CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. (1811) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: HK$12.27B
• Dividend Yield: 4.29%
• Average Volume (3M): 17.84M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 2.1
• Beta (1Y): 0.69
• Revenue Growth: -6.80%
• EPS Growth: -10.25%
• Country: HK
• Employees: 2,409
• Sector: Utilities
• Sector Strength: 65
• Industry: Independent Power Producers
• EPS (TTM): 0.30
• Shares Outstanding: 4,289,924,000
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 17,729,500
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 17,837,535
• PEG Ratio: -0.72
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.82
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.68
• P/FCF Ratio: -3.11
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): 0.06
• Revenue Forecast (FY): HK$2.01B

• Rating: 69 Neutral
• Price Target: HK$3.00 ▲(18.58% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 10/23/25
• Date: Action: Reiterated 10/23/25

The overall stock score of 69 reflects a balance between strong valuation metrics and technical indicators, offset by financial performance concerns, particularly high leverage and negative free cash flow. The stock's undervaluation and positive price trends are significant strengths, while financial risks require careful monitoring.

Positive Factors

High profitability margins

Sustained gross and net margins near 60% and 12.7% indicate the business captures strong value from generation and contract terms. Durable margins support reinvestment in projects, cushion commodity or dispatch volatility, and help sustain returns even if top-line growth slows.

Attractive return on equity

A ROE above 15% demonstrates the company converts equity into profitable returns, aiding capital allocation and investor confidence. Over the medium term this supports access to project financing and justifies equity reinvestment into new wind/solar capacity.

Stable contracted cash flows & policy support

Long-term power purchase agreements plus subsidies and partnerships provide predictable revenue streams that underpin project financing and cash visibility. This structural revenue durability reduces exposure to short-term market price swings and supports long-cycle project planning.

Negative Factors

Very high leverage

Extremely high leverage materially increases refinancing, interest and covenant risk, limiting financial flexibility. In a capital-intensive renewables business this raises the cost of growth, constrains ability to fund new projects internally, and heightens sensitivity to rate moves.

Negative free cash flow

Negative free cash flow indicates capex outpacing operating cash generation, pressuring liquidity and making the company reliant on external financing. Persisting negative FCF can restrict dividend capacity and delay organic capacity additions without fresh capital.

Declining revenue trend

A meaningful year-over-year revenue decline weakens scale economics and may reflect commissioning delays or lower utilization. Coupled with high leverage and negative FCF, shrinking revenue reduces margin resilience and heightens execution risk on new project pipelines.

CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, generates and supplies electricity and steam in the People's Republic of China and Republic of Korea. The company operates wind, solar, gas-fired, coal-fired, oil-fired, hydro, cogen, and fuel cell projects, as well as a steam project. It also engages in the construction and operation of power stations and other associated facilities. In addition, the company provides management services to power plants; and invests in dam and other associated facilities. The company was formerly known as CGN Meiya Power Holdings Co., Ltd. and changed its name to CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. in November 2015. CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Wanchai, Hong Kong. CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of CGN Energy International Holdings Co., Limited.

How the Company Makes Money

CGN New Energy generates revenue through the sale of electricity produced from its renewable energy projects, including wind and solar power plants. The company enters into long-term power purchase agreements (PPAs) with utility companies and other customers, ensuring a steady income stream. Additionally, CGN New Energy may receive government subsidies and incentives related to renewable energy production, which contribute to its earnings. The company's strategic partnerships with local and international firms in the energy sector also enhance its project financing capabilities and market reach, further bolstering its revenue generation.

CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

CGN New Energy Holdings shows strong profitability margins but faces challenges with declining revenue growth and high leverage. The negative free cash flow and high debt-to-equity ratio raise concerns about financial flexibility and risk management.

Income Statement

The company has shown a declining revenue trend over the years, with a revenue decrease of 10.99% from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin for 2024 was approximately 59.73% and the net profit margin was around 12.71%, indicating healthy profitability. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly decreased, suggesting rising operational costs or reduced efficiencies.

Balance Sheet

CGN New Energy Holdings has a high debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 3.94 in 2024, indicating significant leverage which could pose financial risks. The return on equity was 15.33%, showing decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio was around 18.56%, suggesting moderate financial stability.

Cash Flow

The company experienced negative free cash flow in 2024, indicating that capital expenditures exceeded operating cash flow, which may be a concern for liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio was approximately 2.03, suggesting adequate cash generation relative to net income, although free cash flow to net income ratio was negative, highlighting cash flow challenges.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.83B	1.95B	2.19B	2.43B	1.78B	1.15B
Gross Profit	1.13B	1.17B	1.17B	1.14B	948.62M	623.11M
EBITDA	823.27M	872.07M	896.23M	925.62M	745.94M	480.50M
Net Income	228.09M	248.02M	267.69M	195.15M	244.27M	162.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	9.12B	8.72B	8.35B	8.34B	8.73B	6.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	219.06M	158.38M	301.67M	455.00M	378.14M	398.85M
Total Debt	6.67B	6.37B	5.91B	5.93B	6.30B	5.11B
Total Liabilities	7.21B	6.96B	6.66B	6.84B	7.24B	5.68B
Stockholders Equity	1.77B	1.62B	1.54B	1.36B	1.37B	1.21B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-355.04M	-423.80M	36.92M	279.61M	-913.12M	-1.13B
Operating Cash Flow	544.98M	502.63M	681.55M	642.38M	346.64M	256.88M
Investing Cash Flow	-933.62M	-934.73M	-611.18M	-373.16M	-1.28B	-1.27B
Financing Cash Flow	471.52M	297.02M	-212.55M	-173.38M	906.39M	1.00B

CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 2.53
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1811, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.53 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.70, below the 50-day MA of 2.64, and below the 200-day MA of 2.61, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.74 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1811.

CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
0836	73 Outperform	HK$99.55B	3.11	11.20%	5.89%	1.42%	-10.32%
2380	72 Outperform	HK$42.43B	3.26	7.09%	6.83%	4.20%	-5.31%
1811	69 Neutral	HK$12.27B	2.07	13.48%	4.29%	-6.80%	-10.25%
Sector *	66 Neutral	$17.65B	18.10	5.60%	3.62%	6.62%	11.55%
1798	60 Neutral	HK$14.91B	2.72	9.90%	6.26%	2.47%	-6.46%
1816	58 Neutral	HK$231.77B	12.72	7.74%	3.50%	-1.16%	-14.97%
0916	56 Neutral	HK$133.21B	15.60	7.04%	5.33%	-9.28%	-7.71%

CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. Corporate Events

CGN New Energy Reshapes Finance and Governance Team with New Chief Accountant and Joint Company Secretary

CGN New Energy Holdings has announced a senior management reshuffle effective 27 January 2026, with long-serving executive Xie Qiufa stepping down from his roles as joint company secretary and chief accountant following a redesignation of duties. The board has appointed Xu Jiapeng, currently the company’s general counsel and chief compliance officer, as joint company secretary, while experienced finance executive and senior accountant Xu Junmei, who has held key roles within CGN’s uranium and nuclear power businesses and is a certified public accountant and internal auditor, will take over as chief accountant, reinforcing the group’s focus on regulatory compliance, financial governance and alignment with its parent CGN’s internal control standards.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1811) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the HK:1811 Stock Forecast page.

CGN New Energy’s December Output Rises on Strong Wind and Solar Despite Full-Year Dip

CGN New Energy reported that its consolidated power generation reached 1,503.8 GWh in December 2025, up 2.6% year on year, driven mainly by an 11.4% increase in power from PRC wind projects and a 42.0% surge in PRC solar output, while hydro generation in Sichuan and Korean projects declined sharply on weaker water inflows and lower dispatch, respectively. For full-year 2025, total generation edged down 0.8% to 19,003.6 GWh, as strong growth in PRC solar (+31.3%) and gas-fired (+9.4%) projects partially offset decreases in wind, hydro and Korean output, underscoring the group’s growing reliance on solar capacity expansion and diversified fuel mix to support overall performance amid regional and resource-driven volatility.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1811) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the HK:1811 Stock Forecast page.

CGN New Energy Signs Three-Year Connected Energy Storage Services Deal

CGN New Energy Holdings has entered into a three-year energy storage services agreement between its wholly owned subsidiary CGN Shenzhen and CGN Wind Energy, a non-wholly owned subsidiary of its controlling shareholder CGN. Under the deal, CGN Wind Energy or its subsidiaries will provide energy storage services for designated wind and photovoltaic power farms operated by CGN Shenzhen in Shandong, Hunan and potentially other provinces in China, with fees set by reference to market rates and quotes from independent third parties. As CGN Wind Energy is a connected person under Hong Kong Listing Rules, the arrangement is classified as a continuing connected transaction, triggering reporting, annual review and announcement requirements, though it is exempt from circular and independent shareholders’ approval due to its size, highlighting ongoing intra-group cooperation to support the company’s renewable energy operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1811) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the HK:1811 Stock Forecast page.

CGN New Energy Reports Significant November Growth Amidst Yearly Challenges

CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. reported a 28.3% increase in power generation for November 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, driven by significant growth in solar and Korean projects. Despite the monthly increase, the company’s accumulated power generation for the first eleven months of 2025 showed a slight decrease of 1.0% year-on-year, highlighting challenges in maintaining growth across all sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1811) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the HK:1811 Stock Forecast page.

CGN New Energy Enters Power Sale Services Agreement with CGN Wind Energy

CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. announced that its subsidiary, CGN Shenzhen, has entered into a Power Sale Services Framework Agreement with CGN Wind Energy, another subsidiary of its controlling shareholder. This agreement, effective from January 2026 to December 2028, involves the provision of various power sale services, including electricity and green certificate sales. The transactions are classified as continuing connected transactions under the Listing Rules, requiring reporting and annual review but exempt from circular and independent shareholders’ approval due to the applicable percentage ratios.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1811) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the HK:1811 Stock Forecast page.

CGN New Energy Signs EPC Contract for 200MW Project

CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. announced that its subsidiary, CGN New Energy Yancheng, has entered into an Engineering, Procurement, and Construction (EPC) contract with China Energy Engineering Jiangsu Design Institute for a 200MW project. The contract, valued at approximately RMB567.2 million, includes design, engineering, procurement, and construction management, indicating a significant investment in expanding the company’s renewable energy capacity.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1811) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the HK:1811 Stock Forecast page.

CGN New Energy Announces New Maintenance Services Agreement

CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. announced a Maintenance Services Framework Agreement between its wholly owned subsidiary, CGN Yunnan, and its non-wholly owned subsidiary, CGN Chuxiong Mouding. This agreement, effective from January 1, 2026, to December 31, 2028, involves CGN Yunnan providing maintenance services for various energy projects. The transactions are considered continuing connected transactions under the Listing Rules, subject to reporting and annual review requirements but exempt from circular and independent shareholders’ approval.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1811) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the HK:1811 Stock Forecast page.

CGN New Energy Reports Decline in October 2025 Power Generation

CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. reported a 7.4% decrease in power generation for October 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, with significant declines in Korea projects and PRC wind projects, while PRC solar projects saw a notable increase. The overall power generation for the first ten months of 2025 also decreased by 3.5% year-on-year, reflecting challenges in certain sectors and growth in others, impacting the company’s operational dynamics and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (HK:1811) stock is a Hold with a HK$3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CGN New Energy Holdings Co., Ltd. stock, see the HK:1811 Stock Forecast page.