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China Qinfa Group Ltd. (HK:0866)
:0866
Hong Kong Market
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China Qinfa Group Ltd. (0866) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:0866

China Qinfa Group Ltd.

(0866)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
HK$2.00
â–¼(-24.24% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/21/26
The score is mainly weighed down by weakening financial performance (2025 net loss, higher leverage, and large negative free cash flow) and a clearly bearish technical setup (price far below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation offers only limited support due to losses (negative P/E), despite a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Operating cash flow resilience
Positive and improving operating cash flow provides durable internal liquidity to support working capital for coal trading and logistics. That sustained cash generation cushions earnings volatility, reduces near-term refinancing pressure and supports ongoing operations even amid cyclical revenue swings.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue decline
A steep, multi-year top-line decline erodes scale advantages, reduces bargaining power with suppliers and customers, and weakens absorption of fixed costs. Sustained revenue contraction heightens the risk that margins and cash generation will struggle to recover without structural demand improvement or new revenue sources.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Operating cash flow resilience
Positive and improving operating cash flow provides durable internal liquidity to support working capital for coal trading and logistics. That sustained cash generation cushions earnings volatility, reduces near-term refinancing pressure and supports ongoing operations even amid cyclical revenue swings.
Read all positive factors

China Qinfa Group Ltd. (0866) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

China Qinfa Group Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
China Qinfa Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the mining, purchase and sale, filtering, storage, blending, shipping, and transportation of coal in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Coal Business an...
How the Company Makes Money
The company primarily makes money by selling coal: it sources coal (from producers or its invested/associated upstream interests where applicable), arranges transportation and handling, and sells the coal to customers at a margin. Key revenue stre...

China Qinfa Group Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials have deteriorated: multi-year revenue decline with a sharp 2025 drop (~23% YoY), a swing from strong 2024 profitability to a 2025 net loss, materially higher leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.06x), and deeply negative 2025 free cash flow (~-1.03B) despite positive operating cash flow.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
35
Negative
Cash Flow
40
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.84B2.60B3.45B3.79B4.56B
Gross Profit473.37M514.54M878.02M1.27B1.94B
EBITDA768.00M1.03B1.46B1.75B6.75B
Net Income-93.86M501.94M200.35M456.54M2.79B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.66B8.63B7.86B7.85B7.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.14B1.03B302.73M856.00M1.05B
Total Debt2.03B1.20B3.58B3.53B3.71B
Total Liabilities4.12B5.14B7.54B7.04B7.58B
Stockholders Equity1.91B1.97B-472.87M13.11M-450.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.03B-384.53M378.85M253.32M1.75B
Operating Cash Flow518.03M466.93M1.46B984.43M1.89B
Investing Cash Flow-1.60B-612.16M-1.84B-835.63M-18.77M
Financing Cash Flow603.81M823.72M-212.07M-307.81M-989.73M

China Qinfa Group Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.64
Price Trends
50DMA
3.28
Negative
100DMA
3.32
Negative
200DMA
3.05
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.22
Positive
RSI
19.65
Positive
STOCH
5.60
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0866, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.87, below the 50-day MA of 3.28, and below the 200-day MA of 3.05, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 19.65 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.60 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0866.

China Qinfa Group Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
HK$15.68B11.3910.96%9.92%-6.35%-57.55%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
50
Neutral
HK$1.79B7.703.21%20.68%-35.55%-65.63%
48
Neutral
HK$8.10B233.440.50%―-20.89%-97.28%
47
Neutral
HK$578.25M-0.88-16.63%―-29.90%-53.25%
42
Neutral
HK$4.83B-85.15-5.10%1.53%-29.40%-119.35%
42
Neutral
HK$1.58B-8.366.31%4.24%-29.28%-145.39%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:0866
China Qinfa Group Ltd.
1.93
0.65
50.78%
HK:0975
Mongolian Mining
7.74
1.90
32.53%
HK:1277
Kinetic Mines & Energy Ltd.
1.84
0.74
67.27%
HK:2798
Perennial Energy Holdings Ltd.
1.01
0.24
31.17%
HK:1733
E-Commodities Holdings Limited
0.67
-0.15
-17.99%
HK:6885
Henan JinMa Energy Co. Ltd. Class H
1.07
0.53
98.15%

China Qinfa Group Ltd. Corporate Events

China Qinfa Clarifies Long-Term Vesting Terms for 75.5 Million Share Options
May 13, 2026
China Qinfa Group Limited has clarified the vesting terms of a previously announced grant of 75,500,000 share options to eligible participants. The company confirmed that these options are subject to specified performance targets and will only bec...
China Qinfa Grants 75.5 Million Share Options Tied to Coal Output Targets
May 11, 2026
China Qinfa Group Limited has granted 75.5 million share options under its 2018 share option scheme to certain eligible employees, exercisable at HK$3.07 per share from May 2029 to May 2036. Each grantee pays a nominal consideration upon acceptanc...
China Qinfa Subsidiary SDE Signs Connected Coal Supply Deal With Zhejiang Energy Asia Pacific
May 7, 2026
China Qinfa Group’s non-wholly owned subsidiary SDE has entered into a coal supply agreement to sell 70,000 metric tonnes of Indonesian steam coal, subject to a 10% quantity adjustment, to Zhejiang Energy Asia Pacific. Shipments are schedule...
China Qinfa Group Calls 2026 AGM and Seeks Share Buy-Back Mandate
Apr 27, 2026
China Qinfa Group Limited has called its annual general meeting for 16 June 2026 in Guangzhou, where shareholders will review and adopt the audited consolidated financial statements and directors’ and auditors’ reports for the year end...
China Qinfa Swings to 2025 Net Loss Despite Higher Core Revenue
Mar 31, 2026
China Qinfa Group Limited reported a sharp rise in revenue from its continuing operations to RMB1.84 billion in 2025, up RMB709 million from a year earlier, with EBITDA from these operations climbing by RMB159 million to RMB398 million. Profit fro...
China Qinfa Unit Signs Connected Coal Supply Deal With Zhejiang Energy Asia Pacific
Mar 31, 2026
China Qinfa Group’s subsidiary SDE has signed a coal supply agreement with Zhejiang Energy Asia Pacific for the sale of 70,000 metric tonnes of Indonesian steam coal, with potential adjustment of 10% up or down and deliveries scheduled to co...
China Qinfa Trims Guarantee Exposure in Refinancing of Related-Party Loans
Mar 24, 2026
China Qinfa Group Limited has agreed, together with its unit Qinfa Logistics, to provide new corporate guarantees for bank loans obtained by Huameiao Energy, an entity 80% indirectly owned by the group’s controlling shareholder, following th...
China Qinfa Group Sets March 2026 Board Meeting to Approve 2025 Results
Mar 19, 2026
China Qinfa Group Limited has scheduled a board meeting to be held in Hong Kong on 31 March 2026 to review and approve the annual results for the year ended 31 December 2025. The board will also consider whether to recommend a final dividend, a de...
China Qinfa Raises HK$309.6 Million to Fund Indonesian Mine Expansion
Mar 13, 2026
China Qinfa Group Limited has completed a placing of 90 million existing shares at HK$3.51 per share to at least six independent investors, followed by a top-up subscription of an equal number of new shares by the vendor at the same price. The net...
China Qinfa Launches Share Placing and Top-Up Subscription to Raise HK$309.6 Million
Mar 4, 2026
China Qinfa Group Limited has entered into a placing and top-up subscription arrangement involving existing and new shares, with Guotai Junan Securities (Hong Kong) Limited and TFI Securities and Futures Limited acting as joint placing agents. The...
China Qinfa Unit Signs Connected Coal Supply Deal With Zhejiang Energy Asia Pacific
Feb 27, 2026
China Qinfa Group Limited’s non-wholly owned subsidiary SDE has entered into a coal supply agreement with Zhejiang Energy Asia Pacific for the sale of 70,000 metric tonnes of Indonesian steam coal, with an allowable adjustment of 10%. Delive...
China Qinfa flags 2025 loss on weaker coal prices and forex hit
Feb 23, 2026
China Qinfa Group Limited has warned that it expects to swing to a loss of up to RMB98 million for 2025, compared with a profit of about RMB556.37 million a year earlier, based on preliminary unaudited figures. The result reflects a sharp loss fro...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 21, 2026