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Greif Class B (GEF.B)
NYSE:GEF.B
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Greif Class B (GEF.B) AI Stock Analysis

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GEF.B

Greif Class B

(NYSE:GEF.B)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$75.00
▲(6.47% Upside)
Greif Class B's strong valuation and positive technical indicators are significant strengths, supported by strategic initiatives from the earnings call. However, financial performance concerns, particularly in cash flow and revenue growth, present risks that temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Cost Optimization
The successful cost optimization program enhances operational efficiency, reducing expenses and improving margins, which supports long-term profitability.
Debt Reduction
Reducing debt through strategic divestitures strengthens the balance sheet, lowers financial risk, and increases financial flexibility for future growth.
Strategic Portfolio Reshaping
Focusing on high-margin segments and reducing cyclical exposure positions the company for stable growth and improved profitability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A substantial revenue decline indicates challenges in maintaining market share and demand, potentially affecting long-term growth prospects.
Free Cash Flow Decline
A significant drop in free cash flow limits the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and return capital to shareholders, impacting future financial health.
Volume Declines in Key Segments
Volume declines in key segments suggest weakening demand, which can hinder revenue growth and operational efficiency in the long term.

Greif Class B (GEF.B) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Greif Class B Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGreif, Inc. engages in the production and sale of industrial packaging products and services worldwide. It operates in three segments: Global Industrial Packaging; Paper Packaging & Services; and Land Management. The Global Industrial Packaging segment produces and sells industrial packaging products, including steel, fiber, and plastic drums; rigid and flexible intermediate bulk containers; closure systems for industrial packaging products; transit protection products; water bottles, and remanufactured and reconditioned industrial containers; and various services, such as container life cycle management, filling, logistics, warehousing, and other packaging services to chemicals, paints and pigments, food and beverage, petroleum, industrial coatings, agriculture, pharmaceuticals, mineral product, and other industries. This segment also offers flexible intermediate bulk containers and related services to the agriculture, construction, and food industries. The Paper Packaging & Services segment produces and sells containerboards, corrugated sheets and containers, and other corrugated and specialty products to customers in the packaging, automotive, food, and building products markets; and produces and sells coated and uncoated recycled paperboard, and recycled fiber. This segment's corrugated container products are used to ship various products, such as home appliances, small machinery, grocery products, automotive components, books, and furniture, as well as various other applications. The Land Management segment engages in harvesting and regeneration of timber properties; and sale of timberland and special use properties. As of October 31, 2021, this segment owned approximately 175,000 acres of timber properties in the southeastern United States. The company was formerly known as Greif Bros. Corporation and changed its name to Greif, Inc. in 2001. Greif, Inc. was founded in 1877 and is headquartered in Delaware, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyGreif generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by manufacturing and selling a diverse range of industrial packaging products. The company earns money by selling products such as steel and plastic drums, intermediate bulk containers, and flexible packaging solutions. Additionally, Greif provides value-added services, including packaging design, logistics, and supply chain management, which contribute to its overall revenue. Significant partnerships with major players in various sectors, such as food and beverage, chemicals, and pharmaceuticals, help drive consistent demand for its products. Furthermore, Greif's focus on sustainability and innovative packaging solutions positions it favorably in a market increasingly oriented towards environmentally responsible practices.

Greif Class B Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with significant achievements in debt reduction, customer satisfaction, and cost optimization, contrasted by challenges in volume declines and market softness. The strategic focus on reshaping the portfolio and improving margins shows a positive trajectory for the company.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Divestitures and Debt Reduction
Finalized the sale of the land management business, generating $462 million in proceeds, which were used to reduce debt. The pro forma leverage ratio is now under 1x.
Net Promoter Score Improvement
Achieved a Net Promoter Score of 72, an improvement of 3 points from the previous year, reflecting strong customer satisfaction.
Cost Optimization Success
Achieved $50 million in run rate savings from the cost optimization program, exceeding the full year '25 commitment. Anticipated fiscal '26 cumulative cost saving run rate commitment raised to $80 million to $90 million.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Reported a free cash flow conversion rate of nearly 50% in 2025 and expected to be at 50% in 2026.
Strategic Portfolio Reshaping
Reshaped the portfolio through divestitures to focus on growing EBITDA, expanding margins, and reducing cyclability.
Negative Updates
Volume Declines in Key Segments
Durable Metals volumes declined by 6.6%, and Sustainable Fiber volumes declined by 7.7% due to economic downtime and soft demand.
Impact of Containerboard Divestment
SG&A includes $28 million of operating costs related to the containerboard divestment, impacting overall financial performance.
Weak Industrial End Markets
Continued softness in industrial end markets impacting volume growth, particularly in EMEA.
Company Guidance
During the Greif Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance emphasizing its fiscal 2026 outlook. The guidance included expectations of low-end scenario assumptions such as flat to low single-digit volume declines in metals and fiber, coupled with low single-digit volume improvements in polymers and closures. The company projected a continued earnings growth trajectory with a free cash flow conversion rate of 50%. Greif also highlighted its cost optimization program, which achieved $50 million in run rate savings for fiscal 2025 and is expected to realize $80 million to $90 million by fiscal 2026, with a cumulative target of $120 million by 2027. The guidance stressed the strategic realignment of its portfolio, improved operational efficiencies, and strengthened financial positioning, including a pro forma leverage ratio below 1x. The company's commitment to shareholder value was further underscored by plans for a $150 million open market share repurchase, reflecting its confidence in achieving long-term objectives.

Greif Class B Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Greif Class B shows strong profitability with a high net profit margin of 21.36% and a solid balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48. However, challenges in revenue growth (-17.54%) and a significant decline in free cash flow growth (-125.2%) indicate potential liquidity concerns.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company has experienced a significant decline in revenue growth, with a -17.54% decrease in the most recent period. However, the net profit margin has improved substantially to 21.36%, indicating strong profitability despite the revenue drop. Historical data shows fluctuating revenue growth rates, with periods of both growth and decline. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased compared to previous years, reflecting potential challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48, indicating a relatively balanced capital structure. Return on equity has improved significantly to 31.44%, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 50.56%, showing a stable financial position with a good proportion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
The cash flow statement reveals a concerning decline in free cash flow growth, with a -125.2% change. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.06, indicating potential challenges in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting issues in generating free cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.66B4.29B4.33B5.22B6.35B5.56B
Gross Profit1.02B950.73M892.15M1.15B1.29B1.09B
EBITDA551.30M405.60M534.44M834.10M803.50M805.70M
Net Income885.10M916.36M265.96M359.20M376.70M390.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.77B5.77B6.65B5.96B5.47B5.82B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments256.70M256.70M197.70M180.90M147.10M124.60M
Total Debt1.39B1.39B3.07B2.54B2.18B2.52B
Total Liabilities2.72B2.72B4.40B3.85B3.66B4.22B
Stockholders Equity2.91B2.91B2.08B1.95B1.76B1.51B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow55.30M-85.20M169.50M435.90M474.50M248.70M
Operating Cash Flow245.80M58.60M356.00M649.50M657.50M396.00M
Investing Cash Flow1.77B1.68B-658.30M-670.20M-28.20M46.80M
Financing Cash Flow-1.98B-1.73B324.30M69.70M-531.00M-422.90M

Greif Class B Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price70.44
Price Trends
50DMA
62.45
Positive
100DMA
64.62
Positive
200DMA
62.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.89
Negative
RSI
70.10
Negative
STOCH
81.29
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GEF.B, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 70.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 63.72, above the 50-day MA of 62.45, and above the 200-day MA of 62.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.10 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.29 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GEF.B.

Greif Class B Risk Analysis

Greif Class B disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Greif Class B reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Greif Class B Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$2.74B21.557.46%4.63%-17.63%-80.32%
70
Outperform
$657.26M23.609.92%3.10%0.26%78.05%
67
Neutral
$3.19B73.032.08%3.35%-17.63%-80.32%
65
Neutral
$6.33B15.9940.42%1.86%-1.22%-0.76%
63
Neutral
$4.12B4,310.316.39%5.05%8.31%-99.39%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
56
Neutral
$2.24B10.67%10.34%87.86%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GEF.B
Greif Class B
70.44
-2.36
-3.24%
GEF
Greif Class A
65.03
-3.97
-5.75%
MYE
Myers Industries
18.04
6.48
56.06%
SEE
Sealed Air
43.01
7.28
20.38%
SON
Sonoco Products
41.81
-7.88
-15.86%
AMBP
Ardagh Metal Packaging
3.75
0.49
15.03%

Greif Class B Corporate Events

Greif Class B Reports Fiscal 2025 Earnings Amid Strategic Shifts
Nov 7, 2025

Greif, Inc., a global leader in industrial packaging products and services, operates in the manufacturing sector, providing customized polymer, sustainable fiber, durable metal, and integrated solutions. In its latest earnings report, Greif announced significant changes, including the divestment of its containerboard business for $1.8 billion and the completion of its fiscal year ending September 30, 2025. The company reported a decrease in net income for both the two-month fourth quarter and the eleven-month fiscal year, attributed to tax expenses and the impact of discontinued operations. Despite these challenges, Greif achieved a 7.4% increase in adjusted EBITDA for the quarter and a 3.1% increase for the fiscal year, indicating operational resilience. The company also reduced its total debt significantly, improving its leverage ratio. Looking ahead, Greif’s management remains cautiously optimistic, focusing on cost optimization and share repurchase plans to enhance shareholder value, while acknowledging the ongoing industrial contraction and uncertain demand trends in the market.

Greif, Inc. Reports Mixed Q3 2025 Financial Results
Aug 29, 2025

Greif, Inc., a global leader in industrial packaging products and services, operates across various sectors including Customized Polymer, Sustainable Fiber, Durable Metal, and Integrated Solutions, providing innovative and tailored packaging solutions worldwide. In its fiscal third quarter of 2025, Greif reported a significant decrease in net income by 49.6% to $39.3 million, primarily due to a previous year’s gain from the divestiture of Delta Petroleum. However, when excluding adjustments, net income increased by 11.6% to $60.4 million. The company’s Combined Adjusted EBITDA rose by 11% to $220.9 million, and net cash from operating activities surged by $123.1 million to $199.9 million, reflecting strong cash flow generation despite mixed demand. Greif’s strategic actions included the divestiture of its Containerboard Business for $1.8 billion and the sale of its timberlands business for $462 million, aligning with its portfolio optimization strategy. The company also achieved $20 million in cost savings by the end of Q3 2025. Looking ahead, Greif remains focused on driving cash production and optimizing costs, with a confident outlook on achieving its long-term commitments and creating value for investors.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 14, 2025