tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
CytomX Therapeutics Inc (CTMX)
NASDAQ:CTMX

CytomX Therapeutics (CTMX) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
702 Followers

Top Page

CT

CytomX Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:CTMX)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲( 22.55% Upside)
CytomX Therapeutics shows strong revenue growth and positive technical indicators, supported by a low P/E ratio suggesting undervaluation. However, significant risks from negative equity and cash flow challenges, along with mixed signals from the earnings call and corporate events, moderate the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Clinical Data
CytomX reported highly encouraging clinical data for its masked EpCAM ProBody Topo-1 ADC, CX-2051 in patients with late-line colorectal cancer.
Financial Performance
CytomX reported its FY2024 financials, recording a net profit of $0.38 per share for the period vs. prior estimate of net profit of $0.14 per share.
Operational Efficiency
Cost reductions due to restructuring initiatives and focused pipeline prioritization are expected to extend CytomX's cash runway into 2Q26.
Negative Factors
Clinical Risks
Risks include emergence of unexpected side effects with CX-904, CX-2051, CX-801, or probody T-cell bispecifics in future clinical data.
Pipeline Setbacks
CX-904 discontinuation adds to history of pipeline setbacks.
Pipeline Uncertainty
The discontinuation creates another roadblock for CytomX in advancing its PROBODY-based programs through the clinic.

CytomX Therapeutics (CTMX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CytomX Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCytomX Therapeutics, Inc. operates as an oncology-focused biopharmaceutical company in the United States. The company develops antibody therapeutics based on its Probody technology platform for the treatment of cancer. The company's product candidates include CX-2009, an antibody drug conjugates (ADC) against CD166, which is in Phase II clinical trials for the treatment of breast cancer; CX-2029 that is in Phase II clinical trials for the treatment of squamous non-small cell lung cancer, head and neck squamous cell carcinoma, esophageal and gastro-esophageal junction cancers, and diffuse large B-cell lymphoma; BMS-986249, a CTLA-4 Probody therapeutic drug, which is in Phase I/II clinical trials for the treatment of metastatic melanoma; and BMS-986288, an anti-CTLA-4 Probody drug, which is in Phase I clinical trials for the treatment of solid tumors. It also develops CX-2043, a conditionally activated ADC targeting the epithelial cell adhesion molecule, as well as CX-904, a conditionally activated epidermal growth factor receptor for the treatment of solid tumor. The company has strategic collaborations with AbbVie Ireland Unlimited Company, Amgen, Inc., Bristol-Myers Squibb Company, ImmunoGen, Inc., Pfizer Inc., and Astellas Pharma Inc. to develop Probody therapeutics. CytomX Therapeutics, Inc. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyCytomX Therapeutics generates revenue primarily through collaboration and licensing agreements with larger pharmaceutical companies. These partnerships typically involve upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on sales of products developed using its Probody platform. Key collaborations include alliances with industry leaders such as Bristol-Myers Squibb, AbbVie, and Amgen, among others. Additionally, the company may engage in research and development grants and contracts that contribute to its revenue stream. The success and progression of its proprietary drug candidates through clinical trials also play a critical role in attracting further investment and partnership opportunities.

CytomX Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CytomX Therapeutics has shown positive revenue growth and improvements in profitability margins, indicating a turnaround in operational performance. However, the company faces significant balance sheet challenges, including negative equity and potential solvency risks. Cash flow difficulties persist, with negative free cash flow trends and challenges in cash conversion. While there are positive signs of operational recovery, financial instability and cash flow concerns present substantial risks to sustainability.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
CytomX Therapeutics showed a positive revenue growth rate from 2023 to 2024, with total revenue increasing from $101.21 million to $138.10 million, representing a growth rate of approximately 36.4%. The gross profit margin remained strong at 100% due to no cost of goods sold. However, the net profit margin improved significantly in 2024, reaching approximately 23.1%, compared to a negative margin in 2023. The EBIT and EBITDA margins also turned positive, indicating improved operational efficiency. Despite these improvements, historical volatility and past losses present a risk.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a concerning negative equity position in 2024, with stockholders' equity at -$456,000, indicating liabilities exceed assets. The debt-to-equity ratio is not calculable due to negative equity, but total debt decreased over the year. The equity ratio is negative, which poses a significant risk to financial stability. This indicates potential solvency issues despite reducing total debt.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement shows a deterioration in free cash flow from -$56.88 million in 2023 to -$86.54 million in 2024, indicating a decline in cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting challenges in converting income into cash. Free cash flow to net income is also negative, highlighting cash flow difficulties despite positive net income in 2024. The high variability in cash flows suggests potential liquidity issues.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
138.10M101.21M53.16M69.57M100.36M
Gross Profit
138.10M101.21M47.31M63.73M100.36M
EBIT
25.00M-6.48M-101.33M-83.78M-48.60M
EBITDA
25.00M-4.31M-98.89M-113.34M-77.97M
Net Income Common Stockholders
31.87M-569.00K-97.30M-80.65M-32.88M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
100.62M174.51M193.65M305.23M316.12M
Total Assets
120.53M201.79M260.89M339.41M358.66M
Total Debt
9.38M13.97M18.06M18.06M24.87M
Net Debt
-28.67M-3.20M-175.59M-187.47M-166.99M
Total Liabilities
120.99M249.24M346.64M250.03M308.86M
Stockholders Equity
-456.00K-47.45M-85.75M89.38M49.80M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-86.54M-56.88M-112.53M-120.64M2.95M
Operating Cash Flow
-86.23M-56.03M-110.79M-119.03M5.26M
Investing Cash Flow
99.70M-150.67M98.26M22.49M-18.72M
Financing Cash Flow
7.52M30.23M648.00K110.21M16.89M

CytomX Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.04
Price Trends
50DMA
0.91
Positive
100DMA
0.87
Positive
200DMA
1.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.39
Negative
RSI
68.26
Neutral
STOCH
71.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CTMX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.04 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.37, above the 50-day MA of 0.91, and above the 200-day MA of 1.00, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CTMX.

CytomX Therapeutics Risk Analysis

CytomX Therapeutics disclosed 73 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CytomX Therapeutics reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
Our failure to meet the continued listing requirements of the Nasdaq Global Select Market, including minimum stock price requirements, could result in a delisting of our common stock. Q4, 2024
2.
Our product candidates are in early stages of development and may fail or suffer delays that materially and adversely affect their commercial viability. If we are unable to advance our product candidates through clinical development, obtain regulatory approval and ultimately commercialize such product candidates, or experience significant delays in doing so, our business will be materially harmed. Q4, 2024

CytomX Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$335.57M4.15-58.97%23.81%146.45%
53
Neutral
$5.24B3.07-43.58%2.80%16.87%-0.11%
50
Neutral
$66.74M-119.22%25.51%
41
Neutral
$102.85M-196.81%
CUCUE
40
Underperform
$50.45M-221.66%13.83%37.66%
36
Underperform
$39.19M-62.41%10.84%
35
Underperform
$52.62M-68.14%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CTMX
CytomX Therapeutics
2.04
0.16
8.51%
PDSB
PDS Biotechnology
1.58
-1.80
-53.25%
CUE
Cue Biopharma
0.60
-1.31
-68.59%
ACRV
Acrivon Therapeutics, Inc.
1.15
-7.42
-86.58%
GUTS
Fractyl Health, Inc.
1.84
-5.78
-75.85%
ARTV
Artiva Biotherapeutics, Inc.
2.00
-9.77
-83.01%

CytomX Therapeutics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 119.35%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in advancing clinical programs and strong financial performance, especially through strategic partnerships and increased revenue. However, challenges include the discontinuation of CX-904 and a decrease in cash reserves. Overall, the positive aspects slightly outweigh the negatives.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Advancement of Clinical Programs
In 2024, CytomX advanced two new programs, CX-2051 and CX-801, into the clinic, prioritizing these programs and streamlining the organization to extend the cash runway to Q2 2026.
Financial Performance
Total revenue for 2024 was $138.1 million, up from $101.2 million in 2023, attributed to collaborations with BMS, Moderna, Astellas, and Regeneron.
Pipeline Progress and Strategic Partnerships
CytomX achieved a $5 million milestone payment from Astellas and continues progress with partnerships involving Bristol Myers Squibb, Amgen, Moderna, and Regeneron.
Negative Updates
Discontinuation of CX-904 Development
CytomX and Amgen jointly decided not to continue the development of CX-904 due to clinical observations and respective priorities.
Decrease in Cash Reserves
Cash reserves decreased from $174.5 million at the end of 2023 to $100.6 million at the end of 2024, despite the extension of the cash runway.
Company Guidance
In the fourth quarter of 2024 financial results call, CytomX Therapeutics provided detailed guidance on their pipeline progress and financial outlook. They highlighted the advancement of two new clinical programs, CX-2051 and CX-801, prioritizing these to optimize resource allocation and extending their cash runway to the second quarter of 2026. They aim to generate initial clinical data for both programs in 2025, with CX-2051 targeting colorectal cancer as a first-in-class ADC and CX-801 as a next-generation targeted immunotherapy. Financially, the company reported $138.1 million in revenue for 2024, an increase from $101.2 million in 2023, and ended the year with $100.6 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, compared to $174.5 million in 2023. The increase in revenue was attributed to collaborations with companies like Bristol Myers Squibb and Moderna. Total operating expenses for 2024 were $113.1 million, slightly up from $107.7 million in 2023, primarily due to a milestone payment to AbbVie.

CytomX Therapeutics Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
CytomX Therapeutics Secures $93.4 Million Through Stock Sale
Positive
May 13, 2025

On May 12, 2025, CytomX Therapeutics entered into an underwriting agreement with Jefferies LLC and Piper Sandler & Co. for the sale of 76,923,076 shares of common stock at $1.30 per share, resulting in estimated net proceeds of $93.4 million. The funds are intended for research and development, general corporate purposes, and working capital needs, potentially strengthening CytomX’s position in the biotechnology sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (CTMX) stock is a Buy with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CytomX Therapeutics stock, see the CTMX Stock Forecast page.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
CytomX Therapeutics Reports Positive Interim Phase 1 Data
Positive
May 12, 2025

On May 12, 2025, CytomX Therapeutics announced positive interim Phase 1 data for its EpCAM PROBODY® ADC candidate, CX-2051, in advanced colorectal cancer. The data, as of April 7, 2025, showed a 28% overall response rate among efficacy-evaluable patients, with a 94% disease control rate and manageable adverse events. The company has commenced dose expansions and plans to initiate a Phase 2 study in the first half of 2026. CytomX ended the first quarter with $79.9 million in cash, extending its operational runway into the second quarter of 2026, and achieved a $5 million milestone payment from Astellas.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.