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Genius Sports Limited (GENI)
NYSE:GENI
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Genius Sports Limited
(NYSE:GENI)
69Neutral
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Genius Sports delivered another strong quarter, exceeding revenue and AEBITDA guidance, while generating positive free cash flow.
Market Expansion
Expansion into newly regulated markets like Missouri, Alberta, and Brazil offers top-line upside and meaningful incremental earnings.
Revenue Growth
The growth of in-game betting, especially in the U.S., presents higher revenue opportunities compared to pre-game betting.
Negative Factors
Market Risk
The biggest risk to estimates is Media Tech getting back on track following the difficult comparison with growth from the core sportsbooks customers.
Genius Sports Limited (GENI) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)
Market Cap
$2.85B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)3.53M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.23
Revenue Growth23.71%
EPS Growth30.65%
CountryUS
Employees1,850
SectorCommunication Services
Sector Strength83
IndustryInternet Content & Information
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.03
Shares Outstanding239,817,500
10 Day Avg. Volume3,133,226
30 Day Avg. Volume3,530,258
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG RatioN/A
Price to Book (P/B)N/A
Price to Sales (P/S)0.00
Price to Cash Flow (P/CF)0.00
P/FCF Ratio0.00
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.62
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit25.67
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$12.05Price Target Upside9.05% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering12
Genius Sports Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company DescriptionGenius Sports Limited (GENI) is a leading provider of sports data technology and services, primarily catering to the sports, betting, and media industries. The company specializes in capturing, managing, and distributing sports data, which is crucial for live sports events, betting operations, and sports media content. Genius Sports partners with sports leagues and federations worldwide to offer real-time, accurate data, and analytics solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyGenius Sports Limited generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily driven by its data technology and services. The company monetizes its partnerships with sports leagues and federations by acquiring exclusive rights to collect and distribute their data. This data is then provided to sports betting operators, media companies, and sports organizations, who pay for access to this real-time information to enhance their offerings. Key revenue streams include data rights sales, technology and software solutions for sports betting operators, and digital media services. Significant partnerships with major sports leagues and organizations enhance its data portfolio, making it an attractive service provider for stakeholders in the sports ecosystem.
Genius Sports Limited Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Genius Sports Limited shows strong revenue growth but continues to face challenges with persistent losses and negative free cash flow. The company maintains a low debt profile, which is positive, but must improve profitability and cash flow to enhance financial stability.Income Statement
Genius Sports Limited has shown significant revenue growth, with a 12% increase in the TTM compared to the previous year. However, the company continues to operate at a loss, with negative EBIT and net income margins. The gross profit margin improved to 19.8% in the TTM, but the company still struggles with profitability.45
Neutral
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows a strong equity position, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01 in the TTM, indicating low reliance on debt financing. However, the company's equity ratio decreased slightly, indicating a potential risk if liabilities increase. The return on equity remains negative due to ongoing losses.50
Neutral
Cash Flow
Cash flow from operations improved, but the company still reports negative free cash flow, indicating cash outflows exceed inflows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, showing some ability to generate cash despite losses, but capital expenditures remain high.40
Negative
| Breakdown | ||||
| Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 | Dec 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income Statement | Total Revenue | |||
| 412.98M | 341.03M | 262.74M | 149.74M | 114.62M | Gross Profit |
| 69.00M | 2.86M | -213.43M | 35.67M | 25.31M | EBIT |
| -74.16M | -181.20M | -573.29M | -20.07M | -35.18M | EBITDA |
| 5.64M | -106.37M | -540.96M | 14.92M | -10.53M | Net Income Common Stockholders |
| -85.53M | -184.99M | -592.75M | -30.35M | -40.21M |
| Balance Sheet | Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | |||
| 100.33M | 122.72M | 222.38M | 11.78M | 8.23M | Total Assets |
| 775.72M | 773.34M | 887.08M | 391.00M | 375.30M | Total Debt |
| 14.70M | 21.24M | 88.00K | 93.00M | 73.19M | Net Debt |
| -85.63M | -101.48M | -222.29M | 81.21M | 64.96M | Total Liabilities |
| 202.71M | 196.52M | 180.91M | 530.43M | 456.66M | Stockholders Equity |
| 573.02M | 576.82M | 706.18M | -139.43M | -81.36M |
| Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | |||
| -34.27M | -51.01M | -96.67M | -1.70M | -21.76M | Operating Cash Flow |
| 14.88M | -3.46M | -63.31M | 17.07M | 2.49M | Investing Cash Flow |
| -47.57M | -54.82M | -132.32M | -22.66M | -24.62M | Financing Cash Flow |
| -596.00K | -21.00K | 410.36M | 10.10M | 6.93M |
Genius Sports Limited Technical Analysis
Positive
11.05
Price Trends
9.83
Positive
9.42
Positive
8.55
Positive
Market Momentum
0.34
Negative
62.64
Neutral
81.80
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GENI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.05 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.21, above the 50-day MA of 9.83, and above the 200-day MA of 8.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.80 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GENI.
Genius Sports Limited Risk Analysis
Genius Sports Limited disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Genius Sports Limited reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Genius Sports Limited Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | $2.27B | 18.32 | 17.79% | ― | 5.61% | 37.61% | |
69 Neutral | $1.05B | ― | -0.36% | ― | 22.68% | 95.70% | |
69 Neutral | $2.85B | ― | -11.01% | ― | 23.71% | 30.65% | |
59 Neutral | $13.78B | 7.66 | -2.74% | 3.86% | 2.20% | -37.62% | |
59 Neutral | $2.83B | ― | -9.29% | ― | -12.78% | -343.35% | |
58 Neutral | $676.05M | 33.86 | -115.07% | ― | 148.62% | ― | |
53 Neutral | $338.52M | ― | -0.31% | ― | -4.91% | -107.37% |
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
GENI
Genius Sports Limited
11.01
5.59
103.14%
YELP
Yelp
35.03
-6.08
-14.79%
IAC
IAC/InteractiveCorp.
35.35
-11.07
-23.85%
MAX
MediaAlpha
9.80
-12.38
-55.82%
TBLA
Taboola.com
3.11
-1.42
-31.35%
OB
Outbrain
3.44
-0.82
-19.25%
Genius Sports Limited Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
| % Change Since: 32.81%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth, margin improvements, and strategic expansions such as the NCAA partnership and new product launches. However, some concerns were noted regarding media revenue decline and cash flow seasonality. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the negatives, indicating a strong position and optimism for future growth.Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Group revenue increased by 20% year-on-year to $144 million, with the betting business growing 44% year-on-year to $107 million.
Significant Margin Improvement
Group adjusted EBITDA nearly tripled from $7 million to $20 million, with a margin expansion of 800 basis points to 14%.
Expanded NCAA Partnership
Extended partnership with NCAA through 2032, securing exclusive data rights for March Madness and all post-season tournaments at no out-of-pocket cost.
Launch of New Products
Introduced semi-automated offsite technology (SAOT) with the English Premier League and expanded BetVision for soccer, expected to cover 18,000 games.
Share Repurchase Program
Announced a $100 million share repurchase program, reflecting confidence in cash flow outlook and capital allocation strategy.
Negative Updates
Decline in Media Revenue
Media revenue decreased to $26 million from $35 million in the previous year, attributed to a high comparison base.
Cash Flow Seasonality
Traditionally see cash outflows in the first half of the year, with expectations for positive cash inflow for the full year.
Company Guidance
In the call, Genius Sports provided detailed guidance and updates on their financial performance and strategic initiatives for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025. The company reported a 20% year-on-year increase in group revenue to $144 million, driven by a 44% growth in their betting business to $107 million. This contributed to a group adjusted EBITDA of $20 million, nearly tripling from $7 million the previous year, with a margin expansion of 800 basis points to 14%. They reiterated their 2025 guidance of at least $620 million in group revenue and $125 million in group adjusted EBITDA, reflecting 21% revenue growth and over 300 basis points of margin expansion. Additionally, Genius Sports highlighted the expansion of their NCAA partnership through 2032, securing exclusive data rights for key events without out-of-pocket costs, and the launch of their semi-automated offsite technology with the English Premier League. The company also announced a share repurchase program of up to $100 million to enhance capital allocation flexibility.Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.