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Sterling Group Holdings Limited (HK:1825)
:1825
Hong Kong Market

Sterling Group Holdings Limited (1825) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1825

Sterling Group Holdings Limited

(1825)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
HK$0.11
▼(-9.17% Downside)
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (declining revenue, losses, and high leverage), reinforced by bearish technicals (price below key moving averages and negative MACD). Improved free cash flow provides some support, but valuation remains unattractive due to negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow improvement
A 146% jump in free cash flow signals a sustained improvement in cash generation, providing durable funding for project completion, leasehold maintenance and debt servicing. Strong FCF reduces refinancing risk and supports operational flexibility across development cycles.
Improved gross profit margin
An 18.3% gross margin reflects better cost control or pricing on development projects. Higher gross margins create a structural buffer against cyclical revenue swings in real estate, improving the company's ability to sustain EBITDA and fund reinvestment despite volatile sales timing.
Diversified revenue mix (sales + leasing)
A business model combining property development, recurring leasing income and joint ventures diversifies cash flow timing and risk. Recurring lease revenue smooths cash flow volatility from batchy unit sales and joint ventures allow risk sharing on large developments.
Negative Factors
High financial leverage
A debt/equity ratio near 3.6 indicates structurally high leverage that raises interest burden and refinancing risk. In real estate, elevated leverage constrains capital allocation, reduces resilience to rate increases or project delays and can force asset disposals under stress.
Negative profitability and returns
Negative net margin and deeply negative ROE reveal the company struggles to convert revenue into shareholder returns. Persistently weak profitability undermines equity rebuilding, limits retained capital for new projects and increases dependence on external financing.
Declining revenue trend
An 8.6% revenue decline reflects weakening demand or execution issues in a cyclical market. Continued revenue contraction erodes scale benefits, pressures margins through fixed costs, and complicates deleveraging efforts, making recovery more reliant on sustained market improvement.

Sterling Group Holdings Limited (1825) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Sterling Group Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSterling Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and trades in apparel products in Hong Kong, the United States, the United Kingdom, Italy, and internationally. The company offers outerwear, including jackets, coats, and blazers; bottoms, such as pants, shorts, and skirts; tops comprising shirts, blouses, and tank tops; and other products that include dresses, suits, gowns, scarfs, jumpsuits, sleepwear, masks, and vests. It also manages and licenses trademarks. The company serves international apparel brand customers. Sterling Group Holdings Limited was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in San Po Kong, Hong Kong.
How the Company Makes MoneySterling Group Holdings generates revenue primarily through the sale and leasing of residential and commercial properties developed by the company. The company profits from property development projects by selling units at market prices, and it also earns recurring income through leasing out commercial spaces. Additionally, the company may engage in joint ventures and partnerships with other developers or investors, allowing it to share resources, reduce risks, and enhance its revenue potential. Its diversified portfolio and strategic market positioning enable it to capitalize on growth opportunities within the real estate sector.

Sterling Group Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals: revenue declined 8.62% and profitability is pressured (net margin -1.29%, EBIT margin 1.01%). Balance sheet risk is elevated with high leverage (debt-to-equity 3.58) and negative ROE (-20.14%). The main offset is improved cash generation (free cash flow growth 146.48%).
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Sterling Group Holdings Limited has faced challenges in maintaining revenue growth, with a notable decline of 8.62% in the latest year. The company has struggled with profitability, evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -1.29% and a low EBIT margin of 1.01%. However, the gross profit margin has improved to 18.32%, indicating some efficiency in cost management. Overall, the income statement reflects a company under pressure with limited profitability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.58, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. The return on equity is negative at -20.14%, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 12.19%, suggesting a low proportion of equity financing. Overall, the balance sheet highlights financial instability and high leverage.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement shows a significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 146.48%, signaling better cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.30, indicating some ability to convert income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to net income. Despite these improvements, historical volatility in cash flows remains a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue383.30M477.73M571.39M623.43M455.97M371.28M
Gross Profit63.93M87.53M87.40M107.18M61.07M43.85M
EBITDA10.73M11.91M-583.00K40.86M-28.36M-14.58M
Net Income-16.96M-6.14M-18.36M19.93M-38.85M-33.25M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets232.76M250.25M321.48M301.57M324.24M384.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.15M14.71M26.96M20.85M33.39M63.85M
Total Debt67.19M109.28M194.10M151.02M189.93M246.62M
Total Liabilities211.08M219.75M294.15M254.57M297.39M327.57M
Stockholders Equity21.67M30.50M27.33M47.00M26.84M57.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow43.38M63.16M-18.66M36.47M17.02M-15.02M
Operating Cash Flow43.63M63.44M-16.79M37.91M19.49M-13.41M
Investing Cash Flow-10.23M10.32M-8.41M-3.71M4.10M-1.71M
Financing Cash Flow-50.42M-85.95M31.38M-45.96M-51.81M30.97M

Sterling Group Holdings Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.12
Price Trends
50DMA
0.12
Negative
100DMA
0.14
Negative
200DMA
0.12
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
43.38
Neutral
STOCH
20.97
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1825, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.11, above the 50-day MA of 0.12, and above the 200-day MA of 0.12, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.97 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1825.

Sterling Group Holdings Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
HK$137.90M1.5125.65%38.42%172.62%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
49
Neutral
HK$107.52M-3.81-11.54%17.91%20.40%
48
Neutral
HK$206.28M-15.59-3.62%-9.34%-177.30%
44
Neutral
HK$110.00M39.2914.33%10.57%
43
Neutral
HK$39.81M-1.96-59.04%-26.68%-60.46%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:1825
Sterling Group Holdings Limited
0.10
0.02
27.63%
HK:1968
Hingtex Holdings Ltd.
0.17
0.08
93.10%
HK:2223
Casablanca Group Ltd.
0.82
0.54
192.86%
HK:0048
China Automotive Interior Decoration Holdings Limited
0.30
0.17
139.84%
HK:8507
i.century Holding Limited
0.24
0.16
185.88%
HK:8607
Narnia (Hong Kong) Group Company Limited
0.04
0.00
0.00%

Sterling Group Holdings Limited Corporate Events

Sterling Group Raises HK$6.77 Million Through Completion of Share Placing
Jan 22, 2026

Sterling Group Holdings Limited has completed a share placing of 69,120,000 new shares under its general mandate at HK$0.10 per share, raising net proceeds of approximately HK$6.77 million. The new shares, placed by an agent to at least six independent investors and representing about 16.7% of the enlarged share capital, will be used entirely for general working capital, modestly strengthening the company’s liquidity while diluting existing shareholders and increasing its public float.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1825) stock is a Sell with a HK$0.10 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sterling Group Holdings Limited stock, see the HK:1825 Stock Forecast page.

Sterling Group Plans Capital Reorganisation and Board Lot Size Change
Jan 15, 2026

Sterling Group Holdings Limited plans a comprehensive capital reorganisation that includes consolidating every ten existing shares of HK$0.04 par value into one consolidated share of HK$0.40, followed by a capital reduction to lower the par value of each issued consolidated share from HK$0.40 to HK$0.01 and a subdivision of authorised but unissued consolidated shares into new shares of HK$0.01 each, all of which will rank equally. The company will also change the trading board lot size on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange from 2,500 to 2,000 new shares, a move that adjusts its share capital structure and trading parameters but remains subject to shareholder approval at an extraordinary general meeting and satisfaction of specified conditions, meaning the measures may or may not take effect and investors are urged to exercise caution.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1825) stock is a Hold with a HK$0.12 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sterling Group Holdings Limited stock, see the HK:1825 Stock Forecast page.

Sterling Group to Raise HK$6.77 Million via Premium-Priced Share Placement
Dec 29, 2025

Sterling Group Holdings Limited has entered into a placing agreement to issue up to 69.12 million new shares, equivalent to 20% of its existing issued share capital, at HK$0.10 per share under its general mandate. The placement, arranged on a best-effort basis through an independent placing agent and at a small premium to recent market prices, is expected to raise about HK$6.77 million in net proceeds, which will be used entirely for general working capital to support ongoing development, existing operations and business exploration, although completion remains conditional and may not proceed, warranting caution from shareholders and potential investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1825) stock is a Hold with a HK$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sterling Group Holdings Limited stock, see the HK:1825 Stock Forecast page.

Sterling Group Holdings Limited Releases 2025 Interim Financial Results
Nov 28, 2025

Sterling Group Holdings Limited has released its unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements for the six months ending September 30, 2025. The interim results, compared to the same period in 2024, are part of the company’s compliance with the listing rules of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. This announcement provides shareholders with insights into the company’s financial performance and operational strategies.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1825) stock is a Hold with a HK$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sterling Group Holdings Limited stock, see the HK:1825 Stock Forecast page.

Sterling Group Holdings Issues Profit Warning Amid Industry Challenges
Nov 26, 2025

Sterling Group Holdings Limited has issued a profit warning, anticipating a consolidated net loss between HK$7.2 million and HK$8.0 million for the six months ending September 30, 2025. This marks a significant downturn from the HK$3.2 million net profit recorded in the same period the previous year, primarily due to decreased sales and gross profit amid a challenging global trade environment and intense competition in the apparel industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1825) stock is a Hold with a HK$0.13 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sterling Group Holdings Limited stock, see the HK:1825 Stock Forecast page.

Sterling Group Enhances Internal Controls and Treasury Management
Nov 13, 2025

Sterling Group Holdings Limited has conducted a comprehensive review of its internal control processes for the year ended March 31, 2025, with the assistance of Pan-China Tax and Business Advisory Limited. Key findings highlighted areas for improvement in human resources, revenue, and expenditure cycles, as well as the need for better segregation of duties in cheque handling. Although these findings were not deemed materially significant, the company plans to implement enhanced policies and procedures to address the issues identified, aiming to strengthen its internal control effectiveness and operational integrity.

Sterling Group Holdings Announces Upcoming Board Meeting for Interim Results
Nov 11, 2025

Sterling Group Holdings Limited has announced that its board of directors will meet on November 28, 2025, to consider and approve the interim results for the six months ending September 30, 2025. The meeting will also discuss the potential payment of an interim dividend, which may have implications for the company’s financial performance and shareholder returns.

Sterling Group Holdings Appoints New Executive Director
Nov 7, 2025

Sterling Group Holdings Limited has announced the appointment of Ms. Zhang Man as an executive director, effective November 7, 2025. Ms. Zhang, who holds degrees in Business Administration, brings extensive experience in investment and business management to the company. She has been a vice general manager at Hubei Dingfeng Building Materials Co., Ltd. since October 2023. Her appointment is expected to strengthen the company’s leadership team and contribute to its strategic planning and implementation.

Sterling Group Holdings Limited Announces Board Composition and Roles
Nov 7, 2025

Sterling Group Holdings Limited, incorporated in the Cayman Islands, has announced the composition of its board of directors and their respective roles within the company. The board consists of both executive and independent non-executive directors, with specific members assigned to various board committees, including the Audit, Remuneration, and Nomination Committees. This announcement provides clarity on the governance structure of the company, which may impact its strategic decision-making and operational oversight.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 17, 2026