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Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Ltd Class H (HK:2238)
:2238

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co (2238) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:2238

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co

(2238)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
HK$4.00
▲(9.29% Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by strong technical momentum, which is the most significant positive factor. However, this is offset by challenges in financial performance and a concerning valuation with a negative P/E ratio. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events means these factors do not influence the score.
Positive Factors
Stable balance sheet and equity ratio
A healthy equity ratio and stable balance sheet provide a durable buffer against cyclical shocks in China's auto market. This financial stability supports ongoing JV partnerships, continuous manufacturing investment, and preserves access to debt or capital for restructuring or model refreshes over the medium term.
Improving operating cash flow
An improving operating cash flow trend signals the business can increasingly convert sales into cash, strengthening working capital and operational resilience. Over months, stronger OCF helps fund inventory, dealer financing and supports strategic investments even while capex weighs on free cash flow.
Diversified revenue sources (JVs, brands, services)
Multiple revenue streams—JV-derived vehicle sales, self-brands, parts, finance and after-sales—reduce reliance on a single product cycle. This structural diversification smooths cashflows, enables cross-selling, and leverages JV tech and distribution advantages to sustain revenue across market cycles.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue trend
An almost 9% revenue decline indicates secular headwinds or market share erosion in a core market. Sustained revenue contractions impair operating leverage, constrain reinvestment capacity for EVs or new models, and increase pressure on margins and stakeholder returns over the medium term.
Weak profitability; negative EBIT/EBITDA margins
Negative operating and EBITDA margins imply core manufacturing and sales operations are loss-making after costs. This structural profitability weakness undermines return on equity, limits retained earnings for R&D or capex, and necessitates durable margin improvement plans to restore financial health.
Negative free cash flow driven by high capex
Persistent negative free cash flow from heavy capex constrains financial flexibility, forcing reliance on external funding or JV financing. Over the next several months, this structural cash gap could limit model launches, EV investment pace, or require deleveraging actions that affect long-term growth.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co (2238) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGuangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of vehicles and motorcycles, and parts and components; and provision of commercial and financial services in Mainland China and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Vehicles and Related Operations, and Others. It offers large to medium sized passenger vehicles, light and heavy trucks, construction vehicles, and energy vehicles; motorcycles comprising standard motorcycles, sport bikes, scooters, etc.; and auto-parts and components, including engines, gearboxes, car seats, micro motors, shifters, electric controllers, and interior and exterior decorations. The company also provides financial investment, insurance, insurance brokerage, financial leasing, automobile credit, and other related services; and engages in the businesses of vehicle sales, logistics, international trading, second-hand vehicles, end-of-life vehicles disassembling, resources recycling, supporting services, digitalization and mobility transportation services, etc. In addition, it offers investment management services; and engages in the trade of steel. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China. Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Guangzhou Automobile Industry Group Co., Ltd.
How the Company Makes MoneyGAC Group generates revenue through the sale of vehicles, including passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and electric vehicles. The company has multiple revenue streams, primarily driven by its partnerships with joint ventures with global automotive brands, which include shared technology and production capabilities that enhance efficiency and product offerings. Additionally, GAC Group earns income from the sale of automotive parts and components, as well as from after-sales services, such as maintenance and repairs. The company's focus on expanding its electric vehicle lineup and investing in research and development supports its growth strategy, aimed at capturing a larger share of the increasingly competitive automotive market.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co shows mixed financial health with evident challenges in profitability and cash flow generation. Despite some periods of growth, recent financial results highlight operational and profitability pressures. The balance sheet remains relatively stable, providing a buffer against short-term financial risks. Strategic focus on improving operational efficiency and cash flow generation will be crucial for future financial performance.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The company's revenue has seen fluctuations with a notable decline in the most recent TTM period. Recent margins, like the gross profit margin and net profit margin, have weakened, with the company recording negative EBIT and EBITDA margins in the TTM. This indicates challenges in operational efficiency and profitability, despite past periods of positive margins.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a stable equity position with a healthy equity ratio, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio remains manageable, although there is an increase in total debt over time. The return on equity has deteriorated due to recent net losses, suggesting pressure on shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow has shown improvement in the TTM, but free cash flow remains negative due to high capital expenditures. The ratio of operating cash flow to net income has been inconsistent, reflecting variability in cash generation relative to accounting profits. Overall, cash flow management appears challenged by high capital needs.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue104.14B107.78B129.71B110.01B75.68B63.16B
Gross Profit3.35B7.18B9.76B8.22B6.41B4.37B
EBITDA-5.29B8.51B10.42B14.38B13.31B11.14B
Net Income-3.23B823.58M4.43B8.06B7.33B5.97B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets212.67B232.46B218.39B190.02B154.20B142.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments41.98B54.18B56.01B43.74B27.26B30.10B
Total Debt25.89B29.82B22.06B20.61B17.28B16.35B
Total Liabilities94.96B110.68B93.99B67.77B61.60B56.15B
Stockholders Equity111.28B114.35B115.72B113.23B90.26B84.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-12.94B59.36M-4.85B-13.36B-11.83B-9.47B
Operating Cash Flow-10.77B10.92B6.73B-5.35B-5.59B-2.89B
Investing Cash Flow-10.58B-11.75B-2.47B-3.83B1.65B468.81M
Financing Cash Flow8.98B2.21B4.07B24.28B72.84M-1.79B

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.66
Price Trends
50DMA
3.88
Negative
100DMA
3.61
Positive
200DMA
3.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Positive
RSI
42.64
Neutral
STOCH
26.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2238, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.81, below the 50-day MA of 3.88, and above the 200-day MA of 3.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:2238.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$172.75B8.8717.60%1.95%
67
Neutral
HK$172.19B10.1113.04%3.41%7.93%-12.94%
64
Neutral
HK$74.08B-10.58-3.15%1.35%-8.79%-212.16%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
57
Neutral
HK$74.77B-118.77-0.38%0.62%4.35%86.99%
55
Neutral
HK$14.59B-20.31-1.14%4.98%-6.72%-130.82%
53
Neutral
HK$127.45B-41.15-9.03%86.21%51.50%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:2238
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co
3.70
0.64
20.72%
HK:0175
Geely Automobile Holdings
15.92
0.75
4.96%
HK:1958
BAIC Motor
1.82
-0.39
-17.65%
HK:0489
Dongfeng Motor Group Co
8.95
5.98
201.35%
HK:2333
Great Wall Motor Co
13.08
1.44
12.32%
HK:9868
XPeng, Inc. Class A
66.55
1.70
2.62%

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Corporate Events

GAC Group January Sales Jump on Surging New Energy Vehicle Demand Despite Production Dip
Feb 1, 2026

Guangzhou Automobile Group reported that its total vehicle production in January 2026 fell 4.77% year on year to 110,795 units, even as sales rose 18.47% to 116,622 units, signaling tighter inventories but stronger market demand. The group’s new energy vehicle segment was the standout, with NEV production up 42.82% and sales surging 162.90%, driven in particular by GAC Aion’s sharp sales growth, while traditional energy-efficient vehicles saw modest gains in sales and a small decline in output, and GAC Honda recorded steep drops in both production and sales, partially offset by robust performance at GAC Toyota, GAC Motor, and the new energy commercial vehicle unit, underscoring an ongoing shift in its portfolio toward electrification.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2238) stock is a Hold with a HK$4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangzhou Automobile Group Co stock, see the HK:2238 Stock Forecast page.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Warns of RMB 8–9 Billion Loss for 2025 Amid EV Transition Pressure
Jan 30, 2026

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. has warned that it expects to post a substantial net loss attributable to shareholders of between RMB 8 billion and RMB 9 billion for 2025, compared with a profit of RMB 823.58 million in 2024, while the loss after deducting non-recurring items is projected at RMB 8.9 billion to RMB 9.9 billion versus a smaller loss a year earlier. The automaker cites intense industry competition, weaker-than-expected full-year sales despite a pick-up from the second quarter, heavier sales investments, and larger asset impairment provisions on intangible assets, inventories and joint ventures tied to its accelerated shift into new energy models, all of which are expected to significantly weigh on profitability and signal the financial strains of the sector’s rapid restructuring for shareholders and investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2238) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangzhou Automobile Group Co stock, see the HK:2238 Stock Forecast page.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Shareholders Back Board Changes and Governance Rule Amendments at EGM
Jan 23, 2026

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. held its first extraordinary general meeting of 2026 on 23 January in Guangzhou, with shareholders and proxies representing about 60.36% of the company’s voting share capital in attendance, satisfying PRC legal and corporate governance requirements. All resolutions proposed at the meeting were approved by poll, including the election of a new executive director and amendments to the rules for independent directors and to the management rules governing related party transactions, each receiving more than half of the votes cast and facing minimal opposition. The strong approval of these governance-related changes, alongside the formal appointment of an executive director, underscores continued shareholder support for the company’s board structure and internal control framework, and signals an ongoing effort to refine oversight of independent directors and related-party dealings as the group pursues its strategic and operational objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2238) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangzhou Automobile Group Co stock, see the HK:2238 Stock Forecast page.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Details Board and Committee Structure
Jan 23, 2026

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. has announced the current composition of its board of directors and the allocation of roles across four key board committees. The board comprises two executive directors, five non-executive directors and four independent non-executive directors, with Chairman Feng Xingya leading the board and Xiao Shengfang and other independent directors chairing core committees such as audit, remuneration and assessment, nomination and strategy. The updated structure underscores the company’s emphasis on independent oversight and specialized governance in areas including audit, remuneration and strategic planning, which is likely aimed at strengthening corporate governance standards and enhancing transparency and accountability for shareholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2238) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangzhou Automobile Group Co stock, see the HK:2238 Stock Forecast page.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Posts Double-Digit Sales Decline in 2025 Amid Mixed JV Performance
Jan 7, 2026

Guangzhou Automobile Group reported that its total vehicle production in December 2025 fell 20.23% year on year to 165,302 units, while monthly sales dropped 33.82% to 187,453 units; for the full year 2025, production declined 8.98% to 1.74 million units and sales slid 14.06% to 1.72 million units, highlighting broad pressure on demand across its portfolio. Joint ventures showed mixed performance, with GAC Toyota posting modest full-year growth in both production and sales, contrasted by notable declines at GAC Honda, GAC Motor and GAC AION, though the company’s new energy vehicle production for the year still rose 2.88% and energy‑efficient vehicle output increased 4.50%, underscoring a gradual shift toward electrified and higher-efficiency models despite weaker overall volumes.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2238) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangzhou Automobile Group Co stock, see the HK:2238 Stock Forecast page.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Calls January 2026 EGM to Vote on Governance Changes
Jan 7, 2026

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. has called its first extraordinary general meeting of 2026 for 23 January in Guangzhou, where shareholders will vote on the election of a director and amendments to the company’s rules for independent directors and its decision-making management rules for related-party transactions. The meeting arrangements also clarify proxy procedures, record date, voting by poll under Hong Kong listing rules, and separate notification practices for H-share and A-share holders, underscoring the group’s ongoing corporate governance updates and compliance with dual-listing regulatory requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2238) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangzhou Automobile Group Co stock, see the HK:2238 Stock Forecast page.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Sets Record Date for 2026 First Extraordinary General Meeting
Jan 5, 2026

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. has announced arrangements for its first extraordinary general meeting of 2026, which is scheduled to be held on 23 January 2026. The company has set 19 January 2026 as the record date for determining the eligibility of holders of its overseas listed H shares to attend and vote, requiring shareholders to complete share transfers and lodge relevant documents by 4:30 p.m. that day with its Hong Kong share registrar. Further details on the meeting’s venue and agenda will be provided in a forthcoming circular and formal notice, signalling routine but important corporate governance procedures for its international shareholder base.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2238) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangzhou Automobile Group Co stock, see the HK:2238 Stock Forecast page.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Tightens Governance With Revised Executive Pay Committee Rules
Dec 31, 2025

Guangzhou Automobile Group has revised and reissued its Implementation Rules for the Board’s Remuneration and Assessment Committee as of December 2025, aiming to further strengthen its remuneration management framework for directors and senior management and enhance corporate governance. The updated rules clarify the committee’s composition—three directors with a majority of independent directors, led by an independent convener whose term is aligned with the board—and formalize its mandate to set and review performance appraisal standards, design and supervise remuneration systems, and determine or recommend pay packages and incentive mechanisms by benchmarking against comparable enterprises. By codifying responsibilities such as annual performance assessments, oversight of remuneration implementation and establishment of transparent, formal procedures for pay policy, the company seeks to align director and executive compensation more closely with duties, performance and market norms, potentially improving accountability and transparency for investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2238) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangzhou Automobile Group Co stock, see the HK:2238 Stock Forecast page.

GAC Tightens Board Nomination Rules, Strengthens Diversity and Governance Oversight
Dec 31, 2025

Guangzhou Automobile Group has amended and reissued its implementation rules for the Board’s Nomination Committee, strengthening the framework for appointing directors and senior management in line with Chinese corporate law, domestic governance codes and the Hong Kong Listing Rules. The updated rules formalize the committee’s composition and gender diversity requirements, expand its mandate to include annual reviews of board size, skills mix, diversity, director independence and time commitment, and embed oversight of board diversity policy and continuous professional development, thereby tightening governance standards and limiting the ability of controlling shareholders to bypass the committee’s recommendations when proposing candidates.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2238) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangzhou Automobile Group Co stock, see the HK:2238 Stock Forecast page.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Refines Board Strategy Committee Rules to Bolster Governance
Dec 31, 2025

Guangzhou Automobile Group has revised and adopted new implementation rules for its Board Strategy Committee to better support the company’s long-term development and strengthen investment decision-making and corporate governance. The Strategy Committee, composed of six directors including at least one independent director, is tasked with researching and recommending the company’s long-term strategic plans, major investment and financing projects, and significant capital operations and asset management matters, as well as reviewing their implementation and submitting proposals to the board for approval. The rules clarify the committee’s composition, term of office, decision-making procedures, and its accountability to the board, aiming to enhance the efficiency, quality and scientific rigor of decisions on major corporate initiatives and thereby reinforce the company’s strategic management framework.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2238) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangzhou Automobile Group Co stock, see the HK:2238 Stock Forecast page.

GAC Overhauls Audit Committee Rules to Bolster Governance and Oversight
Dec 31, 2025

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. has revised its Implementation Rules for the Board’s Audit Committee as of December 2025 to strengthen the committee’s supervisory role over financial reporting, internal and external audits, internal controls, risk management and compliance. The updated rules clarify the Audit Committee’s accountability to the board, formalize its authority to exercise functions traditionally held by a supervisory committee under PRC Company Law, and set detailed requirements on its composition, including a three-member structure of non-executive directors with a majority of independent directors and a professionally qualified accountant as convener. The measures are aimed at enhancing governance standards, improving transparency and audit quality, and ensuring the committee has sufficient expertise, independence and resources to meet rising regulatory expectations in both mainland China and Hong Kong, with potential benefits for investors and other stakeholders concerned about oversight and financial integrity.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2238) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangzhou Automobile Group Co stock, see the HK:2238 Stock Forecast page.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Reports Decline in November 2025 Production and Sales
Dec 5, 2025

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. reported a decline in both production and sales volumes for November 2025, with production down by 9.71% and sales down by 9.72% compared to the previous year. The year-to-date figures also show a decrease, with production down by 7.62% and sales down by 10.80%. Despite the overall decline, the company saw an increase in the production and sales of new energy vehicles, indicating a shift towards more sustainable automotive solutions. This trend highlights the company’s strategic focus on expanding its presence in the new energy vehicle market, which could have significant implications for its future market positioning and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2238) stock is a Hold with a HK$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangzhou Automobile Group Co stock, see the HK:2238 Stock Forecast page.

Leadership Change at Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd.
Nov 16, 2025

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. announced a change in its leadership, with Mr. Xia Xianqing appointed as the new general manager, succeeding Mr. Feng Xingya. Mr. Feng will continue as chairman, ensuring a separation of roles in line with corporate governance standards, which may enhance operational efficiency and strategic focus.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2238) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangzhou Automobile Group Co stock, see the HK:2238 Stock Forecast page.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Expands Stake in Dongfeng Honda Engine
Nov 10, 2025

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. announced a connected transaction involving a capital increase agreement with Honda Motor, Honda China, and GAC Honda. This agreement will enlarge the registered capital of GAC Honda, enhancing its equity interest in Dongfeng Honda Engine from 50% to 100%. The transaction is expected to strengthen GAC Honda’s operational capabilities and market positioning, although it remains subject to certain conditions before becoming effective.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2238) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangzhou Automobile Group Co stock, see the HK:2238 Stock Forecast page.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Reports Decline in October 2025 Production and Sales
Nov 7, 2025

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. reported a decrease in both production and sales volumes for October 2025, with production down by 8.30% and sales down by 8.10% compared to the previous year. The company’s year-to-date figures also showed declines, with production and sales decreasing by 7.33% and 10.94%, respectively. Despite the overall downturn, the production and sales of new energy vehicles saw modest growth, indicating a shift in consumer preference and potential strategic focus for the company. This trend may impact the company’s future market positioning and stakeholder interests as it navigates the evolving automotive landscape.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2238) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangzhou Automobile Group Co stock, see the HK:2238 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 03, 2025