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Orion Group Holdings (ORN)
NYSE:ORN

Orion Group Holdings (ORN) AI Stock Analysis

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ORN

Orion Group Holdings

(NYSE:ORN)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▲(2.34% Upside)
Overall score reflects mixed fundamentals: improved margins and leverage and a positive earnings-call reset (raised guidance and strong pipeline) are balanced by weak cash flow conversion, recent revenue decline, and a high P/E valuation. Technicals are broadly neutral, indicating consolidation rather than strong momentum.
Positive Factors
Improved Leverage Profile
A lower debt-to-equity ratio indicates improved leverage management, enhancing financial stability and reducing risk exposure.
Strong Opportunity Pipeline
A robust opportunity pipeline supports future revenue growth and market expansion, positioning the company for sustained success.
New Credit Facility
The new credit facility enhances liquidity, reduces cost of capital, and supports growth strategies, improving financial flexibility.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A significant revenue decline indicates challenges in market demand or competitive positioning, potentially impacting long-term growth.
Weak Cash Flow Conversion
Weak cash flow conversion limits the company's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities and manage financial obligations effectively.
Concrete Segment Challenges
Losses in the Concrete segment highlight operational challenges, potentially affecting overall profitability and resource allocation.

Orion Group Holdings (ORN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Orion Group Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrion Group Holdings, Inc. operates as a specialty construction company in the building, industrial, and infrastructure sectors in the continental United States, Alaska, Canada, and the Caribbean Basin. It operates in two segments, Marine and Concrete. The company provides various marine construction services, including construction, restoration, dredging, maintenance, and repair of marine transportation facilities and pipelines, bridges and causeways, and marine environmental structures. Its marine transportation facility projects comprise public port facilities, cruise ship port facilities, private terminals, special-use navy terminals, recreational use marinas and docks, and other marine-based facilities. The company also offers on-going maintenance and repair, inspection, emergency repair, and demolition and salvage services to marine transportation facilities. Its marine pipeline service projects include the installation and removal of underwater buried pipeline transmission lines; the installation of pipeline intakes and outfalls for industrial facilities; the construction of pipeline outfalls for wastewater and industrial discharges; river crossing and directional drilling; the creation of hot taps and tie-ins; and inspection, maintenance, and repair services. The company's bridge and causeway projects include the construction, repair, and maintenance of overwater bridges and causeways, as well as the development of fendering systems in marine environments; and marine environmental structures used for erosion control, wetlands creation, and environmental remediation. The company also provides specialty services, such as design, salvage, demolition, surveying, towing, diving and underwater inspection, excavation, and repair services. In addition, it offers light commercial, structural, and other concrete construction services. Orion Group Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrion Group Holdings generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from contracts in the marine and concrete construction sectors. The company earns income by undertaking large-scale construction projects that are often funded by government and private sector contracts. Revenue is recognized based on the percentage of completion method for long-term contracts, allowing Orion to report earnings as work progresses. Additionally, the company benefits from strategic partnerships with various governmental and industrial clients, which helps secure ongoing projects and long-term contracts. The diverse portfolio of services, combined with a focus on quality and safety, contributes to customer retention and repeat business, further enhancing the company's financial stability.

Orion Group Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance and strategic achievements, such as significant contract wins and recognition in the industry. However, challenges in the Concrete segment, increased SG&A expenses, and delays in major projects were noted as areas of concern.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance in Q3 2025
Orion Group Holdings reported revenue of $225 million, operating income of $5 million, adjusted EBITDA of $13 million, and adjusted EPS of $0.09 per share. This represents sequential growth of 10% in revenue, 20% in adjusted EBITDA, and 27% in adjusted EPS.
Significant Contract Wins and Pipeline
Orion booked over $160 million in new contracts and change orders during the third quarter, balanced across Marine and Concrete segments. The company's opportunity pipeline is a healthy $18 billion with over $1 billion in opportunities awaiting award.
Recognition and Strategic Initiatives
Orion was recognized by E&R Magazine as #2 in the top contractors in transportation in the marine and port facilities category and #15 in the top 20 concrete contractors in the U.S. The company also expanded its bonding capacity by $400 million.
Successful Sale of East West Jones Property
The company closed on the sale of its East West Jones property for $23.5 million, intending to use the proceeds to reduce debt and for general corporate purposes.
Negative Updates
Concrete Segment Challenges
The Concrete segment experienced a 5% revenue decrease year-over-year and incurred a $4 million loss in adjusted EBITDA for the quarter, primarily due to favorable project closeout benefits in 2024 that did not reoccur in 2025 and weather issues.
SG&A Increases Impacting Profitability
The year-over-year increase in SG&A expenses was a factor in lower operating income, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS compared to the third quarter of 2024.
Delays in Major Projects
Some major project opportunities, particularly in the Pacific, have slid out by about a year, impacting the anticipated timing of growth in that region.
Company Guidance
During the Orion Group Holdings Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company announced an increase in their full-year 2025 guidance for revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS, showcasing confidence in their strategic execution and market positioning. Orion reported $225 million in revenue for the quarter, with an operating income of $5 million, adjusted EBITDA of $13 million, and adjusted EPS of $0.09, reflecting sequential growth of 10% in revenue, 20% in adjusted EBITDA, and 27% in adjusted EPS. The company also highlighted a robust opportunity pipeline of $18 billion, with over $1 billion in submitted opportunities awaiting award. The Marine segment showed strong performance with a 50% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $18 million, while the Concrete segment faced challenges, reporting a $4 million adjusted EBITDA loss. The sale of the East West Jones property for $23.5 million was finalized, contributing to their strategic financial maneuvers, including reducing debt. With a healthy balance sheet and a diversified project portfolio, Orion is poised to leverage favorable market tailwinds into 2026 and beyond.

Orion Group Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Orion Group Holdings shows a mixed financial performance. Improvements in gross profit margin and operational efficiencies are offset by a significant revenue decline and cash flow challenges. The balance sheet is stable with good leverage management, but profitability metrics like ROE are moderate.
Income Statement
Orion Group Holdings shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data reveals a gross profit margin of 13.02%, which is an improvement over previous years, indicating better cost management. However, the net profit margin is low at 1.13%, and revenue has declined by 18.8% compared to the previous period, highlighting challenges in revenue generation. Despite these issues, the company has improved its EBIT and EBITDA margins, suggesting operational efficiencies.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet of Orion Group Holdings reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27 in the TTM period, significantly reduced from previous years, indicating improved leverage management. The return on equity is modest at 6.19%, showing profitability but with room for improvement. The equity ratio stands at 37.37%, suggesting a solid equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement presents challenges, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of -107.39% in the TTM period, indicating cash flow issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.14, showing limited cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting difficulties in converting profits into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue835.92M796.39M711.78M748.32M601.36M709.94M
Gross Profit108.84M91.16M61.66M50.74M40.97M84.70M
EBITDA41.56M31.39M15.68M11.06M4.70M44.76M
Net Income9.48M-1.64M-17.88M-12.61M-14.56M20.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets422.38M417.32M416.89M367.15M351.75M414.19M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.92M28.32M30.94M3.78M12.29M1.59M
Total Debt42.92M94.46M85.49M66.56M69.21M65.67M
Total Liabilities264.49M266.64M295.42M229.35M203.65M254.69M
Stockholders Equity157.89M150.68M121.47M137.80M148.10M159.49M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.33M-1.42M8.27M-5.02M-16.91M31.34M
Operating Cash Flow27.62M12.68M17.18M9.56M69.00K46.03M
Investing Cash Flow-26.54M-11.48M2.17M-9.70M10.63M-3.13M
Financing Cash Flow-24.42M-3.82M7.81M-8.37M6.00K-42.40M

Orion Group Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.26
Price Trends
50DMA
10.17
Positive
100DMA
9.08
Positive
200DMA
8.34
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.01
Positive
RSI
50.56
Neutral
STOCH
49.93
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ORN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.48, above the 50-day MA of 10.17, and above the 200-day MA of 8.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.93 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ORN.

Orion Group Holdings Risk Analysis

Orion Group Holdings disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Orion Group Holdings reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Orion Group Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$890.79M11.0517.37%12.53%35.68%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
$409.38M42.526.31%7.02%
58
Neutral
$364.44M43.603.32%-8.98%-38.23%
48
Neutral
$139.19M360.090.64%1.11%16.80%-98.32%
47
Neutral
$340.59M-14.12-16.33%17.16%24.10%
41
Neutral
$178.57M-1.88-84.16%-9.10%21.10%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ORN
Orion Group Holdings
10.26
3.40
49.56%
ESOA
Energy Services of America
8.31
-3.09
-27.11%
GLDD
Great Lakes Dredge & Dock
13.10
1.87
16.65%
MTRX
Matrix Service Company
12.11
-0.19
-1.54%
BBCP
Concrete Pumping Holdings
7.08
0.13
1.87%
SLND
Southland Holdings
3.30
0.02
0.61%

Orion Group Holdings Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Orion Group Secures New $120 Million Credit Facility
Positive
Dec 29, 2025

On December 23, 2025, Orion Group Holdings entered into a new $120 million senior credit facility with UMB Bank, replacing its prior $88 million credit agreement and fully repaying the earlier facility, including a make-whole payment of about $1.1 million; the transaction was announced publicly on December 29, 2025. The five-year facility, maturing in December 2030, comprises a $60 million revolving line of credit, a $20 million equipment term loan and a $40 million acquisition term loan, plus a $25 million uncommitted accordion, and is secured by substantially all of the company’s and its domestic subsidiaries’ assets, with covenants that cap senior leverage at 3.0x and require a minimum fixed-charge coverage ratio of 1.2x; borrowings are priced off SOFR or an ABR-based rate with margins tied to leverage, delivering roughly a 225-basis-point reduction versus the prior facility and enhancing Orion’s liquidity, lowering its cost of capital and providing additional capacity to fund acquisitions, working capital and general corporate purposes, thereby supporting its stated growth strategy and financial flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (ORN) stock is a Hold with a $11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orion Group Holdings stock, see the ORN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Orion Group Holdings Reports Strong Q3 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 29, 2025, Orion Group Holdings announced strong third-quarter financial results, highlighting top- and bottom-line growth, robust cash generation, and strategic advancements such as expanding bonding capacity and securing new contracts. The company is well-positioned for future growth, with a healthy $18 billion opportunity pipeline and significant contracts in marine infrastructure and concrete projects. Orion’s strategic focus on AI investment, reshoring manufacturing, and defense expansion is expected to drive further growth, supported by recent property sales to reduce debt and enhance competitive advantage.

The most recent analyst rating on (ORN) stock is a Buy with a $9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orion Group Holdings stock, see the ORN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Orion Group Holdings Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Orion Group Holdings reported its third-quarter results for 2025, highlighting strong operational execution with revenue of $225.1 million and adjusted EBITDA of $13.1 million. The company increased its fiscal year guidance, reflecting confidence in its strategic priorities and market positioning. Orion expanded its bonding capacity by $400 million and closed the sale of its East and West Jones property, which will aid in debt reduction and operational cost savings. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities in AI investment, reshoring manufacturing, marine infrastructure, and defense expansion.

The most recent analyst rating on (ORN) stock is a Buy with a $9.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orion Group Holdings stock, see the ORN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 31, 2025