Greif Class B (GEF.B)
NYSE:GEF.B
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Greif Class B
(NYSE:GEF.B)
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Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$90.00
â–²(11.17% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/29/26
The score is driven primarily by improved profitability and deleveraging, tempered by weak cash conversion and negative TTM free cash flow. Technicals are supportive with a strong uptrend, while valuation is reasonable but not clearly cheap. The latest earnings call adds support via reaffirmed guidance, margin improvement, and ongoing buybacks despite a muted demand backdrop.
Positive Factors
Improved leverage
A materially lower debt-to-equity (~0.43) indicates a healthier capital structure, reducing interest and refinancing risk. This durable improvement supports strategic flexibility for targeted growth CapEx and buybacks, and makes the company more resilient to cyclical downturns over months.
Negative Factors
Weak cash conversion
Very low TTM operating cash flow and negative free cash flow are structural concerns: they limit ability to fund organic investments, service capital returns, or absorb shocks. Persistent weak cash conversion raises risk that earnings improvements may not translate into durable liquidity gains.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved leverage
A materially lower debt-to-equity (~0.43) indicates a healthier capital structure, reducing interest and refinancing risk. This durable improvement supports strategic flexibility for targeted growth CapEx and buybacks, and makes the company more resilient to cyclical downturns over months.
Read all positive factors
Greif Class B (GEF.B) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$3.47B
Dividend Yield4.45%
Average Volume (3M)11.28K
Price to Earnings (P/E)5.6
Beta (1Y)0.85
Revenue Growth-17.63%
EPS Growth-80.32%
CountryUS
Employees14,000
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryPackaging & Containers
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.48
Shares Outstanding21,534,058
10 Day Avg. Volume7,602
30 Day Avg. Volume11,276
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.02
Price to Book (P/B)0.97
Price to Sales (P/S)0.66
P/FCF Ratio-33.25
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.17
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.82
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit3.77
Enterprise Value/Ebitda5.72
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)4.14
Revenue Forecast (FY)$4.31B
Greif Class B Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Greif, Inc. engages in the production and sale of industrial packaging products and services worldwide. It operates in three segments: Global Industrial Packaging; Paper Packaging & Services; and Land Management. The Global Industrial Packaging se...
How the Company Makes Money
Greif generates revenue primarily through the sale of its packaging products, which include steel and plastic drums, IBCs, corrugated containers, and flexible products. The company operates through several key segments, including Flexible Products...
Greif Class B Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jan 27, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlights meaningful operational progress: strong adjusted EBITDA (+24%), a 260-basis-point margin expansion, 140% EPS growth, active share repurchases ($130M completed) and materially lower leverage (~1.2x). Management reaffirmed full-year guidance, reported meaningful run-rate cost savings ($65M with $80–$90M target) and articulated a focused capital allocation strategy including a new $300M buyback authorization and targeted growth CapEx. Offsetting items include muted demand with mid-single-digit volume declines (~5%), segment-specific softness (durable metals, closures, fiber converting), polymer margin pressure from mix and higher manufacturing costs, and Q1 being seasonally weak for free cash flow. Overall, the positive financial execution, margin recovery and balance sheet strength outweigh the demand-related headwinds and execution risks, giving a constructive outlook while acknowledging macro sensitivity.Positive Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Growth and Margin Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA increased 24% year-over-year; adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 260 basis points to 12.3%, driven by price/cost improvements and structural cost optimization.
Negative Updates
Volume Weakness — Mid-Single Digit Decline
Aggregate volumes were down roughly mid-single digits in Q1 (management noted ~5% decline), reflecting a muted industrial backdrop and softer demand across several end markets.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Adjusted EBITDA Growth and Margin Expansion
Adjusted EBITDA increased 24% year-over-year; adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 260 basis points to 12.3%, driven by price/cost improvements and structural cost optimization.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Greif reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 guidance, reiterating a low-end adjusted EBITDA target of $630 million and adjusted free cash flow of $315 million with an approximate 50% adjusted free cash flow conversion expectation; this confidence is supported by Q1 results that showed adjusted EBITDA up 24% year‑over‑year, a 12.3% adjusted EBITDA margin (up 260 basis points YoY) and EPS up 140% YoY. Management highlighted cost actions with a Q1 run‑rate cost optimization of $65 million and a year‑end run‑rate target of $80–$90 million, materially lower maintenance CapEx, and leverage reduced to 1.2x (expected to remain well below 2x). Capital allocation actions include completing $130 million of a $150 million repurchase (about $20 million remaining), a new $300 million board‑authorized repurchase program with a goal to buy up to ~2% of shares annually, and continued funding of targeted growth CapEx.Greif Class B Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
70
Positive
Balance Sheet
77
Positive
Cash Flow
28
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Sep 2025 | Oct 2024 | Oct 2023 | Oct 2022 | Oct 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.93B | 4.29B | 4.33B | 5.22B | 6.35B | 5.56B |
| Gross Profit | 1.07B | 950.73M | 892.15M | 1.15B | 1.29B | 1.09B |
| EBITDA | 708.50M | 440.29M | 534.44M | 834.10M | 803.50M | 805.70M |
| Net Income | 1.01B | 840.00M | 265.96M | 359.20M | 376.70M | 390.70M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 5.50B | 5.77B | 6.65B | 5.96B | 5.47B | 5.82B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 243.50M | 256.70M | 197.70M | 180.90M | 147.10M | 124.60M |
| Total Debt | 1.15B | 1.57B | 3.07B | 2.54B | 2.18B | 2.52B |
| Total Liabilities | 2.43B | 2.72B | 4.40B | 3.85B | 3.66B | 4.22B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.94B | 2.91B | 2.08B | 1.95B | 1.76B | 1.51B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -142.60M | -85.20M | 169.50M | 435.90M | 474.50M | 248.70M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 34.20M | 58.60M | 356.00M | 649.50M | 657.50M | 396.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | 2.11B | 1.64B | -658.30M | -670.20M | -28.20M | 46.80M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -2.16B | -1.69B | 324.30M | 69.70M | -531.00M | -422.90M |
Greif Class B Technical Analysis
Positive
80.96
Price Trends
84.43
Positive
77.19
Positive
70.57
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.23
Negative
55.16
Neutral
89.31
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GEF.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 80.96 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 83.30, below the 50-day MA of 84.43, and above the 200-day MA of 70.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.31 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GEF.B.
Greif Class B Risk Analysis
Greif Class B disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Greif Class B reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Greif Class B Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
69 Neutral | $3.47B | 5.59 | 39.51% | 4.45% | -17.63% | -80.32% | |
67 Neutral | $5.25B | 10.96 | 32.44% | 4.33% | 8.31% | -99.39% | |
65 Neutral | $3.47B | 5.59 | 2.08% | 3.19% | -17.63% | -80.32% | |
64 Neutral | $774.62M | 20.03 | 12.22% | 2.80% | 0.26% | 78.05% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
60 Neutral | $6.19B | 12.04 | 48.39% | 1.94% | -1.22% | -0.76% | |
57 Neutral | $2.35B | -38.25 | -2.78% | 9.90% | 10.34% | 87.86% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
GEF.B
Greif Class B
84.86
28.08
49.45%
GEF
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66.37
13.35
25.19%
MYE
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42.00
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48.00%
SON
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53.19
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AMBP
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3.94
1.24
46.03%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.