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Hao Bai International (Cayman) Ltd (HK:8431)
:8431
Hong Kong Market

Hao Bai International (Cayman) Ltd (8431) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:8431

Hao Bai International (Cayman) Ltd

(8431)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
HK$0.67
▲(169.20% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/10/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance—despite a 2025 revenue rebound and improved cash generation, the company remains deeply loss-making with historically volatile cash flows. Offsetting this, technical momentum is strong with the price above major moving averages and a positive MACD. Valuation is supportive given the low P/E, but there is no dividend yield data to add support.
Positive Factors
Revenue rebound & improving gross margin
A 19% revenue rebound combined with a ~35% gross margin indicates recovering demand and improved project-level economics for its pool and water systems business. Sustained top-line recovery and higher gross margins would support durable progress toward operating leverage in a project-driven model serving developers and hotels.
Negative Factors
Deep and persistent net losses
A ~-79% net margin shows the company remains structurally loss-making despite revenue recovery. Persistent deep losses erode equity, limit retained earnings for reinvestment, and force dependence on external capital or asset sales to sustain operations, constraining long-term strategic options and compounding risk if margins don't normalize.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue rebound & improving gross margin
A 19% revenue rebound combined with a ~35% gross margin indicates recovering demand and improved project-level economics for its pool and water systems business. Sustained top-line recovery and higher gross margins would support durable progress toward operating leverage in a project-driven model serving developers and hotels.
Read all positive factors

Hao Bai International (Cayman) Ltd (8431) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Hao Bai International (Cayman) Ltd Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Hao Bai International (Cayman) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the design, procurement, and installation of water circulation systems in Hong Kong and Macau. It operates through Management Contracting Services, Consultancy Servi...
How the Company Makes Money
Hao Bai International (Cayman) Ltd generates revenue primarily through project-based contracts for the design and implementation of water-related systems. These contracts include services for design consultancy, procurement of equipment, installat...

Hao Bai International (Cayman) Ltd Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue rebounded in 2025 (+19.17% YoY) and gross margin improved (~35%), with operating and free cash flow turning positive (~10.1M). However, profitability remains very weak (net margin ~-79% in 2025) and cash flows have been highly volatile across years, keeping overall financial quality below average despite recent improvements.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
Cash Flow
45
Neutral
BreakdownMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue24.50M21.88M15.60M6.46M26.59M
Gross Profit8.68M5.45M3.49M1.61M2.36M
EBITDA-17.40M-8.31M-32.38M-29.26M-25.03M
Net Income-19.32M-10.73M-33.21M-30.43M-28.93M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets81.08M107.17M84.14M73.34M117.60M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.82M170.00K248.00K107.00K438.00K
Total Debt5.65M8.61M7.64M10.63M36.77M
Total Liabilities75.10M95.78M83.25M56.27M70.10M
Stockholders Equity5.63M11.09M788.00K17.07M47.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.10M-16.19M-18.00M17.41M-6.23M
Operating Cash Flow10.10M-16.19M-18.00M17.41M-6.23M
Investing Cash Flow-4.21M233.00K3.00K17.45M-3.94M
Financing Cash Flow-4.24M16.81M18.35M-27.95M-12.31M

Hao Bai International (Cayman) Ltd Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.25
Price Trends
50DMA
0.43
Positive
100DMA
0.33
Positive
200DMA
0.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.04
Negative
RSI
77.54
Negative
STOCH
97.63
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:8431, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.47, below the 50-day MA of 0.43, and below the 200-day MA of 0.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.04 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.54 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.63 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:8431.

Hao Bai International (Cayman) Ltd Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
57
Neutral
HK$150.13M1.78-162.61%156.20%-101.70%
53
Neutral
HK$84.24M-39.184.48%11.56%
52
Neutral
HK$82.29M-5.40-200.99%-15.62%-11.50%
51
Neutral
HK$502.00M-13.68-17.36%-46.96%98.17%
46
Neutral
HK$15.12M-26.25-16.34%11.29%-262.50%
42
Neutral
HK$5.09M-0.62230.51%-75.80%-6540.74%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:8431
Hao Bai International (Cayman) Ltd
0.66
0.44
200.00%
HK:8208
WMCH Global Investment Limited
0.12
0.09
265.63%
HK:8422
WT Group Holdings Limited
0.13
0.03
26.00%
HK:8460
Basetrophy Group Holdings Limited
1.89
1.80
2000.00%
HK:8516
Grand Talents Group Holdings Ltd.
1.43
0.86
152.65%
HK:8532
Polyfair Holdings Ltd.
0.06
-0.20
-76.92%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 10, 2026