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Hawaiian Electric (HE)
NYSE:HE
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Hawaiian Electric (HE) AI Stock Analysis

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HE

Hawaiian Electric

(NYSE:HE)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▲(4.80% Upside)
Hawaiian Electric's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including high leverage and declining profitability. However, positive technical indicators and legislative support for wildfire safety provide some optimism. The company's valuation remains a concern due to negative earnings, and while the earnings call highlighted improvements in liquidity and credit ratings, financial challenges persist.
Positive Factors
Court Rulings
Shares of HE have risen approximately 20% on the story's improving backdrop following a favorable ruling by the Hawaii Supreme Court.
Debt Management
Improved balance sheet with proceeds from the American Savings Bank sale directed towards debt reduction.
Financial Stability
Strong access to capital markets and significantly higher liquidity enhance financial stability.
Negative Factors
Legislative Challenges
Crucial legislation establishing a wildfire fund, securitization, and a liability cap remains a gating item, preventing a more constructive outlook as many questions linger.
Liability Concerns
The HI legislature failed to provide clarity on wildfire liability cap and potential fund creation—process moves to the PUC.
Underearning Issues
Potential shareholder contributions to a wildfire fund, likely settlement financing via additional equity, ongoing material underearning issues, and potential future wildfires present offsetting risks and limit upside.

Hawaiian Electric (HE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hawaiian Electric Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHawaiian Electric (HE) is the largest electric utility in Hawaii, providing electricity to approximately 95% of the state's population. The company operates primarily in the electric power generation, transmission, and distribution sectors, serving residential, commercial, and industrial customers across the islands of Oahu, Maui, and Hawaii Island. HE is committed to integrating renewable energy sources into its power generation mix, aiming to transition towards a sustainable and resilient energy future for the state.
How the Company Makes MoneyHawaiian Electric generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity to its customers. The company's revenue model is based on a regulated utility framework, where it earns money by charging customers for the electricity they consume, as well as for the infrastructure investments it makes in power generation and distribution. Key revenue streams include residential and commercial electricity sales, which are influenced by the rates set by the Public Utilities Commission of Hawaii. Additionally, Hawaiian Electric can earn returns on its investments in renewable energy projects and energy efficiency programs. Significant partnerships with local and federal agencies, as well as collaborations with renewable energy developers, contribute to its earnings by facilitating the transition to cleaner energy sources and enabling access to funding and incentives for sustainable initiatives.

Hawaiian Electric Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.71%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a company making significant strides in legislative support and financial stability post-Maui Wildfires, with progress on business simplification and improved credit ratings. However, some financial challenges remain, particularly in utility income and wildfire-related costs.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Legislative Support for Wildfire Safety
Governor Josh Green signed three pieces of legislation into law, including Act 258, which establishes a liability cap for future wildfire damages and authorizes $500 million for wildfire safety improvements.
Credit Rating Upgrades
HEI received credit rating upgrades from Moody's, S&P, and Fitch, indicating improved financial strength and resilience.
Progress on Simplifying Business Model
HEI continues to simplify its business model by selling Pacific Current assets and planning to divest its remaining stake in American Savings Bank.
Financial Liquidity and Cash Reserves
HEI and its utility have a combined liquidity of approximately $756 million, providing financial stability.
Resolution of Maui Wildfire Tort Litigation
Progress continues toward implementing the settlement agreement, with final steps expected to be completed in early 2026.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Utility Core Net Income
Utility core net income decreased to $42.5 million from $43.9 million in the second quarter of 2024, mainly due to higher wildfire mitigation expenses and insurance costs.
Maui Wildfire-related Expenses
The quarter's results were impacted by $5.2 million of pretax Maui Wildfire-related expenses, with $4.5 million recorded at the utility.
Earnings Per Share Decline
Consolidated core net income was $0.20 per share, down from $0.26 per share in the second quarter of 2024.
Company Guidance
During the HEI Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance on its financial metrics and strategic initiatives. HEI reported a net income of $26.1 million or $0.15 per share for the quarter, with core net income excluding one-time items at $35.4 million or $0.20 per share, compared to $28.4 million or $0.26 per share in the same period in 2024. The utility's core net income was slightly lower at $42.5 million, down from $43.9 million in the previous year, due to increased wildfire mitigation expenses. The holding company recorded a reduced core net loss of $7.1 million, an improvement from the $15.5 million loss the prior year. HEI highlighted its strong liquidity position, with $44 million in unrestricted cash at the holding company level and $106 million at the utility. Additionally, available liquidity totaled approximately $756 million across its ATM program, credit facilities, and accounts receivable facility. The company is focused on streamlining its business model, having divested 90.1% of American Savings Bank and other significant assets, while planning to address the remaining settlement payment for the Maui Wildfire Tort Litigation through debt financing. The company expects to provide more detailed CapEx and rate base growth outlooks later in the year, likely around November.

Hawaiian Electric Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hawaiian Electric faces significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and profitability pressures. High leverage poses a risk to financial stability, although recent improvements in free cash flow are encouraging. The company needs to focus on improving operational efficiency and reducing debt to enhance its financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Hawaiian Electric's income statement shows significant challenges. The TTM data reveals a negative net profit margin of -4.05%, indicating losses. Revenue has declined by 4.92% in the TTM period, following a previous annual decline. Gross profit margins have also deteriorated over time, reflecting cost pressures or pricing challenges. The company needs to address these issues to improve profitability.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.64 in the TTM period, which is a concern for financial stability. Return on equity is negative, reflecting recent losses. However, the equity ratio remains reasonable at 18.84%, suggesting some level of asset backing. The company must manage its debt levels to reduce financial risk.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a strong free cash flow growth of 99.60% in the TTM period, which is a positive sign. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.36, indicating some cash flow generation despite net losses. The company should focus on maintaining positive cash flows to support operations and debt obligations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.92B3.22B3.29B3.74B2.85B2.58B
Gross Profit51.96M-1.71B274.99M381.07M386.07M311.49M
EBITDA357.66M-1.39B572.83M660.08M648.13M564.44M
Net Income-118.00M-1.42B201.13M243.03M248.06M199.71M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.32B8.93B17.24B16.28B15.82B15.00B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments154.28M750.53M244.09M1.63B305.55M2.31B
Total Debt2.57B3.33B4.04B3.43B2.60B2.50B
Total Liabilities6.76B7.42B14.86B14.08B13.43B12.67B
Stockholders Equity1.57B1.51B2.34B2.20B2.39B2.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow209.73M136.25M103.17M110.44M61.15M45.51M
Operating Cash Flow517.88M465.73M551.47M454.48M375.67M429.41M
Investing Cash Flow70.00M-317.63M-257.40M-1.13B-1.18B-1.41B
Financing Cash Flow316.64M154.71M195.57M567.67M756.40M1.12B

Hawaiian Electric Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.45
Price Trends
50DMA
10.81
Positive
100DMA
10.62
Positive
200DMA
10.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.19
Negative
RSI
63.93
Neutral
STOCH
86.84
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.04, above the 50-day MA of 10.81, and above the 200-day MA of 10.38, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 63.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.84 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HE.

Hawaiian Electric Risk Analysis

Hawaiian Electric disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hawaiian Electric reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hawaiian Electric Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$3.45B12.1017.13%2.42%-3.69%-8.25%
76
Outperform
$3.37B14.957.93%4.49%3.78%7.48%
72
Outperform
$3.02B16.726.91%5.24%2.41%-9.85%
69
Neutral
$3.07B23.3710.75%2.16%8.47%12.76%
67
Neutral
$17.63B18.148.12%3.57%7.33%12.21%
62
Neutral
$784.47M16.539.04%3.78%-2.78%-3.07%
58
Neutral
$1.97B-1.53%-11.75%96.86%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HE
Hawaiian Electric
11.45
-0.55
-4.58%
AVA
Avista
37.15
0.98
2.71%
MGEE
MGE Energy
84.96
-0.45
-0.53%
NWE
Northwestern
58.41
7.72
15.23%
OTTR
Otter Tail
84.42
0.23
0.27%
UTL
Unitil
47.63
-9.08
-16.01%

Hawaiian Electric Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Hawaiian Electric Shareholders Approve Key Proposals at Meeting
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 12, 2025, Hawaiian Electric Industries, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where all nominees to the Board of Directors were elected without opposition. Shareholders approved executive compensation, amended articles to increase authorized shares, and ratified Deloitte & Touche, LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025. Additionally, HEI, as the sole shareholder of Hawaiian Electric Company, fixed the number of directors at five, elected new directors, and ratified Deloitte & Touche, LLP as the accounting firm for Hawaiian Electric for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (HE) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hawaiian Electric stock, see the HE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025