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Genius Sports Limited (GENI)
:GENI
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Genius Sports Limited
(NYSE:GENI)
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Select Model
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(6.59% Upside)
Genius Sports Limited's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance and technical analysis. While the company shows strong revenue growth and improved cash flow management, it struggles with profitability, impacting its financial performance score. The technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, further weighing down the score. However, the positive outlook from the earnings call, with raised guidance and significant segment growth, provides a counterbalance, preventing a lower overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships expand market reach and capabilities, strengthening competitive position and supporting sustained growth.
Cash Flow Improvement
Improved cash flow management enhances financial flexibility, allowing for reinvestment and reducing reliance on external financing.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues may hinder long-term financial health, limiting reinvestment opportunities and impacting shareholder returns.
Negative Return on Equity
Negative return on equity indicates inefficient use of capital, potentially deterring investors and affecting long-term growth prospects.
Media Margin Challenges
Media margin challenges could affect profitability, requiring strategic adjustments to maintain competitive advantage in the sector.
Genius Sports Limited (GENI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$2.63B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)5.56M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.01
Revenue Growth30.70%
EPS Growth-49.80%
CountryUS
Employees1,850
SectorCommunication Services
Sector Strength97
IndustryInternet Content & Information
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.11
Shares Outstanding238,441,220
10 Day Avg. Volume6,832,344
30 Day Avg. Volume5,564,064
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.09
Price to Book (P/B)3.47
Price to Sales (P/S)3.89
P/FCF Ratio112.77
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.15
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.98
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit22.73
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-42.46
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$15.14Price Target Upside46.71% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering9
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.3
Revenue Forecast (FY)$653.57M
Genius Sports Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionGenius Sports Limited develops and sells technology-led products and services to the sports, sports betting, and sports media industries. It offers technology infrastructure for the collection, integration, and distribution of live data of sports leagues; streaming solutions comprising technology, automatic production, and distribution for sports to commercialize video footage of their games; and end-to-end integrity services to sports leagues, such as full-time active monitoring technology, which uses mathematical algorithms to identify and flag suspicious betting activity in global betting markets, as well as a full suite of online and offline educational and consultancy services. The company also provides live sports data collection; pre-game and in-game odds feeds; risk management services, including customer profiling, monitoring of incoming bets, automated acceptance and rejection of bets, and limit setting; live streaming services; creation, delivery, and measurement services for personalized online marketing campaigns; and fan engagement widgets for digital publishers that offer live game statistics and betting-related content. The company is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyGenius Sports generates revenue through multiple key streams. Primarily, the company earns money by providing data and technology services to sports leagues and teams, which includes exclusive data rights agreements that allow them to collect and distribute real-time statistics. Additionally, Genius Sports offers software solutions for sports betting operators, which include risk management and trading services, as well as compliance and operational support. A significant portion of its revenue is also derived from partnerships with major sports leagues, which help to secure exclusive content and enhance their product offerings. The company's strategic alliances with betting operators and media companies further contribute to its earnings by expanding its reach and capabilities in the market.
Genius Sports Limited Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant growth in revenue, particularly in the Media and Betting segments, expansion of strategic partnerships, and positive in-play betting trends. While there were a few challenges, such as a temporary revenue and expense mismatch and media margin issues, the overall performance and raised financial guidance indicate a strong positive outlook.Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Group revenue increased by 38% year-on-year, marking the strongest quarter of revenue growth since Q1 2022.
Media Segment Expansion
Media segment revenue increased nearly 90% year-on-year to $42 million, marking a new quarterly record.
Betting Revenue Increase
Betting revenue grew by 28% year-on-year, driven by growth with existing customers and new exclusive rights to European Leagues and Serie A.
BetVision Growth
The number of sportsbook customers utilizing BetVision grew from 6 to over 100 in one year, with in-play betting representing 74% of total handle through the platform.
Positive In-Play Betting Trends
In-play represented 30% of total NFL handle, with a 35% increase in unique devices streaming NFL on BetVision.
Raised Financial Guidance
Group revenue guidance raised from $645 million to $655 million, and group adjusted EBITDA guidance increased to $136 million for the full year.
Negative Updates
Temporary Revenue and Expense Mismatch
There was a timing mismatch between expense and revenue recognition due to delayed revenue from a few sportsbook contracts finalized after the quarter end.
Media Margin Challenges
Media revenue growth was strong, but the margin flow-through was impacted by the rights timing and media's lower margin compared to betting.
Company Guidance
During the Genius Sports Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Results Call, the company provided an optimistic financial outlook, highlighting a 38% year-on-year increase in group revenue, driven by a nearly 90% growth in the Media segment and a 28% rise in Betting revenue. The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $34 million, reflecting a 32% increase year-on-year, with a 20% margin. Genius Sports raised its full-year revenue guidance to $655 million, reflecting 28% growth, and increased its adjusted EBITDA guidance to $136 million, representing 59% growth and a 21% margin. The expansion of partnerships, such as with Hard Rock Bet and ESPN BET, and the success of the BetVision product, which saw a 35% increase in unique device streaming, were highlighted as key contributors to the company's robust performance and optimistic future growth expectations.Genius Sports Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Genius Sports Limited shows revenue growth but struggles with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but returns on equity are negative. Cash flow has improved significantly, indicating better cash management, but profitability remains a key area for improvement.Income Statement
Genius Sports Limited has shown a positive revenue growth trend, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 8.25%. However, profitability remains a concern as indicated by negative net profit margins (-13.94%) and EBIT margins (-15.39%). The company is struggling to achieve profitability, which is reflected in the negative EBIT and net income figures.45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet indicates a strong equity position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.042. However, the return on equity is negative (-12.17%), suggesting that the company is not generating sufficient returns on its equity base. The equity ratio is healthy, indicating a stable financial structure.55
Neutral
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows significant improvement in free cash flow growth (484.76% TTM), indicating better cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.32, suggesting that the company is generating positive cash flow from operations despite negative net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low at 0.16, indicating limited free cash flow relative to net losses.60
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 604.52M | 510.89M | 412.98M | 341.03M | 262.74M | 149.74M |
| Gross Profit | 132.53M | 128.71M | 69.00M | 2.86M | -213.43M | 35.67M |
| EBITDA | -70.95M | 16.28M | 5.64M | -112.67M | -541.77M | 14.38M |
| Net Income | -119.17M | -63.04M | -85.53M | -181.64M | -592.75M | -30.35M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.05B | 792.27M | 775.72M | 773.34M | 887.08M | 391.00M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 207.79M | 110.21M | 100.33M | 122.72M | 222.38M | 11.78M |
| Total Debt | 30.18M | 7.51M | 14.70M | 21.24M | 88.00K | 93.00M |
| Total Liabilities | 326.57M | 219.86M | 202.71M | 196.52M | 180.91M | 179.76M |
| Stockholders Equity | 722.53M | 572.40M | 573.02M | 576.82M | 706.18M | 211.25M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 22.46M | 17.61M | -34.27M | -51.01M | -96.67M | -1.70M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 84.08M | 81.86M | 14.88M | -3.46M | -63.31M | 17.07M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -90.29M | -62.69M | -47.57M | -54.82M | -132.32M | -22.66M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 143.98M | -7.60M | -596.00K | -21.00K | 410.36M | 10.10M |
Genius Sports Limited Technical Analysis
Negative
10.32
Price Trends
12.04
Negative
11.73
Negative
10.73
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.46
Positive
30.52
Neutral
20.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GENI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.41, below the 50-day MA of 12.04, and below the 200-day MA of 10.73, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.46 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GENI.
Genius Sports Limited Risk Analysis
Genius Sports Limited disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Genius Sports Limited reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Shareholders owning at least 5% of Genius ordinary shares may be subject to regulatory obligations Q4, 2023
2.
Elevated interest rates and inflationary pressures could lead to persistently higher costs in our business, which may not always be offset with higher revenue. Q4, 2023
3.
Changes in gambling regulations, both in mature and emerging markets, and including regulatory authorities failing to legalize sports betting at the anticipated rate, could adversely affect our financial results, business operations, and prospects. This could include introduction of mandatory gambling supplier regimes resulting in additional license conditions or restrictions on us and/or our customers, including restrictions on gambling advertisements, restrictions on betting markets or types of betting including in play, player affordability limits, and player incentives controls. Q4, 2023
Genius Sports Limited Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
72 Outperform | $1.25B | 15.34 | 8.73% | 5.73% | 30.00% | -9.72% | |
65 Neutral | $87.16B | 101.79 | 10.11% | ― | 24.46% | ― | |
60 Neutral | $48.67B | 4.58 | -11.27% | 4.14% | 2.83% | -41.78% | |
53 Neutral | $219.50M | 79.53 | 1.22% | ― | 17.38% | ― | |
52 Neutral | $2.63B | ― | -18.65% | ― | 30.70% | -49.80% | |
47 Neutral | $1.70B | ― | -706.79% | ― | 11.61% | -54.84% | |
45 Neutral | $108.48M | ― | -51.54% | ― | -16.83% | -485.31% |
* Communication Services Sector Average
GENI
Genius Sports Limited
10.32
0.73
7.61%
TRVG
trivago
3.07
1.42
86.06%
OPRA
Opera
13.62
-3.58
-20.81%
SEAT
Vivid Seats
9.68
-65.52
-87.13%
DASH
DoorDash
200.63
24.87
14.15%
NN
NextNav
12.52
-1.04
-7.67%
Genius Sports Limited Corporate Events
Genius Sports Limited Announces 2025 AGM Details
Nov 7, 2025
Genius Sports Limited has announced its 2025 Annual General Meeting (AGM) of Shareholders, scheduled for December 10, 2025, at Claridge’s in London and virtually. The meeting will address various resolutions requiring shareholder approval, and shareholders are encouraged to submit proxy forms to vote on these matters. The AGM will be accessible electronically, allowing shareholders to participate and ask questions, reflecting the company’s commitment to engaging with its stakeholders.
Genius Sports Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 4, 2025
On November 4, 2025, Genius Sports Limited released its interim report and announced its third-quarter financial results for 2025. The company reported a significant increase in revenue compared to the previous year, reflecting its strong market positioning and operational growth. This financial performance indicates positive momentum for the company, potentially enhancing its reputation and value among stakeholders.
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.