Greif Class B (GEF.B)
NYSE:GEF.B
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Greif Class B
(NYSE:GEF.B)
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Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$84.00
â–²(3.75% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/02/26
The score is driven by a strong valuation (very low P/E and solid dividend yield) and a healthier balance sheet, tempered by weak TTM cash generation (negative free cash flow) and declining revenue. Technical indicators also point to near-term bearish momentum, while the latest earnings call was moderately supportive due to cost savings and maintained free cash flow guidance despite lowered EBITDA guidance and ongoing volume/geopolitical risks.
Positive Factors
Improved leverage & high ROE
Balance sheet leverage has fallen materially to ~0.40x while ROE is ~35%, lowering financial risk and interest burden. A stronger capital structure supports stable dividends, buybacks and strategic investment capacity over the medium term, improving resilience to shocks.
Negative Factors
Weak free cash flow & cash conversion
Free cash flow turned slightly negative TTM despite positive reported income, indicating weak cash conversion. Persistent FCF weakness constrains capital allocation flexibility for maintenance capex, dividends or deleveraging unless operating cash generation improves sustainably.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved leverage & high ROE
Balance sheet leverage has fallen materially to ~0.40x while ROE is ~35%, lowering financial risk and interest burden. A stronger capital structure supports stable dividends, buybacks and strategic investment capacity over the medium term, improving resilience to shocks.
Read all positive factors
Greif Class B (GEF.B) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$3.55B
Dividend Yield4.45%
Average Volume (3M)11.28K
Price to Earnings (P/E)4.1
Beta (1Y)0.80
Revenue Growth-29.32%
EPS Growth-9.87%
CountryUS
Employees14,000
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryPackaging & Containers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)18.15
Shares Outstanding21,359,678
10 Day Avg. Volume7,602
30 Day Avg. Volume11,276
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.02
Price to Book (P/B)0.97
Price to Sales (P/S)0.66
P/FCF Ratio-33.25
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.18
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.88
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit3.89
Enterprise Value/Ebitda6.23
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)3.88
Revenue Forecast (FY)$4.27B
Greif Class B Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Greif, Inc. is a global enterprise specializing in the manufacturing and distribution of industrial packaging solutions and associated services. Its operations are divided into three principal divisions: Global Industrial Packaging, Paper Packagin...
How the Company Makes Money
Greif makes money primarily by selling industrial packaging products and related services to customers in industrial end markets. A major revenue stream comes from the manufacture and sale of rigid industrial packaging—especially steel drums, fibe...
Greif Class B Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 02, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call balanced clear operational and financial strengths—strong cost savings ($75M YTD), margin expansion (+110 bps YoY), EBITDA growth (+7.5% YoY), substantial free cash flow improvement (+107% YoY) and a fortress-like balance sheet (1.1x leverage, completed $150M buyback, low financing cost)—against near-term challenges driven by geopolitical disruption and persistent volume softness across several end markets. Management lowered EBITDA guidance to reflect direct and potential impacts of the Middle East conflict but maintained free cash flow guidance and emphasized structural, permanent cost improvements and disciplined capital allocation. Overall, the tone was confident and focused on controllable actions while acknowledging external demand and geopolitical risks.Positive Updates
Strong EBIT/Profitability Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA dollars improved 7.5% year-over-year; adjusted EBITDA margins expanded 110 basis points YoY and 230 basis points sequentially (Q1 2026 → Q2 2026), driven by value-based pricing and cost optimization.
Negative Updates
Middle East Conflict Disruption and Cost Pressure
The conflict caused intermittent facility shutdowns in the region; direct EBITDA loss in Q2 was reported as less than $5 million but management factored potential for continued disruption into guidance. Rising input/raw material costs tied to the conflict were also cited.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong EBIT/Profitability Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA dollars improved 7.5% year-over-year; adjusted EBITDA margins expanded 110 basis points YoY and 230 basis points sequentially (Q1 2026 → Q2 2026), driven by value-based pricing and cost optimization.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Greif revised its fiscal 2026 low-end guidance to $610 million of adjusted EBITDA while maintaining low-end adjusted free cash flow guidance of $315 million, citing direct and potential volume impacts from the Middle East conflict; management said EBITDA could be ~ $20 million lower and that they are assuming a $20 million lower working‑capital source and a lower cash‑tax profile to offset that. Guidance reflects a net tailwind from paper pricing (management noted a $60/ton URB increase recognized in April, partially offset by a $5/ton OCC headwind—management later characterized the URB/OCC net impact roughly as a $9 million lift versus an earlier $5 million estimate), and revised volume assumptions of Metal, Fiber and Closures down mid‑single digits and Polymers flat (vs. prior assumptions of Metal/Fiber flat to down low‑single and Polymers/Closures up low‑single). Management reiterated confidence in the revised guidance given $75 million of savings realized to date toward a full‑year $80–90 million target (and a broader $120 million program by FY2027), a strong balance sheet (1.1x leverage at quarter end, target to remain below 2x), completion of a $150 million buyback with $300 million remaining authorization, a weighted‑average interest rate of 3.14% on extended term loans to 2031, and sustained capital allocation priorities including roughly $85 million of maintenance CapEx.Greif Class B Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
28
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2025 | Oct 2024 | Oct 2023 | Oct 2022 | Oct 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.73B | 4.29B | 4.33B | 5.22B | 6.35B | 5.56B |
| Gross Profit | 1.08B | 950.73M | 892.15M | 1.15B | 1.29B | 1.09B |
| EBITDA | 671.80M | 440.29M | 534.44M | 834.10M | 803.50M | 805.70M |
| Net Income | 1.02B | 840.00M | 265.96M | 359.20M | 376.70M | 390.70M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 5.60B | 5.77B | 6.65B | 5.96B | 5.47B | 5.82B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 286.10M | 256.70M | 197.70M | 180.90M | 147.10M | 124.60M |
| Total Debt | 1.21B | 1.57B | 3.07B | 2.54B | 2.18B | 2.52B |
| Total Liabilities | 2.52B | 2.72B | 4.40B | 3.85B | 3.66B | 4.22B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.94B | 2.91B | 2.08B | 1.95B | 1.76B | 1.51B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -14.70M | -85.20M | 169.50M | 435.90M | 474.50M | 248.70M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 181.60M | 58.60M | 356.00M | 649.50M | 657.50M | 396.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 2.07B | 1.64B | -658.30M | -670.20M | -28.20M | 46.80M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -2.22B | -1.69B | 324.30M | 69.70M | -531.00M | -422.90M |
Greif Class B Technical Analysis
Positive
80.96
Price Trends
83.34
Positive
84.16
Positive
75.27
Positive
Market Momentum
0.73
Negative
65.76
Neutral
88.62
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GEF.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 80.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 80.77, below the 50-day MA of 83.34, and above the 200-day MA of 75.27, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.73 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.62 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GEF.B.
Greif Class B Risk Analysis
Greif Class B disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Greif Class B reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Greif Class B Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
65 Neutral | $1.01B | 23.90 | 14.53% | 2.80% | -6.26% | 149.36% | |
65 Neutral | $4.98B | 4.93 | 30.14% | 4.33% | 17.41% | 167.71% | |
64 Neutral | $3.55B | 4.15 | 35.34% | 4.45% | -29.32% | -9.87% | |
64 Neutral | $3.55B | 4.15 | 35.34% | 3.19% | -29.32% | -9.87% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
52 Neutral | $2.53B | 236.91 | -2.15% | 9.90% | 13.86% | 74.85% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
GEF.B
Greif Class B
87.23
23.93
37.81%
GEF
Greif Class A
70.72
9.27
15.09%
MYE
Myers Industries
26.80
12.59
88.59%
SON
Sonoco Products
51.22
9.65
23.23%
AMBP
Ardagh Metal Packaging
4.36
0.64
17.05%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.