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Genius Sports Limited (GENI)
:GENI
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Genius Sports Limited
(NYSE:GENI)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▲(1.87% Upside)
The overall stock score of 53 reflects a mixed outlook. The strong earnings call with raised guidance and strategic partnerships is a significant positive factor. However, financial performance challenges, particularly in profitability and cash flow, and a negative valuation score due to ongoing losses, weigh down the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates expanding market presence and effective monetization of partnerships, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Strategic Partnerships
These partnerships enhance competitive positioning and provide a steady revenue stream, reinforcing Genius Sports' market leadership.
Low Leverage
A low leverage position provides financial flexibility and reduces risk, allowing the company to invest in growth opportunities without heavy debt burdens.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues highlight operational inefficiencies, which could hinder long-term financial health and investor confidence.
Cash Flow Management
Weak cash flow management can limit the company's ability to reinvest in its business and meet financial obligations, affecting future growth.
Stock-Based Compensation
Increased stock-based compensation can inflate expenses and dilute shareholder value, impacting profitability and financial performance.
Genius Sports Limited (GENI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$2.98B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)5.13M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.07
Revenue Growth25.76%
EPS Growth27.05%
CountryUS
Employees1,850
SectorCommunication Services
Sector Strength97
IndustryInternet Content & Information
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.21
Shares Outstanding238,441,220
10 Day Avg. Volume4,876,600
30 Day Avg. Volume5,126,508
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG RatioN/A
Price to Book (P/B)N/A
Price to Sales (P/S)N/A
P/FCF RatioN/A
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.82
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.37
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit18.61
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-105.37
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$14.79Price Target Upside25.55% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering15
Genius Sports Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionGenius Sports Limited (GENI) is a leading technology company that specializes in providing data and technology solutions for the sports and betting industries. The company operates in sectors including sports data, sports media, and regulated sports betting. Its core products and services encompass real-time data collection, distribution, and technology solutions, enabling sports organizations and betting operators to enhance their offerings and engage with fans more effectively.
How the Company Makes MoneyGenius Sports generates revenue through multiple key streams. Primarily, the company earns money by providing data and technology services to sports leagues and teams, which includes exclusive data rights agreements that allow them to collect and distribute real-time statistics. Additionally, Genius Sports offers software solutions for sports betting operators, which include risk management and trading services, as well as compliance and operational support. A significant portion of its revenue is also derived from partnerships with major sports leagues, which help to secure exclusive content and enhance their product offerings. The company's strategic alliances with betting operators and media companies further contribute to its earnings by expanding its reach and capabilities in the market.
Genius Sports Limited Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial performance, strategic partnerships, and an optimistic outlook for continued growth. Despite some challenges such as increased stock-based compensation, the positive achievements and forward-looking guidance significantly outweighed the negatives.Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Genius Sports achieved a 24% growth in group revenue and a record high group adjusted EBITDA margin of 29% in Q2 2025.
Raised Full-Year Guidance
The company raised its full-year guidance, expecting to generate group revenue of $645 million and adjusted EBITDA of $135 million.
Major New Partnerships
Genius Sports secured exclusive data and streaming rights to Serie A and European leagues, expanding its leadership in European soccer.
NFL Partnership Extension
The company extended its partnership with the NFL, securing exclusive rights to sell in-game advertising inventory on BetVision.
Media Revenue Growth
Media revenue is expected to grow by at least 20% for the full year, up from the initial forecast of low to mid-teens growth.
Expansion of FanHub Platform
Genius Sports signed several deals with well-known brands like Walmart, Pepsi, and Nike, enhancing its media business potential.
Negative Updates
Stock-Based Compensation Increase
A one-time increase in stock-based compensation occurred due to the NFL partnership, impacting Q2 financials.
Limited Commentary on Emerging Markets
The call lacked detailed updates on opportunities and progress in emerging markets such as India, Africa, and Brazil.
Company Guidance
During the Genius Sports Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Results Call, the company announced a 24% growth in group revenue, with a record high adjusted EBITDA margin of 29%. The company raised its full-year guidance, now expecting to generate $645 million in group revenue and $135 million in adjusted EBITDA. Significant achievements included securing exclusive data and streaming rights to Serie A and European leagues, as well as extending partnerships with the NFL. Genius Sports highlighted the deployment of its GeniusIQ platform in global sports, such as FIBA basketball and European soccer, driving fan engagement and monetization opportunities. The company also projected media revenue growth of at least 20%, up from the initial forecast of low to mid-teens, supported by new partnerships with major brands and agencies. The focus on leveraging technology to win rights deals has reduced costs and strengthened competitive positioning, paving the way for long-term financial success with a target EBITDA margin of at least 30%.Genius Sports Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Genius Sports Limited shows strong revenue growth and financial stability with low leverage and solid equity ratios. However, profitability challenges and fluctuating cash flows pose risks. Continued focus on operational efficiency and cash flow management is crucial.Income Statement
Genius Sports Limited has shown a promising revenue growth trend with a TTM revenue increase of 4.75% over the previous year. Despite this, profitability remains a concern with a negative net profit margin of -8.54% and an EBIT margin of -10.22% TTM, indicating operational challenges. However, EBITDA margin improvement to 2.93% suggests better operational efficiency, which can be a positive sign if sustained.45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02, reflecting minimal leverage and financial stability. Equity ratio remains robust at 78.39%, signifying a solid equity base. However, consistent negative net income impacts return on equity, which stands at -6.43% TTM, highlighting profitability challenges.55
Neutral
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals a volatile free cash flow trend with a TTM decrease from prior periods, turning negative. However, an improvement in operating cash flow to net income ratio to -1.44 TTM indicates better cash flow management compared to net losses. The company needs to focus on consistent free cash flow generation to ensure long-term sustainability.40
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 558.44M | 510.89M | 412.98M | 341.03M | 262.74M | 149.74M |
| Gross Profit | 131.23M | 128.71M | 69.00M | 2.86M | -213.43M | 35.67M |
| EBITDA | -23.18M | 16.28M | 5.64M | -106.37M | -540.96M | 14.92M |
| Net Income | -77.85M | -63.04M | -85.53M | -184.99M | -592.75M | -30.35M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 927.78M | 792.27M | 775.72M | 773.34M | 887.08M | 391.00M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 221.56M | 110.21M | 100.33M | 122.72M | 222.38M | 11.78M |
| Total Debt | 30.57M | 7.51M | 14.70M | 21.24M | 88.00K | 93.00M |
| Total Liabilities | 207.63M | 219.86M | 202.71M | 196.52M | 180.91M | 530.43M |
| Stockholders Equity | 720.15M | 572.40M | 573.02M | 576.82M | 706.18M | -139.43M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 8.63M | 17.61M | -34.27M | -51.01M | -96.67M | -1.70M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 53.28M | 81.86M | 14.88M | -3.46M | -63.31M | 17.07M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -70.66M | -62.69M | -47.57M | -54.82M | -132.32M | -22.66M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 143.98M | -7.60M | -596.00K | -21.00K | 410.36M | 10.10M |
Genius Sports Limited Technical Analysis
Neutral
11.78
Price Trends
12.52
Negative
11.49
Positive
10.55
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.18
Positive
45.81
Neutral
50.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GENI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 11.78 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.10, below the 50-day MA of 12.52, and above the 200-day MA of 10.55, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GENI.
Genius Sports Limited Risk Analysis
Genius Sports Limited disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Genius Sports Limited reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Shareholders owning at least 5% of Genius ordinary shares may be subject to regulatory obligations Q4, 2023
2.
Elevated interest rates and inflationary pressures could lead to persistently higher costs in our business, which may not always be offset with higher revenue. Q4, 2023
3.
Changes in gambling regulations, both in mature and emerging markets, and including regulatory authorities failing to legalize sports betting at the anticipated rate, could adversely affect our financial results, business operations, and prospects. This could include introduction of mandatory gambling supplier regimes resulting in additional license conditions or restrictions on us and/or our customers, including restrictions on gambling advertisements, restrictions on betting markets or types of betting including in play, player affordability limits, and player incentives controls. Q4, 2023
Genius Sports Limited Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | $113.36B | 147.64 | 9.71% | ― | 23.78% | ― | |
74 Outperform | $1.44B | 20.04 | 8.57% | 4.94% | 29.62% | -19.65% | |
60 Neutral | $48.67B | 4.58 | -11.27% | 4.14% | 2.83% | -41.78% | |
55 Neutral | $210.92M | ― | -12.44% | ― | 8.29% | 87.33% | |
53 Neutral | $2.98B | ― | -12.24% | ― | 25.76% | 27.05% | |
43 Neutral | $123.90M | ― | -75.68% | ― | -10.52% | -420.74% | |
41 Neutral | $1.72B | ― | -2015.79% | ― | 42.80% | -48.48% |
* Communication Services Sector Average
GENI
Genius Sports Limited
11.87
4.63
63.95%
TRVG
trivago
3.03
1.33
78.24%
OPRA
Opera
15.80
0.48
3.13%
SEAT
Vivid Seats
12.61
-66.39
-84.04%
DASH
DoorDash
261.97
109.43
71.74%
NN
NextNav
13.17
3.11
30.91%
Genius Sports Limited Corporate Events
Genius Sports Limited Reports Strong Revenue Growth in H1 2025
Aug 6, 2025
On August 6, 2025, Genius Sports Limited released its interim financial report for the first half of 2025, showing a significant increase in revenue compared to the previous year. The company’s financial performance highlights its growing market presence and operational efficiency, which could positively impact stakeholders and reinforce its position in the sports data industry.
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.