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Greenlight Capital Re (GLRE)
NASDAQ:GLRE

Greenlight Capital Re (GLRE) AI Stock Analysis

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GLRE

Greenlight Capital Re

(NASDAQ:GLRE)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$15.50
▲(17.78% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:03/10/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial resilience (strong balance sheet and improved cash generation) and a positive earnings call backdrop (record underwriting results, book value growth, deleveraging and buybacks). These are tempered by uncertainty from the latest period’s sharp revenue dislocation and historical volatility, with only mildly positive technical momentum and a merely reasonable valuation (P/E 13.829, no dividend yield provided).
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength / Deleveraging
Reducing debt to $5M and cutting leverage to ~0.7% from 9.5% materially strengthens capital resilience. Low leverage and remaining buyback capacity improve financial flexibility to absorb underwriting shocks, support ratings, fund opportunistic investments, and limit refinancing risk over multi-year cycles.
Improved Cash Generation
Sustained positive operating and free cash flow across 2023–2025 increases self-funding capacity for claims, reserve development, and capital deployment. Durable cash generation reduces dependency on capital markets, supports buybacks and fixed-maturity allocations, and cushions cyclical underwriting volatility.
Diversified Premium Growth & Scale
Consistent premium growth across Open Market, Funds at Lloyd’s and Innovations broadens the revenue base and spreads risk. Growth at Lloyd’s and syndicate expansion increases capacity and long-term scale benefits, improving underwriting leverage and creating recurring premium streams that support sustained earnings.
Negative Factors
Innovations Underwriting Losses
A combined ratio above 100% and elevated expense ratios from scale-up costs indicate structural margin pressure in Innovations. Until loss experience and expense leverage normalize, this segment can persistently drag consolidated underwriting returns and increase reserve volatility over the medium term.
Rate Softening and Catastrophe Exposure
Material rate declines at renewals and rising North Atlantic 1-in-250 exposure point to structural margin compression and heightened catastrophe risk. Over several renewals, weaker pricing and larger peak exposures can erode underwriting profitability and necessitate higher capital or reinsurance costs to maintain target returns.
Revenue and Earnings Volatility
An extreme revenue drop of ~91% in the latest period highlights meaningful top-line volatility. Such swings reduce predictability of underwriting and investment income, complicate reserve and capital planning, and imply earnings can be heavily affected by timing of premium recognition and investment gains over multi-year horizons.

Greenlight Capital Re (GLRE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Greenlight Capital Re Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGreenlight Capital Re (GLRE) is a reinsurance and investment management company that specializes in providing property and casualty reinsurance products. Headquartered in the Cayman Islands, GLRE operates in the insurance sector, focusing on a range of reinsurance solutions for various risks, including those associated with natural disasters and other catastrophic events. The company is known for its unique approach by integrating investment management with its reinsurance operations, allowing it to leverage its capital effectively.
How the Company Makes MoneyGLRE primarily makes money through two engines: (1) underwriting income from reinsurance and (2) investment returns on the capital (float) it holds. 1) Underwriting (reinsurance) revenues and profit - Premiums: GLRE earns gross written and earned premiums by assuming a portion of insurers’ risk under reinsurance contracts, mainly in property and casualty lines. - Underwriting result: After collecting premiums, GLRE pays claims and claim-adjustment expenses when covered losses occur, and also incurs operating expenses (e.g., acquisition costs/commissions, servicing, administration). If premiums exceed claims and expenses for a period, it generates underwriting profit; if not, it produces an underwriting loss. - Reserving: Profitability is influenced by how accurately the company estimates and sets reserves for reported and incurred-but-not-reported claims; adverse reserve development can reduce earnings. 2) Investment income and gains on invested assets - Investment portfolio: Like other reinsurers, GLRE invests the assets it holds to back reserves and capital. Returns can include interest income (from fixed income), dividends, and realized/unrealized gains or losses on securities. - Float economics: Premiums are typically received before claims are paid, creating investable funds (insurance “float”). Even if underwriting is roughly breakeven, investment returns on float can be a major contributor to overall profitability. - Related-party/manager relationship: The company’s investment strategy has historically been associated with Greenlight Capital’s value-driven approach; management fees, specific contractual terms, and performance-fee structures are not provided here and therefore are null. Key factors affecting earnings - Catastrophe and loss volatility: Large catastrophe events or adverse loss trends can materially increase claims and reduce underwriting results. - Pricing and cycle: Reinsurance pricing conditions and terms (limits, attachments, exclusions) affect premium adequacy and margins. - Investment market performance: Equity and credit market movements and interest-rate changes can significantly impact reported investment gains/losses. Significant partnerships or specific customer concentrations: null

Greenlight Capital Re Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 09, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a predominately positive picture: record underwriting income, strong quarter and full-year net income, significant book-value growth, successful deleveraging, an AM Best upgrade, and meaningful premium and syndicate growth. Investment performance (Solasglas) contributed materially to results and produced solid positive returns, though it lagged the S&P 500 in 2025. Key challenges include a >100% combined ratio in the Innovations segment driven by a large surety loss and higher expense ratios from growth investments, prior-year reserve strengthening, rate softening in Specialty and Property at the 1/1 renewals, and some geopolitical exposure. Overall, the positive operational and capital-management achievements outweigh the noted headwinds.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Quarterly Net Income and Underwriting Profit
Q4 2025 net income of $49.3M (or $1.44 diluted EPS) driven by a net underwriting profit of $13.0M and a combined ratio of 92.1% (10 combined-ratio-point improvement vs. prior-year period after adjusting for Russia-Ukraine reserve strengthening).
Strong Investment Performance (Solasglas)
Solasglas delivered a Q4 return of 7.9% (contributing $36.2M of investment income in the quarter) and returned 7.5% for full-year 2025; YTD 2026 return through Feb was 9.8% (3.4% in Jan, 6.3% in Feb).
Record Full-Year Underwriting Income and Net Income
Full-year 2025 underwriting income was a record $35.7M with a full-year combined ratio of 94.6%; full-year net income was $74.8M (diluted EPS $2.17).
Book Value Growth
Fully diluted book value per share rose 13.8% in 2025 to $20.43; three-year growth of fully diluted book value per share was 42.6% (12.5% annualized).
Premium and Segment Growth
Open Market net written premiums grew 9% to $123.6M (net earned premiums up 11%); Innovation segment gross written premiums grew 80% in the quarter to $37.1M and net earned premiums increased 27% to $24.2M; full-year Innovation gross written premiums rose 28% to $121.6M, representing 16% of total premiums.
Open Market Underwriting Improvement
Open Market combined ratio improved ~20.4 points year-over-year to 90.7% in Q4, producing pretax income of $28.2M (underwriting income $13.2M, investment income $15.0M).
Capital, Debt and Share Repurchase Actions
Repaid $30M of debt in the quarter leaving $5M outstanding and reduced debt leverage ratio from 9.5% to 0.7%; repurchased 201,000 shares for $2.8M in Q4 and $9.8M total in 2025 (avg price $13.76), with $20.2M remaining authorization.
AM Best Upgrade and Deleveraging
AM Best upgraded rating from A- to A in November; company highlighted significant deleveraging, stronger capital position, and highest-ever premium levels in 2025.
Renewal Wins and Syndicate Progress
Funds at Lloyd’s (FAL) book grew ~21% at 1/1 renewals; Specialty book grew 6% and Innovations 1/1 premium grew ~83%; renewed Outwards Innovations whole account quota share with cession increasing from 28% to 33% and accepted third-party capital into Syndicate 3456 for the first time.
Negative Updates
Innovations Combined Ratio Above 100%
Q4 Innovation combined ratio was 101.7% (underwriting loss of $0.4M) driven primarily by a large $2.1M surety loss; expense ratio in the segment rose to 9.5% from 3.3% year-over-year due to growth investments and higher incentive compensation.
Large-Loss and Prior-Year Reserve Impacts
Q4 booked $2.0M loss from Hurricane Melissa and $2.7M from an oil refinery fire; prior-year reserve strengthening added $5.5M to reserves (primarily casualty programs in runoff), partially offsetting underwriting improvement.
Market Softening and Rate Declines at 1/1
Specialty estimated rate declines of ~11% and Property estimated rate declines of ~12% at the 1/1 renewals; Property exposure remained broadly flat while rates weakened, increasing North Atlantic 1-in-250 hurricane exposure by 7% to $139M.
Solasglas Underperformed Index in 2025
Although positive, Solasglas returned 7.5% in 2025 versus the S&P 500 return of 17.9%, indicating underperformance relative to the benchmark for the year; several holdings also detracted in Q4 (e.g., Green Brick -15%, Penn -23%, inflation swaps detracted).
Higher Expense Ratios
Overall quarter expense ratio was 1.8 points higher, primarily due to variable performance-based compensation; Innovation segment expense ratio rose significantly as the business invests to scale, pressuring near-term profitability.
Exposure to Geopolitical Risk
Management noted increased tensions in the Middle East with limited current notified insured losses but acknowledged exposures through marine/aviation/war-on-land covers and the fluid risk environment.
Company Guidance
Management’s guidance was broadly optimistic for 2026 while emphasizing disciplined execution: Q4 results included a $13.0M underwriting profit (combined ratio 92.1%), $49.3M net income, and $36.2M of Q4 investment gains from Solasglas (7.9%); full-year 2025 delivered $35.7M underwriting profit (combined ratio 94.6%), $74.8M net income, and fully diluted book value per share of $20.43 (+13.8% Y/Y; +42.6% over 3 years). They noted ~60% of business renews 1/1, grew their Funds at Lloyd’s book ~21%, Specialty premiums +6% despite ~11% rate declines, Property exposure roughly flat with rates down ~12% (North Atlantic 1-in-250 exposure +7% to $139M), and Innovations showing strong premium growth (Q4 GWP +80% to $37.1M; net earned premiums +27% to $24.2M) though Q4 Innovations had a modest underwriting loss (combined ratio 101.7%) and an elevated expense ratio expected to normalize over 18–24 months. On capital, they are deploying a $100M fixed-maturity allocation (≈$50M deployed at year-end, remainder in 2026), repurchased 201k shares for $2.8M in Q4 ($9.8M YTD at $13.76 avg; $20.2M repurchase capacity remaining), paid down $30M of debt to $5M outstanding (leverage 0.7% from 9.5%), and plan to continue opportunistic buybacks while monitoring geopolitical and market risks (Solasglas net exposure ~29% in Feb, down from ~40% at year-end).

Greenlight Capital Re Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet (low leverage and steadily growing equity) and a meaningful rebound in operating/free cash flow support financial resilience. Offsetting this, profitability and cash flow have shown volatility, and the latest period’s extreme revenue decline raises uncertainty about the sustainability and quality of recent results.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Profitability has generally improved versus earlier years, with net margins strengthening meaningfully in 2023–2024 and net income staying positive across the full period. However, the latest annual period shows an extreme revenue decline (down ~91%), which raises concerns about earnings quality and sustainability even though net margin appears unusually high. Margin volatility over time also suggests results can swing materially with underwriting/investment conditions.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively positioned with low leverage: debt-to-equity is modest in recent years and drops to effectively zero in the latest annual period, while equity has grown steadily. Returns on equity improved notably in 2023 before moderating, indicating the company can generate solid profitability but not consistently. Overall, financial flexibility appears strong, with the main watch item being variability in returns rather than balance-sheet strain.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash generation has strengthened substantially, with operating and free cash flow turning strongly positive in 2023–2025 and accelerating in the latest year. That said, cash flow was meaningfully negative in 2020–2022, highlighting higher volatility and potential timing swings that can occur in reinsurance. Recent performance is a clear positive, but the multi-year variability keeps this from scoring higher.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue696.35M647.97M632.35M477.63M570.46M
Gross Profit284.76M43.93M103.46M18.00M50.52M
EBITDA83.10M52.75M94.96M35.52M39.26M
Net Income74.83M42.82M86.83M25.34M17.58M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.17B2.02B1.74B1.58B1.43B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments643.73M64.69M51.08M38.24M76.31M
Total Debt7.40M60.75M73.28M80.53M98.06M
Total Liabilities1.46B1.38B1.14B1.08B951.83M
Stockholders Equity707.98M635.88M596.10M503.12M475.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow210.21M111.50M7.51M-139.05M-57.53M
Operating Cash Flow210.21M111.50M7.51M-31.80M-56.30M
Investing Cash Flow-149.17M-96.56M-53.13M47.02M23.09M
Financing Cash Flow-65.14M-21.24M-5.29M-19.83M-10.00M

Greenlight Capital Re Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.16
Price Trends
50DMA
14.04
Positive
100DMA
13.66
Positive
200DMA
13.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.29
Negative
RSI
73.82
Negative
STOCH
85.90
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GLRE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.37, below the 50-day MA of 14.04, and below the 200-day MA of 13.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.29 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 73.82 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.90 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GLRE.

Greenlight Capital Re Risk Analysis

Greenlight Capital Re disclosed 2 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Greenlight Capital Re reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks

Greenlight Capital Re Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$563.79M6.5911.10%5.83%-101.38%
71
Outperform
$2.38B5.5520.87%7.87%-4.68%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
63
Neutral
$299.72M6.167.44%0.63%-19.08%56.21%
62
Neutral
$324.05M11.187.67%3.59%-0.09%83.67%
46
Neutral
$82.68M1.2633.48%-66.75%-50.53%
44
Neutral
$6.60M-18.54-50.32%55.30%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GLRE
Greenlight Capital Re
16.59
3.28
24.64%
KG
Kestrel Group
10.68
-3.02
-22.04%
WSBF
Waterstone Financial
17.65
4.41
33.27%
SPNT
SiriusPoint
20.32
5.03
32.90%
JRVR
James River Group
6.52
2.62
67.01%
OXBR
Oxbridge Re Holdings
0.86
-1.72
-66.71%

Greenlight Capital Re Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Greenlight Capital Re announces upcoming general counsel resignation
Neutral
Feb 5, 2026

On February 2, 2026, Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd. announced that its General Counsel, Chief Compliance Officer and Corporate Secretary, David Sigmon, has given notice of his intention to resign effective May 1, 2026. The company stated that Sigmon’s departure is not due to any disagreement with management, the board, or company policies and operations, and he will remain in his current roles until his exit, suggesting an orderly transition for the insurer’s legal and compliance functions without immediate signs of internal turmoil.

The most recent analyst rating on (GLRE) stock is a Hold with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Greenlight Capital Re stock, see the GLRE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 10, 2026