BAIC Motor Corporation Limited Class H (HK:1958)
:1958
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BAIC Motor
(1958)
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Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
HK$1.00
â–¼(-46.81% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/01/26
The score is held down primarily by weakening fundamentals (sharp margin compression, near-breakeven returns, and a steep drop in free cash flow) and a clearly bearish technical picture (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). A high dividend yield provides some offset, but the negative P/E and thin profitability limit valuation support.
Positive Factors
Joint-venture partnerships
BAIC’s JV relationships with Mercedes‑Benz and Hyundai provide durable revenue diversification and technology access. Over the medium term these partnerships strengthen product pipelines, premium segment exposure and steady JV cash flows, reducing reliance on self-branded volumes.
Negative Factors
Severe margin compression
Gross- and net-margin deterioration to low single digits leaves minimal buffer for input cost inflation or price competition. Persistently thin margins constrain reinvestment capacity, reduce room for marketing or R&D to defend market share, and increase earnings volatility.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Joint-venture partnerships
BAIC’s JV relationships with Mercedes‑Benz and Hyundai provide durable revenue diversification and technology access. Over the medium term these partnerships strengthen product pipelines, premium segment exposure and steady JV cash flows, reducing reliance on self-branded volumes.
Read all positive factors
BAIC Motor (1958) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$9.70B
Dividend Yield4.98%
Average Volume (3M)12.46M
Price to Earnings (P/E)68.2
Beta (1Y)0.93
Revenue Growth-14.76%
EPS Growth-87.76%
CountryHK
Employees31,705
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryAuto - Manufacturers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.01
Shares Outstanding2,520,690,700
10 Day Avg. Volume11,270,107
30 Day Avg. Volume12,459,917
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-1.30
Price to Book (P/B)0.24
Price to Sales (P/S)0.08
P/FCF Ratio15.33
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
HK$1.54Price Target Upside-18.09% Downside
Rating ConsensusModerate Sell
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.15
Revenue Forecast (FY)HK$166.38B
BAIC Motor Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
BAIC Motor Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells passenger vehicles in the People's Republic of China. The company provides luxury passenger cars, luxury commercial vehicles, middle-end and high-end passenger ...
How the Company Makes Money
BAIC Motor primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling vehicles, with revenue recognized from wholesale/distribution to dealers and, where applicable, direct sales channels. Key revenue streams typically include (1) sales of self-branded pa...
BAIC Motor Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
33
Negative
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 164.05B | 192.50B | 197.95B | 190.46B | 175.92B |
| Gross Profit | 19.01B | 30.89B | 38.30B | 42.33B | 37.64B |
| EBITDA | 19.49B | 24.10B | 30.32B | 34.34B | 33.22B |
| Net Income | 122.70M | 955.84M | 3.03B | 4.20B | 3.86B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 166.58B | 172.04B | 168.72B | 173.38B | 180.84B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 25.57B | 33.90B | 31.42B | 37.53B | 41.27B |
| Total Debt | 19.62B | 8.95B | 13.44B | 20.59B | 22.47B |
| Total Liabilities | 89.46B | 93.56B | 89.34B | 94.44B | 105.96B |
| Stockholders Equity | 57.97B | 57.31B | 57.01B | 54.50B | 52.58B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 906.13M | 19.16B | 15.43B | 12.43B | 4.46B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 10.04B | 29.15B | 24.25B | 18.65B | 12.90B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -11.79B | -10.99B | -9.37B | -7.86B | -7.77B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -8.44B | -15.63B | -21.28B | -14.68B | -12.14B |
BAIC Motor Technical Analysis
Negative
1.88
Price Trends
1.41
Negative
1.62
Negative
1.85
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.07
Negative
31.80
Neutral
53.19
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1958, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.28, above the 50-day MA of 1.41, and above the 200-day MA of 1.85, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 31.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.19 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1958.
BAIC Motor Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | HK$204.15B | 10.00 | 18.03% | 1.95% | 39.48% | -27.45% | |
71 Outperform | HK$159.39B | 7.30 | 41.37% | ― | ― | ― | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
61 Neutral | HK$145.66B | 15.82 | 10.49% | 3.41% | 17.13% | -18.63% | |
45 Neutral | HK$58.76B | -7.62 | -8.08% | 1.35% | -10.32% | -1232.89% | |
44 Neutral | HK$9.70B | 68.21 | 0.21% | 4.98% | -14.76% | -87.76% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
HK:1958
BAIC Motor
1.21
-0.72
-37.31%
HK:0175
Geely Automobile Holdings
18.82
1.69
9.86%
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Guangzhou Automobile Group Co
2.58
-0.05
-1.86%
HK:2333
Great Wall Motor Co
10.41
-1.08
-9.41%
HK:9973
Chery Automobile Co.,Ltd.
27.44
-3.35
-10.89%
BAIC Motor Corporate Events
BAIC Motor Sets 2025 AGM to Decide Dividends, Capital Mandates and Governance Moves
May 26, 2026
BAIC Motor has convened its 2025 annual general meeting for 25 June 2026 in Beijing, where shareholders will review the board’s report, decide on the 2025 profit and dividend distribution plan, and consider the reappointment of domestic and ...
BAIC Motor Calls 2026 Domestic Shareholders Meeting to Seek Share Repurchase Mandate
May 26, 2026
BAIC Motor has called its 2026 First Domestic Shareholders Class Meeting for 25 June 2026 in Beijing, to be held immediately after the annual general meeting. Domestic shareholders recorded by 18 June 2026 will be eligible to attend and vote in pe...
BAIC Motor Calls June 2026 H Shareholders Meeting to Seek Share Repurchase Mandate
May 26, 2026
BAIC Motor has called its 2026 First H Shareholders Class Meeting for 25 June 2026 in Beijing, immediately following the domestic shareholders class meeting, to seek approval for a special resolution granting a general mandate for the repurchase o...
BAIC Motor Proposes Mercedes-Benz China CFO as New Non-Executive Director
May 21, 2026
BAIC Motor has announced a forthcoming change to its board, with non-executive director Kevin Walter Binder set to step down due to work adjustments once a replacement is approved. Binder has indicated he has no disagreements with the board, and t...
BAIC Motor reshapes secretarial team and seeks waiver on Hong Kong qualification rules
Apr 30, 2026
BAIC Motor has announced a senior management reshuffle in its corporate governance functions, with company secretary and authorised representative Yu Dan and joint company secretary Ng Sau Mei resigning effective 30 April 2026. Both departing exec...
BAIC Motor Reports Lower Total Assets in Q1 2026 Unaudited Results
Apr 27, 2026
BAIC Motor has released unaudited operating results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026, prepared in accordance with PRC accounting standards and disclosed in mainland-designated media. The company reported total assets of RMB154.8 billion ...
BAIC Motor Sets April Board Meeting to Review First-Quarter 2026 Results
Apr 15, 2026
BAIC Motor Corporation Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 27 April 2026 in Beijing to review and approve the operating results of the company and its subsidiaries for the first quarter ended 31 March 2026. The session will also address othe...
BAIC Motor Shareholders Approve New Board Appointments at 2026 Extraordinary Meeting
Apr 14, 2026
BAIC Motor has reported the poll results of its first extraordinary general meeting of 2026 in Beijing, where shareholders holding about 65.92% of issued shares were represented, ensuring a legally convened and valid meeting. The resolutions cente...
BAIC Motor Outlines Board Composition and Committee Roles
Apr 14, 2026
BAIC Motor Corporation Limited has announced the current composition of its board of directors, naming Zhang Guofu as chairman and specifying a mix of executive, non-executive, independent non-executive and employee representative directors. The c...
BAIC Motor Calls April 2026 EGM to Reshape Board Line-Up
Mar 25, 2026
BAIC Motor has called its first extraordinary general meeting of 2026 for 14 April in Beijing, where shareholders will vote on the proposed appointment of three directors, including two non-executive directors and one executive director. The meeti...
BAIC Motor Drops A-Share Listing Tutoring Amid Market Reassessment
Mar 25, 2026
BAIC Motor has decided to terminate its share listing tutoring arrangement for a proposed A-share initial public offering on the mainland, citing the current market environment, capital market rules and its long-term development strategy. The comp...
BAIC Motor Sets Board-Level Strategy and Sustainability Committee Rules
Mar 25, 2026
BAIC Motor Corporation Limited has adopted formal Terms of Reference for a Strategy and Sustainability Committee of the Board, setting out its mandate, composition and operating procedures. The document structures the committee’s work across...
BAIC Motor Updates Audit Committee Terms to Bolster Governance
Mar 25, 2026
BAIC Motor Corporation Limited has issued updated terms of reference for its Board Audit Committee, setting out the committee’s general provisions, composition, duties, meeting arrangements, and working procedures. The document formalizes th...
BAIC Motor Posts Slight Asset Decline as Investments and Receivables Rise in 2025
Mar 25, 2026
BAIC Motor reported its audited annual results for 2025, showing total assets of RMB166.5 billion, slightly down from RMB172.0 billion a year earlier, as non-current assets remained broadly stable while current assets declined. The balance sheet r...
BAIC Motor Overhauls Board, Taps New Chairman From BAIC Group
Mar 20, 2026
BAIC Motor Corporation announced a leadership reshuffle as chairman Wang Hao, executive director Zhu Yan and non-executive director Sun Li step down from the board and key committees due to work adjustments, with all departing directors stating th...
BAIC Motor Sets March 2026 Board Meeting to Approve 2025 Results
Mar 13, 2026
BAIC Motor has scheduled a board meeting for 25 March 2026 to review and approve the annual results for the year ended 31 December 2025. The board will also consider recommending a final dividend and may address other corporate matters, signaling ...
BAIC Motor Reports Lower 2025 Earnings Contribution From Beijing Benz Joint Venture
Mar 5, 2026
BAIC Motor has disclosed key 2025 financial metrics for its major associate, Beijing Benz Automotive, based on figures published by Mercedes-Benz Group AG. The announcement provides investors with updated visibility into the performance of this st...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.