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CytomX Therapeutics Inc. (CTMX)
NASDAQ:CTMX

CytomX Therapeutics (CTMX) AI Stock Analysis

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CTMX

CytomX Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:CTMX)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$4.50
▲(6.13% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/01/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial fundamentals (heavy ongoing cash burn and volatile earnings) and only modest technical momentum. Offsetting factors include a constructive earnings call with encouraging efficacy/safety improvements and improved liquidity from the equity raise, though dilution risk remains.
Positive Factors
Clinical efficacy & target validation
Robust confirmed response rates and improving PFS provide durable proof‑of‑concept for Varseta‑M in metastatic CRC. This materially de‑risks the lead program, strengthens negotiating leverage for partnerships, and supports a clear path toward registrational studies over 2–3 years.
Negative Factors
Persistent cash burn
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow signals structural cash consumption to advance clinical programs. Continued burn forces reliance on external financing over the medium term, constrains strategic optionality, and raises execution risk if clinical timelines slip or milestones are delayed.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Clinical efficacy & target validation
Robust confirmed response rates and improving PFS provide durable proof‑of‑concept for Varseta‑M in metastatic CRC. This materially de‑risks the lead program, strengthens negotiating leverage for partnerships, and supports a clear path toward registrational studies over 2–3 years.
Read all positive factors

CytomX Therapeutics (CTMX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CytomX Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
CytomX Therapeutics, Inc. operates as an oncology-focused biopharmaceutical company in the United States. The company develops antibody therapeutics based on its Probody technology platform for the treatment of cancer. The company's product candid...
How the Company Makes Money
As a clinical-stage biotechnology company, CytomX has historically generated revenue primarily from strategic collaborations rather than from product sales (as it does not have a widely marketed commercial product). Key revenue streams typically i...

CytomX Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 16, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Positive — The call presented robust and clinically meaningful efficacy signals (ORR up to 32%, median PFS 6.8–7.1 months), compelling target validation, and clear reductions in the main severe toxicity (grade 3 diarrhea) through a combined strategy of AIBW dosing and dual prophylaxis. Remaining risks are primarily the need for larger/mature data (optimization cohorts, OS), ongoing management of diarrhea/electrolyte events, and confirmation of these early safety gains in bigger populations and combinations. Overall, the highlights materially outweigh the lowlights and support an optimistic near-term development trajectory.
Positive Updates
Confirmed Objective Response Rates (ORR)
Strong antitumor activity with confirmed ORR of 32% at 10 mg/kg and 20% at 8.6 mg/kg in late-line metastatic CRC expansion cohorts.
Negative Updates
Diarrhea Remains Principal Adverse Event
Although reduced with optimization, treatment-related diarrhea remains the main AE of interest; grade 3 diarrhea still observed at 10% in early optimization cohorts and was 29% in earlier expansion cohorts.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Confirmed Objective Response Rates (ORR)
Strong antitumor activity with confirmed ORR of 32% at 10 mg/kg and 20% at 8.6 mg/kg in late-line metastatic CRC expansion cohorts.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
On the call CytomX reported that as of the Jan 16, 2026 data cut the Phase I Varseta‑M program had enrolled 93 patients (up from 73), including 60 treated at prioritized expansion doses of 7.2, 8.6 and 10 mg/kg q3w; dose‑optimization using adjusted ideal body weight (AIBW) plus mandatory loperamide and budesonide has 20 of a target 40 patients enrolled. Efficacy: confirmed ORRs of 32% at 10 mg/kg and 20% at 8.6 mg/kg, with median PFS improving from 5.8 months to ~6.8–7.1 months (median follow‑up >8 months; 16 patients on treatment, several >11 months). Safety: grade 3 diarrhea fell from 29% in escalation/expansion to 10% (2/20) in early optimization, with a parallel reduction in grade 3 hypokalemia, treatment‑related discontinuations 11%, and median time to onset of grade 3 diarrhea ≈5 weeks. PK: dose‑proportional, half‑life 6–8 days, unconjugated CAMP59 ≈1–3% of total, DAR=8. Planned milestones: registrational study start H1 2027; additional data and registrational design in H2 2026.

CytomX Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial quality is pressured by persistent cash burn (deeply negative operating and free cash flow through 2021–2025, including large 2025 operating outflow) and volatile, timing-driven revenue/profitability. Low current leverage helps, but the history of negative equity and continued negative FCF elevates financing/dilution risk.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Cash Flow
24
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue76.20M138.10M101.21M53.16M37.31M
Gross Profit76.20M138.10M101.21M53.16M37.31M
EBITDA-18.19M26.76M-4.31M-98.89M-113.34M
Net Income-17.37M31.87M-569.00K-99.32M-115.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets151.57M120.53M201.79M260.89M339.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments137.05M100.62M174.51M193.65M305.23M
Total Debt4.24M9.38M13.97M18.06M21.67M
Total Liabilities52.56M120.99M249.24M346.64M339.87M
Stockholders Equity99.01M-456.00K-47.45M-85.75M-459.00K
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-75.81M-86.54M-56.88M-112.53M-120.64M
Operating Cash Flow-75.59M-86.23M-56.03M-110.79M-119.03M
Investing Cash Flow-59.74M99.70M-150.67M98.26M22.49M
Financing Cash Flow110.45M7.52M30.23M648.00K110.21M

CytomX Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.24
Price Trends
50DMA
5.10
Negative
100DMA
4.69
Negative
200DMA
3.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.21
Positive
RSI
42.62
Neutral
STOCH
19.82
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CTMX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.24 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.63, below the 50-day MA of 5.10, and above the 200-day MA of 3.67, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.82 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CTMX.

CytomX Therapeutics Risk Analysis

CytomX Therapeutics disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CytomX Therapeutics reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CytomX Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
$745.68M-41.94%1255.21%74.58%
54
Neutral
$1.02B-444.41%-13.14%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$233.64M-1.44-27.43%-41.53%-11.32%
49
Neutral
$491.00M-2.55-1849.88%33.79%-26.37%
46
Neutral
$916.59M-19.77%-10.26%144.62%
46
Neutral
$344.76M-2.24-33.20%-23.43%-9.84%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CTMX
CytomX Therapeutics
4.24
3.71
696.99%
LXRX
Lexicon Pharmaceuticals
1.76
1.25
245.10%
VSTM
Verastem
5.59
0.95
20.47%
ARCT
Arcturus Therapeutics
8.22
-1.48
-15.26%
KALV
KalVista Pharmaceuticals
19.95
8.46
73.63%
BCYC
Bicycle Therapeutics
4.97
-1.73
-25.82%

CytomX Therapeutics Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
CytomX Therapeutics Raises $234 Million in Equity Offering
Positive
Mar 19, 2026
On March 17, 2026, CytomX Therapeutics, Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement with a syndicate of banks to offer 45,990,567 shares of common stock at $5.30 per share and pre-funded warrants to purchase 1,179,245 shares at $5.29999 each. The ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 01, 2026