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Gafisa SA (GFASY)
OTHER OTC:GFASY
US Market

Gafisa SA (GFASY) AI Stock Analysis

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GFASY

Gafisa SA

(OTC:GFASY)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$0.03
▼(-65.56% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/29/26
The score is held down primarily by deteriorating financial performance (sharp revenue decline, sustained losses, and a return to negative operating/free cash flow in 2025). Technicals reinforce the downside risk with the stock below all major moving averages and very weak momentum (negative MACD, RSI ~17). Valuation provides limited offset because the negative P/E reflects unprofitable operations and there is no dividend yield data.
Positive Factors
Clear residential development model
A focused, asset-backed business model centered on developing and selling housing units is durable: project sales generate direct revenue and turn inventory into cash when executed. This core competency supports recoveries if unit demand returns and allows operational leverage when volumes normalize.
Negative Factors
Large revenue decline
A ~30% revenue drop and multi-year downtrend reduce scale, weaken margin absorption, and shrink the pipeline for future cash flows. Persistently lower sales volumes limit fixed-cost leverage and make it harder to restore profitability without significant improvements in project throughput or pricing.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Clear residential development model
A focused, asset-backed business model centered on developing and selling housing units is durable: project sales generate direct revenue and turn inventory into cash when executed. This core competency supports recoveries if unit demand returns and allows operational leverage when volumes normalize.
Read all positive factors

Gafisa SA (GFASY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gafisa SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Gafisa S.A. operates as a homebuilder under the Gafisa brand name in Brazil. The company engages in the development, sale, and brokerage of residential units, such as luxury buildings with swimming pools, gyms, visitor parking, and other amenities...
How the Company Makes Money
Gafisa primarily makes money by developing residential real estate projects and selling completed (or in-development) housing units to end customers. Revenue is generally recognized from (1) the sale of residential units in its developments and (2...

Gafisa SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak financial profile: revenue fell ~30% in 2025 vs. 2024 and profitability is deeply negative (loss-making gross profit/EBIT/EBITDA/net income). Cash flow also turned negative again in 2025, though the balance sheet is somewhat supported by materially lower debt in 2025 and sizable equity.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
30
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue607.52M1.01B1.10B1.14B818.31M
Gross Profit-210.36M-54.33M-46.45M121.40M208.63M
EBITDA-321.48M104.31M7.87M-84.33M39.12M
Net Income-533.85M-40.58M-195.31M-83.17M90.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.77B5.30B5.13B5.53B4.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments208.18M343.53M78.30M460.48M452.84M
Total Debt1.60B1.89B1.83B1.99B1.57B
Total Liabilities3.23B3.35B3.42B3.76B2.91B
Stockholders Equity1.54B1.95B1.71B1.77B1.82B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-194.87M148.68M117.68M-219.94M-321.66M
Operating Cash Flow-181.69M160.71M132.60M-90.61M-279.92M
Investing Cash Flow33.28M-108.44M225.04M10.56M-284.08M
Financing Cash Flow156.94M-55.64M-275.93M67.63M570.38M

Gafisa SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.09
Price Trends
50DMA
0.05
Negative
100DMA
0.07
Negative
200DMA
0.17
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
17.14
Positive
STOCH
-4.44
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GFASY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.03, above the 50-day MA of 0.05, and below the 200-day MA of 0.17, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 17.14 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of -4.44 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GFASY.

Gafisa SA Risk Analysis

Gafisa SA disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gafisa SA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gafisa SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$498.15M11.209.62%10.25%-10.52%
62
Neutral
$668.76M8.766.81%-0.84%-76.30%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
46
Neutral
$620.82M-4.500.81%1.77%-66.27%
41
Neutral
$7.64M>-0.01-1.94%-12.98%144.89%
41
Neutral
$68.83M-5.63-23.25%-6.20%24.90%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GFASY
Gafisa SA
0.03
-0.58
-94.89%
BZH
Beazer Homes
21.04
1.40
7.13%
HOV
Hovnanian Enterprises
113.02
17.01
17.72%
LEGH
Legacy Housing
20.92
-2.89
-12.14%
UHG
United Homes Group
1.17
-1.50
-56.18%
SPHL
Springview Holdings Ltd. Class A
2.36
-2.28
-49.14%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 29, 2026