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HASI (HASI)
:HASI

HASI (HASI) AI Stock Analysis

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HA

HASI

(NYSE:HASI)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$28.00
▲( 10.80% Upside)
HASI's overall score is driven by strong financial performance, particularly in revenue growth and profitability. The positive earnings call further supports the score with record investments and reaffirmed guidance. However, technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, and cash flow challenges need addressing. The stock's valuation is fair, and recent board changes could enhance strategic governance.
Positive Factors
Dividend
Dividend yield remains attractive at 7%.
Financial Performance
The 1Q results beat expectations, showing resilience despite policy uncertainty and market challenges.
Investment Strategy
CCH1, HASI’s investment vehicle, exceeded $1B in funding and plans to increase capacity, boosting portfolio yields and ROE.
Negative Factors
Growth Challenges
HASI's pipeline has remained at the $5.5B level since Q1'24, with no new asset class or international transactions progressing far enough to be included.
Policy Uncertainty
Uncertainty regarding expected IRA reform remains top of mind as investors await text on reconciliation from Congress.

HASI (HASI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

HASI Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. provides capital and services to the energy efficiency, renewable energy, and other sustainable infrastructure markets in the United States. The company's projects include building or facility that reduce energy usage or cost through the use of solar generation and energy storage or energy efficiency improvements, including heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems (HVAC), as well as lighting, energy controls, roofs, windows, building shells, and/or combined heat and power systems. It also focuses in the areas of grid connected projects that deploy cleaner energy sources, such as solar and wind to generate power; and other sustainable infrastructure projects, including upgraded transmission or distribution systems, water and storm water infrastructures, and other projects. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for U.S. federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Annapolis, Maryland.
How the Company Makes MoneyHASI generates revenue through a diverse range of financial products and services tailored to support climate-positive projects. The company earns money primarily through interest and principal repayments on debt investments, rental income from owned assets, and income from equity investments. HASI often enters into long-term contracts with its clients, which provides a stable and predictable income stream. Additionally, the company leverages its expertise in the sustainable infrastructure sector to form strategic partnerships, enhancing its investment opportunities and expanding its market reach. Through these financial activities, HASI capitalizes on the growing demand for environmentally sustainable projects and infrastructure, thereby driving its profitability.

HASI Financial Statement Overview

Summary
HASI demonstrates robust financial performance with strong revenue growth and profitability metrics. The balance sheet is solid, showing no debt and a healthy equity position. However, cash flow challenges need attention to sustain growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
HASI has shown a solid improvement in revenue, with a 19.89% growth from the previous year. The gross profit margin is strong at 78.83%, and the net profit margin is robust at 52.14%. EBIT and EBITDA margins both stand at an impressive 70.21%. The company demonstrates strong profitability metrics, indicating efficient operations, although the historical negative gross profit figures call for careful future analysis.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 33.96%, indicating a stable financial structure. HASI has no total debt as of the latest report, significantly improving its debt-to-equity ratio, which is now zero. The return on equity (ROE) is healthy at 8.32%, suggesting effective use of equity capital. The company’s financial stability is bolstered by the absence of debt, but historical leverage must be monitored.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant decrease in free cash flow from the previous year, impacting the growth rate negatively. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 0.03, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is manageable at 0.03. Overall, the cash flow position shows potential for improvement despite current constraints.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
383.60M319.87M155.47M217.88M142.69M
Gross Profit
302.28M255.53M-63.29B-52.76B-37.62B
EBIT
269.37M224.24M164.44M143.74M79.64M
EBITDA
0.00224.24M146.36M140.28M0.00
Net Income Common Stockholders
200.04M148.84M41.50M126.58M82.42M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
129.76M74.63M155.71M226.20M286.25M
Total Assets
7.08B6.55B4.76B4.15B3.46B
Total Debt
0.004.23B2.98B2.49B2.19B
Net Debt
-129.76M4.16B2.82B2.27B1.90B
Total Liabilities
4.68B4.41B3.10B2.49B2.25B
Stockholders Equity
2.34B2.09B1.63B1.54B1.20B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
5.85M99.69M230.00K13.31M73.28M
Operating Cash Flow
5.85M99.69M230.00K13.31M73.28M
Investing Cash Flow
-131.19M-1.99B-592.11M-703.40M-831.65M
Financing Cash Flow
200.41M1.79B516.78M630.84M962.12M

HASI Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price25.27
Price Trends
50DMA
26.55
Negative
100DMA
27.07
Negative
200DMA
28.96
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Positive
RSI
41.67
Neutral
STOCH
18.47
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HASI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 25.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.42, below the 50-day MA of 26.55, and below the 200-day MA of 28.96, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.47 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HASI.

HASI Risk Analysis

HASI disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. HASI reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Our charter and bylaws, as well as Delaware law, contain provisions that could discourage acquisition bids or merger proposals, which may adversely affect the market price our common stock. Q4, 2024
2.
Our charter designates the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware as the sole and exclusive forum for certain types of actions and proceedings that may be initiated by our stockholders, which could limit our stockholders' ability to obtain a favorable judicial forum for disputes with us or our directors, officers, employees or agents. Q4, 2024
3.
We cannot guarantee the timing, amount, or payment of dividends on our common stock. Q4, 2024

HASI Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
EPEPR
77
Outperform
$4.01B32.156.25%6.50%0.69%-19.22%
NHNHI
76
Outperform
$3.38B23.0010.56%4.97%7.44%4.23%
68
Neutral
$3.06B25.155.73%6.59%5.09%-49.85%
BNBNL
67
Neutral
$2.92B26.013.79%7.50%0.73%-37.65%
63
Neutral
$3.21B-2.06%10.84%-20.46%-1436.71%
PCPCH
62
Neutral
$3.01B63.242.31%4.70%10.86%6.72%
60
Neutral
$2.76B10.330.49%8507.90%5.95%-17.56%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HASI
HASI
25.27
-5.63
-18.22%
NHI
National Health Investors
72.47
10.81
17.53%
PCH
PotlatchDeltic
38.28
-2.74
-6.68%
EPR
EPR Properties
52.76
15.16
40.32%
BXMT
Blackstone Mortgage
18.73
3.35
21.78%
BNL
Broadstone Net Lease
15.46
1.51
10.82%

HASI Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.94%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong quarter with record-breaking new investments and solid financial performance, despite existing market and policy uncertainties. The company's robust liquidity, strategic partnerships, and reaffirmed growth guidance highlight its resilience and positive outlook. However, some challenges remain, such as lower gain on sale income and macroeconomic uncertainties.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking New Investments
HASI closed over $700 million of new investments in Q1 2025, marking the most active first quarter of new originations in the company's history, with an average yield greater than 10.5%.
Strong Liquidity Position
The company has over $1.3 billion in available liquidity, which is crucial for capitalizing on investment opportunities during periods of market volatility.
Ongoing Growth and Resilience
Adjusted earnings per share grew to $0.64, and HASI reaffirmed its guidance of 8% to 10% compound annual growth in adjusted EPS through 2027, citing a robust business model resilient to economic cycles.
Successful Co-Investment Vehicle with KKR
The CCH1 co-investment vehicle with KKR has a funded balance of $1 billion, and its investment period has been extended until Q4 2026.
12% Increase in Managed Assets
Managed assets increased by 12% year-over-year, driven by significant investments in residential solar and public sector energy efficiency.
Reaffirmed Investment Grade Rating
Moody’s recently reaffirmed HASI’s investment grade rating, highlighting the company's strong financial position.
Negative Updates
Market and Policy Uncertainty
Despite strong performance, HASI operates under heightened policy and economic uncertainty, with a GDP contraction in Q1 2025 and increased likelihood of a 2025 recession.
Lower Gain on Sale Income
Gain on sale and other income were lower at $24 million compared to $30 million in the previous year due to higher than normal activity in the prior year.
Company Guidance
During HASI's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance indicating robust business activity with a record first quarter of new originations totaling over $700 million at an average yield exceeding 10.5%. They reported an adjusted earnings per share of $0.64 and maintained a strong liquidity position with over $1.3 billion available. HASI reaffirmed their guidance for 8% to 10% compound annual growth in adjusted EPS through 2027, attributing their resilience to a diverse funding strategy, including their CCH1 partnership, investment-grade ratings, and a supportive bank group. Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, including tariffs and potential recessions, the company anticipates minimal impact on their operations. They highlighted a 12% year-over-year increase in managed assets and noted that their pipeline remains strong across various sectors, driven by increasing demand for clean energy solutions.

HASI Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
HASI Expands Board with Two New Directors
Positive
Apr 14, 2025

On April 8, 2025, HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. announced the election of Barry E. Welch and Laura A. Schulte as new independent directors to its Board of Directors, effective April 15, 2025. This expansion of the board by two directors is expected to enhance the company’s strategic direction, with Mr. Welch bringing extensive experience in renewable energy and finance, and Ms. Schulte offering significant expertise in the banking industry. Both directors are considered independent under NYSE standards and will contribute to various board committees, potentially strengthening the company’s governance and operational oversight.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.