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Gossamer Bio (GOSS)
NASDAQ:GOSS
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Gossamer Bio (GOSS) AI Stock Analysis

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GOSS

Gossamer Bio

(NASDAQ:GOSS)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$0.19
▼(-58.89% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/19/26
The score is weighed down primarily by weak financial performance (large losses, significant cash burn, and negative equity) and a strongly bearish technical setup with the stock far below major moving averages. The latest earnings call adds some support via a clearer regulatory plan and cost/debt actions, but near-term runway and regulatory/execution risks remain high; valuation contributes limited support due to negative earnings and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Clinical efficacy & mechanistic imaging
Robust Phase III signals and CT FRI mechanistic data provide enduring scientific evidence tying structural lung improvements to clinical benefit. This strengthens the regulatory narrative, supports subgroup differentiation, and raises the long-term probability of an approvable label and targeted commercial value in defined PAH segments.
Negative Factors
Negative equity and high leverage
Eroded equity and substantial debt materially weaken financial flexibility. Persistent negative net worth amplifies dilution risk in future financings, strengthens creditor bargaining positions, and constrains the company's ability to invest in commercial scale-up or absorb trial setbacks without onerous capital solutions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Clinical efficacy & mechanistic imaging
Robust Phase III signals and CT FRI mechanistic data provide enduring scientific evidence tying structural lung improvements to clinical benefit. This strengthens the regulatory narrative, supports subgroup differentiation, and raises the long-term probability of an approvable label and targeted commercial value in defined PAH segments.
Read all positive factors

Gossamer Bio (GOSS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gossamer Bio Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Gossamer Bio, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering, acquiring, developing, and commercializing therapeutics in the disease areas of immunology, inflammation, and oncology in the United States. The company is dev...
How the Company Makes Money
As a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, Gossamer Bio has historically not had recurring revenue from marketed products; instead, it has funded operations primarily through external financing and, where applicable, collaboration-related paym...

Gossamer Bio Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 18, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed but constructive picture: clinically meaningful efficacy signals (including a traditional statistical threshold for 6MWD), supportive mechanistic CT FRI data across multiple lung compartments with clinical correlations, and decisive capital actions (debt reduction plan and cost containment) to preserve runway and focus on an NDA path. Counterbalancing these positives were key execution risks — the primary endpoint did not meet the prespecified alpha, a substantial workforce reduction was implemented, cash runway is short ($99M to Q1 2027), and the debt exchange depends on high noteholder participation and involves tradeoffs. Overall, the tone is cautious and pragmatic, emphasizing strengthened conviction in the program but acknowledging material near-term financial and regulatory risks.
Positive Updates
Clinical Efficacy: 6-Minute Walk Distance Improvement
PROSERA Phase III showed a placebo-adjusted improvement of 13.3 meters in 6-minute walk distance (6MWD) at week 24: seralutinib improved 28.2 m from baseline vs 13.5 m for placebo (p = 0.032). The result met the traditional 0.05 significance threshold.
Negative Updates
Missed Prespecified Statistical Threshold
While the primary 6MWD p-value was 0.032 (meeting p<0.05), it did not meet the prespecified alpha of 0.025 required by the study design, creating regulatory and interpretive uncertainty for the primary endpoint.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Clinical Efficacy: 6-Minute Walk Distance Improvement
PROSERA Phase III showed a placebo-adjusted improvement of 13.3 meters in 6-minute walk distance (6MWD) at week 24: seralutinib improved 28.2 m from baseline vs 13.5 m for placebo (p = 0.032). The result met the traditional 0.05 significance threshold.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company provided clear near‑term regulatory, clinical and financial guidance: a Type B pre‑NDA meeting (in‑person; briefing book submitted after an April 2026 request) is scheduled for mid‑June 2026 and the NDA submission target remains September 2026 (pathway: one adequate and well‑controlled study + confirmatory evidence from PROSERA and TORREY), with a potential approval in Q3 2027 if the meeting proceeds as expected; clinically, PROSERA showed a placebo‑adjusted 6‑minute walk distance benefit of 13.3 m at week 24 (seralutinib +28.2 m vs placebo +13.5 m; p=0.032, did not meet prespecified alpha 0.025), all four key secondaries favored seralutinib, a stronger effect was seen in a prespecified risk‑enriched subgroup, and the CT FRI substudy enrolled 162 patients with 125 evaluable paired scans at week 24 showing statistically significant multi‑compartment arterial, venous, fibrosis‑like and complexity remodeling signals; financially, cash and marketable securities totaled $99M as of March 31, 2026 with runway to Q1 2027, the company has cut operating expenses (including a reduction in force affecting ~50% of staff) and proposes a convertible note exchange that would reduce convertible debt from $200M to $72M (a $128M reduction), extend maturity to 2030, issue new secured notes bearing 7.5% cash interest paid semiannually secured by a first‑priority lien, and requires minimum 98% participation (may be waived).

Gossamer Bio Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite TTM revenue growth (+14.6%) and strong gross margin (~69%), financial health is dominated by very large losses (TTM net income -$180.4M; deeply negative EBIT/net margins), heavy ongoing cash burn (TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow both -$170.3M), and a weakened balance sheet with negative equity (-$161.5M) alongside ~$202M of debt—raising funding and solvency risk.
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Cash Flow
16
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue55.54M48.47M114.70M0.000.000.00
Gross Profit55.30M47.47M114.70M0.000.000.00
EBITDA-169.76M-162.25M-39.97M-161.92M-211.07M-209.40M
Net Income-180.40M-170.37M-56.53M-179.82M-229.38M-234.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets128.90M172.25M315.29M311.92M272.45M343.66M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments99.22M136.93M294.52M296.43M255.68M325.22M
Total Debt202.93M201.97M202.88M212.46M225.74M185.24M
Total Liabilities290.38M295.01M285.80M249.15M260.37M222.19M
Stockholders Equity-161.48M-122.76M29.49M62.77M12.08M121.46M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-170.32M-171.34M-3.47M-159.16M-187.51M-190.51M
Operating Cash Flow-170.26M-171.27M-3.47M-159.16M-187.03M-188.89M
Investing Cash Flow175.90M156.36M29.02M-110.97M-1.03M-117.43M
Financing Cash Flow6.43M6.42M-11.49M190.15M117.09M3.33M

Gossamer Bio Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.45
Price Trends
50DMA
0.34
Negative
100DMA
1.04
Negative
200DMA
1.91
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Negative
RSI
35.76
Neutral
STOCH
35.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GOSS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.28, above the 50-day MA of 0.34, and below the 200-day MA of 1.91, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 35.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GOSS.

Gossamer Bio Risk Analysis

Gossamer Bio disclosed 79 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gossamer Bio reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gossamer Bio Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
58
Neutral
$1.52B-16.92-24.50%-0.43%
53
Neutral
$807.68M-10.79-36.61%-75.91%-173.33%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
$1.04B-10.17-87.19%-12.97%
43
Neutral
$51.14M174.85%-55.42%-248.85%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GOSS
Gossamer Bio
0.23
-0.88
-79.28%
CTMX
CytomX Therapeutics
3.60
0.95
35.85%
SVRA
Savara
5.20
2.92
128.07%
MBX
MBX Biosciences, Inc.
31.47
19.05
153.38%

Gossamer Bio Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingProduct-Related Announcements
Gossamer Bio Restructures Debt and Advances Seralutinib Program
Positive
May 18, 2026
On May 18, 2026, Gossamer Bio said it had entered a transaction support agreement with holders of about 75.2% of its 5.00% convertible senior notes due 2027, backing a complex exchange offer that would swap the existing notes into equity, new 7.50...
Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Gossamer Bio Receives Nasdaq Minimum Bid Price Deficiency Notice
Negative
Apr 9, 2026
On April 8, 2026, Gossamer Bio disclosed that it received a Nasdaq notice stating its shares failed to meet the $1.00 minimum bid price requirement for 30 consecutive business days from February 24 through April 7, 2026, though the notice does not...
Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Gossamer Bio Reveals Mixed Phase 3 Seralutinib Results
Negative
Feb 23, 2026
On February 23, 2026, Gossamer Bio reported topline Phase 3 PROSERA data showing that seralutinib did not meet the prespecified statistical threshold on its primary endpoint of six&#8209;minute walk distance at Week 24 in the overall pulmonary art...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 19, 2026