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Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Class H (HK:2238)
:2238

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co (2238) AI Stock Analysis

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HK

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co

(OTC:2238)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
HK$3.00
▲(0.67%Upside)
The overall stock score reflects significant challenges in financial performance and valuation. The financial health of Guangzhou Automobile Group Co is mixed, with profitability pressures evident. Technical analysis shows neutral signals, while the valuation appears high given the current financial standing.
Positive Factors
Market Demand
The market demand for GAC Toyota and GAC Honda has also recovered a bit recently aided by the peak season and stimulus measures.
New Model Launches
Management is determined to revive its homegrown brands with a plethora of new models in 2025.
Negative Factors
Earnings Forecast
Earnings forecasts were revised down due to lower gross margins amid fiercer competition and lack of competitive NEVs until 2026.
Financial Performance
GAC posted the largest quarterly net loss (RMB1.4bn) in 3Q24 since at least 2013, partly due to the FX loss and lower government grants.
Sales Volume
Self-brand sales volume fell 35% y/y to 1.0mn for 7M24, due to lack of BEV and PHEV exposure. Sales prospects to remain challenging.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co (2238) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGuangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of vehicles and motorcycles, and parts and components; and provision of commercial and financial services in Mainland China and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Vehicles and Related Operations, and Others. It offers large to medium sized passenger vehicles, light and heavy trucks, construction vehicles, and energy vehicles; motorcycles comprising standard motorcycles, sport bikes, scooters, etc.; and auto-parts and components, including engines, gearboxes, car seats, micro motors, shifters, electric controllers, and interior and exterior decorations. The company also provides financial investment, insurance, insurance brokerage, financial leasing, automobile credit, and other related services; and engages in the businesses of vehicle sales, logistics, international trading, second-hand vehicles, end-of-life vehicles disassembling, resources recycling, supporting services, digitalization and mobility transportation services, etc. In addition, it offers investment management services; and engages in the trade of steel. The company was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, the People's Republic of China. Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Guangzhou Automobile Industry Group Co., Ltd.
How the Company Makes MoneyGAC Group generates revenue primarily through the manufacture and sale of a wide range of vehicles, including passenger cars and commercial vehicles. The company operates several joint ventures with international automotive companies such as Toyota, Honda, and Stellantis, which significantly contribute to its revenue by expanding its product portfolio and market reach. Besides vehicle sales, GAC Group earns money from the production and distribution of auto parts and components. The company also engages in automotive-related services, including financing, insurance, and after-sales services, which provide additional revenue streams. These diverse operations, along with strategic partnerships, play a crucial role in the company's financial performance.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co shows mixed financial health with evident challenges in profitability and cash flow generation. Despite some periods of growth, recent financial results highlight operational and profitability pressures. The balance sheet remains relatively stable, providing a buffer against short-term financial risks. Strategic focus on improving operational efficiency and cash flow generation will be crucial for future financial performance.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The company's revenue has seen fluctuations with a notable decline in the most recent TTM period. Recent margins, like the gross profit margin and net profit margin, have weakened, with the company recording negative EBIT and EBITDA margins in the TTM. This indicates challenges in operational efficiency and profitability, despite past periods of positive margins.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a stable equity position with a healthy equity ratio, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio remains manageable, although there is an increase in total debt over time. The return on equity has deteriorated due to recent net losses, suggesting pressure on shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow has shown improvement in the TTM, but free cash flow remains negative due to high capital expenditures. The ratio of operating cash flow to net income has been inconsistent, reflecting variability in cash generation relative to accounting profits. Overall, cash flow management appears challenged by high capital needs.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue106.10B107.78B129.71B110.01B75.68B63.16B
Gross Profit5.63B7.18B9.76B8.22B6.41B4.37B
EBITDA-2.41B8.51B10.42B14.38B13.31B11.14B
Net Income-1.13B823.58M4.43B8.06B7.33B5.97B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets213.13B232.46B218.39B190.02B154.20B142.81B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments40.41B54.18B56.01B43.74B27.26B30.10B
Total Debt25.70B29.82B22.06B20.61B17.28B16.35B
Total Liabilities92.69B110.68B93.99B67.77B61.60B56.15B
Stockholders Equity113.38B114.35B115.72B113.23B90.26B84.32B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.56B59.36M-4.85B-13.36B-11.83B-9.47B
Operating Cash Flow8.77B10.92B6.73B-5.35B-5.59B-2.89B
Investing Cash Flow-9.39B-11.75B-2.47B-3.83B1.65B468.81M
Financing Cash Flow252.82M2.21B4.07B24.28B72.84M-1.79B

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.98
Price Trends
50DMA
2.80
Positive
100DMA
2.94
Positive
200DMA
2.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
62.53
Neutral
STOCH
77.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2238, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.84, above the 50-day MA of 2.80, and above the 200-day MA of 2.97, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:2238.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
56
Neutral
$3.37B4.05-1.30%6.64%0.16%-63.79%
53
Neutral
HK$68.75B34.37-0.98%1.46%-18.42%-82.40%
$21.15B7.1624.35%2.04%
$2.06B15.171.66%7.24%
$3.77B520.000.04%1.35%
$22.83B8.7214.58%2.65%
57
Neutral
HK$131.56B-15.50%49.80%50.02%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:2238
Guangzhou Automobile Group Co
2.98
0.39
15.06%
GELYF
Geely Automobile Holdings
2.04
1.00
96.15%
BMCLF
BAIC Motor
0.25
-0.02
-7.41%
DNFGF
Dongfeng Motor Group Co
0.52
0.23
79.31%
GWLLF
Great Wall Motor Co
1.60
0.08
5.26%
HK:9868
XPeng, Inc. Class A
69.10
39.45
133.05%

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co Corporate Events

Guangzhou Automobile Group Reports Decline in June 2025 Production and Sales
Jul 4, 2025

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. reported a decline in both production and sales volumes for June 2025, with production down by 10.05% and sales down by 8.22% compared to the previous year. The company’s year-to-date figures also show a decrease, with production down by 6.73% and sales down by 12.48%. Despite the overall decline, there was a slight increase in the production of new energy vehicles, which rose by 3.58% for the month, indicating a potential shift in focus towards more sustainable vehicle options.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2238) stock is a Sell with a HK$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangzhou Automobile Group Co stock, see the HK:2238 Stock Forecast page.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Announces Change of Service Agent in Hong Kong
Jun 20, 2025

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. has announced a change in its agent for the service of process in Hong Kong, effective from June 20, 2025. Ms. HE Dan will replace Mr. GAO Feng in this role, a move that aligns with the company’s compliance with local regulations and may impact its operational procedures in Hong Kong.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2238) stock is a Sell with a HK$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangzhou Automobile Group Co stock, see the HK:2238 Stock Forecast page.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Reports Decline in May 2025 Production and Sales
Jun 6, 2025

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. reported a decline in both production and sales volumes for May 2025, with a notable year-on-year decrease of 8.16% in production and 24.80% in sales. Despite the overall downturn, the company saw growth in energy-efficient vehicle production and sales, highlighting a strategic shift towards more sustainable automotive solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2238) stock is a Sell with a HK$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangzhou Automobile Group Co stock, see the HK:2238 Stock Forecast page.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Announces AGM Results and Dividend Declaration
May 23, 2025

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. held its 2024 Annual General Meeting on May 23, 2025, where all proposed resolutions were approved by shareholders. The meeting included the declaration of the final dividend for the year ended December 31, 2024, and addressed the withholding and payment of taxes for non-resident enterprise holders and individual holders of overseas H shares. The AGM was conducted in compliance with the relevant legal and regulatory requirements, and the resolutions were passed by a significant majority of the voting shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2238) stock is a Sell with a HK$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangzhou Automobile Group Co stock, see the HK:2238 Stock Forecast page.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Announces Final Dividend for 2024
May 23, 2025

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. announced a final cash dividend of RMB 0.02 per share for the financial year ending December 31, 2024, with shareholders’ approval obtained on May 23, 2025. The dividend will be paid in Hong Kong dollars at an exchange rate of RMB 1 to HKD 1.08738, and is subject to withholding tax rates of 10% for non-resident enterprises and individuals, and 20% for Southbound Trading investors. This announcement reflects the company’s commitment to returning value to shareholders while adhering to tax regulations, potentially impacting investor sentiment and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2238) stock is a Sell with a HK$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Guangzhou Automobile Group Co stock, see the HK:2238 Stock Forecast page.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Reports Decline in April 2025 Production and Sales
May 9, 2025

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. reported a significant decline in both production and sales volumes for April 2025, with a 25.74% decrease in production and a 12.66% drop in sales compared to the previous year. Despite the overall downturn, the company saw a slight increase in the sales of new energy vehicles, reflecting a strategic shift towards more sustainable automotive solutions.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Announces 2024 AGM with Key Resolutions
Apr 29, 2025

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. has announced its 2024 Annual General Meeting, scheduled for May 23, 2025, where shareholders will consider and vote on several resolutions, including the 2024 annual report, financial report, and profit distribution proposal. The meeting will also address the appointment of auditors and related party transactions, reflecting the company’s commitment to transparency and strategic planning, which could impact its operational efficiency and stakeholder relations.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Reports Significant Q1 2025 Loss
Apr 25, 2025

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. reported a significant decline in its financial performance for the first quarter of 2025. The company’s revenue from operations decreased by 7.95% compared to the same period last year, and it recorded a net loss attributable to shareholders of RMB 731.6 million, a stark contrast to the profit of RMB 1.22 billion in the previous year. The net cash flow from operating activities also worsened, indicating financial challenges that could impact its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Schedules Board Meeting for Q1 Results
Apr 10, 2025

Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. has announced that its board of directors will convene on April 25, 2025, to review and approve the unaudited financial results for the first quarter ending March 31, 2025. This meeting is significant as it will provide insights into the company’s financial performance and strategic direction, potentially impacting stakeholders and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2025