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Gannett (GCI)
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Gannett (GCI) AI Stock Analysis

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GCI

Gannett

(NYSE:GCI)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▲(3.77% Upside)
Gannett's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance challenges, including revenue decline and high leverage. Positive factors include a bullish technical trend and promising earnings call highlights, such as debt reduction and digital growth. However, the overbought RSI and lack of dividend yield temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Digital Advertising Revenue Growth
The growth in digital advertising revenue indicates Gannett's successful adaptation to digital trends, enhancing its competitive position in the digital media landscape and providing a more sustainable revenue stream.
Strategic AI Content Licensing Agreement
This agreement is likely to generate new revenue streams through licensing fees and advertising revenue share, leveraging AI to enhance content value and distribution efficiency, aligning with technological advancements.
Debt Reduction
Significant debt reduction strengthens the balance sheet, reduces financial risk, and enhances financial flexibility, positioning Gannett for future investments and growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Overall Revenue Decline
The decline in overall revenue reflects ongoing challenges in Gannett's core business, potentially impacting its ability to invest in growth initiatives and maintain market share.
High Leverage
High leverage indicates financial risk and limits Gannett's capacity to maneuver financially, potentially affecting long-term stability and investment capacity.
Declining Free Cash Flow
Declining free cash flow suggests challenges in cash generation, which could constrain Gannett's ability to fund operations, pay down debt, or invest in growth opportunities.

Gannett (GCI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gannett Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGannett Co., Inc. operates as a media and marketing solutions company in the United States. It operates through two segments, Publishing and Digital Marketing Solutions. The company's principal products include 230 daily print media with total paid circulation of approximately 1.9 million and Sunday circulation of 2.2 million; 249 weekly print media with total circulation of approximately 1.4 million; and 292 locally-focused websites. Its principal products also comprise 123 daily and weekly news media brands and approximately 80 magazines, and related digital platforms; sports network, as well as Reviewed.com, an affiliate marketing service; and USA TODAY NETWORK, a community events platform. The company also offers digital marketing solutions, such as online presence solutions, online advertising products, conversion software, and cloud-based software solutions. In addition, it produces niche publications that address specific local market interests, such as recreation, sports, healthcare, and real estate. Further, the company offers local market news and information, as well as advertising and subscriptions, and commercial printing and distribution services; and prints commercial materials, including flyers, business cards, and invitations. The company was formerly known as New Media Investment Group Inc. and changed its name to Gannett Co., Inc. in November 2019. Gannett Co., Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyGannett generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily focusing on advertising and subscription services. The company's advertising revenue comes from both print and digital sources, where it provides businesses with targeted advertising solutions through its extensive reach and audience data. Additionally, Gannett earns money through digital subscriptions, offering readers access to premium content on its online platforms. The company has also expanded its revenue model by providing marketing services, including digital marketing and social media management, to local businesses. Strategic partnerships with technology firms and collaborations with other media outlets further bolster its revenue capabilities, allowing Gannett to leverage new technologies and expand its audience engagement.

Gannett Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in debt reduction, digital revenue growth, and AI licensing deals, which are expected to drive future growth. However, there were notable challenges in revenue decrease and incremental costs in Q3, which impacted financial performance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Debt Reduction Milestone
Total debt fell below $1 billion for the first time since the 2019 merger, marking a significant milestone in strengthening the balance sheet and reducing leverage.
Digital Revenue Growth
Digital revenues grew to 47% of total company revenues in Q3, an all-time high, with expectations to reach 50% in Q4.
AI Licensing Deals
Significant AI licensing deals were established, including with Microsoft, which are expected to provide new revenue streams.
Digital Advertising Growth
Digital advertising revenues recorded another quarter of year-over-year growth, with new advertising deals expected to boost Q4.
Positive Legal Development
Judge Castell's ruling in favor of Gannett in the Google lawsuit establishes liability and advances the case towards focusing on damages and remedies.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decrease
Total revenues decreased by 8.4% year-over-year, influenced by timing shifts of large customer spending from Q3 to Q4.
Incremental Costs
Incremental expenses were incurred in Q3 due to cost reduction actions, including medical and benefit-related costs tied to employee exits.
Company Guidance
In the Gannett Company's Q3 2025 earnings call, significant milestones and strategic initiatives were highlighted, providing a positive outlook for future growth. Notably, Gannett's total debt fell below $1 billion for the first time since its 2019 merger. Digital revenues reached 47% of total company revenues, with expectations to approach 50% in Q4. The company successfully implemented a $100 million cost reduction program, anticipated to drive strong year-over-year growth in adjusted EBITDA in Q4. Digital advertising revenues and digital-only ARPU both showed year-over-year growth, with digital-only ARPU reaching $8.80. The company also secured new AI licensing deals, including a partnership with Microsoft, and blocked 99% of unauthorized AI scraping bots, thereby enhancing its content monetization strategy. Looking ahead, Gannett expects total digital revenues to grow in the low single digits in Q4, contributing to an overall positive financial outlook for the remainder of 2025.

Gannett Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gannett's financial statements indicate challenges with declining revenue and profitability pressures. The company faces high leverage risks, despite a strong ROE. Declining cash flows further weaken financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Gannett's income statement shows a declining revenue trend with a negative revenue growth rate of -2.25% in the TTM. Gross profit margin remains moderate at 37.75%, but the net profit margin is relatively low at 4.84%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also modest, indicating challenges in operational efficiency. Overall, the income statement reflects a company struggling with revenue contraction and profitability pressures.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 4.97, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity is strong at 59.28%, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is low, highlighting a reliance on debt financing. The balance sheet suggests financial instability due to high leverage, despite a strong ROE.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by -15.47% in the TTM, reflecting cash generation challenges. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.18, indicating moderate cash flow efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.44, suggesting some ability to convert income into cash. Overall, cash flow performance is mixed, with concerns over declining free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.34B2.51B2.66B2.95B3.21B3.41B
Gross Profit685.84M963.73M971.52M1.08B1.31B1.37B
EBITDA254.81M183.31M261.53M289.52M478.86M-263.12M
Net Income91.55M-26.35M-27.79M-78.25M-136.17M-672.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.92B2.04B2.18B2.39B2.83B3.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments75.25M106.30M100.18M94.25M130.76M170.72M
Total Debt1.16B1.29B1.29B1.38B1.49B1.87B
Total Liabilities1.73B1.89B1.86B2.10B2.30B2.74B
Stockholders Equity194.01M153.14M317.79M295.74M532.10M364.11M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow28.29M50.78M56.46M-4.60M87.89M20.80M
Operating Cash Flow80.02M100.31M94.57M40.78M127.45M57.77M
Investing Cash Flow6.73M-27.95M46.98M22.12M70.65M160.14M
Financing Cash Flow-117.05M-68.85M-135.51M-102.87M-261.17M-201.34M

Gannett Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.30
Price Trends
50DMA
4.08
Positive
100DMA
3.93
Positive
200DMA
3.80
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Negative
RSI
79.94
Negative
STOCH
83.74
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GCI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.90, above the 50-day MA of 4.08, and above the 200-day MA of 3.80, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 79.94 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.74 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GCI.

Gannett Risk Analysis

Gannett disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gannett reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gannett Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
$9.28B29.3417.13%1.18%7.82%19.39%
$214.65M5.008.30%5.25%
$779.68M8.1644.30%-8.00%
$511.59M3.037.23%7.00%7.03%1727.49%
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
-8.00%-46.22%
$26.93M-0.63-5.68%-127.26%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GCI
Gannett
5.30
0.43
8.83%
DALN
DallasNews
16.51
11.41
223.73%
SSP
E. W. Scripps Company Class A
2.43
0.16
7.05%
GTN
Gray Television
4.57
-0.79
-14.74%
LEE
Lee Enterprises
4.23
-14.67
-77.62%
NYT
New York Times
56.99
5.20
10.04%

Gannett Corporate Events

Gannett Reports Q3 2025 Results and AI Partnership
Oct 31, 2025

Gannett Co., Inc. is a diversified media company operating in the United States and the United Kingdom, known for its national publication USA TODAY and various local media organizations, providing journalism and digital marketing solutions. In its third quarter of 2025, Gannett reported a decrease in total revenues by 8.4% year-over-year to $560.8 million, with digital revenues comprising 46.9% of the total. The company also announced a new AI licensing agreement with Microsoft and highlighted a reduction in total debt below $1 billion. Key financial metrics included a net loss of $39.2 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $57.2 million, impacted by digital revenue shifts and cost reduction expenses. Gannett’s digital segment showed robust engagement with 187 million average monthly unique visitors, though digital advertising and subscription revenues faced challenges. Looking ahead, Gannett anticipates strong digital revenue growth in the fourth quarter, supported by its AI initiatives and cost reduction strategies, with expectations of improved net income and EBITDA growth for the full year 2025.

Gannett Co., Inc. Earnings Call Highlights Digital Gains
Aug 2, 2025

Gannett Co., Inc. Shines in Digital Transformation Amid Revenue Challenges

Gannett Co., Inc. Reports Q2 2025 Earnings and Strategic Initiatives
Aug 1, 2025

Gannett Co., Inc. is a diversified media company primarily operating in the media and digital marketing solutions sector, known for its national and local reach through brands like USA TODAY and its commitment to providing high-quality journalism and digital experiences.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025