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Greystone Logistics Inc (GLGI)
OTHER OTC:GLGI
US Market

Greystone Logistics (GLGI) AI Stock Analysis

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GLGI

Greystone Logistics

(OTC:GLGI)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$0.42
▼(-57.37% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by weakened TTM profitability (net loss, margin compression, lower revenue) and very bearish technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD and oversold RSI/Stoch). Support comes from positive operating/free cash flow and earnings-call mitigants (near-term contract start and lender concessions), but valuation is difficult to assess with a negative P/E and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Positive operating and free cash flow despite a TTM net loss shows the core business converts sales into cash. This provides durable liquidity to fund operations, absorb shocks, service debt, and invest in customer programs, improving resilience across business cycles.
Installed Capacity
A sizable asset base with ~$60M of equipment and ~$10M of new, largely unused capacity lets Greystone scale production without immediate capex. This structural capacity supports faster revenue recovery, higher throughput for large customers, and product diversification over quarters.
Customer Pipeline & Product Trials
Successful Walmart trials and multi-year revenue history plus track‑and‑trace tech enable closed‑loop services and longer customer engagements. These structural customer relationships and product differentiation support recurring program fees and strengthen competitive positioning over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Major Customer Loss
Losing a long‑term customer removed a material volume stream, immediately reducing utilization and revenue. The shock forced large layoffs and creates multi‑quarter execution risk as management must redeploy capacity and replace steady program income with new contracts.
Profitability Decline
Declining revenue and compressed margins signal structural pricing or cost pressures. Negative net margin and reduced gross margin erode reinvestment capacity and return on equity, making sustained recovery dependent on regaining higher-margin programs or cost structural fixes.
Mid-Level Leverage & Equity Decline
Manageable but meaningful leverage combined with declining equity reduces financial flexibility. Equipment‑tied debt and periods of underutilization mean the company may face sustained cash strain until volumes recover, limiting capacity for strategic investments or margin restoration.

Greystone Logistics (GLGI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Greystone Logistics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGreystone Logistics (GLGI) is a leading manufacturer and distributor of plastic products, primarily focusing on the production of sustainable, high-quality plastic pallets and containers. Operating in various sectors including logistics, agriculture, and retail, GLGI aims to provide innovative solutions that cater to the growing demand for environmentally friendly and cost-effective product offerings. The company emphasizes its commitment to resource efficiency and sustainability, thereby positioning itself as a key player in the circular economy.
How the Company Makes MoneyGreystone Logistics generates revenue primarily through the manufacturing and sale of its plastic pallets and containers. The company has established multiple revenue streams, including direct sales to end-users, distribution partnerships, and contracts with large retailers and logistics companies that require durable and reusable shipping solutions. Additionally, GLGI benefits from its focus on sustainability, which appeals to a growing market of environmentally conscious businesses. The company's strategic partnerships with various industries enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings, while ongoing investments in production technology help to streamline operations and reduce costs, further boosting profitability.

Greystone Logistics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 15, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 20, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call described a material negative event — the abrupt loss of long-time customer iGPS — that led to meaningful revenue disruption and the immediate layoff of ~140 employees, creating near-term uncertainty and unutilized equipment-related debt. Offsetting these negatives were several concrete mitigants and growth opportunities: an 8-month, 18M-pound resin processing contract starting immediately; promising Walmart trials and cellular track-and-trace technology with multi-year battery life; lender concessions to interest-only payments for 2026; a sizable installed equipment base (~$60M) and ~$10M of new capacity; and a visible sales pipeline (Toyota, Berry, Southwire) and product diversification. Management is optimistic about recovery within several quarters but acknowledges short-term financial and operational headwinds.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Short-term contract secured for resin processing
Signed an 8-month contract to grind/granulate ~18 million pounds of plastic starting next week; will begin contributing revenue immediately after start.
Walmart traction and successful cellular-tracking trials
Walmart pallet design manufactured and delivered in December; successful testing at Mira Loma/Chicago import facilities; company cited ~ $30 million in revenue from Walmart over the past 5–6 years. Cellular track-and-trace tech (battery life ~7 years) being piloted, enabling location and temperature monitoring and opening closed-loop opportunities.
Bank support and near-term cashflow relief
Lender (IBC) agreed to interest-only payments for calendar 2026, providing significant cashflow relief (previous principal+interest payments were about $250,000/month); management expects revolver renewal to be completed.
Installed capacity and equipment investments
Company has substantial manufacturing capacity: ~ $60 million of equipment in place, including ~$10 million of recently installed equipment (largely unused), positioning Greystone to scale production as demand returns.
Pipeline of new customers and product diversification
Sales pipeline includes purchase orders / opportunities with Toyota (extruded pallets), discussions with Berry Plastics and Southwire, distributors committed to support, and expansion into non-pallet plastic products and outsourcing work — management expects to leverage excess capacity.
Management commitment and operational strengths
CEO Warren Kruger owns 8,884,354 shares and emphasized commitment to the business; management describes a lean organization with experienced operations and strong plant leadership, and expects to be back on track within ~6 months.
Negative Updates
Abrupt loss of long-term customer (iGPS)
An 11-year relationship with major customer iGPS ended abruptly, and the related revenue stream stopped immediately. Management called it a significant exogenous event that materially reduced sales.
Significant workforce reduction and operational impact
Laid off ~140 employees toward the end of November; current headcount reported in the '80s, down from as high as ~250 previously. Layoff-related costs will be reflected in the first half of the corporate year.
Near-term revenue and growth uncertainty
Loss of iGPS recycling volume (management noted recycling ~300k–400k pallets/year for iGPS and cited up to 800k pallets removed from the system annually) will slow growth; management expects it will take a couple of quarters to add meaningful revenue and about six months to get 'back on track.'
Unutilized equipment-related debt and short-term financial strain
Much of the company's debt is tied to new equipment (~$10 million recently installed) that has not been fully leveraged; short-term cash pressure prompted borrowing adjustments and may limit flexibility until revenue recovers.
Market reaction and share-price weakness
Management noted a recent significant sell-off (example cited ~335,000 shares traded and share price decline) following the iGPS announcement, reflecting investor concern and valuation pressure.
Company Guidance
Management gave near‑term, metric‑driven guidance: an 8‑month contract beginning next week to grind/granulate ~18 million pounds of plastic will start generating revenue shortly; they laid off ~140 people in late November (current headcount now in the 80s, down from a peak near 250); the CEO holds 8,884,354 shares; the company has ~$10M of brand‑new equipment (part of roughly $60M of total equipment investment) largely unleveraged; bank loan payments of about $250K/month have been converted to interest‑only for calendar 2026 and the revolver extension is expected to be renewed; management expects to add meaningful revenue over a couple quarters and be “back on track” within ~6 months, is testing cellular track‑and‑trace pallets (battery life ~7 years) with Walmart (a ~5M sq ft import facility where Greystone delivered roughly $30M of revenue over the last 5–6 years), and plans to replace iGPS volume (they historically recycled ~300–400K pallets/year for iGPS, with industry displacement cited as ~800K pallets/year) by expanding closed‑loop leasing and recycling programs.

Greystone Logistics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials show a clear TTM reset: revenue declined (~-7.9%), margins compressed (gross margin ~12.1%), and net income turned negative (~-1.9% net margin). Offsets include positive operating cash flow (~$6.4M) and free cash flow (~$3.7M), plus leverage that is manageable but still meaningful (debt-to-equity ~1.0) with reduced equity cushion and negative ROE.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Profitability has weakened materially into TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months): revenue fell ~7.9% and net income turned negative (about -1.9% net margin), versus solid profitability in FY2024–FY2025 (net margins ~8.1% and ~4.1%). Gross margin also compressed in TTM (~12.1%) from prior-year levels (~16.4% in FY2025 and ~19.0% in FY2024), pointing to pricing/cost pressure. A positive offset is that EBITDA margin remains relatively healthy in TTM (~12.8%), but the step-down from recent years signals a clear earnings reset that needs stabilization.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Leverage looks manageable but not light: TTM debt is ~$15.9M against ~$16.6M of equity (debt-to-equity ~1.0), improved from the more leveraged periods earlier in the series (e.g., ~2.0 in FY2021). However, equity has declined from FY2024–FY2025 levels, and return on equity is negative in TTM, reflecting the recent loss. Asset base remains substantial (~$40.4M total assets), but the combination of mid-level leverage and weakening profitability reduces balance-sheet flexibility versus prior years.
Cash Flow
62
Positive
Cash generation is the bright spot in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months): operating cash flow is positive (~$6.4M) and free cash flow is also positive (~$3.7M), showing the business is still generating cash despite the net loss. That said, free cash flow dropped sharply versus the prior annual period (about -48.6% growth), and the history is choppy (including negative free cash flow in FY2023). Overall, current cash flow supports resilience, but volatility and the recent decline are key watch items.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue57.87M61.78M60.76M74.17M64.93M
Gross Profit9.48M11.72M9.33M7.77M11.46M
EBITDA10.25M13.08M15.23M11.28M12.05M
Net Income2.35M5.03M6.34M4.27M3.35M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets45.97M52.26M49.53M45.75M43.73M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.55M5.80M695.95K3.14M4.39M
Total Debt16.26M18.92M22.59M15.69M19.91M
Total Liabilities26.10M28.28M29.99M30.66M32.48M
Stockholders Equity19.88M23.98M19.54M13.70M10.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.53M9.59M-5.31M506.84K12.28M
Operating Cash Flow10.29M12.39M3.87M6.64M15.18M
Investing Cash Flow-5.70M-2.80M-9.13M-6.08M-2.91M
Financing Cash Flow-8.84M-4.49M2.81M-1.80M-9.02M

Greystone Logistics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.99
Price Trends
50DMA
0.57
Negative
100DMA
0.81
Negative
200DMA
1.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.06
Positive
RSI
25.53
Positive
STOCH
10.83
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GLGI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.53, above the 50-day MA of 0.57, and below the 200-day MA of 1.03, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.53 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.83 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GLGI.

Greystone Logistics Risk Analysis

Greystone Logistics disclosed 23 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Greystone Logistics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Greystone Logistics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$159.75M20.085.32%-16.59%-47.02%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
$76.79M41.615.08%0.18%-54.25%
57
Neutral
$87.33M-273.000.02%1.33%-0.97%-99.67%
49
Neutral
$9.82M-8.354.28%-4.65%-78.80%
48
Neutral
$55.59M-20.5011013.00%39.85%
44
Neutral
$6.74M-0.10-43.37%61.85%49.02%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GLGI
Greystone Logistics
0.36
-0.65
-64.36%
CMT
Core Molding Technologies
18.66
3.74
25.07%
FSI
Flexible Solutions International
6.05
-0.11
-1.79%
GURE
Gulf Resources
4.88
-2.05
-29.58%
NTIC
Northern Technologies International
9.20
-2.69
-22.62%
LOOP
Loop Industries
1.15
-0.03
-2.54%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 17, 2026