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Hf Foods Group (HFFG)
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HF Foods Group (HFFG) AI Stock Analysis

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HFFG

HF Foods Group

(NASDAQ:HFFG)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-3.47% Downside)
The overall stock score for HF Foods Group is primarily influenced by its financial performance challenges, including negative profit margins and cash flow issues. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, while valuation metrics are weak due to a negative P/E ratio. The earnings call provides some optimism with strategic initiatives and growth in EBITDA, but concerns remain regarding profitability and restructuring impacts.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business expansion.
Digital Transformation
The new ERP system enhances operational efficiency and control, providing a competitive edge and supporting sustainable growth.
Facility Enhancements
Expanding facility capacity will support increased demand and improve logistics, strengthening market position and operational efficiency.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Declining profit margins indicate cost pressures and may impact long-term profitability if not addressed through strategic cost management.
Tariff and Market Challenges
Tariff pressures and market shifts can affect cost structures and demand, posing risks to sustained profitability and market stability.
Sales Force Restructuring Risks
Restructuring may cause short-term disruptions, impacting sales performance and customer relationships, though expected to stabilize by 2026.

HF Foods Group (HFFG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

HF Foods Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHF Foods Group (HFFG) is a leading food service distributor that specializes in supplying Asian and other ethnic food products to restaurants, grocery stores, and other food service businesses across the United States. The company operates primarily in the food distribution sector and focuses on providing a wide range of products, including frozen, dry, and refrigerated food items, as well as specialty items that cater to diverse culinary preferences. HF Foods Group aims to enhance the dining experience for consumers by offering high-quality ingredients and exceptional service to its customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyHF Foods Group generates revenue primarily through the sale of food products to its customers in the food service industry. The company's revenue model is built on bulk distribution, where it sells a wide array of food items to restaurants, grocery stores, and catering services, allowing for significant volume sales. Key revenue streams include the sale of frozen, refrigerated, and dry food products, as well as specialty ingredients that appeal to ethnic cuisine markets. Additionally, the company may benefit from long-term contracts and partnerships with key clients that provide consistent revenue. Factors contributing to its earnings include the growing demand for ethnic foods in the U.S., operational efficiencies in logistics and distribution, and the ability to adapt to market trends and consumer preferences.

HF Foods Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a generally positive outlook with significant growth in revenue and EBITDA, successful strategic initiatives, and improved financial metrics. However, challenges such as declining gross profit margins and potential disruptions from restructuring efforts present areas of concern.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Net revenue increased by 2.9% year-over-year to $307 million. Adjusted EBITDA increased significantly by 41.5% year-over-year to $11.7 million, showcasing strong operational performance.
Digital Transformation Success
Successful deployment of a new modern ERP application across the entire network, which is expected to improve efficiency, visibility, and control.
Strategic Facility Enhancements
Completion of renovations at the Charlotte distribution center and ongoing projects in Atlanta that are expected to double capacity and enhance cross-selling opportunities.
Improved Financial Metrics
Net loss improved to $0.9 million from a loss of $3.8 million in the previous year, with adjusted net income rising to $4.3 million from $2.2 million.
Acquisition of Chicago Warehouse
The acquisition is expected to improve operational efficiency, reduce costs, and strengthen organic growth through cross-selling opportunities.
Negative Updates
Gross Profit Margin Decline
Gross profit margin decreased slightly to 16.4% from 16.8% due to higher sales of lower margin products, particularly seafood.
Impact of Tariffs and Market Conditions
Ongoing macro challenges, including tariff pressures and shifts in consumer spending behaviors, affecting business performance.
Potential Disruption from Sales Force Restructuring
Plans to consolidate two sales operations into one may cause some disruption, although it is expected to be managed and normalized by early 2026.
Company Guidance
During the HF Foods Group Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance indicating a continuation of positive growth trends despite challenging macroeconomic factors. For the third quarter of 2025, HF Foods reported a 2.9% increase in net revenue, reaching $307 million, and a 0.5% increase in gross profit to $50.4 million. Adjusted EBITDA saw a significant rise of 41.5% year-over-year to $11.7 million. The company highlighted strategic initiatives, such as the successful deployment of a new ERP system, expected to enhance operational efficiency and sales restructuring to reduce costs. It plans to consolidate two sales operations into one and further strengthen its competitive positioning. HF Foods also emphasized its strategic facility enhancements, with the Atlanta facility expansion on track to double cold storage capacity by the end of the year, and the acquisition of a Chicago warehouse anticipated to improve operational efficiency and reduce facility costs. These efforts aim to support sustained growth and the company's long-term strategy, with expectations for Q4 2025 results to mirror Q3 performance, setting a strong foundation for 2026.

HF Foods Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
HF Foods Group faces significant challenges in profitability and cash flow management, despite strong revenue growth. The company needs to address its negative profit margins and improve its return on equity to enhance shareholder value. While the balance sheet shows a balanced leverage position, the negative cash flow growth and profitability metrics indicate potential risks. Strategic improvements in cost management and operational efficiency are essential for future financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
HF Foods Group's income statement shows a challenging financial position with negative net profit margins and declining EBIT and EBITDA margins over the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Despite a significant revenue growth rate of 67% in the TTM, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by the negative net income and EBIT. The gross profit margin remains relatively stable, indicating some efficiency in managing production costs, but overall profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderately leveraged position with a debt-to-equity ratio close to 1 in the TTM, indicating a balanced use of debt and equity. However, the negative return on equity suggests that the company is not generating sufficient returns on shareholders' investments. The equity ratio is stable, showing that a reasonable portion of the company's assets is financed by equity, but the negative ROE highlights profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a mixed picture. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating that the company is generating cash from operations despite reporting net losses. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative, suggesting a decline in available cash for reinvestment or debt repayment. The free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively high, reflecting efficient cash generation relative to net income, but the overall cash flow position needs improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.22B1.20B1.15B1.17B796.88M566.83M
Gross Profit208.66M205.19M204.03M205.51M151.51M100.75M
EBITDA-6.00M-8.04M34.77M32.40M52.83M-324.70M
Net Income-45.44M-48.51M-2.17M460.00K22.14M-343.51M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets595.08M549.99M596.52M637.53M596.95M490.59M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.33M14.47M15.23M24.29M14.79M9.58M
Total Debt237.87M209.93M203.32M224.67M190.68M142.25M
Total Liabilities354.22M308.70M308.54M341.28M301.96M227.07M
Stockholders Equity239.21M239.29M286.66M291.81M290.95M259.15M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow17.29M10.09M-5.16M29.11M15.30M45.03M
Operating Cash Flow30.42M22.64M-1.65M35.40M17.51M45.69M
Investing Cash Flow-12.99M-12.55M-1.51M-50.79M-41.08M-94.41M
Financing Cash Flow-16.55M-10.85M-5.89M24.89M28.78M43.76M

HF Foods Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.59
Price Trends
50DMA
2.45
Positive
100DMA
2.83
Negative
200DMA
3.13
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
58.71
Neutral
STOCH
74.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HFFG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.59 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.35, above the 50-day MA of 2.45, and below the 200-day MA of 3.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HFFG.

HF Foods Group Risk Analysis

HF Foods Group disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. HF Foods Group reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

HF Foods Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$345.67M13.0315.15%4.02%9.33%72.31%
72
Outperform
$2.44B34.7014.12%8.88%54.12%
63
Neutral
$14.96B45.867.42%10.55%-23.38%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
56
Neutral
$128.90M-17.40%4.10%-2241.30%
54
Neutral
$73.53M122.480.51%0.88%3.90%-87.36%
52
Neutral
$2.09B-6.37%1.45%-5.49%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HFFG
HF Foods Group
2.53
-1.27
-33.42%
DIT
Amcon Distributing Company
116.04
-25.82
-18.20%
WILC
Willi Food Inte
25.97
11.91
84.71%
CHEF
The Chefs' Warehouse
60.30
13.16
27.92%
UNFI
United Natural Foods
33.32
8.66
35.12%
PFGC
Performance Food Group
92.60
3.01
3.36%

HF Foods Group Corporate Events

HF Foods Group Earnings Call Highlights Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 12, 2025

The recent earnings call for HF Foods Group conveyed a generally positive sentiment, highlighting significant growth in revenue and EBITDA alongside successful strategic initiatives and improved financial metrics. However, the call also acknowledged challenges such as declining gross profit margins and potential disruptions from restructuring efforts, which present areas of concern for the company moving forward.

HF Foods Group Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 11, 2025

HF Foods Group Inc., a prominent distributor of foodservice solutions to Asian restaurants across the United States, has reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showcasing a mix of growth and challenges in its operations.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
HF Foods Group Appoints New Board Member and Interim CFO
Neutral
Oct 16, 2025

On October 16, 2025, HF Foods Group announced the appointment of Jeffery Taylor to its Board of Directors. Taylor, with over 27 years of senior finance leadership experience, is expected to play a crucial role in the company’s operational transformation plan, bringing expertise in financial management, M&A execution, and capital markets financing. Additionally, HF Foods announced a CFO transition with Paul McGarry stepping in as Interim CFO, replacing Cindy Yao, to further enhance its financial leadership during this strategic transformation.

The most recent analyst rating on (HFFG) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HF Foods Group stock, see the HFFG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
HF Foods Group Acquires Chicago Distribution Facility
Positive
Sep 29, 2025

On September 29, 2025, HF Foods Group announced a binding purchase agreement to acquire a distribution facility in Chicago, Illinois, previously leased following its acquisition of Great Wall Seafood in 2022. This strategic move is part of HF Foods’ transformation plan to improve operational efficiency, reduce facility costs, and support long-term growth. The acquisition is expected to enhance the company’s Midwest distribution footprint, improve operating expenses, and expand capacity, benefiting local restaurant customers in the Chicago and Midwest region. Additionally, HF Foods’ At-the-Market equity offering program is anticipated to provide the financial flexibility needed for this acquisition and future business expansions.

The most recent analyst rating on (HFFG) stock is a Hold with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HF Foods Group stock, see the HFFG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
HF Foods Group Launches $100M ATM Equity Offering
Neutral
Sep 25, 2025

On September 25, 2025, HF Foods Group Inc. announced the establishment of an At-The-Market (ATM) equity offering program, allowing the company to sell shares of its common stock for up to $100 million through sales agents D.A. Davidson & Co. and Roth Capital Partners. The proceeds from this offering are intended for general corporate purposes, including working capital, capital expenditures, and potential acquisitions or business expansion, which could impact the company’s operations and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (HFFG) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HF Foods Group stock, see the HFFG Stock Forecast page.

HF Foods Group Reports Record Earnings Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

HF Foods Group’s latest earnings call revealed a generally positive sentiment, underscored by record-breaking financial results. The company reported significant growth in net revenue and gross profit, attributed to strategic initiatives and operational discipline. However, the call also highlighted challenges such as reduced foot traffic due to economic uncertainty, immigration policy impacts, and tariff uncertainties, which remain areas of concern.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 28, 2025