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Hawaiian Electric (HE)
NYSE:HE

Hawaiian Electric (HE) AI Stock Analysis

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HE

Hawaiian Electric

(NYSE:HE)

49Neutral
Hawaiian Electric's overall score reflects substantial financial challenges, with declining revenues and net losses impacting its financial health. While technical indicators are neutral, and valuation metrics are weak due to unprofitability, the company is making strides in financial stabilization through strategic asset sales and debt reduction. The earnings call and corporate events highlight positive steps towards recovery, but significant risks and challenges persist.
Positive Factors
Court Rulings
Shares of HE have risen approximately 20% on the story's improving backdrop following a favorable ruling by the Hawaii Supreme Court.
Credit Metrics
Management is confident on improving credit metrics, with expectations for FFO/Debt to return to approximately 15%-17% sooner than forecasted, and then climbing towards pre-wildfire levels.
Financial Stability
Strong access to capital markets and significantly higher liquidity enhance financial stability.
Negative Factors
Legislation Uncertainty
The HI legislature failed to provide clarity on wildfire liability cap and potential fund creation—process moves to the PUC.
Shareholder Risks
Potential shareholder contributions to a wildfire fund, likely settlement financing via additional equity, ongoing material underearning issues, and potential future wildfires present offsetting risks and limit upside.
Valuation Concerns
The sale of a 90.1% stake in American Savings Bank was completed at a significant discount compared to its tangible book value.

Hawaiian Electric (HE) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Hawaiian Electric Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHawaiian Electric (HE) is the largest supplier of electricity in the state of Hawaii, serving over 95% of Hawaii's population across the islands of Oahu, Maui, Hawaii Island, Lanai, and Molokai. The company operates in the electric utility sector and is primarily engaged in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity. Hawaiian Electric is committed to increasing renewable energy sources and reducing dependency on imported oil, aligning with Hawaii's aggressive clean energy goals.
How the Company Makes MoneyHawaiian Electric makes money primarily through the sale of electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across its service areas. The company's revenue model is based on regulated utility rates, which are approved by the Hawaii Public Utilities Commission. These rates are designed to cover the costs of providing electric service, including fuel, infrastructure maintenance, and operational expenses, while allowing for a reasonable rate of return on investment. Hawaiian Electric also generates income from investments in renewable energy projects, which are increasingly important as the company transitions to more sustainable energy sources. Additionally, partnerships with renewable energy developers and programs that encourage energy efficiency and conservation contribute to Hawaiian Electric's revenue streams.

Hawaiian Electric Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hawaiian Electric faces substantial financial challenges. The company is grappling with declining revenues and significant net losses, impacting profitability and equity returns. While the cash flow generation remains positive, the balance sheet shows signs of stress with declining equity, raising concerns over financial sustainability in the long term. Addressing operational inefficiencies and stabilizing revenues are crucial for future recovery.
Income Statement
32
Negative
Hawaiian Electric's income statement shows a concerning decline in profitability, with a negative net income and EBIT in the most recent year, indicating significant operational challenges. The gross profit margin is essentially wiped out due to the negative EBIT, suggesting high operational costs or extraordinary expenses. The revenue has also decreased compared to the previous year, highlighting a downturn in top-line performance.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet of Hawaiian Electric reveals a moderate level of financial stability with a debt-to-equity ratio that remains manageable. However, the company's equity ratio indicates a reliance on equity financing. The decline in stockholders' equity is a concern, and the return on equity has turned negative due to the net losses, which poses a risk to long-term financial health.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The cash flow statement indicates a strong operational cash flow, but the free cash flow growth is limited. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is unusually high due to the negative net income, suggesting that despite profitability issues, the company is still generating cash at an operational level. However, the free cash flow to net income is also skewed by the reported net losses.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.22B3.68B3.74B2.85B2.58B
Gross Profit
-1.71B352.60M381.07M386.07M311.49M
EBIT
-1.71B352.60M381.07M122.75M311.49M
EBITDA
-1.39B636.23M660.08M648.13M564.44M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-1.42B201.13M243.03M248.06M199.71M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
750.53M1.82B1.63B2.88B2.31B
Total Assets
8.93B17.24B16.28B15.82B15.00B
Total Debt
3.33B4.04B3.43B2.60B2.50B
Net Debt
2.58B3.36B3.23B2.30B2.16B
Total Liabilities
7.42B14.86B14.08B13.43B12.67B
Stockholders Equity
1.51B2.34B2.20B2.39B2.34B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
136.25M103.17M110.44M61.15M45.51M
Operating Cash Flow
465.73M551.47M454.48M375.67M429.41M
Investing Cash Flow
-317.63M-257.40M-1.13B-1.18B-1.41B
Financing Cash Flow
-72.03M195.57M567.67M756.40M1.12B

Hawaiian Electric Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.69
Price Trends
50DMA
10.54
Positive
100DMA
10.16
Positive
200DMA
10.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.07
Negative
RSI
55.05
Neutral
STOCH
54.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.43, above the 50-day MA of 10.54, and above the 200-day MA of 10.59, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HE.

Hawaiian Electric Risk Analysis

Hawaiian Electric disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hawaiian Electric reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hawaiian Electric Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$3.42B26.2210.62%1.92%6.03%6.15%
73
Outperform
$3.34B11.3818.38%2.41%-2.68%-3.73%
NWNWE
68
Neutral
$3.44B14.597.94%4.65%4.31%19.33%
AVAVA
67
Neutral
$3.15B16.597.25%4.92%3.14%-2.66%
63
Neutral
$8.57B10.134.66%4.38%3.79%-12.91%
UTUTL
63
Neutral
$894.78M18.549.07%3.17%-5.57%-2.26%
HEHE
49
Neutral
$1.84B-67.93%-7.58%-819.97%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HE
Hawaiian Electric
10.69
-0.43
-3.87%
AVA
Avista
39.13
3.14
8.72%
MGEE
MGE Energy
93.48
12.83
15.91%
NWE
Northwestern
56.52
6.24
12.41%
OTTR
Otter Tail
79.77
-10.07
-11.21%
UTL
Unitil
55.06
2.61
4.98%

Hawaiian Electric Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 09, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.91%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in resolving the Maui wildfire litigation and strengthening financial flexibility through asset sales and debt reduction. Legislative support for wildfire mitigation and the reinstatement of the utility dividend were positive developments. However, ongoing wildfire-related expenses and losses from asset sales presented challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Financial Progress and Settlement Resolution
HEI made significant progress in resolving the Maui wildfire tort litigation, with the Hawaii State Supreme Court issuing a supportive decision. The company expects to complete the remaining administrative steps early next year, leading to the first $479 million payment.
Stronger Financial Position
HEI's balance sheet and liquidity improved with the sale of American Savings Bank and divestiture of Pacific Current assets. The holding company retired approximately $384 million of debt, enhancing financial flexibility.
Legislative Support for Wildfire Mitigation
The Hawaii state legislature passed Senate Bill 897, which directs the Public Utilities Commission to establish a liability cap on economic damages from future wildfires and authorizes securitization for wildfire safety improvements.
Utility Dividend Reinstatement
Hawaiian Electric's Board of Directors approved a $10 million quarterly dividend, reinstating it after a temporary suspension.
Core Net Income Growth
Utility core net income for the quarter was $49.7 million, up from $44.2 million in the first quarter of 2024, driven by better heat rate performance and lower bad debt expense.
Negative Updates
Maui Wildfire Related Expenses
The quarter included $4.5 million of pretax Maui wildfire-related expenses, with $2.5 million recorded at the utility, affecting overall financial performance.
Loss on Asset Sale
A $13.2 million pretax loss on the sale of Pacific Current's largest asset, the Hamakua power plant, was recorded.
Higher Insurance Costs
The utility faced higher insurance costs, which partially offset gains from improved heat rate performance and other financial benefits.
Company Guidance
In the HEI First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company highlighted several key metrics and strategic actions aimed at strengthening its financial position and operational focus. HEI reported a first-quarter net income of $26.7 million or $0.15 per share, with a core net income of $39.8 million or $0.23 per share, excluding certain losses and wildfire expenses. The company has made significant progress in resolving the Maui wildfire tort litigation, with a Supreme Court decision supporting the settlement process. HEI plans to make its first $479 million settlement payment in early 2026 and has contributed $75 million to the $1.99 billion One 'Ohana initiative for wildfire relief. The company is also focused on a simpler business model by divesting non-core assets and enhancing financial flexibility, evidenced by a $384 million debt reduction following the sale of American Savings Bank. HEI's liquidity remains strong, with $492 million in holding company cash and $130 million at the utility level. The company anticipates financing future settlement payments with a combination of debt and equity while pursuing investments in utility infrastructure to support its clean energy goals and improve safety and reliability.

Hawaiian Electric Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Hawaiian Electric Shareholders Approve Key Proposals at Meeting
Neutral
May 14, 2025

On May 12, 2025, Hawaiian Electric Industries, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where all nominees to the Board of Directors were elected without opposition. Shareholders approved executive compensation, amended articles to increase authorized shares, and ratified Deloitte & Touche, LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025. Additionally, HEI, as the sole shareholder of Hawaiian Electric Company, fixed the number of directors at five, elected new directors, and ratified Deloitte & Touche, LLP as the accounting firm for Hawaiian Electric for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (HE) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hawaiian Electric stock, see the HE Stock Forecast page.

Spark’s Take on HE Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, HE is a Neutral.

Hawaiian Electric’s stock score reflects its financial struggles, with significant net losses and declining equity impacting its financial health. While the company has made progress in addressing legal challenges and improving liquidity, profitability remains a concern. Technical indicators show moderate stability, but valuation metrics are weak due to the absence of income and negative earnings.

To see Spark’s full report on HE stock, click here.

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Hawaiian Electric Releases 2024 Statistical Supplement
Neutral
Mar 26, 2025

Hawaiian Electric Industries (HEI) has released its unaudited 2024 Statistical Supplement, which includes selected financial information for HEI, Hawaiian Electric, and American Savings Bank. The company will post this supplement on its website under the Investor Relations section, and encourages investors to monitor this section for additional disclosures. This release emphasizes the importance of HEI’s website as a primary source for investor information, alongside press releases, SEC filings, and public conference calls.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hawaiian Electric to Repurchase Debt with Share Sale Proceeds
Positive
Mar 5, 2025

On March 5, 2025, Hawaiian Electric Industries, Inc. announced its decision to use approximately $383.7 million from the sale of shares in American Savings Bank to repurchase a portion of its outstanding senior notes. This strategic move aims to strengthen the company’s financial position by reducing debt, potentially impacting its operations and market standing positively. The offer to purchase the notes is subject to specific conditions and must be accepted by holders by April 2, 2025.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.