used vehicle inspection, evaluation, acquisition, and sales service. The company was formerly known as NextEV Inc. and changed its name to NIO Inc. in July 2017. NIO Inc. was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
How the Company Makes MoneyNIO generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from the sale of its electric vehicles. The company sells its various models directly to consumers, which is a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, NIO has established a unique battery-as-a-service (BaaS) model that allows customers to buy vehicles without owning the battery, providing flexibility and reducing the initial purchase cost. This service generates recurring revenue through battery leasing fees. The company also benefits from sales of related services, including vehicle maintenance and software updates, as well as partnerships with various organizations for technology development and infrastructure support. Moreover, NIO has engaged in strategic collaborations with other automakers and tech companies to enhance its product offerings and expand its market presence.

NIO Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 02, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted NIO's strong sales growth, technological advancements, and expansion of its charging network. Despite challenges such as a decline in vehicle margin and battery supply constraints, the company demonstrated a positive outlook with projected growth in deliveries and improved operational efficiencies.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Vehicle Deliveries
In Q2, NIO delivered 72,056 smart EVs, marking a 25.6% year-over-year increase. August alone saw 31,305 deliveries.
Projected Growth in Deliveries
NIO expects Q3 deliveries to range from 87,000 to 91,000, indicating a growth of 40.7% to 47.1% year-over-year.
Non-GAAP Operating Loss Reduction
The non-GAAP operating loss narrowed by more than 30% quarter over quarter.
Technological Advancements
NIO launched its in-house developed smart driving chip and vehicle operating system, marking the industry's first full-function delivery on a self-developed flagship smart driving chip.
Strong Sales and Market Reception
Models like the Envoy L90 and all-new ES8 have seen significant market demand, boosting brand recognition and sales.
Charging and Swapping Network Expansion
NIO operates 3,542 power swap stations worldwide and has completed over 84 million swaps, covering major highways in China.
Financial Performance
Total revenues reached RMB 19 billion, with a 9% year-over-year increase and a 57.9% quarter-over-quarter increase.
Negative Updates
Decline in Vehicle Margin
Vehicle margin decreased from 12.2% in Q2 last year to 10.3% this year, mainly due to changes in product mix.
Net Loss
Net loss was RMB 5 billion, with a minimal decrease of 1% year over year.
Battery Supply Constraints
Supply challenges for the new 102 kWh battery affected production capacity planning.
Delayed Model Launch
The launch of the Ambu L80 was postponed due to capacity constraints.
Company Guidance
During NIO Inc.'s Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided significant guidance metrics. NIO delivered 72,056 smart electric vehicles (EVs) in Q2 2025, marking a 25.6% year-over-year increase. For Q3, NIO anticipates total deliveries ranging from 87,000 to 91,000 units, representing year-over-year growth between 40.7% and 47.1%. The vehicle gross margin remained stable, while non-GAAP operating loss narrowed by over 30% quarter-over-quarter. NIO also highlighted the success of its new models, the Envoy L90 and the all-new ES8, which have driven strong market demand. The company aims for a Q4 breakeven on a non-GAAP basis, with a target vehicle gross margin of 16-17% and a 20% gross margin for the Envoy L90 and ES8. NIO's strategic focus on technological advancements, cost efficiencies, and multi-brand strategies are expected to support sustained growth and market competitiveness.

NIO Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NIO Inc. shows strong revenue growth but struggles with profitability and cash flow management. The declining gross profit margins and negative net income highlight operational inefficiencies. High debt levels and reduced equity position indicate financial risks, while negative cash flows present liquidity concerns.
Income Statement
40
Negative
NIO Inc.'s income statement shows a consistent growth in total revenue over the years, with a noticeable increase from 49.3 billion in 2022 to 65.7 billion in 2024. However, the company has been unable to convert this revenue growth into profitability, as indicated by the persistent negative net income and declining gross profit margins, which fell from 10.4% in 2021 to 9.9% in 2024. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain negative, reflecting ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet highlights a stable asset base, but with rising total debt levels, which increased from 20 billion in 2021 to 33.7 billion in 2024, leading to a high debt-to-equity ratio. The stockholders' equity decreased significantly from 25.5 billion in 2023 to 5.9 billion in 2024, indicating financial strain. The equity ratio shows weakness, suggesting a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
The cash flow analysis reveals negative operating cash flow, worsening from -1.38 billion in 2023 to -7.85 billion in 2024, and a negative free cash flow trajectory, which indicates cash flow challenges. The company has been unable to generate sufficient cash from operations to cover capital expenditures, posing liquidity risks.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue69.42B65.73B55.62B49.27B36.14B16.26B
Gross Profit7.13B6.49B3.05B5.14B6.82B1.87B
EBITDA-21.25B-18.50B-15.15B-10.05B-985.36M-3.33B
Net Income-24.31B-22.66B-21.15B-14.56B-10.57B-5.61B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets100.05B107.60B117.38B96.26B82.88B54.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.80B33.47B49.75B39.06B52.39B42.38B
Total Debt29.10B33.77B50.38B23.71B20.10B9.52B
Total Liabilities93.43B94.10B91.65B68.62B44.82B27.47B
Stockholders Equity-1.21B5.97B25.55B23.87B34.71B27.17B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00-16.99B-15.72B-10.84B-2.11B823.21M
Operating Cash Flow0.00-7.85B-1.38B-3.87B1.97B1.95B
Investing Cash Flow0.00-4.96B-10.89B10.39B-39.76B-5.07B
Financing Cash Flow0.001.77B27.66B-1.62B18.13B41.36B

NIO Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price55.00
Price Trends
50DMA
51.83
Positive
100DMA
41.73
Positive
200DMA
37.07
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.30
Positive
RSI
52.84
Neutral
STOCH
75.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:9866, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 55 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 55.73, above the 50-day MA of 51.83, and above the 200-day MA of 37.07, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.30 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:9866.

NIO Inc. Class A Risk Analysis

NIO Inc. Class A disclosed 122 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NIO Inc. Class A reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NIO Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
HK$197.52B11.9117.07%1.73%
$194.24B11.1713.04%3.14%7.93%-12.94%
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
€171.48B20.7112.34%7.09%-21.36%
$72.13B-9.97-3.15%1.64%-8.79%-212.16%
HK$158.49B-34.06-13.27%65.91%48.38%
HK$129.59B-4.23-328.79%9.20%-5.48%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:9866
NIO Inc. Class A
55.00
9.40
20.61%
HK:0175
Geely Automobile Holdings
19.13
4.55
31.21%
HK:2238
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co
3.35
0.46
16.04%
HK:2333
Great Wall Motor Co
15.70
2.98
23.40%
HK:2015
Li Auto, Inc. Class A
83.60
-27.80
-24.96%
HK:9868
XPeng, Inc. Class A
84.70
38.75
84.33%

NIO Inc. Class A Corporate Events

NIO Day 2025: Unveiling Innovations in Electric Vehicles
Sep 22, 2025

NIO Inc. recently held its NIO Day 2025 event in Hangzhou, China, marking the first time the event took place in autumn. The event, themed ‘Grow with the Light,’ showcased NIO’s latest products and innovations, including the launch of the ET9 Horizon Edition and the All-New ES8, which highlight NIO’s commitment to technological advancement and luxury in the electric vehicle market. The ET9 Horizon Edition, with its unique two-tone design, and the All-New ES8, a premium large three-row SUV, represent NIO’s ongoing innovation in the electric vehicle sector. The event also emphasized NIO’s dedication to community support, with proceeds from the user marketplace being donated to charity.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9866) stock is a Hold with a HK$52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NIO Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:9866 Stock Forecast page.

NIO Inc. Completes $1.16 Billion Equity Offering to Fuel Innovation and Growth
Sep 17, 2025

NIO Inc. has announced the completion of a US$1.16 billion equity offering, involving the sale of Class A ordinary shares and American depositary shares (ADSs). The proceeds from this offering will be used to invest in research and development of core technologies for smart electric vehicles, develop future technology platforms, expand its battery swapping and charging network, and strengthen its balance sheet. This move is expected to bolster NIO’s position in the smart electric vehicle industry and support its growth and innovation strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9866) stock is a Hold with a HK$52.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NIO Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:9866 Stock Forecast page.

NIO Inc. Announces Major Share Offering Amid Regulatory Risks
Sep 11, 2025

NIO Inc. announced a primary offering of 181,818,190 Class A ordinary shares, divided between American Depositary Shares (ADSs) and ordinary shares, to be allocated based on investor interest. The company faces regulatory risks due to its structure involving VIEs in China, which could impact its operations if Chinese authorities challenge the enforceability of these arrangements.

NIO Inc. Announces US$1 Billion Equity Offering to Bolster Growth
Sep 10, 2025

NIO Inc. has announced the pricing of its US$1 billion equity offering, which includes American depositary shares and Class A ordinary shares. The proceeds will be used to invest in the research and development of core technologies for smart electric vehicles, expand its battery swapping and charging network, and strengthen its balance sheet. This move is expected to bolster NIO’s position in the smart electric vehicle industry and support its growth initiatives.

NIO Inc. Reinforces Regulatory Compliance with SEC Filing
Sep 10, 2025

NIO Inc., a prominent player in the electric vehicle industry, is headquartered in Shanghai, China. The company is known for its innovative approach to electric mobility, focusing on designing and manufacturing premium smart electric vehicles. NIO’s market focus includes both domestic and international markets, aiming to redefine the user experience in the automotive sector. The recent announcement from NIO Inc. highlights the company’s ongoing regulatory compliance and transparency with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. This filing underscores NIO’s commitment to maintaining its presence in the U.S. financial markets, which may reassure investors and stakeholders about its operational stability and adherence to international standards.

NIO Inc. Announces Major Equity Offering to Boost Technological Advancements
Sep 10, 2025

NIO Inc. announced a proposed equity offering of up to 181,818,190 Class A ordinary shares, including American depositary shares. The proceeds from this offering are intended to be used for research and development of core technologies, expansion of battery swapping and charging networks, and general corporate purposes. This move aims to strengthen NIO’s market position and enhance its technological capabilities, potentially impacting its operations and stakeholder interests.

NIO Inc. Achieves Record-High Vehicle Deliveries in August 2025
Sep 1, 2025

NIO Inc. announced a record-high monthly delivery of 31,305 vehicles in August 2025, marking a 55.2% increase year-over-year. The company’s cumulative deliveries reached 838,036 vehicles as of August 31, 2025. This achievement reflects NIO’s strong market positioning and growth in the smart electric vehicle sector, with significant contributions from its NIO, ONVO, and FIREFLY brands.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9866) stock is a Hold with a HK$53.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NIO Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:9866 Stock Forecast page.

NIO Inc. Schedules Board Meeting to Announce Q2 2025 Financial Results
Aug 20, 2025

NIO Inc. has announced that its board of directors will hold a meeting on September 2, 2025, to approve and release the company’s unaudited financial results for the second quarter of 2025. The results will be published on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange website and the company’s investor relations site, followed by an earnings conference call hosted by the company’s management.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9866) stock is a Hold with a HK$39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NIO Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:9866 Stock Forecast page.

NIO Inc. Reports Strong July 2025 Deliveries and Launches New SUV
Aug 1, 2025

NIO Inc. announced its delivery results for July 2025, reporting a total of 21,017 vehicles delivered, contributing to a year-to-date total of 135,167 vehicles, marking a 25.2% increase year-over-year. The company also launched its ONVO L90, a large-space flagship SUV designed to meet the evolving needs of large three-row SUV users, enhancing its product lineup and potentially strengthening its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:9866) stock is a Buy with a HK$68.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NIO Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:9866 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 17, 2025