Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. Class H (3866) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: HK$31.33B
• Dividend Yield: 4.45%
• Average Volume (3M): 13.27M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 3.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.54
• Revenue Growth: 4.33%
• EPS Growth: 17.13%
• Country: HK
• Employees: 5,312
• Sector: Financial
• Sector Strength: 70
• Industry: Banks - Regional
• EPS (TTM): 0.14
• Shares Outstanding: 2,291,945,600
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 4,312,850
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 13,266,455
• PEG Ratio: 0.12
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.36
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.64
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.70
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.98
• Revenue Forecast (FY): HK$15.45B

• Rating: 67 Neutral
• Price Target: HK$4.00 ▲(4.71% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 10/29/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 10/29/25

The stock's overall score is primarily driven by its solid financial performance and attractive valuation. Despite some inconsistencies in revenue growth and cash flow, the company's profitability and strong equity position are significant strengths. The technical analysis suggests moderate bullish momentum, supporting a positive outlook. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events did not impact the score.

Positive Factors

High net profitability

Sustained high net and EBIT margins (net margin 31.6%) indicate durable profitability and efficient cost management. This supports internal capital generation for loan growth, cushions credit-cycle volatility, and underpins dividend and reinvestment capacity over the medium term.

Strong equity base

A high equity ratio and solid stockholder equity provide a durable capital buffer against credit losses and regulatory shocks. This strength supports lending capacity, lowers reliance on volatile wholesale funding, and improves long-term resilience and strategic flexibility.

Positive operating cash flow history

Historically positive operating cash flows demonstrate the bank's ability to generate internal liquidity from core lending and deposit operations. Reliable cash generation supports sustainable funding of loans, covers operating needs, and reduces dependence on external capital in coming quarters.

Negative Factors

Volatile revenue growth

Inconsistent top-line trends create uncertainty in credit origination and fee revenue forecasting, complicating strategic planning. Revenue volatility can pressure provisioning and capital allocation decisions, reducing predictability of earnings and dividend capacity over the medium term.

Fluctuating leverage

Variable debt-to-equity and noted debt management challenges raise funding and capital-risk concerns. Fluctuating leverage can increase funding costs, constrain regulatory capital ratios, and limit the bank's ability to expand lending or absorb shocks during stressed periods.

Missing recent asset and cash data

Gaps in 2024 asset and cash-flow disclosures impede timely assessment of liquidity, asset quality, and capital adequacy. Limited transparency weakens investor and regulator visibility, complicating risk monitoring and capital planning over the next several months.

Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. Class H Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. provides various banking products and services in the People's Republic of China. It operates through Retail Banking, Corporate Banking, and Financial Market segments. The company accepts deposits; provides short, mid, and long-term loans; conducts domestic and overseas settlements, as well as acceptance, discounting, and inter-bank discounting of notes; issues financial bonds; and operates as an agent in issuing, cash-in, and underwriting government and financial bonds. It also trades in government bonds, notes of central banks, financial and corporate bonds, mid-term notes, short-term financing coupons, and other bonds issued and circulated in the national interbank bond market; participates in interbank lending and borrowing, and interbank deposit businesses; and performs foreign exchange trading as an agent. In addition, the company provides bank cards, and letters of credit and guarantee; and receipt and payment, and insurance business agency services, as well as other agency services, including funds and sales of precious metals. Further, it engages in the bond settlement agency business and the fixed deposits business of commercial banks for cash management of central treasury; and provision of safe deposit box and wealth management services, as well as in the foreign exchange settlement and sales businesses. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 103 in-bank self-service banks; and 407 self-service devices, including 19 ATMs, 263 self-service cash deposit and teller machines, and 125 self-service terminals that provide various services, such as withdrawals, deposits, transfers, account enquiries, and payments. The company was formerly known as Qingdao City Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. in 2008. Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Qingdao, the People's Republic of China.

How the Company Makes Money

Bank of Qingdao generates revenue primarily through interest income derived from its lending activities, where it provides loans to businesses and individuals at interest rates higher than the rates it pays on deposits. Additionally, the bank earns non-interest income from fees charged for various services including account maintenance, transaction processing, and wealth management products. Significant partnerships with local businesses and government initiatives also contribute to its earnings by enhancing its lending portfolio and expanding its customer base. Furthermore, the bank invests in financial markets and engages in treasury operations, adding to its revenue streams.

Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. Class H Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The company demonstrates solid profitability with strong net and EBIT margins. However, inconsistencies in revenue growth and cash flow raise some red flags. The balance sheet is robust with a strong equity position, but challenges in debt management and missing asset data in recent years could impact future stability.

Income Statement

The company shows a strong gross and net profit margin, with the latest net margin at 31.6%. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a notable increase in 2024 over the previous year, but a decline in 2023. EBIT margins have been solid, reflecting efficient cost management. Overall, the income statement suggests profitability but with some variability in growth.

Balance Sheet

The bank maintains a stable equity base with a high equity ratio. However, the debt-to-equity ratio has fluctuated over the years, and total assets information is missing for 2024. Despite these challenges, the bank has a strong stockholder equity position, indicating a solid financial footing.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flows have been positive and significant, especially in earlier years, but there is a lack of data for 2024. Free cash flow showed robust growth in 2020 but has been inconsistent since. The absence of cash flow data for 2024 and prior volatility poses some concerns regarding cash management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	10.16B	24.81B	22.88B	21.87B	21.00B	18.63B
Gross Profit	10.16B	12.27B	11.03B	10.33B	10.44B	9.60B
EBITDA	0.00	5.59B	4.50B	3.68B	3.72B	3.16B
Net Income	4.69B	4.26B	3.55B	3.08B	2.92B	2.39B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	743.03B	689.96B	607.99B	529.61B	522.25B	459.83B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	63.89B	67.18B	46.98B	38.33B	60.47B	49.78B
Total Debt	106.21B	99.75B	89.56B	75.13B	92.20B	72.95B
Total Liabilities	695.94B	645.06B	568.05B	493.02B	488.92B	428.92B
Stockholders Equity	46.08B	43.93B	39.06B	35.82B	32.64B	30.29B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	60.31B	22.58B	9.73B	-2.17B	2.38B	44.56B
Operating Cash Flow	60.63B	22.95B	10.14B	-1.67B	3.01B	45.29B
Investing Cash Flow	-33.82B	-13.28B	-17.05B	-10.27B	-4.45B	-30.37B
Financing Cash Flow	-34.33B	5.83B	10.99B	-19.45B	15.03B	-8.11B

Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. Class H Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 3.82
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:3866, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.82 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.38, below the 50-day MA of 4.12, and below the 200-day MA of 4.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:3866.

Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. Class H Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	68 Neutral	$18.00B	11.42	9.92%	3.81%	9.73%	1.22%
3866	67 Neutral	HK$31.33B	3.06	―	4.45%	4.33%	17.13%
1963	67 Neutral	HK$36.86B	3.46	9.26%	5.69%	5.30%	9.05%
6196	66 Neutral	HK$17.27B	4.21	―	1.89%	-5.02%	-3.28%
9889	58 Neutral	HK$23.63B	5.55	6.86%	7.99%	-7.29%	-14.37%
9677	58 Neutral	HK$15.25B	3.55	8.48%	3.57%	6.65%	16.74%

Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. Class H Corporate Events

Bank of Qingdao Announces Governance Restructuring with Regulatory Approval

Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. announced the approval of amendments to its Articles of Association by the Qingdao Bureau of National Financial Regulatory Administration. As a result, the bank will dissolve its Board of Supervisors, with the audit committee assuming its functions. This move reflects a strategic shift in the bank’s governance structure, potentially impacting its operational oversight and aligning with regulatory requirements.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3866) stock is a Hold with a HK$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:3866 Stock Forecast page.

Bank of Qingdao Updates Nomination Committee Terms to Strengthen Governance

Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. has revised its Terms of Reference for the Nomination Committee of the Board of Directors to enhance corporate governance and optimize board composition. The Committee is tasked with formulating selection procedures and criteria for directors and senior management, conducting reviews, and making recommendations to the Board, thereby strengthening the bank’s governance framework.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3866) stock is a Hold with a HK$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:3866 Stock Forecast page.

Bank of Qingdao Enhances Corporate Governance with Revised Remuneration Committee Terms

Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. has revised the Terms of Reference for its Remuneration Committee to enhance its compensation management system and corporate governance. This revision is expected to streamline the assessment and remuneration processes for directors and senior management, thereby potentially improving the bank’s operational efficiency and governance standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3866) stock is a Hold with a HK$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:3866 Stock Forecast page.

Bank of Qingdao Enhances Audit Committee Governance

Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. has revised the Terms of Reference for its Audit Committee to enhance decision-making and corporate governance. The committee, composed mainly of independent directors with expertise in finance and auditing, is tasked with reviewing financial information, supervising audits, and making recommendations to the Board, thereby strengthening oversight and transparency in the bank’s operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3866) stock is a Hold with a HK$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:3866 Stock Forecast page.

Bank of Qingdao’s Major Shareholder to Increase Stake

Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. announced the results of a plan to increase shareholding by its major shareholder, Qingdao Guoxin Industrial and Financial Holdings. The plan aims to support the bank’s long-term development by increasing Guoxin’s shareholding to between 19.00% and 19.99% through secondary market transactions. This strategic move is expected to enhance the bank’s market position and stability, with a lock-up arrangement preventing the transfer of shares for five years.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3866) stock is a Hold with a HK$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:3866 Stock Forecast page.

Bank of Qingdao Reports Steady Growth in Q3 2025

Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. announced its 2025 third quarterly report, highlighting a steady financial performance with a slight increase in net profit and earnings per share. The report indicates a year-on-year growth in operating income and net profit attributable to shareholders, reflecting the bank’s stable market positioning and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3866) stock is a Hold with a HK$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:3866 Stock Forecast page.

Bank of Qingdao Completes Issuance of 2025 Undated Capital Bonds

Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. has successfully completed the issuance of its 2025 Undated Capital Bonds in the national interbank bond market, with a total issuing size of RMB2 billion and a coupon rate of 2.45% for the first five years. The proceeds from this issuance will be used to supplement the Bank’s other tier-one capital, potentially strengthening its financial position and operational capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:3866) stock is a Hold with a HK$4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank of Qingdao Co., Ltd. Class H stock, see the HK:3866 Stock Forecast page.