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Gafisa SA (GFASY)
OTHER OTC:GFASY
US Market
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Gafisa SA (GFASY) AI Stock Analysis

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GFASY

Gafisa SA

(OTC:GFASY)

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Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$0.02
▼(-78.89% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/18/26
Overall score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (sharp revenue decline, deeply negative margins, and renewed cash burn). Technicals add further pressure with the price below all key moving averages and negative MACD, while valuation is not helpful because losses make the negative P/E uninformative and there is no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Improved leverage
Lower debt-to-equity (TTM ~0.61 vs ~1.0+ prior) meaningfully reduces refinancing and interest-rate strain over the medium term. This improvement increases financial flexibility to fund projects or survive slower sales periods, supporting execution of development pipelines.
Negative Factors
Deep negative margins
Extremely negative net margins (TTM roughly -124%) indicate project-level losses or severe cost overruns that erode equity. Sustained large losses impair reinvestment capacity, reduce stakeholder confidence, and make returning to self-funded growth materially harder over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved leverage
Lower debt-to-equity (TTM ~0.61 vs ~1.0+ prior) meaningfully reduces refinancing and interest-rate strain over the medium term. This improvement increases financial flexibility to fund projects or survive slower sales periods, supporting execution of development pipelines.
Read all positive factors

Gafisa SA (GFASY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gafisa SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Gafisa S.A. is a leading Brazilian real estate firm that specializes in home construction, operating under its proprietary Gafisa brand. The company is involved in the entire process of property development, sales, and brokerage. Its offerings inc...
How the Company Makes Money
Gafisa primarily makes money by developing residential real estate projects and selling completed (or in-development) housing units to end customers. Revenue is generally recognized from (1) the sale of residential units in its developments and (2...

Gafisa SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials screen weak: TTM revenue declined 20.7% and profitability is severely negative (net margin roughly -124%). Cash flow has turned negative again in TTM with both operating cash flow and free cash flow below zero. Balance-sheet leverage has improved (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.61), but losses (TTM ROE around -35%) remain the key risk.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
22
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue492.58M607.52M1.01B1.10B1.14B818.31M
Gross Profit-195.62M-210.36M-54.33M-46.45M121.40M208.63M
EBITDA-210.29M-321.48M104.31M7.87M-84.33M39.12M
Net Income-617.78M-533.85M-40.58M-195.31M-83.17M90.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.67B4.77B5.30B5.13B5.53B4.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments174.98M208.18M343.53M78.30M460.48M452.84M
Total Debt1.60B1.60B1.89B1.83B1.99B1.57B
Total Liabilities3.16B3.23B3.35B3.42B3.76B2.91B
Stockholders Equity1.51B1.54B1.95B1.71B1.77B1.82B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-329.04M-194.87M148.68M117.68M-219.94M-321.66M
Operating Cash Flow-316.33M-181.69M160.71M132.60M-90.61M-279.92M
Investing Cash Flow-37.80M33.28M-108.44M225.04M10.56M-284.08M
Financing Cash Flow375.67M156.94M-55.64M-275.93M67.63M570.38M

Gafisa SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.09
Price Trends
50DMA
0.02
Negative
100DMA
0.04
Negative
200DMA
0.08
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
36.73
Neutral
STOCH
39.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GFASY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.02, above the 50-day MA of 0.02, and above the 200-day MA of 0.08, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GFASY.

Gafisa SA Risk Analysis

Gafisa SA disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gafisa SA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gafisa SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$608.93M13.848.08%-7.56%-24.44%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
55
Neutral
$731.58M21.364.39%-4.73%-87.32%
51
Neutral
$744.30M-196.76-0.32%-13.36%-104.38%
41
Neutral
$45.60M-0.05-1.94%-48.31%-884.23%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GFASY
Gafisa SA
0.03
-0.42
-94.39%
BZH
Beazer Homes
27.05
5.43
25.12%
HOV
Hovnanian Enterprises
131.78
36.51
38.32%
LEGH
Legacy Housing
25.00
3.02
13.74%
SPHL
Springview Holdings Ltd. Class A
2.53
-1.77
-41.16%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 18, 2026