tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
General Mills (GIS)
NYSE:GIS

General Mills (GIS) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
4,356 Followers

Top Page

GIS

General Mills

(NYSE:GIS)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$39.00
â–²(4.00% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/20/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening recent financial performance (revenue and margin compression, softer FCF) and a clearly bearish technical setup. Offsetting factors include a supportive dividend yield and a largely constructive earnings narrative with reaffirmed guidance and plans for margin recovery, though near-term variability remains.
Positive Factors
Stable cash generation
Multi-billion annual operating cash flow and ~$1.65B FCF provide durable internal funding for dividends, portfolio reshaping, and productivity programs. This cash generation reduces reliance on external financing and supports capital allocation even if near-term margins remain pressured.
Diversified branded portfolio & channels
A broad, essential-food portfolio sold across multiple retail and foodservice channels smooths demand cyclicality, supports cross-category innovation, and preserves shelf presence. This structural diversification underpins resilient household penetration and long-term revenue stability.
Strategic traction: Remarkability and innovation
Visible results from the Remarkability program and a strong innovation pipeline (high-growth new SKUs, scaling protein and fresh pet formats) create sustainable organic growth levers. Successful launches and distribution gains can lift household penetration and margins over multiple years.
Negative Factors
Top-line and margin deterioration
Falling revenues and materially compressed gross margins signal weaker pricing power or higher cost absorption. Persistently lower margins constrain operating leverage, reduce incremental profitability on sales, and make it harder to fund transformation without structural cost or price changes.
Elevated leverage reduces flexibility
Debt-to-equity near 1.5x limits balance sheet flexibility to absorb shocks or fund growth initiatives. With FCF momentum softened, higher leverage raises refinancing and interest risks, constraining strategic options and magnifying the impact of any further profit setbacks.
Execution risk & reliance on mechanical tailwinds
Dependence on inventory timing and mechanical tailwinds, plus supply-chain and shipment execution issues, makes revenue and margin recovery lumpy. Structural execution weaknesses can delay sustained organic growth and complicate hitting multi-year margin targets.

General Mills (GIS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

General Mills Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGeneral Mills, Inc. manufactures and markets branded consumer foods worldwide. The company operates in five segments: North America Retail; Convenience Stores & Foodservice; Europe & Australia; Asia & Latin America; and Pet. It offers ready-to-eat cereals, refrigerated yogurt, soup, meal kits, refrigerated and frozen dough products, dessert and baking mixes, bakery flour, frozen pizza and pizza snacks, snack bars, fruit and salty snacks, ice cream, nutrition bars, wellness beverages, and savory and grain snacks, as well as various organic products, including frozen and shelf-stable vegetables. It also supplies branded and unbranded food products to the North American foodservice and commercial baking industries; and manufactures and markets pet food products, including dog and cat food. The company markets its products under the Annie's, Betty Crocker, Bisquick, Blue Buffalo, Blue Basics, Blue Freedom, Bugles, Cascadian Farm, Cheerios, Chex, Cinnamon Toast Crunch, Cocoa Puffs, Cookie Crisp, EPIC, Fiber One, Food Should Taste Good, Fruit by the Foot, Fruit Gushers, Fruit Roll-Ups, Gardetto's, Go-Gurt, Gold Medal, Golden Grahams, Häagen-Dazs, Helpers, Jus-Rol, Kitano, Kix, Lärabar, Latina, Liberté, Lucky Charms, Muir Glen, Nature Valley, Oatmeal Crisp, Old El Paso, Oui, Pillsbury, Progresso, Raisin Nut Bran, Total, Totino's, Trix, Wanchai Ferry, Wheaties, Wilderness, Yoki, and Yoplait trademarks. It sells its products directly, as well as through broker and distribution arrangements to grocery stores, mass merchandisers, membership stores, natural food chains, e-commerce retailers, commercial and noncommercial foodservice distributors and operators, restaurants, convenience stores, and pet specialty stores, as well as drug, dollar, and discount chains. The company operates 466 leased and 392 franchise ice cream parlors. General Mills, Inc. was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
How the Company Makes MoneyGeneral Mills makes money primarily by selling branded packaged foods and pet food to retailers and distributors, generating revenue when products ship to customers under customer contracts. Its core revenue streams come from: (1) North America Retail—sales of consumer packaged foods in the U.S. and Canada across major categories like cereal, snacks, meals, baking mixes, and other pantry staples, typically sold through large retailers (grocery, mass, club) and e-commerce; (2) International—sales of similar consumer food products outside North America, often through local retail channels and distributor relationships; (3) North America Pet—sales of pet food products, with revenue driven by distribution across pet specialty, mass retail, and e-commerce; and (4) North America Foodservice—sales to restaurants, institutions, and other food-away-from-home operators, generally through foodservice distributors and direct customer relationships. The company’s earnings are influenced by brand strength and pricing/mix, trade spending and promotional activity with retailers, product innovation and new launches, volume changes, input and packaging costs (e.g., grains, dairy, proteins, edible oils), manufacturing and logistics efficiency, and foreign currency movements for international operations. General Mills also earns from licensing and other smaller sources where applicable, but its primary model is high-volume branded product sales through retail and foodservice distribution networks.

General Mills Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Sales by Segment
Net Sales by Segment
Shows revenue generated by each business segment, indicating which products or services are most successful and where growth is occurring or slowing.
Chart InsightsGeneral Mills' North America Retail segment shows fluctuating sales with recent declines, but the latest earnings call reveals optimism. Strategic pricing and product innovation are driving growth in key categories, with a notable 25% rise in product innovation expected. The Pet segment is gaining momentum, especially with the successful launch of Love Made Fresh. However, challenges remain in sustaining volume growth and managing higher costs, particularly in the dog feeding and cereal categories. Despite these hurdles, the company projects profit growth in Q4, aided by favorable trade timing and an extra week.
Data provided by:The Fly

General Mills Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 18, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated measurable progress on the company’s strategic investments (remarkability, innovation, Pet launch, salty snacks strength) and a clear plan to drive better results in Q4 and fiscal 2027, including a reaffirmed FY26 guide. However, results in Q3 were pressured by supply-chain disruption, shipment timing, inflationary costs, Foodservice (yogurt divestiture and flour), and a notable decline in parts of Snacks (Totino’s). Management articulated concrete remediation steps (product/packaging reversions, on-shelf availability fixes for Love Made Fresh, continued innovation and productivity initiatives) and expects mechanical and operational tailwinds in Q4. Overall, positive operational momentum and strategic clarity outweigh near-term execution and cost challenges, but near-term variability and margin uncertainty remain.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Guidance Reaffirmed and Q4/FY27 Outlook
Company reaffirmed fiscal 2026 guidance and expects a meaningful step-up in top-line and bottom-line performance starting in Q4 and into fiscal 2027, driven by the end of most reinvestment in base pricing and acceleration of other Remarkability framework elements.
Remarkability Investments Showing Early Traction
Investments to improve brand remarkability are driving improvements in household penetration, baseline volume, distribution and market share across core businesses, with management citing visible momentum after three quarters of work.
Strong Innovation Performance
New-product growth is tracking ~25% in North America Retail and ~20–25% for the portfolio in aggregate; examples include Cheerios Protein (projected ~$100M by year-end), Ghost Protein Bars (scaling nationally) and multiple product renovations across brands.
North America Retail (NAR) Competitiveness
NAR investments have rebuilt household penetration and baseline growth; management expects to improve dollar-share performance in NAR in fiscal 2027 as pricing laps and remarkability initiatives take hold.
Pet Launch Momentum (Love Made Fresh)
Love Made Fresh has surpassed ~5,000 coolers, early marketing/execution strong, on-shelf availability initiatives (weekly store rep visits) showing step-up in turns, and a new stand-up resealable pouch (55% of fresh sales format; pouch has ~2x the dollar ring of rolls) is rolling out.
Salty Snacks Strength
Salty snacks grew double digits in Q3 with three consecutive quarters of pound and dollar share gains in that category, driven by price pack architecture and flavor renovations (e.g., Chex Mix).
Portfolio-Shaping to Improve Margins
Agreement to sell Brazil business (Yoki and Kitano) as part of disciplined portfolio reshaping; management notes nearly one-third of net sales turned over since fiscal 2018 to prioritize higher-margin global platforms, which should enhance International margins.
Transformation and Productivity Initiatives
Multi-year transformation expected to add meaningful productivity next year; management referenced continuing cost savings and expects another year of industry-leading HMM (at least ~4%) to help margin recovery when volume stabilizes.
Negative Updates
Q3 Profitability and Gross Margin Pressure
Q3 showed a relatively low gross margin and a notable profit decline versus expectations; management cited supply chain disruptions, shipment timing and reinvestment timing as contributors and left FY2027 margin targets unspecified.
Foodservice Weakness — Yogurt Divestiture and Flour
Foodservice profitability declined materially in Q3 with roughly half of the decline attributed to the yogurt divestiture and ~30–35% of the decline attributable to lower flour volumes; flour weakness drove significant pressure and may persist into Q4 before expected recovery.
Snacks Segment Decline Driven by Hot Snacks/Totino’s
Overall Snacks down high-single-digits in Q3; primary driver was hot snacks (Totino’s) where a pack-format change (bag-to-box) reduced perceived value and led to significant sales declines — company is reverting packaging and expects recovery.
Pet Shipment Timing and Retailer Inventory Variability
Quarter-to-quarter variability in retailer inventories impacted Pet more significantly (~3 percentage-point gap); management noted difficulty predicting shipment timing in Pet and planned to assume a neutral Pet impact in Q4 planning.
Inflation and Cost Pressure Uncertainty
Inflationary pressures remain (labor, freight, commodity pass-throughs); management expects inflation roughly in line with this year but flagged labor and logistics as persistent drivers and noted potential headwinds (e.g., diesel/freight) in planning ranges for 2027.
Reliance on Mechanical Tailwinds for Q4 Organic Growth
Improved Q4 organic sales expectations are partly mechanical: retailer inventory reset expected to flip into a ~200 basis-point tailwind and trade expense timing reversal — management is not banking on a dramatic market demand turn in Q4.
Wide Profit Guidance Range Due to Supply Chain Variability
Management cited supply chain disruptions, shipment timing, and weather impacts as sources of variability that widen the profit guidance range for Q4; recovery of costs from these disruptions may be partial at the low end of guidance.
Price Mix Drag from Pricing Reinvestment in FY26
Price mix was down in FY26 as the company invested in base shelf pricing to close competitive gaps; management expects to lap these actions and return to price-mix growth in fiscal 2027.
Company Guidance
General Mills reaffirmed fiscal 2026 guidance and said Q4 should show a meaningful step‑up as most pricing reinvestments are lapped, citing a roughly 200‑basis‑point benefit from a retailer inventory flip and the mechanical tailwind of the 53rd week; management noted the midpoint of guidance implies about 75–80 basis points of organic sales growth, expects Pet to be neutral in Q4 despite a ~3‑point retailer inventory gap, and highlighted ongoing margin recovery supported by industry‑leading HMM of at least ~4% and multi‑year transformation productivity (management did not set a 2027 gross‑margin target but said stable volumes could move margins from the low‑30s toward the mid‑30s). They also reiterated innovation and distribution progress—new products tracking ~25% growth (NAR a bit higher, portfolio 20–25%), Cheerios Protein ~ $100M by year‑end, Love Made Fresh >5,000 coolers with pouch formats ~55% of fresh sales—and said the guide range reflects variability in supply‑chain/shipment timing, trade expense timing, and retailer inventory recovery.

General Mills Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are steady but softening: TTM revenue declined (-2.16%) and margins compressed materially versus recent years, while free cash flow remains solid (~$1.65B) but is down (~-7.4%). Leverage is elevated (debt-to-equity ~1.49x), reducing flexibility if profitability stays pressured.
Income Statement
68
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue declined (-2.16%) and profitability has compressed versus recent annual periods (gross margin ~25.6% TTM vs ~34–35% in FY2024–FY2025; operating margin ~11.4% TTM vs ~17–18% previously). Net margin is holding up relatively well (~12.1% TTM), but overall the trajectory shows softer top-line and weaker operating leverage compared with the prior few years.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Leverage is elevated with debt running above equity (debt-to-equity ~1.49x TTM), though it is not out of line with the company’s recent history (roughly ~1.14x–1.66x across FY2021–FY2025). Returns on equity remain strong (~23.7% TTM), indicating solid profitability on the capital base, but the balance sheet is meaningfully debt-funded and offers less flexibility if earnings continue to soften.
Cash Flow
66
Positive
Cash generation remains positive with TTM operating cash flow of ~$2.23B and free cash flow of ~$1.65B, but momentum has weakened (TTM free cash flow down ~7.4%). Free cash flow runs at ~76% of net income TTM, which is reasonable, yet operating cash flow relative to debt is modest (coverage ~0.27 TTM), making deleveraging more dependent on sustained cash flow and stable profits.
BreakdownTTMMay 2025May 2024May 2023May 2022May 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.37B19.49B19.86B20.09B18.99B18.13B
Gross Profit6.06B6.73B6.93B6.55B6.40B6.45B
EBITDA3.05B3.92B4.08B4.08B4.16B3.89B
Net Income2.21B2.30B2.50B2.59B2.71B2.34B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets32.40B33.07B31.47B31.45B31.09B31.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments785.50M363.90M418.00M702.70M819.20M1.87B
Total Debt13.97B15.30B13.32B12.06B11.98B13.01B
Total Liabilities23.05B23.86B21.82B20.75B20.30B21.46B
Stockholders Equity9.34B9.20B9.40B10.45B10.54B9.47B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.65B2.29B2.53B2.09B2.75B2.45B
Operating Cash Flow2.23B2.92B3.30B2.78B3.32B2.98B
Investing Cash Flow1.22B-1.79B-1.20B-346.40M-1.69B-512.80M
Financing Cash Flow-3.21B-1.18B-2.27B-2.40B-2.50B-2.72B

General Mills Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price37.50
Price Trends
50DMA
44.39
Negative
100DMA
45.27
Negative
200DMA
47.21
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.04
Positive
RSI
20.00
Positive
STOCH
3.20
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GIS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 37.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.46, below the 50-day MA of 44.39, and below the 200-day MA of 47.21, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 20.00 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.20 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GIS.

General Mills Risk Analysis

General Mills disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. General Mills reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

General Mills Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$12.31B18.816.13%4.82%1.55%-40.81%
65
Neutral
$14.51B22.5914.03%2.61%1.64%-1.83%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
$10.71B-3.86-21.55%4.45%-0.66%-326.55%
60
Neutral
$20.01B20.2623.70%5.19%-5.65%0.41%
54
Neutral
$6.27B14.1413.98%5.64%2.71%4.90%
54
Neutral
$25.76B-4.90-13.44%6.75%-3.70%-431.05%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GIS
General Mills
37.50
-18.03
-32.47%
CPB
Campbell Soup
21.03
-15.12
-41.82%
HRL
Hormel Foods
22.37
-6.02
-21.22%
SJM
JM Smucker
100.41
-4.70
-4.47%
MKC
McCormick & Company
54.05
-24.59
-31.27%
KHC
Kraft Heinz
21.76
-6.17
-22.08%

General Mills Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
General Mills appoints new director, updates corporate bylaws
Positive
Jan 27, 2026

On January 26, 2026, General Mills appointed Joan L. Bottarini as an independent director to its Board, expanding the Board to twelve members and assigning her to the Audit and Compensation and Talent Committees, with compensation aligned to the company’s standard director pay practices, including an initial grant of restricted stock units. On the same date, the Board amended and restated the company’s by-laws to update procedures and disclosure requirements for director nominations and shareholder proposals at annual meetings, clarify the majority voting provision for contested elections, and implement various administrative and modernizing changes, signaling ongoing refinement of its corporate governance framework for investors and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GIS) stock is a Hold with a $49.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on General Mills stock, see the GIS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 20, 2026