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Geely Automobile Holdings (HK:0175)
:0175

Geely Automobile Holdings (0175) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:0175

Geely Automobile Holdings

(0175)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
HK$19.00
▲(11.76% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial improvement (higher revenue, materially better profitability, and much stronger free cash flow) and supportive valuation (low P/E with a modest dividend). These positives are tempered by weak technicals, with the stock trading below key moving averages and slightly negative momentum indicators.
Positive Factors
Revenue and margin recovery
Material top-line growth and margin expansion in 2024 indicate lasting demand recovery, improved pricing or mix, and better cost control. Durable earnings improvement supports reinvestment in EVs and R&D and reduces sensitivity to short-term sales volatility over the next several quarters.
Robust free cash flow generation
A large, sustained jump in free cash flow and strong cash conversion signals high-quality earnings and internal funding capacity. This provides durable flexibility to fund capex, EV investments, or shareholder returns while limiting reliance on external capital in varied market conditions.
Low financial leverage and higher ROE
Very low leverage provides balance-sheet resilience and optionality for M&A or investment cycles. The sharp ROE improvement reflects more efficient capital use and suggests management is converting investments into profitable returns, a durable competitive strength through economic cycles.
Negative Factors
High total liabilities remain a risk
Despite low debt-to-equity, elevated total liabilities (likely including payables, deferred items or off‑balance exposures) can strain liquidity under stress. If cash generation weakens or regulatory costs rise, these liabilities could force financing or cutbacks, challenging long-term stability.
EU anti-subsidy guidance for Chinese BEVs
New EU guidance on price undertakings for Chinese BEV exporters creates a structural regulatory risk to EU market access and pricing. Potential minimum import prices, cross‑compensation rules or duties can compress margins or restrict growth in Europe, affecting export strategy for months to years.
Intense domestic EV competition (BYD)
Strong competition from BYD, which commands a larger share, raises the bar for product, technology and scale. Sustained competitive pressure can force higher R&D and marketing spend, compress margins, and require continual investment to defend or grow market position over the medium term.

Geely Automobile Holdings (0175) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Geely Automobile Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGeely Automobile Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an automobile manufacturer primarily in the People's Republic of China. The company engages in the research and development, production, marketing, and sale of vehicles, automobile parts, and related automobile components, as well as provision of related after-sales and technical services. It primarily offers sedans, wagons, sport utility cars, and electric vehicles under the Geely, Geometry, and ZEEKR brands. The company also provides vehicles design, technology consulting, general logistics, packing, and storage services; researches and develops technology; procures mechanical and electrical equipment; and manufactures and sells vehicle engines. It operates in Malaysia, Eastern Europe, the Middle East, Northern Europe, the Philippines, Central and South America, Africa, and other countries. The company is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
How the Company Makes MoneyGeely generates revenue primarily through the sale of vehicles, including sedans, SUVs, and electric vehicles, which are marketed under various brand names such as Geely, Lynk & Co, and others. The company benefits from a robust domestic market in China, which is one of the largest automotive markets in the world, as well as growing international sales. Key revenue streams include direct vehicle sales to consumers, sales through dealerships, and export of vehicles to international markets. Additionally, Geely earns revenue through joint ventures and partnerships, such as its collaborations with Volvo for technology sharing and product development. The company is also investing in research and development to enhance its electric vehicle offerings, which is expected to contribute significantly to its future earnings as global demand for sustainable transportation solutions increases.

Geely Automobile Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 14, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call demonstrated strong growth in sales volume, revenue, and profit, particularly in the NEV sector, and highlighted significant technological advancements and strategic integrations. However, the decline in export volume and slight reduction in gross margin, alongside challenges in brand recognition, present areas for improvement. Despite these challenges, the overall performance and future outlook remain positive.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Sales Volume and Market Share Growth
Geely Automotive delivered approximately 1.409 million units in the first half of 2025, a 47% increase year-over-year (YoY), far outpacing the industry average of 13%. Market share exceeded 10% for the first time, reaching 10.4%, an increase of 2.4 percentage points YoY.
Revenue and Profit Growth
Sales revenue amounted to CNY150.3 billion, up by 27% YoY. Core net profit attributable to the parent company reached CNY6.66 billion, up by 102% YoY.
NEV and Export Performance
NEV sales reached 725,000 units, up 126% YoY. NEV exports were 40,000 units, up by 146% YoY.
Galaxy Brand Growth
Galaxy brand achieved explosive growth, selling 548,000 units, up by 232% YoY.
Technological Advancements
Introduction of new AI technologies and the launch of new hybrid systems, including the Thor EM-i AI hybrid system with a thermal efficiency of 47.26%.
Strategic Integration and Global Expansion
Completion of strategic integration of Zeekr and Lynk & Co brands, expansion into new markets such as Brazil, UK, Italy, and Switzerland.
Negative Updates
Decline in Export Volume
Total export volume fell by 8% YoY, primarily due to a significant decrease in sales in the Eastern European market.
Slight Decline in Gross Margin
Gross margin remained stable at 16.4%, but experienced a slight decline of 0.3 percentage points compared to the first period of the year.
Brand Recognition Challenges
Acknowledged need for improvement in brand building and customer experience, emphasizing the importance of driving experiences and emotional connections with customers.
Company Guidance
In the first half of 2025, Geely Automotive demonstrated significant growth across various metrics. The company delivered approximately 1.409 million units, marking a 47% year-over-year (YoY) increase, significantly surpassing the industry average of 13%. Geely's market share rose to 10.4%, a 2.4 percentage point increase YoY. Revenue reached about CNY150.3 billion, up by 27%, with a core net profit attributable to the parent company of CNY6.66 billion, a 102% YoY increase. The NEV sector saw impressive growth, with sales reaching 725,000 units, a 126% YoY increase, and NEV exports rising by 146%. The company's gross profit totaled CNY24.7 billion, up by 24%, although the gross margin slightly declined to 16.4% due to uneven growth rates across different product segments. The selling expense ratio decreased to 5.6%, and the administrative expense ratio dropped to 1.9%. R&D investment was CNY8.3 billion, an 8.6% decrease, reflecting increased efficiency in resource utilization. The company also maintained a strong cash flow of CNY58.8 billion, with net cash from operating activities contributing CNY15 billion. Looking ahead, Geely plans to launch several new NEV models and expand its international presence, aiming to achieve a 3 million sales target for the year.

Geely Automobile Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Geely Automobile Holdings has shown significant financial improvement across all verticals in 2024. The income statement reveals robust revenue and profit growth, with margins improving across the board. The balance sheet indicates strong financial health, characterized by low leverage and improved return on equity. The cash flow statement highlights excellent cash generation capabilities, supporting the company's growth and stability. However, the company should maintain vigilance over its liabilities to ensure continued financial flexibility.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Geely Automobile Holdings has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a notable increase from 179.2 billion in 2023 to 240.2 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin improved to 15.9% in 2024 from 15.3% in 2023, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin also saw a significant improvement, rising from 3.0% in 2023 to 6.9% in 2024, showcasing enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have recovered from negative figures in 2023 to positive margins of 3.2% and 4.6% in 2024, respectively, reflecting operational recovery and stability.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Geely Automobile Holdings is characterized by a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08, indicating low financial leverage. The equity ratio stands at 37.8%, reflecting a healthy capital structure with substantial shareholder equity. Return on Equity (ROE) improved significantly to 19.2% in 2024 from 6.6% in 2023, highlighting efficient utilization of equity to generate profits. However, there is a slight concern regarding the high total liabilities, which could pose potential risks if not managed effectively.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Geely Automobile Holdings has shown strong cash flow performance, with a substantial increase in free cash flow from 7.0 billion in 2023 to 23.5 billion in 2024, reflecting significant growth and efficient capital expenditure management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable at 1.6, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.4 further underscores the company's ability to generate cash beyond its income, supporting future investments and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue283.17B240.19B179.20B147.96B101.61B92.11B
Gross Profit46.75B38.20B27.42B20.90B17.41B14.74B
EBITDA15.35B11.02B5.23B3.90B4.30B6.12B
Net Income15.32B16.63B5.31B5.26B4.85B5.53B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets274.10B229.39B192.60B157.83B134.34B110.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments53.19B40.87B35.75B33.34B28.01B18.98B
Total Debt52.09B6.51B8.10B13.16B4.51B3.95B
Total Liabilities182.01B136.97B107.45B81.63B64.12B46.60B
Stockholders Equity89.62B86.74B80.51B75.13B68.61B63.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow24.94B23.47B7.02B5.68B9.25B-5.45B
Operating Cash Flow27.39B26.51B22.34B16.02B15.35B1.60B
Investing Cash Flow-14.26B-9.13B-16.14B-12.13B-7.16B-5.43B
Financing Cash Flow-3.59B-13.30B-2.76B1.33B916.02M3.76B

Geely Automobile Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.00
Price Trends
50DMA
17.32
Negative
100DMA
18.18
Negative
200DMA
17.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Positive
RSI
44.67
Neutral
STOCH
21.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0175, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.27, below the 50-day MA of 17.32, and below the 200-day MA of 17.76, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0175.

Geely Automobile Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$185.27B9.5117.60%1.95%
67
Neutral
HK$183.96B10.2213.04%3.41%7.93%-12.94%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$924.20B21.0119.95%1.55%22.94%10.22%
59
Neutral
HK$128.99B27.517.01%-10.21%-54.95%
53
Neutral
HK$156.83B-50.71-9.03%86.21%51.50%
40
Underperform
HK$82.02B-3.23-297.21%14.73%2.81%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:0175
Geely Automobile Holdings
17.00
3.66
27.41%
HK:1211
BYD Co
97.60
12.28
14.39%
HK:2333
Great Wall Motor Co
14.15
1.72
13.80%
HK:2015
Li Auto, Inc. Class A
63.90
-21.50
-25.18%
HK:9866
NIO Inc. Class A
36.54
4.89
15.45%
HK:9868
XPeng, Inc. Class A
82.20
32.10
64.07%

Geely Automobile Holdings Corporate Events

Geely Exceeds 3 Million Vehicle Sales in 2025 and Raises 2026 Target With NEV Push
Jan 1, 2026

Geely Automobile reported unaudited total vehicle sales of 236,817 units in December 2025, up 13% year-on-year, bringing full-year 2025 sales to 3,024,567 units, a 39% increase that surpassed its 3 million-unit target. Growth was driven by the Geely-branded lineup, particularly the Galaxy series, as well as higher volumes at LYNK & CO, while new energy vehicles saw strong momentum with battery electric and plug-in hybrid sales rising sharply for the year; exports remained broadly stable and Proton contributed additional volume with modest annual growth. Looking ahead, the board has set a 2026 sales target of 3,450,000 units, implying a 14% increase, with ambitious goals for 2,220,000 new energy vehicles—about 32% growth versus 2025—underscoring Geely’s strategy to deepen its position in the fast-growing NEV segment and sustain volume expansion across its core brands, though the figures remain subject to audit and potential adjustment.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0175) stock is a Buy with a HK$21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Geely Automobile Holdings stock, see the HK:0175 Stock Forecast page.

Geely Completes NYSE Delisting and Full Takeover of EV Unit ZEEKR
Dec 22, 2025

Geely Automobile Holdings has completed the privatisation of its electric vehicle unit ZEEKR, acquiring all issued and outstanding ZEEKR shares and ADSs and merging its merger subsidiary into ZEEKR, which continues as the surviving entity. As a result, ZEEKR has been delisted from the New York Stock Exchange and is now an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of Geely, with its financial results remaining fully consolidated into the group’s accounts but with the previous non-controlling interest portion reclassified and eliminated, simplifying the group’s ownership structure and potentially increasing Geely’s direct economic exposure to ZEEKR’s performance while shareholders are cautioned to exercise care in dealing in the company’s securities.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0175) stock is a Buy with a HK$21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Geely Automobile Holdings stock, see the HK:0175 Stock Forecast page.

Geely Completes ZEEKR Merger and Moves to End U.S. Reporting Obligations
Dec 22, 2025

Geely Automobile Holdings has completed the merger of its premium electric-vehicle subsidiary ZEEKR with an indirect wholly owned subsidiary, resulting in ZEEKR becoming a privately held, wholly owned unit of the group. Following this transaction, Geely automatically inherited ZEEKR’s U.S. securities registration and reporting obligations but has now moved to terminate them by filing Form 15F with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, which immediately suspends its U.S. reporting duties and is expected to fully end them within 90 days absent SEC objection; the company has cautioned shareholders and potential investors to exercise care when dealing in its securities during this transition.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0175) stock is a Buy with a HK$21.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Geely Automobile Holdings stock, see the HK:0175 Stock Forecast page.

Geely Automobile Wins Independent Shareholder Backing for Connected Transactions at EGM
Dec 18, 2025

Geely Automobile Holdings announced that independent shareholders approved all ordinary resolutions at its extraordinary general meeting held on 18 December 2025, clearing the way for the continuation of its connected transactions and related R&D services and technology licensing arrangements. Key executive shareholders, including Chairman Li Shu Fu and several executive directors with interests in Geely Holding and ZEEKR, abstained from voting in line with Hong Kong listing rules, while Union Registrars Limited acted as scrutineer. The high level of eligible independent shareholder participation and the passage of the resolutions strengthen the company’s governance compliance around connected-party dealings and provide formal backing for ongoing operational and collaboration arrangements within the Geely group, which are important for its future business activities and stakeholder alignment.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0175) stock is a Buy with a HK$25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Geely Automobile Holdings stock, see the HK:0175 Stock Forecast page.

Geely Completes ZEEKR Privatization Election Process
Dec 9, 2025

Geely Automobile Holdings Limited has announced the completion of the election process for the privatization of ZEEKR, a significant move under its Merger Agreement. Eligible ZEEKR holders have opted for either cash or consideration shares, resulting in the issuance of 777,228,611 shares and a cash payout of approximately US$701 million. This development is part of Geely’s strategic efforts to streamline its operations and strengthen its market position. Additionally, Geely plans to secure a US$420 million short-term facility to finance the cash consideration, with Bank of China (Hong Kong) Limited coordinating the arrangement.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0175) stock is a Buy with a HK$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Geely Automobile Holdings stock, see the HK:0175 Stock Forecast page.

Geely Reports Robust Sales Growth in November 2025
Dec 1, 2025

Geely Automobile Holdings Limited reported a significant increase in sales volume for November 2025, with a total of 310,428 units sold, marking a 24% rise compared to the same period last year. Notably, the company’s electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles saw substantial growth, with battery electric vehicles increasing by 12% and plug-in hybrids by 174% year-on-year. This growth underscores Geely’s strong positioning in the automotive market, particularly in the electric vehicle sector, and highlights its expanding global footprint despite a slight decline in export sales.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0175) stock is a Buy with a HK$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Geely Automobile Holdings stock, see the HK:0175 Stock Forecast page.

Geely Automobile to Discuss Key Procurement and R&D Agreements
Nov 27, 2025

Geely Automobile Holdings Limited has announced an extraordinary general meeting to discuss and potentially approve two significant agreements. The first agreement involves a procurement cooperation with Zhejiang Geely Holding Group and its subsidiaries, aimed at purchasing complete and knock-down units from Farizon Commercial Vehicles Group and Shandong Geely New Energy Group. The second agreement focuses on research and development services and technology licensing with several partners, including ZEEKR, Polestar, and others, to enhance Geely’s technological support and innovation capabilities. These agreements are expected to strengthen Geely’s market position and drive its growth in the new energy vehicle sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0175) stock is a Buy with a HK$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Geely Automobile Holdings stock, see the HK:0175 Stock Forecast page.

Geely Announces Election Deadlines for ZEEKR Privatization
Nov 21, 2025

Geely Automobile Holdings Limited has announced the election deadlines related to the proposed privatization of its subsidiary, ZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holding Limited. This move is part of a broader Merger Agreement, and stakeholders are advised to be cautious when dealing with the company’s securities due to potential investment risks.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0175) stock is a Buy with a HK$19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Geely Automobile Holdings stock, see the HK:0175 Stock Forecast page.

Geely Announces HK$2.3 Billion Share Buy-Back Program
Nov 18, 2025

Geely Automobile Holdings Limited has announced a HK$2.3 billion automatic share buy-back program, approved by its board of directors. The buy-back will be executed by Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc, following pre-determined parameters and independent of the company. The program is designed to mitigate risks associated with trading on undisclosed inside information, and a waiver has been granted to allow share repurchases during restricted periods. This move is expected to enhance shareholder value and reflects Geely’s strategic financial management, positioning the company favorably in the market.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0175) stock is a Buy with a HK$27.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Geely Automobile Holdings stock, see the HK:0175 Stock Forecast page.

ZEEKR Reports Strong Q3 2025 Growth in Vehicle Deliveries and Financial Performance
Nov 17, 2025

ZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holding Limited, a subsidiary of Geely Automobile Holdings, reported its unaudited financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showcasing significant growth in vehicle deliveries and financial performance. The company delivered 140,195 vehicles, marking a 12.5% year-over-year increase, with notable contributions from its Zeekr and Lynk & Co brands. Financially, ZEEKR achieved a 9.1% increase in total revenues and a 37.1% rise in gross profit compared to the same period last year, indicating strong operational performance and market demand for its new energy vehicles.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0175) stock is a Buy with a HK$21.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Geely Automobile Holdings stock, see the HK:0175 Stock Forecast page.

Geely Automobile Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 17, 2025

Geely Automobile Holdings Limited reported strong financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, with a 43% increase in total sales volume driven by growth in both fuel and new energy vehicle sales. The company’s revenue rose by 27% year-on-year, and profit attributable to owners increased by 59% to RMB3.8 billion. For the nine months ending September 2025, the profit excluding certain adjustments was RMB10.62 billion, marking a 59% increase from the previous year. This performance highlights Geely’s effective cost control, economies of scale, and brand integration strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0175) stock is a Buy with a HK$21.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Geely Automobile Holdings stock, see the HK:0175 Stock Forecast page.

Geely Automobile Reports 35% Surge in October Sales, Driven by Electric Vehicles
Nov 2, 2025

Geely Automobile Holdings Limited reported a significant increase in its sales volume for October 2025, with a total of 307,133 units sold, marking a 35% rise compared to the same period last year. This growth was driven by strong performances in the electric and hybrid vehicle segments, particularly under the Geely and Galaxy brands, which saw substantial year-on-year increases. The announcement highlights Geely’s robust market positioning and its continued expansion in the electric vehicle sector, although export sales experienced a slight decline.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0175) stock is a Buy with a HK$21.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Geely Automobile Holdings stock, see the HK:0175 Stock Forecast page.

Geely Automobile Delays Circular Dispatch for Connected Transactions
Oct 31, 2025

Geely Automobile Holdings Limited has announced a delay in the dispatch of a circular related to Non-Exempt Continuing Connected Transactions, initially expected by 31 October 2025, now postponed to on or before 28 November 2025. This delay is due to the need for additional time to finalize the information to be included in the circular, which will contain details and recommendations regarding the transactions, impacting shareholders and potentially influencing the company’s market activities.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0175) stock is a Buy with a HK$21.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Geely Automobile Holdings stock, see the HK:0175 Stock Forecast page.

Geely Automobile Schedules Board Meeting for Financial Review
Oct 17, 2025

Geely Automobile Holdings Limited has announced that its board of directors will convene on November 17, 2025, to review and approve the company’s unaudited quarterly results for the nine months ending September 30, 2025. This meeting signifies an important step in assessing the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting its market position and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:0175) stock is a Buy with a HK$21.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Geely Automobile Holdings stock, see the HK:0175 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026