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HASI (HASI)
NYSE:HASI

HASI (HASI) AI Stock Analysis

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HASI

HASI

(NYSE:HASI)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$37.00
▲(5.32% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial quality—strong reported growth/profitability but meaningfully weakened by negative operating/free cash flow and leverage risk. Valuation is supportive (moderate P/E and high dividend yield), while technicals are only mildly positive due to weak near-term momentum despite an intact longer-term trend. Earnings call and corporate events add optimism via reaffirmed growth guidance and improved funding flexibility, tempered by higher debt costs.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth and high gross margins indicate robust business expansion and efficient cost management, supporting long-term profitability.
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with KKR enhances HASI's investment capacity, enabling efficient capital deployment into sustainable projects, supporting growth.
Managed Assets Growth
Growth in managed assets reflects effective investment strategies and positions HASI for continued expansion in the sustainable infrastructure sector.
Negative Factors
Leverage Risk
High leverage can increase financial risk, particularly if interest rates rise, potentially impacting HASI's financial stability and flexibility.
Cash Flow Challenges
Weak cash flow performance indicates potential liquidity issues, as earnings are not translating into cash, affecting operational sustainability.
Higher Cost of Debt
Rising debt costs can pressure profit margins and limit financial flexibility, especially in a rising interest rate environment.

HASI (HASI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

HASI Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. engages in investing in climate solutions and the provision of capital to assets developed by companies in energy efficiency, renewable energy, and other sustainable infrastructure markets. It focuses on Behind the Meter, Grid-Connected, Fuels, Transport, and Nature climate solutions. The company was founded on November 7, 2012 and is headquartered in Annapolis, MD.
How the Company Makes MoneyHASI generates revenue primarily through its investment activities in sustainable infrastructure projects. The company earns income from interest and dividends on its investments, which include loans and equity in renewable energy projects. Additionally, HASI generates revenue through management fees associated with its investment funds and capital raised from institutional investors. The company also benefits from tax incentives and credits associated with renewable energy investments, further enhancing its profitability. Key partnerships with project developers and governmental entities enable HASI to identify and finance high-quality projects, contributing significantly to its earnings.

HASI Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, significant investment growth, and strategic achievements, such as a milestone investment in a large clean energy project. However, challenges like higher debt costs and dependency on interest rate strategies were noted. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negatives, indicating a favorable outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Adjusted EPS
HASI reported a record quarterly adjusted EPS of $0.80 for Q3 2025, driven by strong growth in all components of revenue.
Significant Investment Growth
Closed more than $650 million of new transactions in Q3, totaling $1.5 billion year-to-date, with a $1.2 billion investment closed in early Q4, on track to exceed $3 billion for 2025, up over 30% year-over-year.
Strong Managed Assets Growth
Managed assets grew 15% year-over-year to $15 billion, with portfolio yields at 8.6%, up from 8.3% last quarter.
New Milestone Investment
Announced a $1.2 billion structured equity investment in a major clean energy infrastructure project, marking a milestone in the company's ability to participate in larger transactions.
Minimal Realized Loss Rates
Maintained a low annual realized loss rate of under 10 basis points, underscoring the predictability and effectiveness of underwriting investment opportunities.
Negative Updates
Higher Cost of Debt
Despite refinancing efforts, the cost of debt increased by 10 basis points to 5.9% in Q3 due to higher market rates.
Dependency on Interest Rate Environment
Continued reliance on interest rate hedging strategies to maintain profit margins amid rising interest rates.
Company Guidance
During HASI's Q3 2025 earnings call, the company highlighted several key metrics and reaffirmed its guidance. HASI reported a record adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.80 for the quarter, driven by strong growth across all revenue components. Year-to-date, the adjusted recurring net investment income increased by 27% compared to the previous year, while managed assets rose by 15% year-over-year to $15 billion. The company also experienced significant growth in its adjusted return on equity (ROE), which rose to 13.4%. HASI reaffirmed its guidance for 8% to 10% compound annual EPS growth through 2027, expecting approximately 10% adjusted EPS growth in 2025. Furthermore, the company closed over $650 million in new transactions in Q3 and announced a significant $1.2 billion structured equity investment in a major clean energy infrastructure project, positioning it to exceed $3 billion in total investments for the year, marking more than a 30% increase year-over-year.

HASI Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (25.08% TTM revenue growth and 73.39% gross margin) is offset by balance sheet leverage risk (still high debt-to-equity) and weak cash generation (negative operating and free cash flow in TTM, with earnings not translating into cash).
Income Statement
75
Positive
HASI shows strong revenue growth with a 25.08% increase in TTM, indicating robust business expansion. The gross profit margin is high at 73.39%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin appears unusually high at 80.52%, suggesting potential one-time gains or accounting adjustments. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, but the EBIT margin seems inflated, possibly due to non-operational income.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio has improved from previous years, indicating better leverage management, but remains high, posing a risk if interest rates rise. Return on equity is decent at 12.40%, showing effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow performance is weak, with negative operating and free cash flows in TTM, indicating potential liquidity issues. The free cash flow growth rate is significantly negative, highlighting cash management challenges. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is zero, suggesting earnings are not translating into cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue843.08M631.47M460.85M271.03M339.59M234.87M
Gross Profit565.61M389.11M289.84M155.47M217.88M142.69M
EBITDA432.43M274.83M185.50M53.28M148.31M83.56M
Net Income308.40M200.04M148.84M41.50M126.58M82.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.20B7.08B6.55B4.76B4.15B3.46B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments301.82M129.76M62.63M155.71M226.20M286.25M
Total Debt5.19B4.40B4.25B2.98B2.49B2.19B
Total Liabilities5.52B4.68B4.41B3.10B2.58B2.25B
Stockholders Equity2.60B2.34B2.09B1.63B1.54B1.20B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-91.56M5.85M99.69M230.00K13.31M73.28M
Operating Cash Flow-91.56M5.85M99.69M230.00K13.31M73.28M
Investing Cash Flow-696.25M-131.19M-1.99B-592.11M-703.40M-831.65M
Financing Cash Flow1.05B200.41M1.79B516.78M630.84M962.12M

HASI Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.13
Price Trends
50DMA
33.01
Positive
100DMA
31.09
Positive
200DMA
28.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.60
Negative
RSI
65.20
Neutral
STOCH
77.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HASI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.57, above the 50-day MA of 33.01, and above the 200-day MA of 28.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HASI.

HASI Risk Analysis

HASI disclosed 56 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. HASI reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

HASI Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$3.37B10.7815.21%10.00%-15.32%-12.29%
73
Outperform
$3.43B13.97%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$2.97B4.0697.70%10.18%-2.51%17.47%
66
Neutral
$4.36B15.0612.58%5.09%4.91%29.53%
63
Neutral
$3.26B15.902.86%1.41%150.35%
52
Neutral
$2.31B10.219.03%3.15%4.51%-8.29%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HASI
HASI
34.41
7.94
29.98%
GNW
Genworth Financial
8.34
1.11
15.35%
HTGC
Hercules Capital
18.53
-0.61
-3.19%
KMPR
Kemper
39.41
-26.72
-40.41%
WU
Western Union
9.37
0.06
0.64%
AHL
Aspen Insurance Holdings Ltd Class A
37.33
2.87
8.33%

HASI Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
HASI Expands CarbonCount Revolving Credit Facility Capacity
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

On December 22, 2025, HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. amended its existing four-year unsecured CarbonCount-based revolving credit facility, originally established in April 2024 and previously amended several times, with JPMorgan Chase Bank as administrative agent and Natixis and The Bank of Nova Scotia as lenders. The fifth amendment partially exercised the facility’s accordion feature to raise the available revolving commitments by $175 million, increasing total capacity from $1.65 billion to $1.825 billion, which enhances the company’s financing flexibility to support additional sustainable infrastructure investments and reinforces its funding position in the green finance market.

The most recent analyst rating on (HASI) stock is a Buy with a $47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HASI stock, see the HASI Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
HASI Expands Credit Facility by $100 Million
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

On December 9, 2025, HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. amended its credit agreement to increase its revolving credit facility from $1.550 billion to $1.650 billion. This expansion, facilitated through the accordion feature, enhances the company’s financial flexibility, potentially strengthening its market position and ability to support sustainable projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (HASI) stock is a Buy with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HASI stock, see the HASI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
HASI Issues $500M Green Notes for Sustainable Projects
Positive
Nov 20, 2025

On November 20, 2025, HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. issued $500 million in 8.000% Green Junior Subordinated Notes due 2056. The proceeds are intended to repay portions of the company’s unsecured revolving credit facility and commercial paper programs, and to invest in eligible green projects. The issuance is part of the company’s strategy to finance sustainable projects, potentially impacting its financial structure and market positioning by enhancing its green investment portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (HASI) stock is a Buy with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HASI stock, see the HASI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
HASI Announces $500M Green Notes Issuance Agreement
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

On November 13, 2025, HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. announced an agreement to issue $500 million in Green Junior Subordinated Notes due 2056, with the sale expected to close on November 20, 2025. The proceeds from this offering will be used to repay outstanding borrowings and invest in eligible green projects, enhancing the company’s focus on sustainability and potentially strengthening its market position in the green finance sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (HASI) stock is a Buy with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HASI stock, see the HASI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
HASI Launches Green Notes Offering to Boost Investments
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

On November 13, 2025, HASI announced the commencement of a registered offering of Green Junior Subordinated Notes due 2056, aimed at lowering its cost of capital and reducing future common stock issuances. The proceeds from the notes are expected to fund new investments while limiting common stock issuances, enhancing HASI’s operational efficiency and strategic positioning in the sustainable infrastructure market. This move aligns with the company’s strategy to capitalize on growing demand for clean energy infrastructure, driven by trends such as increased U.S. power demand and a focus on low-cost energy sources.

The most recent analyst rating on (HASI) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on HASI stock, see the HASI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 31, 2025