Perennial Energy Holdings Ltd. (2798) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: HK$1.86B
• Dividend Yield: 4.24%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.15M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 9.2
• Beta (1Y): 0.55
• Revenue Growth: -26.28%
• EPS Growth: -69.55%
• Country: HK
• Employees: 3,699
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Coal
• EPS (TTM): <0.01
• Shares Outstanding: 1,600,000,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,331,500
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,145,723
• PEG Ratio: -0.26
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.45
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.83
• P/FCF Ratio: -1.79
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 60 Neutral
• Price Target: HK$1.00 ▼(-9.91% Downside)

Overall score reflects mixed financial performance led by strong margins and balance sheet strength, offset by negative operating/free cash flow and softening profitability. Technical indicators are also weak (price below 20/50-day averages and RSI ~38), while the low P/E (8.585) provides some valuation support.

Positive Factors

High Gross Margin

A 51.9% gross margin indicates durable cost advantages or pricing power in generation and related services. High gross margins provide a structural buffer against commodity and input volatility, enabling reinvestment into projects and supporting long-term profitability if volume trends stabilize.

Robust Balance Sheet

A strong equity ratio and low leverage give the company long-term financial flexibility for capital-intensive renewables. Manageable debt levels reduce refinancing risk, support project financing and partnerships, and allow the firm to pursue growth or weather cyclical downturns without immediate external funding.

Strong Operating Margins

High EBIT/EBITDA margins reflect sustained operational efficiency and cost control across generation assets. These margins support durable cash generation potential (once cash conversion improves), fund maintenance and selective capex, and provide resilience to pricing or volume fluctuations over the medium term.

Negative Factors

Negative Operating Cash Flow

Negative operating cash flow threatens the company's ability to fund capital expenditures, service obligations, and dividend policies without external financing. For a capital-intensive energy firm, persistently negative OCF raises liquidity and execution risks for ongoing and future renewable projects.

Declining Profitability Metrics

A falling net margin and lower ROE signal weakening returns on shareholder capital and margin pressure. Over time this can limit reinvestment capacity, reduce attractiveness to partners or lenders, and indicate rising costs or reduced pricing power that could impair long-term growth prospects.

Softening Revenue Growth

Contracting revenue suggests structural demand or execution challenges such as slower PPA additions or project delays. Reduced top-line momentum limits scale benefits, puts pressure on margins and cash conversion, and constrains the company's ability to expand its asset base in the medium term.

Perennial Energy Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Perennial Energy Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a coal mining company in the People's Republic of China. The company principally explores for and mines various coals, such as clean, middling, sludge, and raw and coking coal; and operates a coal refinery. It also produces and sells coalbed methane gas. It operates three underground coal mines comprising Hongguo Coal Mine with a licensed area of 3.0225 sq. km; Baogushan Coal Mine covering a licensed area of 2.4736 sq. km; and Xiejiahegou Coal Mine with a licensed area of 1.0135 sq. km located in Panzhou City, Guizhou Province. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Liupanshui, China. Perennial Energy Holdings Limited is a subsidiary of Spring Snow Management Limited.

How the Company Makes Money

Perennial Energy Holdings Ltd. generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity produced from its renewable energy projects. This includes power purchase agreements (PPAs) with utility companies and large industrial clients, which provide a steady stream of income. Additionally, the company earns revenue from investments in energy infrastructure, including joint ventures and partnerships with other energy firms. Key revenue streams include operating renewable energy plants, selling carbon credits from sustainable practices, and potential government incentives for renewable energy production. Strategic partnerships with local governments and energy companies also bolster its position in the market, allowing for expanded project opportunities and enhanced profitability.

Perennial Energy Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed fundamentals: strong gross margin (51.9%) and a solid balance sheet (equity ratio 64.9%, debt-to-equity 0.38), but weakening profitability (net margin down to 25.8%, ROE down to 13.9%), slightly negative revenue growth (-0.6%), and concerning cash generation with negative operating cash flow and deteriorating free cash flow.

Income Statement

Perennial Energy Holdings Ltd. shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The gross profit margin for 2024 is strong at 51.9%, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 25.8% from 29.4% in 2023, reflecting a decline in profitability. Revenue growth has been negative over the past year, with a decrease of 0.6%, indicating potential challenges in sales expansion. The EBIT margin stands at 33.8%, and the EBITDA margin is 42.7%, both showing a decline from the previous year, suggesting pressure on operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Perennial Energy Holdings Ltd. is robust with a high equity ratio of 64.9%, reflecting a strong capital structure. The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate at 0.38, indicating manageable leverage. Return on equity is healthy at 13.9%, although it has decreased from 18.1% in the previous year, suggesting a slight decline in shareholder returns. Overall, the company maintains a stable financial position with a solid equity base.

Cash Flow

The cash flow statement reveals significant challenges for Perennial Energy Holdings Ltd. The operating cash flow has turned negative in 2024, indicating cash flow issues from core operations. Free cash flow has also worsened, showing a negative growth rate. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting inefficiencies in converting income to cash. These factors suggest potential liquidity concerns and the need for improved cash management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.43B	1.71B	1.72B	1.78B	1.54B	1.40B
Gross Profit	571.89M	885.13M	944.29M	1.12B	918.48M	716.00M
EBITDA	415.15M	728.64M	803.84M	1.07B	845.22M	624.30M
Net Income	185.59M	440.23M	504.19M	743.96M	301.77M	345.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.78B	4.86B	4.33B	4.08B	3.24B	2.68B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	146.93M	205.46M	129.96M	202.06M	180.85M	139.60M
Total Debt	1.15B	1.19B	915.15M	788.55M	525.84M	378.69M
Total Liabilities	1.62B	1.70B	1.54B	1.62B	1.47B	1.16B
Stockholders Equity	3.16B	3.16B	2.79B	2.46B	1.77B	1.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-1.04B	-789.30M	-515.67M	-293.73M	98.07M	249.94M
Operating Cash Flow	-681.43M	-423.94M	213.38M	180.74M	553.43M	492.27M
Investing Cash Flow	-453.08M	-590.49M	-866.80M	-734.56M	-662.75M	-756.70M
Financing Cash Flow	1.18B	1.10B	545.07M	575.02M	150.57M	160.72M

Perennial Energy Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 1.11
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:2798, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.11 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.17, below the 50-day MA of 1.17, and above the 200-day MA of 0.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:2798.

Perennial Energy Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
1733	73 Outperform	HK$2.38B	8.64	3.21%	20.68%	-23.72%	-86.69%
1303	66 Neutral	HK$483.72M	7.32	4.33%	―	39.98%	-73.77%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
2798	60 Neutral	HK$1.86B	9.22	6.31%	4.24%	-26.28%	-69.55%
6885	51 Neutral	HK$610.38M	-1.79	-9.96%	―	-26.97%	-76.57%
0866	47 Neutral	HK$10.63B	29.10	81.71%	1.53%	-20.71%	209.68%
1393	41 Neutral	HK$280.92M	-0.49	-48.57%	―	15.80%	51.68%

Perennial Energy Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events

Perennial Energy Revises Coal Mine Consolidation Strategy

Perennial Energy Holdings Ltd. announced that it will not proceed with a previously proposed consolidation plan involving three coal mines due to various strategic and regulatory considerations. However, the company remains committed to coal resource integration and has submitted a new proposal for consolidating two coal mines, which could significantly increase production capacity and strengthen its position in the regional coal industry, pending regulatory approval.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:2798) stock is a Hold with a HK$1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Perennial Energy Holdings Ltd. stock, see the HK:2798 Stock Forecast page.