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Arvinas Holding Company (ARVN)
NASDAQ:ARVN
US Market

Arvinas Holding Company (ARVN) AI Stock Analysis

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ARVN

Arvinas Holding Company

(NASDAQ:ARVN)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▲(19.86% Upside)
Arvinas' overall stock score is driven by its strong technical momentum and positive corporate events, which are tempered by financial challenges and valuation concerns. The promising clinical pipeline and strategic collaborations provide a positive outlook, but ongoing financial and operational challenges remain significant.
Positive Factors
Strong Pipeline Progress
The advancement of multiple clinical programs, including ARV-102 and ARV-806, indicates robust R&D capabilities and potential for future growth.
Financial Stability
A strong cash position ensures operational stability and supports ongoing R&D efforts, enabling the company to sustain its strategic initiatives.
Strategic Collaborations
Partnerships with major pharmaceutical companies like Pfizer enhance resource access and market reach, strengthening Arvinas' competitive position.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A significant revenue drop due to the end of a major agreement highlights dependency on partnerships and potential volatility in financial performance.
Cash Flow Challenges
Ongoing cash flow issues may limit the company's ability to invest in R&D and other strategic initiatives, impacting long-term growth potential.
Delayed Efficacy in Trials
Challenges in achieving desired efficacy in clinical trials could delay product development timelines and affect future revenue streams.

Arvinas Holding Company (ARVN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Arvinas Holding Company Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArvinas Holding Company (ARVN) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing innovative treatments for cancer and other serious diseases through its proprietary protein degradation technology. The company operates primarily in the biopharmaceutical sector, concentrating on the discovery and development of small molecules that harness the body's natural protein disposal system to target and degrade disease-causing proteins. Arvinas aims to address unmet medical needs by creating therapies that have the potential to provide significant clinical benefits over existing treatments.
How the Company Makes MoneyArvinas generates revenue primarily through collaborations and partnerships with pharmaceutical companies, which may include upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties on future product sales. The company engages in strategic alliances to co-develop its drug candidates, which allows it to share the financial burden of research and development while also gaining access to additional resources and expertise. Additionally, Arvinas may receive funding from government grants and other non-dilutive sources to support its research initiatives. As its clinical programs advance and potentially lead to new drug approvals, the company aims to monetize these assets through commercialization efforts or further partnerships.

Arvinas Holding Company Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call revealed significant progress in Arvinas' clinical pipeline, particularly with ARV-102 and financial stability, but was tempered by a notable revenue decline and ongoing challenges in achieving efficacious exposure levels in some trials.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Pipeline Progress
Arvinas entered a data-rich period with multiple early-stage clinical readouts, including ARV-102, ARV-806, and ARV-027, along with promising preclinical data from ARV-393 and ARV-6723.
Promising ARV-102 Data
ARV-102 showed up to 90% LRRK2 reduction in healthy volunteers and 97% reduction in Parkinson's patients, indicating strong potential for treating neurodegenerative diseases.
Financial Stability
Arvinas reported cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities of $787.6 million, providing financial and strategic flexibility into the second half of 2028.
Strategic Collaboration with Pfizer
Arvinas and Pfizer jointly selected a third party for the commercialization of vepdegestrant, with the goal of launching it if approved.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue for Q3 2025 was $41.9 million, down from $102.4 million in Q3 2024, primarily due to the end of the Novartis License Agreement revenue recognition.
Decrease in R&D and G&A Expenses
R&D expenses decreased by $22.2 million and G&A expenses by $54.8 million compared to the previous year, reflecting cost-cutting and scaling down of certain programs.
Delayed Efficacy in ARV-393
While seeing early responses, ARV-393 has not yet reached the predicted efficacious exposure level in its ongoing Phase I trial.
Company Guidance
During Arvinas' Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance on its ongoing and future clinical and financial strategies. The company reported $787.6 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities as of September 30, 2025, and announced a share repurchase program of up to $100 million, highlighting confidence in its long-term strategy. Arvinas is advancing multiple clinical programs, including the ARV-102, ARV-393, and ARV-806, with promising early-stage data in oncology and neurology. The LRRK2 degrader, ARV-102, is shown to be well-tolerated with significant reductions in LRRK2 protein in clinical trials, while the BCL6 degrader, ARV-393, has demonstrated early responses in lymphomas. Additionally, Arvinas is preparing for a Phase Ib trial for ARV-102 in PSP and anticipates further preclinical data releases, including from the HPK1 degrader, ARV-6723. These developments, alongside strategic collaborations, are expected to drive shareholder value with an operational cash runway extending into the second half of 2028.

Arvinas Holding Company Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Arvinas is facing significant financial challenges, with declining revenue growth and persistent losses impacting profitability. The balance sheet shows low leverage, which is a positive aspect, but the negative return on equity highlights ongoing difficulties in generating returns. Cash flow issues further compound the financial strain, necessitating strategic adjustments to improve financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Arvinas Holding Company has experienced a decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate of -16.23% in the TTM period. The company is facing challenges in profitability, as indicated by negative net profit and EBIT margins. Despite a positive gross profit margin, the overall financial performance is impacted by high operating losses.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.016, indicating low leverage and financial stability. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing losses and challenges in generating shareholder value. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the company's equity position appears stable relative to its assets.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Arvinas is experiencing negative free cash flow growth and a high operating cash flow to net income ratio, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, suggesting that cash flow is closely aligned with net income, albeit both are negative.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue312.30M263.40M78.50M131.40M53.60M25.90M
Gross Profit312.30M263.40M78.50M131.40M53.60M25.90M
EBITDA-88.00M-243.60M-394.80M-255.00M-182.40M-117.60M
Net Income-58.50M-198.90M-367.30M-282.50M-191.00M-119.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets844.30M1.09B1.30B1.27B1.58B717.40M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments787.60M1.04B1.26B1.21B1.50B688.60M
Total Debt9.50M9.70M3.20M5.50M5.00M4.10M
Total Liabilities279.90M529.70M644.60M703.90M799.90M75.20M
Stockholders Equity564.40M561.70M660.00M564.90M781.70M642.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-329.50M-261.10M-350.70M-280.30M554.70M-96.20M
Operating Cash Flow-327.50M-259.30M-347.80M-273.50M559.40M-89.76M
Investing Cash Flow360.70M34.70M203.50M242.80M-1.31B164.25M
Financing Cash Flow-16.90M7.90M374.70M4.70M278.60M504.67M

Arvinas Holding Company Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.68
Price Trends
50DMA
10.96
Positive
100DMA
9.37
Positive
200DMA
8.59
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Positive
RSI
48.87
Neutral
STOCH
10.35
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARVN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.27, above the 50-day MA of 10.96, and above the 200-day MA of 8.59, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.35 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ARVN.

Arvinas Holding Company Risk Analysis

Arvinas Holding Company disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Arvinas Holding Company reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Arvinas Holding Company Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$750.14M-14.54
60
Neutral
$887.53M-10.90-37.82%-100.00%-28.79%
54
Neutral
$646.34M-3.80-611.42%96.83%-61.92%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$1.36B-17.41-308.02%196.42%53.92%
48
Neutral
$964.16M-7.89-26.64%-103.95%
46
Neutral
$2.20B-15.41-59.22%17.23%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARVN
Arvinas Holding Company
11.68
-6.32
-35.11%
ANAB
AnaptysBio
49.08
35.11
251.32%
MGTX
Meiragtx Holdings
8.03
1.94
31.86%
CMPX
Compass Therapeutics
4.99
3.48
230.46%
OLMA
Olema Pharmaceuticals
27.93
21.63
343.33%
BCAX
Bicara Therapeutics Inc.
17.60
-1.15
-6.13%

Arvinas Holding Company Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Arvinas Reveals Promising Preclinical Data for ARV-393
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

On December 6, 2025, Arvinas, Inc. announced preclinical data for ARV-393, a PROTAC BCL6 degrader, in combination with glofitamab, a CD20×CD3 bispecific antibody, at the 67th American Society of Hematology Annual Meeting. The data demonstrated that the combination significantly enhanced tumor growth inhibition and increased tumor regression rates in a high-grade B-cell lymphoma model compared to either agent alone. These findings suggest mechanistic synergies between ARV-393 and T-cell engagement, supporting the initiation of a Phase 1 clinical trial in 2026 to explore this combination as a chemotherapy-free treatment for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Arvinas Unveils Promising Preclinical Data for ARV-806
Positive
Oct 24, 2025

On October 24, 2025, Arvinas, Inc. announced preclinical data for ARV-806, a PROTAC KRAS G12D degrader, at the 2025 AACR-NCI-EORTC International Conference. The data showed ARV-806’s potential as a best-in-class therapy for KRAS G12D mutated cancers, demonstrating significant potency in degrading KRAS G12D protein and reducing cancer cell proliferation across pancreatic, colorectal, and lung cancer models. The company is currently evaluating ARV-806 in a Phase 1 clinical trial for patients with advanced solid tumors harboring KRAS G12D mutations, highlighting its potential to address high unmet needs in these cancers.

Product-Related Announcements
Arvinas Reports Promising Phase 3 Trial Results
Positive
Oct 20, 2025

On October 20, 2025, Arvinas announced new patient-reported outcomes from its Phase 3 VERITAC-2 clinical trial for vepdegestrant, presented at the ESMO 2025 Congress. Vepdegestrant, developed with Pfizer, showed significant improvements in quality of life and delayed deterioration in patients with ESR1-mutated, ER+/HER2- advanced breast cancer compared to fulvestrant. The trial results reinforce vepdegestrant’s potential as a promising treatment option, highlighting its clinical benefits and supporting its development as a monotherapy for this patient group.

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Arvinas Announces Positive Phase 1 Trial Results
Positive
Oct 6, 2025

On October 5, 2025, Arvinas, Inc. announced positive Phase 1 clinical trial results for ARV-102, a PROTAC LRRK2 degrader, presented at the 2025 International Congress of Parkinson’s Disease and Movement Disorders. The trials, conducted on healthy volunteers and Parkinson’s disease patients, demonstrated that ARV-102 was well tolerated and showed dose-dependent increases in cerebrospinal fluid exposure, indicating brain penetration. Significant reductions in LRRK2 protein and pathway biomarkers were observed, supporting further development of ARV-102 for Parkinson’s disease and progressive supranuclear palsy. The company plans to present additional data in 2026 and initiate a Phase 1b trial for progressive supranuclear palsy.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Arvinas Announces 15% Workforce Reduction and Cost Savings
Neutral
Sep 17, 2025

On September 17, 2025, Arvinas announced a 15% workforce reduction primarily affecting roles related to the commercialization of vepdegestrant, expecting to incur $4.5 million in related costs. The company also updated its collaboration with Pfizer, agreeing to out-license vepdegestrant’s commercialization rights to a third party, aiming to optimize costs and streamline operations. Additionally, Arvinas introduced a $100 million share repurchase program, reflecting confidence in its business strength and commitment to maximizing shareholder value. These strategic actions are expected to save over $100 million annually compared to FY 2024 and extend the company’s cash runway into the second half of 2028.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025