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Gannett Co., Inc. (GCI)
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Gannett (GCI) AI Stock Analysis

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Gannett

(NYSE:GCI)

Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▲(10.50%Upside)
Gannett's overall score is driven by significant financial challenges and mixed technical indicators. While there are improvements in cost management and strategic growth prospects, the stock faces immediate challenges with declining revenues and a leveraged balance sheet. The reasonable valuation and potential advantages from the DOJ ruling against Google provide some optimism.
Positive Factors
Debt Management
Gannett Co. is focusing on paying down debt, having paid off $74.5M of debt and projecting further reductions, which could create value before litigation upside.
Digital Revenue Growth
Gannett Co. reiterated the FY25 outlook that calls for 7%-10% digital revenue growth and same store revenue growth, indicating a potential inflection to growth after many years of contraction.
Legal Outcome
The positive ruling in the DOJ v. Google AdTech case establishes extremely favorable case law for GCI's case against Google, giving Gannett Co. a strategic advantage.
Negative Factors
Macroeconomic Challenges
Macroeconomic challenges and elevated churn continue to impact Gannett's results, affecting overall revenue stability.
Revenue Decline
DMS revenue fell approximately 3% year-over-year as macroeconomic challenges and elevated churn continue to impact results.

Gannett (GCI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gannett Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGannett Co., Inc. (GCI) is a leading media and marketing solutions company that operates across several sectors, including publishing, broadcasting, and digital media. With a portfolio that includes USA TODAY and more than 260 local news brands, Gannett provides news and information services across various platforms, including print, digital, and mobile. The company is committed to delivering high-quality journalism and engaging audiences through its diverse media offerings.
How the Company Makes MoneyGannett generates revenue through a combination of advertising and subscription services across its media platforms. The company's key revenue streams include print advertising, digital advertising, and circulation revenues from its newspapers and digital subscriptions. Advertising revenue is driven by both national and local advertisers leveraging Gannett's extensive reach and audience engagement. Subscription revenue comes from individual and institutional subscribers to both print and digital products. Additionally, Gannett monetizes its digital platforms through programmatic advertising and partnerships with technology companies to enhance its digital marketing solutions. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and acquisitions that expand its content distribution capabilities and digital audience reach.

Gannett Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 13.12%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While there were significant achievements such as digital audience growth, debt reduction, and strategic initiatives like Studio IX, the overall financial performance was tempered by declines in total and digital revenues. The DOJ's ruling against Google presents a potential future advantage, but current headwinds in revenue streams pose immediate challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Digital Audience Growth
Gannett attracted 195 million average monthly unique visitors, growing over 4% compared to the prior year period. This indicates a strong digital audience engagement.
Debt Reduction
Gannett aggressively reduced debt by approximately $75 million, strengthening its capital structure. Further repurchase of $14 million of 2027 convertible notes reduced future dilution.
DOJ Ruling on Google
The DOJ's ruling against Google for monopolistic practices in the digital advertising marketplace is expected to lead to a more equitable ad ecosystem, potentially benefiting Gannett significantly.
Launch of Studio IX
Gannett launched Studio IX, a new sports vertical focusing on women's sports, which showed early positive engagement and advertiser interest.
Negative Updates
Decline in Total Operating Revenues
Total operating revenues decreased by 10.1% year-over-year, with same-store revenues declining by 7.7%, attributed to the sale of the Austin American-Statesman and other factors.
Challenges in Digital Revenues
Total digital revenues declined by 6.4% or 3.8% on a same-store basis, affected by larger-than-normal customer revenue reversals and Google's manual actions.
Print Revenue Decline
Despite some improvement strategies, the print revenue environment remains challenging, with ongoing efforts required to stabilize subscriber bases.
Company Guidance
During the Gannett Company Q1 2025 earnings call, the guidance emphasized a progressive improvement in financial performance throughout the year, reaffirming the full-year 2025 business outlook. Key metrics highlighted included a significant improvement in net income, a 10.2 million free cash flow generation, and a reduction of approximately 75 million in debt, which strengthened the capital structure. The company reported 571.6 million in total operating revenues, with digital revenues comprising 44% of this total, despite a 6.4% year-over-year decline. Gannett also experienced a 4% growth in its digital audience, achieving 195 million average monthly unique visitors. Moreover, the company anticipates a return to growth in adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow over the second half of the year, driven by improving revenue trends and disciplined cost management. Gannett's digital strategy includes expanding first-party data, enhancing direct advertising relationships, and developing technology infrastructure to better monetize content. The company remains optimistic about capturing growth opportunities within the digital advertising ecosystem, especially amidst anticipated structural changes following a federal court ruling against Google's monopolistic practices.

Gannett Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gannett is facing significant financial challenges with declining revenues and profitability pressures. The company has a heavily leveraged balance sheet, increasing financial risk. However, improvements in gross profit margins and cash flows indicate effective cost management and cash generation.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows declining revenues over the years, with total revenue decreasing from approximately $3.4 billion in 2020 to $2.45 billion TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) as of March 2025. Gross profit margin has improved in the TTM period to 50.9%, indicating better cost management. However, net income has been volatile, with negative figures in previous periods and a low net profit margin of 2.1% in the TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also been inconsistent, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio due to significant leverage, with total debt of $1.2 billion against stockholders' equity of $150 million as of the TTM period. This poses a financial risk. The equity ratio is low at 7.7%, suggesting limited asset backing for creditors. However, the company has managed to maintain a stable asset base around $2 billion, showcasing some level of stability in asset management.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals positive operational cash flows, with an improvement in free cash flow from negative figures in 2022 to $51.1 million in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow growth rate is modest, and capital expenditures remain a drain on cash resources.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.51B2.66B2.95B3.21B3.41B
Gross Profit963.73M971.52M1.08B1.31B1.37B
EBITDA183.31M261.53M289.52M478.86M-263.12M
Net Income-26.35M-27.79M-78.25M-136.17M-672.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.04B2.18B2.39B2.83B3.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments106.30M100.18M94.25M130.76M170.72M
Total Debt1.29B1.29B1.38B1.49B1.87B
Total Liabilities1.89B1.86B2.10B2.30B2.74B
Stockholders Equity153.14M317.79M295.74M532.10M364.11M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow50.78M56.46M-4.60M87.89M20.80M
Operating Cash Flow100.31M94.57M40.78M127.45M57.77M
Investing Cash Flow-27.95M46.98M22.12M70.65M160.14M
Financing Cash Flow-68.85M-135.51M-102.87M-261.17M-201.34M

Gannett Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.62
Price Trends
50DMA
3.55
Positive
100DMA
3.41
Positive
200DMA
4.28
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.08
Positive
RSI
49.49
Neutral
STOCH
30.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GCI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.62, above the 50-day MA of 3.55, and below the 200-day MA of 4.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.49 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GCI.

Gannett Risk Analysis

Gannett disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gannett reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gannett Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$431.04M7.6114.97%-33.83%-38.30%
SSSSP
76
Outperform
$311.37M3.7611.23%6.28%
NYNYT
75
Outperform
$8.87B29.6516.68%1.32%6.85%21.26%
64
Neutral
$73.06M2.48160.90%3.60%-8.98%
62
Neutral
$40.93B-1.67-12.06%3.96%2.10%-69.66%
GCGCI
55
Neutral
$530.10M11.8726.63%-7.04%
LELEE
44
Neutral
$41.11M0.00%-7.29%-258.59%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GCI
Gannett
3.62
-1.03
-22.15%
DALN
DallasNews
13.65
10.61
349.01%
SSP
E. W. Scripps Company Class A
3.24
0.01
0.31%
GRVY
Gravity Co
64.26
-10.40
-13.93%
LEE
Lee Enterprises
6.66
-3.29
-33.07%
NYT
New York Times
53.85
2.07
4.00%

Gannett Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Gannett Stockholders Elect Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

At the Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on June 2, 2025, Gannett Co., Inc. stockholders elected nine directors to serve until the 2026 meeting and ratified the appointment of Grant Thornton LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. However, stockholders did not approve several proposals to amend the company’s bylaws and charter, including those aimed at eliminating supermajority voting requirements, which would have required an 80% affirmative vote.

The most recent analyst rating on (GCI) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gannett stock, see the GCI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 11, 2025