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General Mills (GIS)
NYSE:GIS

General Mills (GIS) AI Stock Analysis

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GI

General Mills

(NYSE:GIS)

66Neutral
General Mills presents a stable financial profile with strong cash flow and profitability. However, the stock faces headwinds from technical indicators pointing to a bearish trend and external challenges like consumer confidence and retailer inventory issues. The company's valuation is attractive, supported by a strong dividend yield. Overall, the strategic focus on cost savings and marketing investment offers a cautiously optimistic outlook, balancing the current challenges with potential growth opportunities.
Positive Factors
Cost Efficiency
Good visibility exists into a 5% productivity gain in the near future, with new efficiencies providing further contributions.
Growth Opportunities
The company believes that it can deliver against its long-term targets while coexisting with long-term trends such as an aging population, increased snacking, humanization of pets, and the increased use of AI and digital channels by retailers and consumers.
Volume Improvement
The company has shown the ability to drive volume improvement at Pillsbury, Totino’s, and Blue Buffalo in recent months.
Negative Factors
Earnings Impact
The financial impact and magnitude of late-FY25 reinvestments are much larger than expected, affecting earnings negatively.
Market Share Losses
Mills’ US consumption trends have been soft largely as a result of market share losses within its categories.
Sales Weakness
Retail de-stocking and softness in the snacks category have led to lighter North America retail sales.

General Mills (GIS) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

General Mills Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGeneral Mills, Inc. (GIS) is a leading global food company headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The company operates in several sectors including retail, foodservice, and convenience stores, providing a diverse range of products that span cereals, snacks, yogurt, baking products, and pet foods. With iconic brands such as Cheerios, Betty Crocker, Pillsbury, Haagen-Dazs, and Blue Buffalo, General Mills is committed to delivering high-quality food products to consumers worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyGeneral Mills generates revenue primarily through the sale of branded food products across various categories including cereals, snacks, meals, baking products, and pet foods. The company's revenue streams are mainly divided into three segments: North America Retail, Convenience Stores & Foodservice, and International. North America Retail is the largest segment, contributing a significant portion of the company's total revenue through the sale of products to major retail chains and supermarkets. The Convenience Stores & Foodservice segment provides products to convenience stores, vending operators, and foodservice outlets. The International segment extends the company's reach globally, offering products across Europe, Latin America, and the Asia-Pacific region. General Mills also benefits from strategic partnerships and joint ventures, such as its stake in the Haagen-Dazs ice cream business outside of North America, which provide additional revenue streams. The company invests in marketing and innovation to strengthen its brand presence and adapt to changing consumer preferences, further driving sales and profitability.

General Mills Financial Statement Overview

Summary
General Mills demonstrates overall financial stability with strong profitability and cash generation, though recent revenue declines and increased debt levels should be monitored. The company's solid margins and cash flow resilience position it well in the consumer products sector, yet future growth will depend on reversing the revenue trend.
Income Statement
72
Positive
General Mills exhibits solid profitability with a stable gross profit margin and resilient EBIT and EBITDA margins over TTM. However, revenue has slightly declined compared to the previous period, signaling potential challenges in growth. Net profit margin remains healthy, indicating effective cost management despite revenue pressures.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting a balanced approach to leveraging debt. The equity ratio suggests a stable financial foundation, though the increase in total debt over recent periods warrants monitoring. Return on equity indicates effective utilization of shareholder funds.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Operating cash flow is robust, outperforming net income, which highlights strong cash generation capabilities. Free cash flow remains stable, supporting ongoing investment and debt servicing. Although the free cash flow growth rate is modest, the company's cash flow metrics remain strong.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
19.64B19.86B20.09B18.99B18.13B17.63B
Gross Profit
6.95B6.93B6.55B6.40B6.45B6.13B
EBIT
3.58B3.43B2.66B3.48B3.14B2.95B
EBITDA
3.99B4.08B4.08B4.16B3.88B3.66B
Net Income Common Stockholders
2.56B2.50B2.59B2.71B2.34B2.18B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.29B418.00M585.50M569.40M1.51B1.68B
Total Assets
33.40B31.47B31.45B31.09B31.84B30.81B
Total Debt
14.52B13.32B11.71B11.62B12.61B13.54B
Net Debt
12.23B12.90B11.12B11.05B11.11B11.86B
Total Liabilities
23.95B21.82B20.75B20.30B21.46B21.91B
Stockholders Equity
9.20B9.40B10.45B10.54B9.47B8.06B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.48B2.53B2.09B2.75B2.45B3.22B
Operating Cash Flow
3.17B3.30B2.78B3.32B2.98B3.68B
Investing Cash Flow
-2.27B-1.20B-346.40M-1.69B-512.80M-486.20M
Financing Cash Flow
-954.40M-2.27B-2.40B-2.50B-2.72B-1.94B

General Mills Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price59.61
Price Trends
50DMA
60.01
Negative
100DMA
61.52
Negative
200DMA
64.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.37
Positive
RSI
49.20
Neutral
STOCH
59.85
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GIS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 59.61 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 59.88, below the 50-day MA of 60.01, and below the 200-day MA of 64.75, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.85 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GIS.

General Mills Risk Analysis

General Mills disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. General Mills reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

General Mills Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
MKMKC
74
Outperform
$20.51B26.2514.73%2.24%0.40%10.89%
HRHRL
71
Outperform
$16.90B22.319.54%3.70%-1.84%-5.14%
CACAG
70
Outperform
$12.74B39.043.67%5.25%-3.15%-65.38%
KHKHC
67
Neutral
$35.47B13.145.56%5.39%-2.98%-2.22%
GIGIS
66
Neutral
$32.64B13.0927.37%4.01%-2.62%4.27%
62
Neutral
$20.22B13.99-16.14%3.22%1.15%3.41%
SJSJM
61
Neutral
$12.25B22.22-3.55%3.73%7.07%-181.54%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GIS
General Mills
59.61
-7.89
-11.69%
CAG
Conagra Brands
26.68
-3.12
-10.47%
HRL
Hormel Foods
30.74
-3.13
-9.24%
SJM
JM Smucker
115.16
3.60
3.23%
MKC
McCormick & Company
76.46
2.11
2.84%
KHC
Kraft Heinz
29.68
-5.62
-15.92%

General Mills Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 19, 2025 | % Change Since: -1.37% | Next Earnings Date: Jun 25, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
General Mills is working on improving its competitive position through cost savings and increased investment in innovation and marketing. However, challenges such as reduced consumer confidence, increased focus on value, and inventory headwinds present significant hurdles. The company's strategy to address these issues offers a balanced outlook.
Highlights
Cost Savings Initiatives
General Mills plans to achieve at least 5% HMM savings and an additional $100 million in cost savings, which will be reinvested to drive growth and competitiveness.
Improvement in Key Brands
Brands like Blue Buffalo, Pillsbury, and Totino's have improved due to sharpened price points and better marketing, showing effective competition in the market.
Innovation and Marketing Plans
The company plans to increase marketing spend and introduce significant new products in fiscal 2026, focusing on fewer but bigger innovations.
Lowlights
Consumer Confidence and Value Seeking
The consumer environment has not improved as expected, with confidence indices at levels similar to 2008, leading to a strong focus on value among consumers.
Retailer Inventory Headwinds
Unexpected retailer inventory reductions, particularly in the Pet segment, contributed to a 5-point drag on results, affecting dry pet food sales.
Challenges in Snacking Categories
Fruit snacks and snack bars faced challenges due to value-seeking behavior by consumers and increased private-label competition.
Company Guidance
During the General Mills Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics. They emphasized a focus on accelerating organic growth into fiscal 2026, with at least 5% Holistic Margin Management (HMM) savings and an additional $100 million in cost savings. Furthermore, General Mills plans to reinvest the benefits from these cost-saving initiatives, including the 53rd week, into strategic areas such as pricing, marketing, and innovation. The fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 will see increased investments, particularly in pricing adjustments for fruit snacks, and a double-digit increase in marketing spend on major brands like Blue Buffalo, Pillsbury, and Cereal. The company aims to enhance competitiveness by aligning pricing strategies with consumer value-seeking behavior, supported by robust marketing and innovative product offerings.

General Mills Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
General Mills Announces Leadership Change with Nudi’s Retirement
Neutral
Mar 5, 2025

On March 5, 2025, General Mills announced the retirement of Jonathan J. Nudi, Group President of North America Pet, International, and North America Foodservice, effective June 30, 2025. This leadership change could impact the company’s strategic direction and operational focus in these key segments.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
General Mills Board of Directors Change in 2025
Neutral
Feb 4, 2025

On January 30, 2025, C. Kim Goodwin announced her decision not to seek reelection to the Board of Directors of General Mills at the company’s 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders in September. Ms. Goodwin will fulfill her responsibilities through the end of her current term, signaling a forthcoming change in board composition.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.