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China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H (HK:1880)
:1880

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H (1880) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1880

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H

(1880)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
HK$99.00
â–˛(9.15% Upside)
Overall score reflects strong balance-sheet quality and a sharp revenue rebound, supported by a positive technical trend. The main offset is valuation risk from a high P/E, alongside margin compression and softer operating cash-flow conversion.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low leverage provides durable financial flexibility, allowing the company to bid for prime duty‑free concessions, absorb travel demand volatility, and fund working capital or capex without large refinancing risk. This supports long‑term operational resilience and growth optionality.
Strong top-line rebound
A sustained, large revenue rebound points to the company’s ability to recapture travel retail demand and convert passenger footfall into sales. Durable top‑line recovery strengthens supplier relationships and justifies continued investment in store footprint and brand partnerships over the next several quarters.
Favorable business model and category mix
Control of duty‑free operating rights and focus on premium categories create structural margin advantages and differentiation. Access to captive traveler spend and brand partnerships supports sustained gross‑margin potential and pricing power versus general retail over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Margin compression
Steady erosion of net and EBIT margins reduces profitability per unit of sales, indicating weakening operating leverage or rising costs. If sustained, margin pressure will limit reinvestment, slow ROE recovery, and constrain cash available for strategic initiatives and shareholder returns.
Weak cash‑flow conversion and negative FCF growth
Subpar conversion of profits into operating cash and declining free cash flow point to higher working capital needs or capex swings. This weakens the company’s ability to self‑fund store rollouts, brand investments, or dividends, increasing reliance on balance‑sheet flexibility.
Declining returns on equity
Falling ROE signals deteriorating capital efficiency, likely driven by margin pressure and asset growth. Over the medium term this reduces the company’s ability to generate attractive shareholder returns and may challenge funding of organic expansion without improving profitability.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H (1880) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionChina Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited engages in duty-free travel retail business in China. The company engages in the wholesale and retail of duty-free commodities, such as tobacco and wine, perfume, cosmetics, accessories, clothing, and electronic products. It is also involved in commercial complex investment and development business. The company was formerly known as China International Travel Service Corporation Limited and changed its name to China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited in June 2020. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Sanya, China. China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited operates as a subsidiary of China Tourism Group Co., Ltd.
How the Company Makes MoneyChina Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited generates revenue primarily through the sale of duty-free goods. The company's key revenue streams include retail sales from its extensive network of duty-free stores located in strategic travel hubs, such as international airports and popular tourist destinations. These sales are driven by the demand from travelers looking to purchase goods at reduced prices compared to regular retail outlets due to the exemption of import duties and taxes. Additionally, the company benefits from its partnerships with renowned global brands, enabling it to offer a wide range of premium products. Fluctuations in travel trends, tourism policies, and consumer preferences can significantly impact the company's earnings.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a strong TTM revenue rebound (+195%) and a conservatively positioned balance sheet (low leverage with debt-to-equity ~0.10). Offsetting this, profitability has not kept pace (net and EBIT margins lower vs 2023–2024) and cash-flow momentum is softer (operating cash flow to EBIT ~0.65 with negative free cash flow growth).
Income Statement
68
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is up sharply (+195%), signaling a strong rebound in demand; however, profitability has not kept pace. Margins have compressed versus prior years (TTM net margin ~6.4% vs ~7.6% in 2024 and ~9.9% in 2023), and EBIT margin is also lower, indicating weaker operating leverage and/or higher costs. Overall: strong top-line momentum, but earnings quality and margin trajectory are a clear watch item.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet is conservatively positioned with low leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.10), supported by a large equity base and growing asset base. Returns on equity are positive but have moderated (TTM ~6.1% vs ~7.7% in 2024 and ~12.5% in 2023), suggesting profitability is currently below the company’s recent peak levels. Overall: strong financial flexibility with limited balance-sheet risk, but returns are not as strong as they were.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Cash generation is mixed. TTM free cash flow exceeds net income (free cash flow to net income ~0.84), which is supportive, but operating cash flow is relatively weak versus operating profit (TTM operating cash flow to EBIT ~0.65) and has fallen materially from 2024 levels. Free cash flow growth is negative in the latest period, pointing to higher working-capital needs and/or capex swings. Overall: still generating cash, but near-term cash flow momentum is softer and less consistent than earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue53.31B56.47B67.54B54.43B67.68B52.60B
Gross Profit16.81B18.09B21.49B15.45B22.79B21.38B
EBITDA5.34B5.40B9.84B8.94B16.30B10.00B
Net Income3.40B4.27B6.71B5.03B9.65B6.14B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets75.50B76.26B78.87B75.91B55.47B46.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.97B34.82B33.39B26.89B16.86B14.71B
Total Debt5.29B4.37B4.64B6.85B5.44B4.80B
Total Liabilities13.84B15.31B19.69B21.78B20.68B20.13B
Stockholders Equity55.67B55.10B53.83B48.57B29.62B22.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.24B6.82B13.32B-6.41B6.17B6.97B
Operating Cash Flow3.43B7.94B15.13B-3.42B8.33B8.20B
Investing Cash Flow-3.32B-454.30M-4.72B-3.81B-2.32B-3.81B
Financing Cash Flow-2.94B-4.37B-4.63B15.45B-3.82B-1.38B

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price90.70
Price Trends
50DMA
79.07
Positive
100DMA
71.81
Positive
200DMA
62.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.12
Negative
RSI
57.38
Neutral
STOCH
58.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1880, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 90.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 86.78, above the 50-day MA of 79.07, and above the 200-day MA of 62.87, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1880.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
HK$326.35B9.7513.71%3.48%16.27%-3.87%
70
Outperform
HK$2.85T23.1612.42%1.34%4.89%50.48%
68
Neutral
HK$196.12B51.326.52%1.81%-10.42%-37.88%
68
Neutral
HK$594.05B-257.07-1.32%―11.91%-106.71%
68
Neutral
HK$45.54B19.4920.87%3.18%13.14%-19.58%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
56
Neutral
HK$1.83B19.348.44%4.75%-3.18%-36.46%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1880
China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H
90.70
46.13
103.50%
HK:3690
Meituan
97.20
-45.10
-31.69%
HK:9618
JD.com, Inc. Class A
112.40
-35.66
-24.08%
HK:9896
MINISO Group Holding Ltd.
36.80
-6.30
-14.62%
HK:9988
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.
169.20
76.75
83.02%
HK:0178
Sa Sa International Holdings Limited
0.59
-0.03
-4.84%

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H Corporate Events

China Tourism Group Duty Free to Acquire DFS Greater China Business and Deepen Partnership With LVMH
Jan 19, 2026

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited has agreed, via its indirect wholly owned subsidiary China Duty Free International Limited, to acquire DFS’ Greater China retail business through a combination of share and asset purchases from DFS entities ultimately owned by LVMH and the Miller family. In parallel, LVMH’s Delphine SAS and Shoppers Holdings HK Limited, linked to the Miller family, will subscribe for new H shares in the company upon completion of the acquisition, and China Tourism Group Duty Free has also signed a memorandum of understanding with LVMH to pursue broader strategic cooperation in areas such as product sales, store development, brand promotion and customer experience in Greater China. The transaction, classified as a disclosable transaction under Hong Kong Listing Rules, is expected to deepen the company’s presence in Greater China travel retail, strengthen ties with global luxury powerhouse LVMH, and potentially enhance its competitive positioning and growth prospects in the regional luxury and tourism retail market.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1880) stock is a Hold with a HK$88.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H stock, see the HK:1880 Stock Forecast page.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Tightens Nomination Committee Rules to Strengthen Governance
Dec 30, 2025

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited has amended its Rules of Procedure for the Board’s Nomination Committee, refining the framework governing the selection and oversight of directors and senior management. The updated rules specify the committee’s composition—requiring a majority of independent directors, minimum membership thresholds, gender diversity and alignment of terms with the board—as well as detailed responsibilities, including establishing selection criteria, evaluating candidates’ qualifications and independence, planning board succession, maintaining a skills matrix and board diversity objectives, and supporting regular board performance evaluations, thereby strengthening corporate governance and board effectiveness.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1880) stock is a Buy with a HK$90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H stock, see the HK:1880 Stock Forecast page.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Tightens Audit and Risk Oversight With Updated Committee Rules
Dec 30, 2025

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited has amended the Rules of Procedure for its Board’s Audit and Risk Management Committee, effective December 2025, to further strengthen internal audit, risk management, compliance and internal control systems in line with Chinese company law, securities regulation and central state-owned enterprise governance requirements. The updated framework clarifies the Committee’s role as an advisory and supervisory body to the Board, specifies its composition—requiring a majority of independent directors and at least one accounting professional—sets restrictions on former audit firm partners joining the Committee, and formalizes the supporting role of the Company’s Audit Department and other functional units, underscoring an increased emphasis on governance rigor and oversight that is likely to enhance transparency and risk control for shareholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1880) stock is a Buy with a HK$90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H stock, see the HK:1880 Stock Forecast page.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Strengthens Strategy and Sustainability Oversight With Revised Committee Rules
Dec 30, 2025

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited has amended and formalized the Rules of Procedure for its Strategy and Sustainability Committee under the Board of Directors, strengthening the committee’s role in guiding the company’s medium- and long-term development and ESG management. The committee, composed of at least three directors including at least one independent director and chaired by the board chairman, is mandated to study and make recommendations on strategic planning, major investments, restructurings, capital operations and key ESG matters, including environmental, anti-corruption and occupational safety issues. By clarifying the committee’s composition, responsibilities and working mechanisms, the company aims to institutionalize strategic oversight, improve scientific investment decision-making and reinforce its sustainability governance framework, signaling a more structured approach to long-term competitiveness and stakeholder-focused management.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1880) stock is a Buy with a HK$90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H stock, see the HK:1880 Stock Forecast page.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Signs 2026 Connected-Transaction Framework with Controlling Shareholder
Dec 30, 2025

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited has entered into a 2026 Framework Agreement with its controlling shareholder, China Tourism Group, to govern ongoing connected transactions after the existing 2025 framework expires at the end of 2025. Under the new agreement, the group will both purchase and provide certain comprehensive services and lease properties to and from CTG’s group companies in line with their respective operational and office needs, while ensuring the arrangements remain within Hong Kong Listing Rules thresholds that largely exempt them from independent shareholder approvals and, in some cases, from reporting and annual review requirements. The announcement also clarifies that leases from CTG will not create additional right-of-use assets under accounting rules, and that all transaction categories are being disclosed to satisfy Shanghai Stock Exchange-related party transaction review and disclosure standards, underscoring the group’s efforts to maintain regulatory compliance in its cross-market listing environment.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1880) stock is a Buy with a HK$90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H stock, see the HK:1880 Stock Forecast page.

China Tourism Duty Free Tightens Governance With Revised Remuneration Committee Rules
Dec 30, 2025

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited has amended the rules of procedure for its Board Remuneration and Evaluation Committee, effective December 2025, to refine the framework governing performance appraisal and remuneration management for directors and senior management. The revised rules clarify the committee’s composition, emphasizing a majority of independent directors, define its mandate to set appraisal standards, formulate and review remuneration policies, oversee equity incentive and employee share ownership plans, and ensure transparent, market‑aligned pay structures and clawback arrangements, underscoring a push to strengthen corporate governance and align management incentives with corporate goals and shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1880) stock is a Buy with a HK$90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H stock, see the HK:1880 Stock Forecast page.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Secures Long-Term Duty-Free Contract at Beijing Capital Airport T3
Dec 29, 2025

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited has announced that its wholly owned subsidiary, China Duty Free Group Co., Ltd., has signed a project agreement with Beijing Capital Airport Commercial & Trading Co., Ltd. to operate duty-free stores in the international departure and arrival isolation area of Terminal 3 at Beijing Capital International Airport. The project covers a retail space of 10,646.74 square meters, with the operating term running from the later of 11 February 2026 or the delivery date until 10 February 2034, and a fee structure based on guaranteed operating expenses starting at RMB480.27 million in the first year plus a sales-based commission that rises annually until the fifth year. The agreement also allows for adjusted commission terms for lower-margin, high-appeal products to enhance competitiveness and consumer experience. The company will use the subsidiary as the operating vehicle for these duty-free stores, and expects the project to further consolidate its competitive edge in core airport channels and have a positive impact on its future operating performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1880) stock is a Buy with a HK$90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H stock, see the HK:1880 Stock Forecast page.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Wins Key Duty-Free Concession at Beijing Capital Airport T3
Dec 28, 2025

China Duty Free Group, a wholly owned subsidiary of China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited, has been selected as the successful bidder for the duty-free concession at Terminal 3 of Beijing Capital International Airport, committing to guaranteed first-year operating expenses of RMB480.27 million and a 5% sales-based commission rate, with an operating term running to February 10, 2034. The company expects the project to strengthen its competitive edge in major domestic airport channels, broaden and upgrade duty-free shopping options for travellers, and support the high-quality growth of its airport duty-free business, though it cautions that final terms remain subject to a formal agreement and associated uncertainties for investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1880) stock is a Buy with a HK$90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H stock, see the HK:1880 Stock Forecast page.

China Duty Free Wins Key Agreements for Shanghai Airport Stores
Dec 17, 2025

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, China Duty Free Group, has successfully secured the rights to operate duty-free stores at both Shanghai Pudong International Airport and Shanghai Hongqiao International Airport. Under the agreement, the company will manage stores in key international terminals with an initial five-year term that can extend to three additional years based on performance. This development strengthens the company’s footprint in the highly competitive duty-free retail market, enhancing its position as a major operator in high-traffic travel hubs and providing potential for significant revenue growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1880) stock is a Buy with a HK$90.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H stock, see the HK:1880 Stock Forecast page.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Updates 2025 Dividend Announcement
Nov 24, 2025

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited has announced an updated cash dividend for the first three quarters of 2025, with a declared dividend of RMB 0.25 per share. The dividend will be paid in Hong Kong dollars at an exchange rate of RMB 1 to HKD 1.097984, with the payment date set for January 15, 2026. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to shareholder returns and may impact its financial position and attractiveness to investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1880) stock is a Hold with a HK$61.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H stock, see the HK:1880 Stock Forecast page.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Holds Successful 2025 EGM
Nov 24, 2025

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited held its 2025 first extraordinary general meeting and H Shareholders’ class meeting on November 24, 2025, in Beijing. The meetings were attended by shareholders representing approximately 54.68% of the total shares with voting rights, and all resolutions were passed without any shareholder abstaining or voting against them, indicating strong shareholder support and a stable governance structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1880) stock is a Hold with a HK$61.70 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H stock, see the HK:1880 Stock Forecast page.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Announces Third Quarter Dividend
Nov 4, 2025

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited announced a cash dividend of RMB 0.25 per share for the third quarter of the financial year ending December 31, 2025. The announcement includes updated information regarding shareholders’ approval and withholding tax details, which could impact non-resident and resident shareholders differently based on tax treaties and local regulations. This dividend declaration reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may influence its market positioning by attracting more investors seeking dividend income.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1880) stock is a Buy with a HK$87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H stock, see the HK:1880 Stock Forecast page.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Announces 2025 Extraordinary General Meeting
Nov 4, 2025

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited has announced its 2025 first extraordinary general meeting scheduled for November 24, 2025, in Beijing. The meeting will address several key resolutions, including the abolishment of the Supervisory Board, amendments to the company’s Articles of Association, and granting the Board of Directors mandates to issue and repurchase shares. These resolutions indicate a strategic shift in the company’s governance and operational structure, potentially impacting its market strategy and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1880) stock is a Buy with a HK$87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H stock, see the HK:1880 Stock Forecast page.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Announces 2025 H Shareholders’ Meeting
Nov 4, 2025

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited has announced the 2025 first H Shareholders’ Class Meeting scheduled for November 24, 2025, in Beijing. The meeting will address a special resolution granting the Board of Directors a general mandate to repurchase shares, which could impact the company’s stock market strategy and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1880) stock is a Buy with a HK$87.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited Class H stock, see the HK:1880 Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025