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KalVista Pharmaceuticals (KALV)
NASDAQ:KALV

KalVista Pharmaceuticals (KALV) AI Stock Analysis

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KALV

KalVista Pharmaceuticals

(NASDAQ:KALV)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$17.00
▲(7.46% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (large losses, heavy cash burn, and reduced equity cushion) despite improving revenue. Offsetting this, technical trends are constructive and corporate updates show strong early commercial uptake and global expansion for EKTERLY, supporting a moderate overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Commercial revenue traction
Reported preliminary global net product revenue for EKTERLY (~$35M Q4; ~$49M FY2025) demonstrates a transition from research-stage to revenue-generating commercial operations. Sustained refill-driven revenue and growing patient starts signal emerging recurring cash flow potential and revenue scalability as launches expand.
Regulatory approvals broaden market access
EC and Swissmedic approvals (plus other approvals) materially expand EKTERLY’s addressable markets and reduce regulatory risk. Multiple major-market authorizations enable simultaneous launches, partnerships, and reimbursement efforts that underpin a multi-region commercial rollout and durable revenue diversification.
Experienced commercial leadership hires
Adding a COO with technical operations experience and a CPO with corporate operations background strengthens commercial and manufacturing capability. This institutionalizes launch execution, supply chain and product strategy know-how—critical for converting approvals into consistent sales over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Heavy operating cash burn
Persistent, large negative operating and free cash flow imply the business cannot self-fund near-term operations. Absent rapid scale-up of EKTERLY revenue or sizable partner milestones, the company will remain dependent on external financing, which can dilute shareholders and constrain strategic flexibility.
Large net losses and negative returns
Very large, recurring net losses and deeply negative operating results indicate the current cost structure far exceeds revenue. Sustainable profitability requires significant topline growth or structural cost reduction; until then, margins will remain weak and returns on invested capital negative, limiting free-cash generation.
Eroded equity cushion limits resilience
Sharp depletion of shareholders' equity reduces balance-sheet resilience and borrowing capacity. With ~$149.6M debt outstanding and a thin equity buffer, the company faces higher refinancing and covenant risk, increasing the likelihood of dilutive capital raises if commercial ramps fall short of expectations.

KalVista Pharmaceuticals (KALV) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

KalVista Pharmaceuticals Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKalVista Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical stage pharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes small molecule protease inhibitors for diseases with unmet needs. The company's product portfolio comprises small molecule plasma kallikrein inhibitors targeting hereditary angioedema (HAE) and diabetic macular edema (DME); and oral plasma kallikrein inhibitors. Its products include KVD001, a plasma kallikrein inhibitor that completed a Phase II clinical trial for the treatment of DME; sebetralstat, which is initiation of the Phase 3 KONFIDENT trial as a potential oral, on-demand therapy for HAE attacks; KVD824, an oral product candidate for the treatment of HAE; and Factor XIIa, an oral inhibitor program which is in preclinical stage targets an enzyme in HAE. The company is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyKalVista Pharmaceuticals generates revenue through strategic partnerships, collaborations, and licensing agreements with larger pharmaceutical companies, which provide funding and resources to support its research and development activities. As a clinical-stage company, KalVista does not yet generate revenue from product sales but aims to do so upon successful development and commercialization of its product candidates. The company's financial performance is significantly influenced by milestone payments and royalties from successful partnerships, as well as potential future sales of approved therapies.

KalVista Pharmaceuticals Financial Statement Overview

Summary
KalVista Pharmaceuticals faces significant financial challenges with low revenue generation and profitability. The company has a modest gross profit margin but struggles with negative EBIT and net income. The balance sheet shows low leverage but is affected by continuous losses. Cash flow analysis indicates high cash burn and liquidity risks, highlighting the need for improved revenue streams and expense management.
Income Statement
KalVista Pharmaceuticals has faced significant challenges in generating revenue, with total revenue at $1.2 million in the TTM. Gross profit margin is modest at 63.26%, but the company is struggling with high negative EBIT and net income, leading to negative EBIT and net profit margins. The revenue growth is inconsistent, and the overall financial health from an income perspective is weak.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04, indicating low leverage. However, the company has a negative return on equity due to continuous losses. The equity ratio stands at 52.58%, showing that over half of the assets are financed by equity, which is positive, but the company's financial stability is affected by ongoing losses.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows a negative operating cash flow of $127.6 million in the TTM, indicating cash outflows exceed inflows from operations, which is concerning. The company has a negative free cash flow and a weak cash flow to net income ratio, highlighting significant cash burn and potential liquidity risks.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue15.12M0.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-2.60M0.00-86.17M0.000.00-41.29M
EBITDA-237.91M-173.33M-134.28M-94.37M-80.75M-57.39M
Net Income-252.58M-183.44M-126.64M-92.91M-82.34M-46.24M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets339.93M250.77M235.40M183.20M203.88M272.01M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments309.16M187.65M210.40M149.38M166.20M248.93M
Total Debt149.59M6.31M7.32M8.23M8.19M5.91M
Total Liabilities322.93M155.38M28.82M22.18M18.79M14.82M
Stockholders Equity17.00M95.39M206.58M161.03M185.09M257.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-200.07M-153.34M-89.67M-76.46M-79.06M-30.25M
Operating Cash Flow-199.87M-152.91M-89.23M-75.26M-78.13M-30.17M
Investing Cash Flow83.64M91.02M-84.72M41.41M57.86M-147.65M
Financing Cash Flow331.71M159.73M150.71M58.12M1.58M212.12M

KalVista Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price15.82
Price Trends
50DMA
14.42
Positive
100DMA
13.57
Positive
200DMA
13.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.43
Positive
RSI
57.26
Neutral
STOCH
44.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KALV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 15.82 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.83, above the 50-day MA of 14.42, and above the 200-day MA of 13.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.43 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KALV.

KalVista Pharmaceuticals Risk Analysis

KalVista Pharmaceuticals disclosed 49 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. KalVista Pharmaceuticals reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

KalVista Pharmaceuticals Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$775.19M-15.13
57
Neutral
$849.18M-4.10-13.14%
56
Neutral
$983.34M-7.82-26.64%-103.95%
55
Neutral
$951.56M-11.39-37.82%-100.00%-28.79%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
$1.17B-78.74%-22.39%
47
Neutral
$578.64M-3.67-58.17%-116.24%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KALV
KalVista Pharmaceuticals
16.39
8.99
121.49%
SVRA
Savara
5.77
3.05
112.13%
ARVN
Arvinas Holding Company
12.15
-5.07
-29.44%
GOSS
Gossamer Bio
2.52
1.67
196.47%
CMPX
Compass Therapeutics
5.21
3.21
160.50%
BCAX
Bicara Therapeutics Inc.
17.43
4.59
35.75%

KalVista Pharmaceuticals Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresProduct-Related Announcements
KalVista Highlights Strong EKTERLY Launch and Global Uptake
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 8, 2026, KalVista Pharmaceuticals reported preliminary unaudited global net product revenue for EKTERLY (sebetralstat) of approximately $35 million for the fourth quarter and $49 million for full-year 2025, following the US commercial launch on July 7, 2025. The company highlighted rapid uptake of EKTERLY, with 1,318 patient start forms and 580 unique US prescribers recorded by December 31, 2025, and noted that prescription refills overtook initial prescriptions as the main revenue driver in the fourth quarter, indicating growing real-world use and patient retention. KalVista also emphasized strong early adoption in Germany and expanded its commercial footprint through a new partnership with Multicare Pharmaceuticals to commercialize sebetralstat in key Latin American markets, complementing earlier licensing deals in Japan and Canada. During 2025 the company secured regulatory approvals for EKTERLY in seven major global markets and completed enrollment in the Phase 3 KONFIDENT-KID trial in pediatric HAE patients aged 2–11 years a year ahead of schedule, positioning EKTERLY as a potential foundational treatment in HAE and underscoring KalVista’s strengthening commercial and regulatory position in the rare-disease therapeutics space.

The most recent analyst rating on (KALV) stock is a Buy with a $32.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on KalVista Pharmaceuticals stock, see the KALV Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026