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Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corp. (GLDD)
NASDAQ:GLDD

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) AI Stock Analysis

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GLDD

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock

(NASDAQ:GLDD)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$17.50
▲(16.82% Upside)
Great Lakes Dredge & Dock's strong technical indicators and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors driving the score. The company's financial performance is solid, though free cash flow challenges need addressing. Valuation is reasonable, supporting a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Market Leadership
Scale as the largest U.S. dredging provider grants durable advantages: preferred access to public contracts, stronger multi-year client relationships, and higher bargaining power for equipment and labor. This structural position supports steady contract flow and competitive bidding success.
Robust Backlog and Project Mix
A $935m backlog, heavily weighted to capital and coastal protection, provides multi-quarter revenue visibility and reduces cyclicality exposure. Capital projects typically have longer timelines and stable public funding, supporting sustained utilization and predictable cash generation over 2–3 years.
Fleet Modernization Advantage
Finishing the new-build program yields a modern, advanced hopper dredge fleet, improving operating efficiency, lower unit costs, and higher utilization. A superior fleet is a durable competitive moat for winning large, complex projects and reducing maintenance downtime long-term.
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Weakness
Negative free cash flow despite rising operating cash flow signals structural cash conversion challenges. Sustained negative FCF limits capacity to self-fund capex, repay debt, or invest in growth without external financing, constraining financial flexibility over multiple quarters.
Elevated Leverage
A net leverage around 2.5x and a debt-to-equity backdrop increases sensitivity to cash flow volatility. Elevated leverage narrows margin for execution hiccups, may increase financing costs or restrict bidding on large projects, and requires consistent FCF improvement to de-risk the balance sheet.
Offshore Wind Demand Uncertainty
Signs of U.S. offshore wind delays create structural uncertainty for a potential growth market and diversification avenue. Slower project timing can reduce high-margin opportunities and capital deployment plans, forcing strategic adjustments and extending reliance on traditional dredging markets.

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (GLDD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGreat Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation provides dredging services in the United States. The company engages in capital dredging that consists of port expansion projects; coastal restoration and land reclamations; trench digging for pipelines, tunnels, and cables; and other dredging related to the construction of breakwaters, jetties, canals, and other marine structures. It is also involved in coastal protection projects that comprises of moving sand from the ocean floor to shoreline locations where erosion threatens shoreline assets; maintenance dredging, which consists of the re-dredging of previously deepened waterways and harbors to remove silt, sand, and other accumulated sediments; land reclamations, channel deepening, and port infrastructure development; and lake and river dredging, inland levee and construction dredging, environmental restoration and habitat improvement, and other marine construction projects. The company serves federal, state, and local governments; foreign governments; and domestic and foreign private concerns, such as utilities, oil, and other energy companies. It operates a fleet of 18 dredges, 17 material transportation barges, 1 drillboat, and various other support vessels. The company was formerly known as Lydon & Drews Partnership and changed its name to Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation in 1905. Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyGreat Lakes Dredge & Dock generates revenue primarily through its dredging and marine construction services. The company earns money by securing contracts for large-scale projects, which can include dredging operations for federal, state, and local government agencies, as well as private sector clients involved in construction and infrastructure. Key revenue streams include maintenance dredging contracts, capital dredging projects, and specialty services such as environmental remediation. GLDD often benefits from long-term relationships with government entities and infrastructure partners, enabling it to secure repeat business and participate in multi-year projects. Additionally, the company's strategic investments in advanced dredging equipment and technologies enhance its operational efficiency and competitiveness in the market.

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, a robust backlog, and strategic achievements such as refinancing and completion of the new build program. While there are some operational challenges, such as dry docking and potential delays in the offshore wind market, the positives significantly outweigh the negatives.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and EBITDA Performance
Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corp reported third-quarter revenues of $195.2 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $39.3 million, with a 20.1% EBITDA margin, marking strong financial performance.
Robust Backlog
The company maintains a strong dredging backlog of $935 million, with 84% in capital and coastal protection projects, providing revenue visibility into 2026.
Successful Credit Facility Refinancing
The firm upsized its revolving credit facility to $430 million, extending the maturity to 2030 and reducing interest expense by $6 million annually.
Completion of New Build Program
The delivery of the Amelia Island dredge marked the completion of the new build program, positioning the company with the largest and most advanced hopper dredge fleet in the U.S.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Achieved positive free cash flow of $52 million for the first nine months of the year despite significant new build costs, with expectations to be significantly free cash flow positive starting in 2026.
Negative Updates
Dry Docking Impact
Three dredges underwent regulatory dry docking and repairs during the third quarter, which could impact revenue generation capabilities temporarily.
Potential Offshore Wind Market Delays
The company noted early signs of potential delays in the U.S. offshore wind market, requiring strategic adjustments for future operations.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corp reported robust financial performance, with revenues reaching $195.2 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $39.3 million, reflecting a margin of 20.1%. The company's dredging backlog stood strong at $935 million, with 84% allocated to capital and coastal protection projects, and an additional $194 million in awards and options pending. They secured new project awards worth $136 million during the quarter. Despite challenges such as dry docking of three dredges, the company achieved a gross profit of $43.8 million, yielding a gross profit margin of 22.4%. Their balance sheet showed a cash position of $12.7 million, with an upsized revolving credit facility of $430 million and a net leverage ratio of 2.5x. Looking ahead, the company anticipates ending the year on a high note, with expectations for 2025 to be the highest EBITDA year in company history, driven by strong project execution and high vessel utilization.

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Great Lakes Dredge & Dock has demonstrated strong revenue and profit growth, with improved margins and effective equity utilization. However, challenges in free cash flow generation could impact liquidity. Continued focus on cost management and cash flow improvement will be crucial for sustaining financial health.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Great Lakes Dredge & Dock has shown impressive revenue growth with a TTM increase of 48.5%, indicating strong demand and operational efficiency. The gross profit margin improved to 23.03%, and the net profit margin increased to 8.63%, reflecting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins also improved, showcasing effective cost management. However, the company should continue to monitor cost pressures to maintain these margins.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.03, indicating a balanced leverage position compared to previous years. Return on equity improved to 15.62%, demonstrating effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is moderate, suggesting a need for cautious financial management to avoid over-leveraging.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow has increased significantly, but free cash flow remains negative, with a concerning decline in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.68, but the negative free cash flow to net income ratio indicates potential liquidity challenges. The company should focus on improving free cash flow generation to support long-term financial stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue834.60M762.69M589.63M648.78M726.15M733.60M
Gross Profit198.78M160.58M77.73M31.17M145.27M171.23M
EBITDA167.59M135.96M72.98M16.97M127.44M149.45M
Net Income80.55M57.27M13.91M-34.05M49.43M66.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.27B1.31B1.11B981.78M997.67M958.02M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.67M10.22M22.84M6.55M145.46M216.51M
Total Debt486.58M550.21M505.87M413.40M383.69M389.09M
Total Liabilities765.63M857.21M725.29M613.56M598.67M611.36M
Stockholders Equity502.11M448.91M385.55M368.22M399.00M346.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow23.93M-55.08M-103.42M-142.33M-72.05M31.33M
Operating Cash Flow164.30M70.06M47.42M672.00K44.61M78.95M
Investing Cash Flow-137.71M-115.69M-120.14M-140.91M-112.20M-43.17M
Financing Cash Flow-25.95M32.09M89.93M-679.00K-1.46M-6.26M

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.98
Price Trends
50DMA
13.57
Positive
100DMA
12.69
Positive
200DMA
11.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.53
Negative
RSI
58.07
Neutral
STOCH
39.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GLDD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.98 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.38, above the 50-day MA of 13.57, and above the 200-day MA of 11.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GLDD.

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Risk Analysis

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Great Lakes Dredge & Dock reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$1.02B12.6417.37%12.53%35.68%
75
Outperform
$1.86B45.3016.38%12.90%72.61%
65
Neutral
$487.59M50.646.31%7.02%
64
Neutral
$293.94M63.453.32%-8.98%-38.23%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
57
Neutral
$605.11M36.636.31%16.73%
47
Neutral
$402.74M-16.70-16.33%17.16%24.10%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GLDD
Great Lakes Dredge & Dock
14.98
4.16
38.45%
MTRX
Matrix Service Company
14.32
0.72
5.29%
ORN
Orion Group Holdings
12.22
4.42
56.67%
WLDN
Willdan Group
126.20
91.09
259.44%
BBCP
Concrete Pumping Holdings
5.78
-2.54
-30.53%
BWMN
Bowman Consulting Group
34.83
10.04
40.50%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025