Genesco (GCO) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $268.09M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 94.84K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 22.6
• Beta (1Y): 1.99
• Revenue Growth: 2.76%
• EPS Growth: 96.01%
• Country: US
• Employees: 5,400
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Apparel - Retail
• EPS (TTM): 3.74
• Shares Outstanding: 10,792,736
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 134,898
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 94,845
• PEG Ratio: -1.49
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.83
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.19
• P/FCF Ratio: 9.65
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 2.58
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.29
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 0.62
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 26.26
• 1Y Price Target: $37.50
• Price Target Upside: 46.26% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4
• EPS Forecast (FY): 1.93
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $2.45B

• Rating: 59 Neutral
• Price Target: $27.00 ▲(5.30% Upside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 03/06/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 03/06/26

The score is driven primarily by mixed fundamentals: strong revenue growth and improving free cash flow, but very weak profitability and efficiency. Technicals are a notable drag with the stock trading below major moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation is reasonable at a mid-range P/E, while the earnings call modestly supports the outlook with margin improvement and higher FY2027 earnings guidance despite near-term pressure and tariff/license-exit headwinds.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth & Comps

Sustained comparable-sales strength and large TTM revenue growth show resilient demand and scale across channels. Multi-quarter comp momentum (stores and digital) improves purchasing leverage, inventory turns and vendor terms, supporting durable top-line recovery and strategic reinvestment.

Free Cash Flow & Net Cash

Strong free cash flow generation and a net cash position provide enduring financial flexibility. This supports capex for Journeys rollouts, funds store remodelling without heavy external financing, allows deleveraging and creates optionality for strategic investments or managing licensing transitions.

Journeys Segment Momentum

Journeys' repeatable 4.0 store format and double-digit comps establish a durable growth engine. Strong brand appeal with teens and improving market share create scalable unit economics as rollouts expand, helping offset weaker banners and providing a structural contributor to future margin improvement.

Negative Factors

Very Weak Profitability

Extremely low net margins and negligible ROE indicate the company struggles to convert sales into shareholder returns. Structural profitability weakness restricts reinvestment capacity, makes earnings fragile to cost shocks, and limits long-term value creation absent sustained margin recovery.

Schuh Promotional Pressure

Persistent promotional dependence in Schuh's U.K. market erodes gross margins and forces a trade-off between sales and profitability. Restoring full-price mix will take time and risks near-term sales declines, making margin recovery a multi-quarter structural challenge rather than a short-term fix.

Revenue Reductions & Tariff Headwinds

Planned license exits and net store closures permanently reduce revenue base and scale, weakening fixed-cost absorption. Combined with recurring tariff exposure, these structural headwinds constrain margin recovery and require successful new product/brand timing to replace lost sales.

Genesco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Genesco Inc. operates as a retailer and wholesaler of footwear, apparel, and accessories. The company operates through four segments: Journeys Group, Schuh Group, Johnston & Murphy Group, and Licensed Brands. The Journeys Group segment offers footwear and accessories through the Journeys, Journeys Kidz, and Little Burgundy retail chains, as well as through e-commerce and catalogs for young men, women, and children. The Schuh Group segment operates Schuh retail footwear stores that offer casual and athletic footwear, as well as sells footwear through e-commerce. The Johnston & Murphy Group segment is involved in the retail and e-commerce operations; and wholesale distribution of men's dress and casual footwear, apparel, and accessories, as well as women's footwear and accessories. The Licensed Brands segment markets footwear under the Levi's, Dockers, and G.H. Bass brands for men, women, and children, as well as designs and manufactures the STARTER and ETONIC brands footwear. As of January 29, 2022, the company operated approximately 1,425 retail stores in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, the United Kingdom, and the Republic of Ireland primarily under the Journeys, Journeys Kidz, Schuh, Little Burgundy, and Johnston & Murphy names. Its e-commerce websites include journeys.com, journeyskidz.com, journeys.ca, schuh.co.uk, schuh.ie, schuh.eu, johnstonmurphy.com, littleburgundyshoes.com, johnstonmurphy.ca, nashvilleshoewarehouse.com, and dockersshoes.com. Genesco Inc. was incorporated in 1924 and is headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee.

How the Company Makes Money

Genesco generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the sale of footwear and related accessories via its retail and wholesale operations. The company operates a significant number of retail stores across the United States and internationally, primarily under its Journeys and Lids brands. A substantial portion of Genesco's revenue comes from direct-to-consumer sales through their physical stores and e-commerce platforms. Additionally, Genesco benefits from wholesale distribution agreements, supplying products to various third-party retailers. Key partnerships with popular brands and ongoing collaborations enhance their product offerings, driving sales and customer loyalty. Seasonal promotions, marketing campaigns, and a focus on customer experience also contribute to their earnings, allowing them to maintain a competitive edge in the retail market.

Genesco Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong TTM revenue growth (84.2%) and improving free cash flow (+24.98%) support the score, but extremely weak profitability (net margin ~0.0016%, ROE ~0.0073%) and margin pressure limit upside despite improved leverage (D/E 0.84).

Income Statement

Genesco's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a significant revenue growth rate of 84.2%, suggesting a strong recovery or expansion. However, profitability margins are concerning, with a very low net profit margin of 0.0016% and declining EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to previous years. The gross profit margin remains stable, indicating effective cost management. Overall, while revenue growth is promising, profitability remains a challenge.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects moderate financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.84 in the TTM, indicating a reduction in leverage compared to previous periods. However, the return on equity is negligible at 0.0073%, highlighting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated but suggests a balanced asset structure. Overall, the balance sheet shows improvement in leverage but lacks strong profitability indicators.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trajectory with a 24.98% growth in free cash flow in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.18, indicating some challenges in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.24 suggests a reasonable level of cash generation relative to net income. Overall, cash flow performance is solid, with notable improvements in free cash flow growth.

Breakdown	TTM	Jan 2025	Jan 2024	Jan 2023	Jan 2022	Jan 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	2.38B	2.33B	2.32B	2.38B	2.42B	1.79B
Gross Profit	1.11B	1.10B	1.10B	1.14B	1.18B	804.47M
EBITDA	26.36M	66.72M	35.44M	136.66M	190.36M	-59.66M
Net Income	39.00K	-18.89M	-16.83M	71.92M	114.85M	-56.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.47B	1.34B	1.33B	1.46B	1.56B	1.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	27.03M	34.01M	35.16M	47.99M	320.52M	215.09M
Total Debt	613.67M	485.09M	522.94M	580.43M	632.64M	734.04M
Total Liabilities	958.33M	788.57M	758.69M	849.46M	959.63M	1.02B
Stockholders Equity	513.77M	546.97M	571.20M	606.97M	602.47M	566.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	23.48M	46.75M	34.49M	-224.82M	185.97M	133.61M
Operating Cash Flow	89.40M	87.89M	94.80M	-164.88M	239.87M	157.74M
Investing Cash Flow	-65.92M	-41.13M	-60.00M	-59.93M	-33.90M	-24.02M
Financing Cash Flow	-29.11M	-47.00M	-47.58M	-45.53M	-101.17M	-3.16M

Genesco Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 25.64
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GCO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 25.64 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.34, below the 50-day MA of 29.14, and below the 200-day MA of 27.71, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.86 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GCO.

Genesco Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SCVL	71 Outperform	$484.26M	8.56	8.72%	3.12%	-6.22%	-22.81%
JILL	65 Neutral	$225.82M	6.21	28.75%	2.25%	-2.67%	-22.93%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
GCO	59 Neutral	$268.09M	22.59	-0.13%	―	2.76%	96.01%
ZUMZ	56 Neutral	$353.99M	30.86	4.41%	―	2.81%	―
CURV	48 Neutral	$158.72M	-16.58	0.97%	―	-7.33%	-114.80%
PLCE	44 Neutral	$73.82M	-9.20	289.32%	―	-10.09%	81.44%

Genesco Corporate Events

Genesco CFO Resigns; CEO Mimi Vaughn Named Interim

On January 29, 2026, Genesco announced that Chief Financial Officer Cassandra “Sandra” Harris had tendered her resignation effective March 6, 2026, to pursue opportunities outside the retail industry, with the company emphasizing that her departure was not related to any disagreement over operations, policies, or financial reporting. Harris agreed to stay on as a consultant and principal accounting officer from March 7, 2026, through the anticipated March 25, 2026 filing of Genesco’s fiscal 2026 Form 10-K, assist with an orderly transition, and participate in the company’s fourth-quarter and fiscal 2026 earnings call, for which she will be paid $12,000 in transition services fees. Genesco has launched a search for a permanent CFO, and effective March 6, 2026, President and CEO Mimi E. Vaughn—who previously served as CFO from 2015 to 2019—will assume the role of interim CFO without additional compensation, leading an experienced finance team to ensure continuity as the company seeks a strategic finance leader to support its long-term growth strategy and shareholder value ambitions.

The most recent analyst rating on (GCO) stock is a Hold with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genesco stock, see the GCO Stock Forecast page.

Genesco Amends Credit Agreement to Extend Maturity, Cut Costs

On January 16, 2026, Genesco Inc. entered into a fourth amendment to its Fourth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, extending the facility’s maturity to January 16, 2031 while maintaining the existing borrowing base calculations and collateral structure for both its U.S. and Canadian revolving credit lines. The amendment relaxes ongoing financial covenant compliance by only requiring a minimum fixed charge coverage ratio of 1.0:1.0 if excess availability falls below the greater of $22.5 million or 10% of the loan cap, updates the benchmark rate for Canadian borrowings to Term CORRA, removes the credit spread adjustment to lower Term SOFR-based interest on domestic borrowings, and revises the pricing grid so applicable margins now range from 1.25% to 1.75% on Term SOFR, Term CORRA and alternative currency loans and from 0.25% to 0.75% on domestic and Canadian prime-based loans, collectively improving the company’s funding flexibility and potentially lowering its financing costs.

The most recent analyst rating on (GCO) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genesco stock, see the GCO Stock Forecast page.

Genesco lifts earnings outlook on strong holiday sales

On January 12, 2026, Genesco reported that for the fourth fiscal quarter-to-date period ended December 27, 2025, total comparable sales rose 9% year over year, driven by a 10% increase in same-store sales and a 9% gain in e-commerce, with Journeys Group posting a 12% comparable sales jump, Schuh up 6%, and Johnston & Murphy up 1%. Management highlighted strong holiday performance at Journeys with double-digit growth on top of last year’s double-digit gains, while noting that Schuh’s better-than-expected top line relied on heavier discounting amid a highly promotional U.K. footwear market and inventory cleanup efforts; reflecting these dynamics, the company raised its fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings outlook to at least $1.30 per share and said it would provide a fuller business and outlook update with its fourth-quarter and full-year results, as well as present its story to investors at the 2026 ICR Conference on January 12, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (GCO) stock is a Buy with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genesco stock, see the GCO Stock Forecast page.