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CytomX Therapeutics Inc (CTMX)
NASDAQ:CTMX

CytomX Therapeutics (CTMX) AI Stock Analysis

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CytomX Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:CTMX)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(11.11%Upside)
CytomX Therapeutics demonstrates strong technical momentum and an attractive valuation, contributing positively to its score. The company's ability to regain Nasdaq compliance and secure significant funding also boosts its financial stability and market confidence. However, financial performance is weighed down by balance sheet weaknesses and cash flow challenges, which present ongoing risks.
Positive Factors
Clinical Data
CytomX reported highly encouraging clinical data for its masked EpCAM ProBody Topo-1 ADC, CX-2051 in patients with late-line colorectal cancer.
Corporate Strategy
Cost reductions due to restructuring initiatives and focused pipeline prioritization are expected to extend CytomX's cash runway into 2Q26.
Financial Performance
CytomX reported its FY2024 financials, recording a net profit of $0.38 per share for the period vs. prior estimate of net profit of $0.14 per share.
Negative Factors
Clinical Risks
Risks include emergence of unexpected side effects with CX-904, CX-2051, CX-801, or probody T-cell bispecifics in future clinical data.
Clinical Trial Delays
Risks include clinical trial delays and failure to generate favorable clinical data, particularly with CX-2051 in CRC.
Pipeline Setbacks
CX-904 discontinuation adds to history of pipeline setbacks.

CytomX Therapeutics (CTMX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CytomX Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCytomX Therapeutics (CTMX) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing novel cancer immunotherapies. The company specializes in the development of conditionally activated therapeutics, utilizing its proprietary Probody technology platform. This platform aims to improve the therapeutic window of antibodies, reducing off-target toxicity and enhancing the efficacy of cancer treatments. CytomX is headquartered in South San Francisco, California, and is dedicated to creating transformative therapies for patients with difficult-to-treat cancers.
How the Company Makes MoneyCytomX Therapeutics makes money primarily through partnerships, collaborations, and licensing agreements with larger pharmaceutical companies. These partnerships often involve upfront payments, milestone payments, and potential royalties on future product sales. CytomX collaborates with companies like Bristol-Myers Squibb and AbbVie, leveraging its Probody platform to develop innovative cancer treatments. Additionally, the company may also receive grant funding and research support from various institutions. These revenue streams are crucial for funding their research and development activities, as CytomX is still in the clinical stage and does not yet have products generating direct sales revenue.

CytomX Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 190.32%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in advancing clinical programs and strong financial performance, especially through strategic partnerships and increased revenue. However, challenges include the discontinuation of CX-904 and a decrease in cash reserves. Overall, the positive aspects slightly outweigh the negatives.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Advancement of Clinical Programs
In 2024, CytomX advanced two new programs, CX-2051 and CX-801, into the clinic, prioritizing these programs and streamlining the organization to extend the cash runway to Q2 2026.
Financial Performance
Total revenue for 2024 was $138.1 million, up from $101.2 million in 2023, attributed to collaborations with BMS, Moderna, Astellas, and Regeneron.
Pipeline Progress and Strategic Partnerships
CytomX achieved a $5 million milestone payment from Astellas and continues progress with partnerships involving Bristol Myers Squibb, Amgen, Moderna, and Regeneron.
Negative Updates
Discontinuation of CX-904 Development
CytomX and Amgen jointly decided not to continue the development of CX-904 due to clinical observations and respective priorities.
Decrease in Cash Reserves
Cash reserves decreased from $174.5 million at the end of 2023 to $100.6 million at the end of 2024, despite the extension of the cash runway.
Company Guidance
In the fourth quarter of 2024 financial results call, CytomX Therapeutics provided detailed guidance on their pipeline progress and financial outlook. They highlighted the advancement of two new clinical programs, CX-2051 and CX-801, prioritizing these to optimize resource allocation and extending their cash runway to the second quarter of 2026. They aim to generate initial clinical data for both programs in 2025, with CX-2051 targeting colorectal cancer as a first-in-class ADC and CX-801 as a next-generation targeted immunotherapy. Financially, the company reported $138.1 million in revenue for 2024, an increase from $101.2 million in 2023, and ended the year with $100.6 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, compared to $174.5 million in 2023. The increase in revenue was attributed to collaborations with companies like Bristol Myers Squibb and Moderna. Total operating expenses for 2024 were $113.1 million, slightly up from $107.7 million in 2023, primarily due to a milestone payment to AbbVie.

CytomX Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CytomX Therapeutics experienced positive revenue growth and significant improvements in profitability margins, indicating a turnaround in operational performance. However, financial stability is a concern due to negative equity and persistent cash flow difficulties, presenting substantial risks to sustainability.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
CytomX Therapeutics showed a positive revenue growth rate from 2023 to 2024, with total revenue increasing from $101.21 million to $138.10 million, representing a growth rate of approximately 36.4%. The gross profit margin remained strong at 100% due to no cost of goods sold. However, the net profit margin improved significantly in 2024, reaching approximately 23.1%, compared to a negative margin in 2023. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also turned positive, indicating improved operational efficiency. Despite these improvements, historical volatility and past losses present a risk.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a concerning negative equity position in 2024, with stockholders' equity at -$456,000, indicating liabilities exceed assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity, but total debt decreased over the year. The equity ratio is negative, which poses a significant risk to financial stability. This indicates potential solvency issues despite reducing total debt.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement shows a deterioration in free cash flow from -$56.88 million in 2023 to -$86.54 million in 2024, indicating a decline in cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting challenges in converting income into cash. Free cash flow to net income is also negative, highlighting cash flow difficulties despite positive net income in 2024. The high variability in cash flows suggests potential liquidity issues.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
147.56M138.10M101.21M53.16M69.57M100.36M
Gross Profit
147.56M138.10M101.21M47.31M63.73M100.36M
EBIT
35.96M25.00M-6.48M-101.33M-83.78M-48.60M
EBITDA
37.65M26.76M-4.31M-98.89M-113.34M-77.97M
Net Income Common Stockholders
41.60M31.87M-569.00K-97.30M-80.65M-32.88M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
396.60M100.62M174.51M193.65M305.23M316.12M
Total Assets
444.51M120.53M201.79M260.89M339.41M358.66M
Total Debt
29.55M9.38M13.97M18.06M18.06M24.87M
Net Debt
-160.85M-28.67M-3.20M-175.59M-187.47M-166.99M
Total Liabilities
321.94M120.99M249.24M346.64M250.03M308.86M
Stockholders Equity
122.57M-456.00K-47.45M-85.75M89.38M49.80M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-81.54M-86.54M-56.88M-112.53M-120.64M2.95M
Operating Cash Flow
-81.23M-86.23M-56.03M-110.79M-119.03M5.26M
Investing Cash Flow
85.41M99.70M-150.67M98.26M22.49M-18.72M
Financing Cash Flow
7.35M7.52M30.23M648.00K110.21M16.89M

CytomX Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.70
Price Trends
50DMA
1.39
Positive
100DMA
1.07
Positive
200DMA
1.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.36
Positive
RSI
68.49
Neutral
STOCH
70.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CTMX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.36, above the 50-day MA of 1.39, and above the 200-day MA of 1.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 68.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CTMX.

CytomX Therapeutics Risk Analysis

CytomX Therapeutics disclosed 73 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CytomX Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CytomX Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$415.92M5.31-58.97%23.81%146.45%
55
Neutral
$105.79M-196.81%
54
Neutral
$5.37B3.35-45.10%2.79%16.77%-0.01%
50
Neutral
$77.25M-119.22%25.51%
CUCUE
43
Neutral
$47.74M-221.66%13.83%37.66%
36
Underperform
$40.13M-62.41%10.84%
35
Underperform
$50.68M-68.14%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CTMX
CytomX Therapeutics
2.70
1.21
81.21%
PDSB
PDS Biotechnology
1.68
-1.25
-42.66%
CUE
Cue Biopharma
0.64
-0.86
-57.33%
ACRV
Acrivon Therapeutics, Inc.
1.28
-6.27
-83.05%
GUTS
Fractyl Health, Inc.
2.16
-3.94
-64.59%
ARTV
Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc.
2.08
-9.69
-82.33%

CytomX Therapeutics Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
CytomX Regains Nasdaq Compliance, Stabilizes Market Position
Positive
May 28, 2025

CytomX Therapeutics announced that it has regained compliance with the Nasdaq’s Minimum Bid Price Requirement after its stock price closed at $1.00 or greater for 10 consecutive trading days as of May 23, 2025. This resolution of the compliance issue stabilizes the company’s market position and avoids potential delisting, which is crucial for maintaining investor confidence and operational stability.

The most recent analyst rating on (CTMX) stock is a Buy with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CytomX Therapeutics stock, see the CTMX Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
CytomX Therapeutics Secures $93.4 Million Through Stock Sale
Positive
May 13, 2025

On May 12, 2025, CytomX Therapeutics entered into an underwriting agreement with Jefferies LLC and Piper Sandler & Co. for the sale of 76,923,076 shares of common stock at $1.30 per share, resulting in estimated net proceeds of $93.4 million. The funds are intended for research and development, general corporate purposes, and working capital needs, potentially strengthening CytomX’s position in the biotechnology sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (CTMX) stock is a Buy with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CytomX Therapeutics stock, see the CTMX Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CytomX Therapeutics Reports Positive Interim Phase 1 Data
Positive
May 12, 2025

On May 12, 2025, CytomX Therapeutics announced positive interim Phase 1 data for its EpCAM PROBODY® ADC candidate, CX-2051, in advanced colorectal cancer. The data, as of April 7, 2025, showed a 28% overall response rate among efficacy-evaluable patients, with a 94% disease control rate and manageable adverse events. The company has commenced dose expansions and plans to initiate a Phase 2 study in the first half of 2026. CytomX ended the first quarter with $79.9 million in cash, extending its operational runway into the second quarter of 2026, and achieved a $5 million milestone payment from Astellas.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.