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Li Auto, Inc. Class A (HK:2015)
:2015

Li Auto, Inc. Class A (2015) AI Stock Analysis

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HK

Li Auto, Inc. Class A

(Berlin:2015)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
HK$133.00
▲(13.87%Upside)
Li Auto's stock score is driven primarily by strong financial performance and technical indicators suggesting bullish momentum. While the valuation is less favorable due to a high P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield, the company's financial health and positive market momentum support a solid overall score.
Positive Factors
Product Pipeline
The robust product pipeline, including the new MEGA HOME model and planned launch of BEV models, is expected to lift the company’s shipment prospects.
Sales Performance
Share price expected to improve with new growth catalyst, as the initial response to its new MEGA HOME model has been quite encouraging, with 11,000 orders placed.
Negative Factors
Guidance and Estimates
1Q25 guidance of 88,000-93,000 deliveries and total revenue of RMB23.4bn-24.7bn were below consensus estimates.
Market Competition
Intense market competition and weaker-than-expected sales of its new models could drag earnings expansion.

Li Auto, Inc. Class A (2015) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Li Auto, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLi Auto Inc., through its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells new energy vehicles in the People's Republic of China. The company provides Li ONE, a six-seat smart electric sport utility vehicle that is equipped with smart vehicle solutions, navigation on ADAS, and automatic emergency breaking functionalities. It also offers sales and after sales management, and technology development and corporate management services, as well as purchases manufacturing equipment. The company was formerly known as Leading Ideal Inc. and changed its name to Li Auto Inc. in July 2020. Li Auto Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
How the Company Makes MoneyLi Auto, Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of its electric vehicles, particularly focusing on its extended-range electric models. The company's key revenue streams include direct vehicle sales to consumers, with a significant emphasis on the domestic Chinese market. In addition to vehicle sales, Li Auto may also benefit from government incentives and subsidies for electric vehicle manufacturers in China, which can support both production and consumer adoption. Furthermore, the company could engage in strategic partnerships with suppliers and technology firms to enhance its product offerings and operational efficiencies, contributing to its overall revenue. However, the majority of its earnings are driven by the sales volume of its electric vehicle models.

Li Auto, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Li Auto demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue growth and improved profitability. The balance sheet remains solid with a strong equity base and low leverage, while cash flows are healthy, supporting operational and strategic initiatives. Some past volatility in net income and cash flow should be monitored, but the company's financial trajectory appears positive.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Li Auto has demonstrated impressive revenue growth, with a significant increase from 28.4 billion to 144.5 billion over five years. The gross profit margin has remained strong, reflecting effective cost management. However, the net profit margin has shown volatility, influenced by fluctuations in net income over the years. Despite this, the company has managed to transition from net losses to a substantial net income, indicating robust financial recovery and profitability improvements.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a strong financial position with a healthy equity ratio, reflecting a solid capital base. The debt-to-equity ratio is low, suggesting limited reliance on debt financing. However, the return on equity has fluctuated due to past losses, though it has shown improvement recently, indicating potential for future profitability.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Li Auto's cash flow statement highlights strong operating cash flows, supporting its ability to fund operations and growth initiatives. The company has also shown positive free cash flow growth, except for some fluctuations in earlier years. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
144.46B123.85B45.29B27.01B9.46B
Gross Profit
29.66B27.50B8.79B5.76B1.55B
EBIT
7.02B7.41B-3.65B-1.02B-669.34M
EBITDA
8.82B9.21B-2.05B500.83M199.03M
Net Income Common Stockholders
8.03B11.70B-2.03B-321.45M-166.03M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
112.81B103.26B56.51B47.52B28.64B
Total Assets
162.35B143.47B86.54B61.85B36.37B
Total Debt
16.34B13.55B12.26B7.84B2.11B
Net Debt
-49.56B-77.78B-26.21B-20.01B-6.82B
Total Liabilities
91.03B82.89B41.35B20.78B6.57B
Stockholders Equity
70.87B60.14B44.86B41.06B29.80B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
8.20B44.19B2.25B4.90B2.46B
Operating Cash Flow
15.93B50.69B7.38B8.34B3.14B
Investing Cash Flow
-41.14B-12.07M-4.36B-4.26B-18.74B
Financing Cash Flow
-415.65M185.38M5.64B16.71B24.71B

Li Auto, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price116.80
Price Trends
50DMA
101.73
Positive
100DMA
101.59
Positive
200DMA
96.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.74
Negative
RSI
61.88
Neutral
STOCH
74.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2015, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 116.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 112.29, above the 50-day MA of 101.73, and above the 200-day MA of 96.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.74 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:2015.

Li Auto, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
€234.15B28.4112.25%9.84%-30.05%
62
Neutral
$6.88B11.322.95%3.87%2.70%-24.57%
$154.57B24.5323.91%0.83%
$8.79B31.53-0.98%5.22%
$23.20B8.5814.58%2.69%
74
Outperform
HK$13.16B4.343.19%-5.52%6.15%
52
Neutral
HK$73.27B-24.98%89.72%40.14%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:2015
Li Auto, Inc. Class A
116.80
40.95
53.99%
BYDDF
BYD Co
52.35
23.51
81.52%
GNZUF
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co
0.35
-0.04
-10.26%
GWLLF
Great Wall Motor Co
1.57
0.07
4.67%
HK:9863
Zhejiang Leapmotor Technology Co., Ltd. Class H
54.80
27.55
101.10%
HK:1216
Zhongyuan Bank Co., Ltd. Class H
0.36
0.04
12.50%

Li Auto, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

Li Auto Achieves Record Deliveries and Expands Model Lineup
Jun 1, 2025

Li Auto Inc. reported a significant milestone with the delivery of 40,856 vehicles in May 2025, marking a 16.7% year-over-year increase. The company has upgraded its model lineup, including the launch of the Li MEGA Home, and is accelerating production due to high demand. The new Li L series offers enhanced features, such as advanced suspension systems and standard all-weather LiDAR for improved safety. Additionally, Li Auto is expanding its infrastructure with the rollout of its 2,500th supercharging station and plans to launch its first battery electric SUV, the Li i8, in July. These developments position Li Auto strongly in the competitive electric vehicle market, enhancing its industry standing and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2015) stock is a Hold with a HK$100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Li Auto, Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:2015 Stock Forecast page.

Li Auto Inc. Announces Successful AGM Outcomes
May 30, 2025

Li Auto Inc. announced the results of its Annual General Meeting held on May 30, 2025, where all proposed resolutions were approved by shareholders. Key resolutions included the adoption of the company’s audited financial statements for 2024, the re-election of directors, and granting the board authority to issue additional shares. These approvals reflect strong shareholder support and are expected to positively impact the company’s governance and operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2015) stock is a Hold with a HK$100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Li Auto, Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:2015 Stock Forecast page.

Li Auto Releases Q1 2025 Financial Results Amid Industry Challenges
May 29, 2025

Li Auto Inc. announced its unaudited financial results for the first quarter ending March 31, 2025, prepared in accordance with U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles. The announcement highlights potential risks and uncertainties related to their business operations, including the development and delivery of high-quality vehicles, competition, and changes in consumer demand and government policies. Stakeholders are advised to exercise caution when dealing with the company’s securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2015) stock is a Hold with a HK$100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Li Auto, Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:2015 Stock Forecast page.

Li Auto Inc. Schedules Board Meeting and Earnings Call for Q1 2025 Results
May 12, 2025

Li Auto Inc. has announced a board meeting scheduled for May 29, 2025, to review and approve the unaudited financial results for the first quarter of 2025. The company will also hold an earnings conference call on the same day, providing stakeholders with insights into its financial performance and strategic direction.

Li Auto Reports Strong April Deliveries and Launches New Models
May 1, 2025

Li Auto Inc. reported a significant year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries for April 2025, with 33,939 vehicles delivered, marking a 31.6% rise. The company has maintained its position as the sales leader in the SUV market for vehicles priced above RMB200,000 for three consecutive quarters. Li Auto also launched new models at Auto Shanghai 2025, including the Li MEGA Home and Li L6, which have received strong user endorsement. The company continues to expand its retail and service network across China, supporting its growth and market presence.

Li Auto Inc. Announces 2025 Annual General Meeting
Apr 22, 2025

Li Auto Inc. has announced its Annual General Meeting (AGM) scheduled for May 30, 2025, in Beijing. The meeting will address several resolutions, including the adoption of the company’s audited financial statements for 2024, the re-election of directors, and the authorization for the board to manage the issuance of Class A Ordinary Shares. This AGM is a significant event for stakeholders as it will determine key governance and financial strategies that could impact the company’s market positioning and operational capabilities.

Li Auto Inc. Files Annual Report with SEC for Fiscal Year 2024
Apr 10, 2025

Li Auto Inc. has announced the filing of its annual report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2024, with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. This filing is a regulatory requirement and provides detailed insights into the company’s financial performance and operational highlights over the past year. The announcement underscores Li Auto’s commitment to transparency and adherence to international regulatory standards, which could enhance investor confidence and potentially strengthen its market position.

Li Auto Sets Record Date for Shareholder Meeting
Apr 3, 2025

Li Auto Inc. has announced the record date for determining the eligibility of its shareholders to attend and vote at the upcoming annual general meeting. The record date is set for April 25, 2025, for both Class A and Class B ordinary shares. Holders of American depositary shares (ADSs) can attend but not vote at the meeting, although they can instruct the depositary on how to vote the shares represented by their ADSs. This announcement is crucial for shareholders as it outlines the procedures and deadlines for participation in the company’s governance.

Li Auto Reports Strong March 2025 Deliveries and New Innovations
Apr 1, 2025

Li Auto Inc. reported a significant increase in vehicle deliveries for March 2025, with 36,674 units delivered, marking a 26.5% year-over-year growth. The company’s first-quarter deliveries reached 92,864, a 15.5% increase from the previous year. Li Auto continues to lead the RMB200,000 and above NEV market in China and is on the verge of delivering its 1,000,000th Li L series vehicle. The company has also opened reservations for the new Li MEGA Ultra and plans to unveil further updates at Auto Shanghai 2025. Additionally, Li Auto has committed to open-sourcing its Li Halo OS and anticipates its new autonomous driving architecture, MindVLA, to enhance technology adoption. The company operates 500 retail stores, 502 servicing centers, and 2,045 supercharging stations across China.

Li Auto Announces 2024 Financial Results Amidst Industry Challenges
Mar 14, 2025

Li Auto Inc. has announced its unaudited financial results for the quarter and full year ending December 31, 2024. The results, prepared in accordance with U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles, reflect the company’s ongoing efforts to establish itself in the electric vehicle market. The announcement highlights the company’s strategic focus on developing high-quality vehicles and navigating industry challenges, while also advising stakeholders to exercise caution due to inherent risks and uncertainties in the market.

Li Auto Reports 2024 Financial Results: Revenue Growth Amid Declining Profits
Mar 14, 2025

Li Auto Inc. announced its unaudited annual consolidated results for the year ended December 31, 2024, showing a 16.6% increase in revenues compared to 2023. Despite the revenue growth, the company experienced a decline in net income by 31.9%, which may impact its financial positioning and investor confidence in the short term.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.