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Greif Class B (GEF.B)
NYSE:GEF.B

Greif Class B (GEF.B) AI Stock Analysis

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GEF.B

Greif Class B

(NYSE:GEF.B)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$75.00
▼(-7.04% Downside)
Greif Class B's strong valuation and positive technical indicators are significant strengths, supported by strategic initiatives from the earnings call. However, financial performance concerns, particularly in cash flow and revenue growth, present risks that temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Cost Optimization
The successful cost optimization program enhances operational efficiency, reducing expenses and improving margins, which supports long-term profitability.
Debt Reduction
Reducing debt through strategic divestitures strengthens the balance sheet, lowers financial risk, and increases financial flexibility for future growth.
Strategic Portfolio Reshaping
Focusing on high-margin segments and reducing cyclical exposure positions the company for stable growth and improved profitability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A substantial revenue decline indicates challenges in maintaining market share and demand, potentially affecting long-term growth prospects.
Free Cash Flow Decline
A significant drop in free cash flow limits the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and return capital to shareholders, impacting future financial health.
Volume Declines in Key Segments
Volume declines in key segments suggest weakening demand, which can hinder revenue growth and operational efficiency in the long term.

Greif Class B (GEF.B) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Greif Class B Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGreif, Inc. engages in the production and sale of industrial packaging products and services worldwide. It operates in three segments: Global Industrial Packaging; Paper Packaging & Services; and Land Management. The Global Industrial Packaging segment produces and sells industrial packaging products, including steel, fiber, and plastic drums; rigid and flexible intermediate bulk containers; closure systems for industrial packaging products; transit protection products; water bottles, and remanufactured and reconditioned industrial containers; and various services, such as container life cycle management, filling, logistics, warehousing, and other packaging services to chemicals, paints and pigments, food and beverage, petroleum, industrial coatings, agriculture, pharmaceuticals, mineral product, and other industries. This segment also offers flexible intermediate bulk containers and related services to the agriculture, construction, and food industries. The Paper Packaging & Services segment produces and sells containerboards, corrugated sheets and containers, and other corrugated and specialty products to customers in the packaging, automotive, food, and building products markets; and produces and sells coated and uncoated recycled paperboard, and recycled fiber. This segment's corrugated container products are used to ship various products, such as home appliances, small machinery, grocery products, automotive components, books, and furniture, as well as various other applications. The Land Management segment engages in harvesting and regeneration of timber properties; and sale of timberland and special use properties. As of October 31, 2021, this segment owned approximately 175,000 acres of timber properties in the southeastern United States. The company was formerly known as Greif Bros. Corporation and changed its name to Greif, Inc. in 2001. Greif, Inc. was founded in 1877 and is headquartered in Delaware, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyGreif generates revenue primarily through the sale of its packaging products, which include steel and plastic drums, IBCs, corrugated containers, and flexible products. The company operates through several key segments, including Flexible Products and Services, Paper Packaging, and Steel and Plastic Containers. Each segment contributes to the overall revenue through direct sales to end-users as well as partnerships with distributors and retailers. Additionally, Greif benefits from its extensive global footprint, allowing it to serve multinational corporations and local businesses alike. The company also focuses on innovation and sustainability in its product offerings, which attracts customers seeking eco-friendly packaging solutions. Strategic acquisitions and collaborations further enhance Greif's market position and revenue potential.

Greif Class B Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with significant achievements in debt reduction, customer satisfaction, and cost optimization, contrasted by challenges in volume declines and market softness. The strategic focus on reshaping the portfolio and improving margins shows a positive trajectory for the company.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Divestitures and Debt Reduction
Finalized the sale of the land management business, generating $462 million in proceeds, which were used to reduce debt. The pro forma leverage ratio is now under 1x.
Net Promoter Score Improvement
Achieved a Net Promoter Score of 72, an improvement of 3 points from the previous year, reflecting strong customer satisfaction.
Cost Optimization Success
Achieved $50 million in run rate savings from the cost optimization program, exceeding the full year '25 commitment. Anticipated fiscal '26 cumulative cost saving run rate commitment raised to $80 million to $90 million.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Reported a free cash flow conversion rate of nearly 50% in 2025 and expected to be at 50% in 2026.
Strategic Portfolio Reshaping
Reshaped the portfolio through divestitures to focus on growing EBITDA, expanding margins, and reducing cyclability.
Negative Updates
Volume Declines in Key Segments
Durable Metals volumes declined by 6.6%, and Sustainable Fiber volumes declined by 7.7% due to economic downtime and soft demand.
Impact of Containerboard Divestment
SG&A includes $28 million of operating costs related to the containerboard divestment, impacting overall financial performance.
Weak Industrial End Markets
Continued softness in industrial end markets impacting volume growth, particularly in EMEA.
Company Guidance
During the Greif Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance emphasizing its fiscal 2026 outlook. The guidance included expectations of low-end scenario assumptions such as flat to low single-digit volume declines in metals and fiber, coupled with low single-digit volume improvements in polymers and closures. The company projected a continued earnings growth trajectory with a free cash flow conversion rate of 50%. Greif also highlighted its cost optimization program, which achieved $50 million in run rate savings for fiscal 2025 and is expected to realize $80 million to $90 million by fiscal 2026, with a cumulative target of $120 million by 2027. The guidance stressed the strategic realignment of its portfolio, improved operational efficiencies, and strengthened financial positioning, including a pro forma leverage ratio below 1x. The company's commitment to shareholder value was further underscored by plans for a $150 million open market share repurchase, reflecting its confidence in achieving long-term objectives.

Greif Class B Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Greif Class B shows strong profitability with a high net profit margin of 21.36% and a solid balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48. However, challenges in revenue growth (-17.54%) and a significant decline in free cash flow growth (-125.2%) indicate potential liquidity concerns.
Income Statement
The company has experienced a significant decline in revenue growth, with a -17.54% decrease in the most recent period. However, the net profit margin has improved substantially to 21.36%, indicating strong profitability despite the revenue drop. Historical data shows fluctuating revenue growth rates, with periods of both growth and decline. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to previous years, reflecting potential challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48, indicating a relatively balanced capital structure. Return on equity has improved significantly to 31.44%, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 50.56%, showing a stable financial position with a good proportion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement reveals a concerning decline in free cash flow growth, with a -125.2% change. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.06, indicating potential challenges in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting issues in generating free cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.66B3.93B4.33B5.22B6.35B5.56B
Gross Profit1.02B871.50M892.15M1.15B1.29B1.09B
EBITDA495.40M396.00M534.44M834.10M803.50M805.70M
Net Income885.10M840.00M265.96M359.20M376.70M390.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.77B5.77B6.65B5.96B5.47B5.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments256.70M256.70M197.70M180.90M147.10M124.60M
Total Debt1.39B1.39B3.07B2.54B2.18B2.52B
Total Liabilities2.72B2.72B4.40B3.85B3.66B4.22B
Stockholders Equity2.91B2.91B2.08B1.95B1.76B1.51B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow55.30M-85.20M169.50M435.90M474.50M248.70M
Operating Cash Flow245.80M58.60M356.00M649.50M657.50M396.00M
Investing Cash Flow1.77B1.68B-658.30M-670.20M-28.20M46.80M
Financing Cash Flow-1.98B-1.73B324.30M69.70M-531.00M-422.90M

Greif Class B Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price80.68
Price Trends
50DMA
69.25
Positive
100DMA
65.88
Positive
200DMA
63.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.76
Negative
RSI
78.59
Negative
STOCH
99.61
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GEF.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 80.68 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 75.59, above the 50-day MA of 69.25, and above the 200-day MA of 63.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.76 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.59 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 99.61 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GEF.B.

Greif Class B Risk Analysis

Greif Class B disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Greif Class B reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Greif Class B Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$3.57B90.607.46%4.45%-17.63%-80.32%
71
Outperform
$6.11B15.4340.42%1.94%-1.22%-0.76%
69
Neutral
$733.20M26.329.92%2.80%0.26%78.05%
67
Neutral
$3.57B80.062.08%3.19%-17.63%-80.32%
63
Neutral
$4.62B4,881.446.39%4.90%8.31%-99.39%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
56
Neutral
$2.55B-324.639.90%10.34%87.86%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GEF.B
Greif Class B
80.68
21.03
35.25%
GEF
Greif Class A
71.29
14.31
25.12%
MYE
Myers Industries
19.60
9.04
85.54%
SEE
Sealed Air
41.52
8.65
26.32%
SON
Sonoco Products
46.83
2.43
5.47%
AMBP
Ardagh Metal Packaging
4.35
1.85
73.79%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2025