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Li Auto, Inc. Class A (HK:2015)
:2015
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Li Auto, Inc. Class A (2015) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:2015

Li Auto, Inc. Class A

(Berlin:2015)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
HK$112.00
▲(20.24% Upside)
Li Auto's strong financial performance is the most significant factor, highlighting robust growth and operational efficiency. However, technical analysis indicates bearish trends and potential oversold conditions, presenting short-term risks. Valuation is moderate, aligning with growth prospects. Overall, the stock shows potential for long-term investors but may face short-term volatility.
Positive Factors
Market Expansion
Li Auto is transitioning into battery EV (BEV) as the next growth pillar, with the launch of Li i8 and i6 series to expand its vehicle portfolio.
Product Pipeline
The robust product pipeline, including the new MEGA HOME model and planned launch of BEV models, is expected to lift the company’s shipment prospects.
Technological Advancements
The new models feature upgraded AD Max 3.0 systems and the Nvidia Thor chip, enhancing product competitiveness.
Negative Factors
Earnings Performance
Li Auto's 2Q25 non-GAAP earnings were 8% below market consensus, indicating weaker than anticipated financial performance.
Market Competition
Intense market competition and weaker-than-expected sales of new models could hinder earnings expansion for Li Auto.
Revenue Guidance
The company provided weak guidance on revenue and shipment, with both expected to decline by approximately 40%, significantly below consensus expectations.

Li Auto, Inc. Class A (2015) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Li Auto, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLi Auto, Inc. is a Chinese electric vehicle manufacturer that focuses on the design, development, manufacture, and sales of smart electric vehicles. Founded in 2015, the company specializes in extended-range electric vehicles (EREVs), which combine a traditional internal combustion engine with a battery-powered electric motor. Li Auto's flagship product is the Li ONE, a premium SUV equipped with advanced technologies and smart connectivity features, catering to the growing demand for smart and eco-friendly transportation solutions in China.
How the Company Makes MoneyLi Auto makes money primarily through the sale of its electric vehicles, particularly the Li ONE model, which has gained popularity among consumers seeking a blend of electric efficiency and extended driving range. The company's revenue model is based on direct sales to customers, leveraging both online and offline channels to reach its target market. Additionally, Li Auto generates revenue from post-sale services, including vehicle maintenance and software updates, which enhance the customer experience and encourage brand loyalty. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and technology firms also play a crucial role in optimizing production costs and advancing vehicle technology, contributing to the company's overall profitability.

Li Auto, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Li Auto exhibits strong financial performance across all verticals. The income statement shows impressive growth and improved profitability metrics, while the balance sheet indicates a stable financial position with moderate leverage. Cash flow metrics reveal solid cash generation and management. Overall, Li Auto is well-positioned in the auto manufacturing industry, with a positive financial outlook.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Li Auto has demonstrated a strong revenue growth trajectory with significant increases from 2020 to the latest TTM period. The company improved its gross profit margin and transitioned from a negative EBIT margin in earlier years to a positive EBIT margin of 5.44% in TTM. Net profit margin also improved significantly, reflecting enhanced profitability and operational efficiency. These metrics indicate a robust income statement performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet is solid, with a healthy equity ratio and a manageable debt-to-equity ratio. Li Auto's stockholders' equity has grown, and their leverage is moderate, indicating financial stability. However, the debt level has increased slightly, which requires monitoring to ensure it does not impact financial flexibility negatively.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Li Auto's cash flow position is strong, with consistent positive free cash flow and a significant increase in operating cash flow. The company's ability to generate free cash flow relative to net income has improved, highlighting efficient cash management. The free cash flow growth rate is also positive, indicating robust cash generation capabilities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue144.75B144.46B123.85B45.29B27.01B9.46B
Gross Profit29.69B29.66B27.50B8.79B5.76B1.55B
EBITDA9.89B10.08B9.21B-2.05B500.83M199.03M
Net Income8.09B8.03B11.70B-2.03B-321.45M-166.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets161.85B162.35B143.47B86.54B61.85B36.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments110.68B112.81B103.26B56.51B47.52B28.64B
Total Debt16.36B16.34B13.55B12.26B7.84B2.11B
Total Liabilities89.53B91.03B82.89B41.35B20.78B6.57B
Stockholders Equity71.82B70.87B60.14B44.86B41.06B29.80B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.82B8.20B44.19B2.25B4.90B2.46B
Operating Cash Flow17.57B15.93B50.69B7.38B8.34B3.14B
Investing Cash Flow-49.00B-41.14B-12.07M-4.36B-4.26B-18.74B
Financing Cash Flow-539.50M-415.65M185.38M5.64B16.71B24.71B

Li Auto, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price93.15
Price Trends
50DMA
103.00
Negative
100DMA
104.58
Negative
200DMA
100.51
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.08
Negative
RSI
43.00
Neutral
STOCH
70.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2015, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 93.15 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 93.09, below the 50-day MA of 103.00, and below the 200-day MA of 100.51, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:2015.

Li Auto, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
HK$186.74B22.7112.34%7.09%-21.36%
61
Neutral
$17.99B12.87-3.58%2.97%1.27%-14.28%
$24.24B11.5717.07%1.77%
$9.26B31.53-2.84%1.66%
$28.62B12.1615.09%2.69%
61
Neutral
HK$148.34B-13.27%65.91%48.38%
57
Neutral
HK$99.36B-328.79%9.20%-5.48%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:2015
Li Auto, Inc. Class A
93.15
21.25
29.55%
GELYF
Geely Automobile Holdings
2.44
1.34
121.82%
GNZUF
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co
0.42
0.14
50.00%
GWLLF
Great Wall Motor Co
2.37
0.95
66.90%
HK:9866
NIO Inc. Class A
47.84
9.29
24.10%
HK:9868
XPeng, Inc. Class A
77.90
45.50
140.43%

Li Auto, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

Li Auto Reports Strong July Deliveries and Launches New SUV Model
Aug 1, 2025

Li Auto Inc. announced the delivery of 30,731 vehicles in July 2025, bringing its cumulative deliveries to 1,368,541. The company launched the Li i8, a six-seat battery electric family SUV, with deliveries expected to start on August 20, 2025. Li Auto continues to expand its retail and service network, operating 535 retail stores, 527 service centers, and 3,028 supercharging stations across China. This expansion and the introduction of new models are likely to strengthen Li Auto’s position in the competitive new energy vehicle market in China.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2015) stock is a Hold with a HK$100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Li Auto, Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:2015 Stock Forecast page.

Li Auto Marks 10th Anniversary with Strong Deliveries and Strategic Expansion
Jul 1, 2025

Li Auto Inc. reported delivering 36,279 vehicles in June 2025, bringing its second-quarter deliveries to 111,074 and cumulative deliveries to 1,337,810. Celebrating its 10th anniversary, Li Auto remains the top-selling domestic automotive brand in China’s mid-to-high-end market for two consecutive years. The company plans to expand its product lineup with new battery electric SUVs and is upgrading its sales system to enhance operational efficiency. Li Auto’s strategic investments in products, technology, and brand elevation aim to deepen emotional connections with users through art and sports sponsorships, while expanding its retail and service network across China.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2015) stock is a Hold with a HK$100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Li Auto, Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:2015 Stock Forecast page.

Li Auto Revises Q2 2025 Delivery Outlook Amid Sales System Upgrade
Jun 27, 2025

Li Auto Inc. has revised its second-quarter delivery outlook for 2025, now expecting to deliver approximately 108,000 vehicles, down from the previous estimate of 123,000 to 128,000. This adjustment is attributed to a temporary impact from a sales system upgrade aimed at supporting long-term growth. Despite this short-term revision, the company remains optimistic about its organizational upgrades and its ability to embrace new product cycles effectively, which could strengthen its market position and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2015) stock is a Hold with a HK$100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Li Auto, Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:2015 Stock Forecast page.

Li Auto Grants RSUs to Boost Employee Retention and Incentives
Jun 15, 2025

Li Auto Inc. announced the grant of 1,975,900 Restricted Share Units (RSUs) to one director and 142 employees under its 2019 Plan, representing approximately 0.09% of the company’s total shares. This move aims to retain and incentivize key personnel by aligning their interests with the company’s growth objectives. The RSUs are subject to performance targets and vesting conditions, ensuring that recipients contribute effectively to the company’s success.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2015) stock is a Hold with a HK$100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Li Auto, Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:2015 Stock Forecast page.

Li Auto Faces Class Action Lawsuit Over SEC Filings
Jun 12, 2025

Li Auto Inc. has announced that it is involved in a class action lawsuit filed in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of New York. The lawsuit alleges misstatements and omissions in the company’s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. While the company believes the lawsuit is without merit and intends to defend its position vigorously, it acknowledges that any adverse outcome could materially affect its business and operations. The board of directors does not currently believe the lawsuit will have a material adverse impact on the company, but they are closely monitoring the situation.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2015) stock is a Hold with a HK$100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Li Auto, Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:2015 Stock Forecast page.

Li Auto Achieves Record Deliveries and Expands Model Lineup
Jun 1, 2025

Li Auto Inc. reported a significant milestone with the delivery of 40,856 vehicles in May 2025, marking a 16.7% year-over-year increase. The company has upgraded its model lineup, including the launch of the Li MEGA Home, and is accelerating production due to high demand. The new Li L series offers enhanced features, such as advanced suspension systems and standard all-weather LiDAR for improved safety. Additionally, Li Auto is expanding its infrastructure with the rollout of its 2,500th supercharging station and plans to launch its first battery electric SUV, the Li i8, in July. These developments position Li Auto strongly in the competitive electric vehicle market, enhancing its industry standing and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2015) stock is a Hold with a HK$100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Li Auto, Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:2015 Stock Forecast page.

Li Auto Inc. Announces Successful AGM Outcomes
May 30, 2025

Li Auto Inc. announced the results of its Annual General Meeting held on May 30, 2025, where all proposed resolutions were approved by shareholders. Key resolutions included the adoption of the company’s audited financial statements for 2024, the re-election of directors, and granting the board authority to issue additional shares. These approvals reflect strong shareholder support and are expected to positively impact the company’s governance and operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2015) stock is a Hold with a HK$100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Li Auto, Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:2015 Stock Forecast page.

Li Auto Releases Q1 2025 Financial Results Amid Industry Challenges
May 29, 2025

Li Auto Inc. announced its unaudited financial results for the first quarter ending March 31, 2025, prepared in accordance with U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles. The announcement highlights potential risks and uncertainties related to their business operations, including the development and delivery of high-quality vehicles, competition, and changes in consumer demand and government policies. Stakeholders are advised to exercise caution when dealing with the company’s securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2015) stock is a Hold with a HK$100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Li Auto, Inc. Class A stock, see the HK:2015 Stock Forecast page.

Li Auto Inc. Schedules Board Meeting and Earnings Call for Q1 2025 Results
May 12, 2025

Li Auto Inc. has announced a board meeting scheduled for May 29, 2025, to review and approve the unaudited financial results for the first quarter of 2025. The company will also hold an earnings conference call on the same day, providing stakeholders with insights into its financial performance and strategic direction.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025