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Hawaiian Electric (HE)
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Hawaiian Electric (HE) AI Stock Analysis

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HE

Hawaiian Electric

(NYSE:HE)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(1.59% Upside)
Hawaiian Electric's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including declining revenues and high leverage. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, while valuation is moderate. The earnings call highlighted both progress and challenges, with uncertainty in regulatory outcomes adding complexity.
Positive Factors
Renewable Energy Transition
The shift to renewable energy aligns with Hawaii's clean energy goals, potentially reducing long-term operational costs and enhancing sustainability.
Improved Liquidity
Enhanced liquidity and financial flexibility can support strategic investments and operational resilience, strengthening the company's financial position.
Wildfire Safety Strategy
Improved wildfire safety measures reduce operational risks and potential liabilities, enhancing long-term stability and community trust.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Consistent revenue decline indicates challenges in maintaining market share and pricing power, potentially impacting future profitability.
High Leverage
High leverage increases financial risk and limits flexibility, potentially affecting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Uncertain Regulatory Outcomes
Regulatory uncertainties can impact financial planning and operational strategies, posing risks to revenue stability and cost management.

Hawaiian Electric (HE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hawaiian Electric Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHawaiian Electric (HE) is a utility company based in Hawaii, primarily engaged in the generation, transmission, and distribution of electricity. Serving over 400,000 customers across the islands of Oahu, Maui, and Hawaii Island, HE plays a crucial role in providing reliable and sustainable energy solutions. The company is focused on transitioning to renewable energy sources, including solar and wind, alongside its traditional fossil fuel generation facilities, thereby contributing to Hawaii's ambitious clean energy goals.
How the Company Makes MoneyHawaiian Electric generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company's revenue model is based on regulated rates set by the Hawaii Public Utilities Commission, which allows HE to earn a return on its investments in infrastructure and energy generation. Key revenue streams include electricity sales, demand charges, and ancillary services related to grid management. Additionally, HE benefits from partnerships with renewable energy developers and government incentives aimed at promoting clean energy projects, which can enhance its revenue opportunities and align with state energy policies.

Hawaiian Electric Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 07, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a balanced outlook with significant progress in financial stability and wildfire safety measures, but also highlighted challenges such as decreased utility core net income and increased costs. The uncertainty in legislative and regulatory outcomes adds complexity to future planning.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Debt Issuance and Improved Liquidity
HEI improved its liquidity and financial flexibility through a successful $500 million unsecured debt issuance at Hawaiian Electric and increased credit facility capacity by a combined $225 million.
Progress on Wildfire Safety Strategy
Significant advancements in wildfire safety measures, including the deployment of weather stations and AI-assisted high-definition video cameras, and hiring an in-house meteorologist.
Tort Litigation Settlement Advancements
Progress towards the final court approval of the Maui wildfire tort litigation settlement agreement, with a hearing expected on January 8, 2026.
Utility Operational Risk Profile Strengthened
Enhanced utility operational risk profile with improved measures since the 2023 Maui wildfires.
Negative Updates
Decreased Utility Core Net Income
Utility core net income for the quarter was $39.6 million, down from $43.7 million in the third quarter of 2024, due to lower tax benefits, higher legal and consulting costs, and increased wildfire mitigation program expenses.
Increased Legal and Consulting Costs
Higher legal and consulting costs were incurred, which were deferred in 2024, impacting the financial results negatively.
Uncertain Legislative and Regulatory Outcomes
Pending outcomes related to the rate rebasing process and wildfire fund report, with uncertain impacts on future financials and regulatory approvals.
Company Guidance
During the HEI Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics and strategic updates were discussed. HEI reported a net income of $30.7 million, or $0.18 per share, including $4.5 million in pretax Maui wildfire-related expenses. Excluding these non-core items, consolidated core net income was $32.8 million, or $0.19 per share. Utility core net income was $39.6 million, a decrease from $43.7 million in the third quarter of 2024, mainly due to lower tax benefits and higher legal and consulting costs. The company improved its liquidity and financial flexibility with a $500 million unsecured debt offering and increased credit facility capacity. CapEx is projected to increase significantly, with 2025 CapEx expected to be approximately $400 million, and 2026 CapEx projected at $550 million to $700 million. The call also highlighted progress on initiatives such as the wildfire safety strategy and the Maui wildfire tort litigation settlement, with expectations for the first settlement payment no sooner than early 2026.

Hawaiian Electric Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hawaiian Electric faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues, low profitability, and high leverage. The income statement shows declining revenue and negative profit margins, while the balance sheet reveals high debt levels. Cash flow analysis indicates moderate cash generation but declining free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Hawaiian Electric's income statement shows declining revenue with a negative revenue growth rate of -5.07% TTM. The gross profit margin is low at 1.78%, and the net profit margin is negative at -4.05%, indicating challenges in profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also low, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.64 TTM, suggesting significant leverage. Return on equity is negative at -7.61%, indicating poor returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not provided, but the high leverage poses a risk to financial stability.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by -12.90% TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.36, indicating moderate cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.40, suggesting some cash flow challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.77B3.22B3.29B3.42B2.85B2.58B
Gross Profit230.56M-1.71B627.05M628.69M676.91M568.70M
EBITDA566.27M-1.39B561.31M553.65M670.62M599.06M
Net Income17.15M-1.42B199.24M241.14M246.17M197.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.81B8.93B17.24B16.28B16.07B15.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments548.24M750.53M244.09M1.63B326.76M376.08M
Total Debt2.99B3.33B3.24B3.43B2.60B2.50B
Total Liabilities7.22B7.42B14.86B14.08B13.64B12.87B
Stockholders Equity1.56B1.51B2.34B2.20B2.43B2.37B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow80.18M136.25M108.74M-1.53M61.15M45.51M
Operating Cash Flow421.24M465.73M551.47M327.93M375.67M429.41M
Investing Cash Flow45.02M-317.63M-257.40M-324.08M-1.18B-1.41B
Financing Cash Flow-260.11M-72.03M195.57M-19.86M756.40M1.12B

Hawaiian Electric Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.32
Price Trends
50DMA
11.44
Negative
100DMA
11.47
Negative
200DMA
11.04
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
40.67
Neutral
STOCH
39.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.51, below the 50-day MA of 11.44, and above the 200-day MA of 11.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HE.

Hawaiian Electric Risk Analysis

Hawaiian Electric disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Hawaiian Electric reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Hawaiian Electric Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$4.17B19.247.62%4.38%4.90%-4.42%
77
Outperform
$3.31B17.287.31%4.82%2.14%-6.51%
72
Outperform
$3.40B12.2416.10%2.58%-3.18%-8.62%
69
Neutral
$873.17M16.848.51%3.60%1.03%-0.78%
67
Neutral
$2.93B21.7410.80%2.31%8.26%12.47%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
52
Neutral
$1.95B14.917.14%-16.62%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HE
Hawaiian Electric
11.15
0.92
8.99%
AVA
Avista
39.44
3.78
10.60%
MGEE
MGE Energy
79.43
-21.15
-21.03%
NWE
Northwestern
67.11
15.66
30.44%
OTTR
Otter Tail
81.39
3.46
4.44%
UTL
Unitil
49.96
-6.81
-12.00%

Hawaiian Electric Corporate Events

Hawaiian Electric (HEI) Earnings Call Highlights Progress and Challenges
Nov 11, 2025

Hawaiian Electric Industries, Inc. (HEI) recently conducted its earnings call, presenting a balanced outlook that highlighted significant progress in financial stability and wildfire safety measures. However, the call also underscored challenges, including a decrease in utility core net income and increased costs. The uncertainty in legislative and regulatory outcomes adds complexity to the company’s future planning.

Hawaiian Electric Industries Reports Q3 2025 Earnings
Nov 8, 2025

Hawaiian Electric Industries, Inc. (HEI) is a prominent utility company in Hawaii, supplying power to approximately 95% of the state’s population and focusing on decarbonization and grid modernization to enhance resilience and safety.

Private Placements and Financing
Hawaiian Electric Issues $500M Senior Notes
Neutral
Sep 18, 2025

On September 18, 2025, Hawaiian Electric announced the issuance of $500 million in 6.000% Senior Notes due in 2033. The proceeds will be used for capital expenditures and debt repayment, with covenants limiting asset liens and major structural changes.

The most recent analyst rating on (HE) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hawaiian Electric stock, see the HE Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Hawaiian Electric Prices $500M Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Sep 11, 2025

On September 11, 2025, Hawaiian Electric Industries announced the pricing of $500 million in 6.000% Senior Notes due in 2033. The proceeds from this offering will be used to finance capital expenditures and repay existing debts, with the offering expected to close on September 18, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (HE) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hawaiian Electric stock, see the HE Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Hawaiian Electric Amends Credit Facilities, Boosts Commitments
Neutral
Sep 8, 2025

On September 5, 2025, Hawaiian Electric Industries, Inc. and Hawaiian Electric Company, Inc. amended their senior unsecured revolving credit facilities, increasing their available commitments to $300 million each. Additionally, Hawaiian Electric and its subsidiaries announced the redemption of all outstanding series of cumulative preferred stock, expected to occur on October 15, 2025, using cash on hand to fund these redemptions.

The most recent analyst rating on (HE) stock is a Hold with a $12.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Hawaiian Electric stock, see the HE Stock Forecast page.

Hawaiian Electric Industries Earnings Call Highlights Progress and Challenges
Aug 12, 2025

Hawaiian Electric Industries, Inc. (HEI) recently held its earnings call, revealing a sentiment of cautious optimism. The company highlighted significant legislative and financial progress, including legislative support and credit rating upgrades. Despite challenges such as wildfire-related expenses impacting financials and a slight decrease in utility core net income, the overall outlook suggests a stronger future for HEI.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025