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Gannett (GCI)
NYSE:GCI
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Gannett (GCI) AI Stock Analysis

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GCI

Gannett

(NYSE:GCI)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$4.00
▲(2.83% Upside)
Gannett's overall stock score is primarily influenced by its financial performance challenges, including declining revenue and high leverage. The technical analysis provides a neutral outlook, while the valuation suggests potential undervaluation. The earnings call indicates positive strategic initiatives, but ongoing revenue challenges persist.
Positive Factors
Digital Growth
Gannett Co. reiterated the FY25 outlook that calls for 7%-10% digital revenue growth and same store revenue growth, indicating a potential inflection to growth after many years of contraction.
Legal Advantage
Gannett Co. is well positioned following a favorable ruling in the DOJ v. Google AdTech monopoly case, which enhances the strength of GCI’s claims and increases the likelihood of a favorable recovery from Google.
Negative Factors
Revenue Challenges
DMS revenue fell approximately 3% year-over-year as macroeconomic challenges and elevated churn continue to impact results.

Gannett (GCI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Gannett Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGannett Co., Inc. (GCI) is a leading media holding company that operates in the print and digital publishing sectors. The company is best known for its extensive portfolio of local newspapers, including USA Today, along with a variety of digital marketing services. Gannett focuses on delivering news, information, and entertainment to audiences across the United States and beyond, while also providing advertising solutions to local businesses through its digital platforms.
How the Company Makes MoneyGannett generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily focusing on advertising and subscription services. The company's advertising revenue comes from both print and digital sources, where it provides businesses with targeted advertising solutions through its extensive reach and audience data. Additionally, Gannett earns money through digital subscriptions, offering readers access to premium content on its online platforms. The company has also expanded its revenue model by providing marketing services, including digital marketing and social media management, to local businesses. Strategic partnerships with technology firms and collaborations with other media outlets further bolster its revenue capabilities, allowing Gannett to leverage new technologies and expand its audience engagement.

Gannett Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -5.58%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a company making significant strides in digital transformation and financial management, with impressive sequential improvements in key financial metrics and strategic initiatives like AI content licensing and cost reductions. However, there are ongoing challenges with total revenue decline and digital-only subscription growth.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequential Financial Improvements
Q2 2025 saw a sequential increase in total adjusted EBITDA by 27% to $64.2 million, and free cash flow grew 73% to $17.6 million. The company also repaid $23.4 million of debt in the quarter, totaling nearly $100 million in debt repayment for the first half of 2025.
Digital Advertising Revenue Growth
Digital advertising revenues grew 4% year-over-year in Q2, a significant improvement compared to a slight decline in Q1. This growth was driven by increased page views and programmatic revenue.
AI Content Licensing Agreement with Perplexity
Gannett announced a strategic AI content licensing agreement with Perplexity, expected to boost revenue with licensing fees and advertising revenue share.
Cost Reduction Program
The company initiated a $100 million cost reduction program focusing on automation and outsourcing, expected to lead to meaningful growth in adjusted EBITDA for the second half of 2025 and into 2026.
Digital Marketing Solutions Improvement
The DMS segment saw sequential growth with core platform revenue increasing by 8.1% and segment adjusted EBITDA growing by 35.8%. Average customer count increased by 2.8%, and core platform ARPU reached a new high.
Negative Updates
Total Revenue Decline
Total revenues for Q2 2025 were $584.9 million, a decrease of 8.6% or 6.4% on a same-store basis, indicating challenges in improving revenue trends at the desired pace.
Digital-Only Subscription Revenue Challenges
Digital-only subscription revenues totaled $42.7 million in Q2, with ongoing impacts from rebuilding the subscriber base and implementing pricing changes leading to sequential revenue challenges.
Print Revenue Decline
Print and commercial revenues continue to decline, although management is focused on managing this long tail efficiently.
Company Guidance
During the Gannett Company Q2 2025 earnings call, significant guidance was provided regarding the company's financial expectations for the remainder of the year. Key metrics highlighted include a projected same-store digital revenue growth of 3% to 5% year-over-year, along with an anticipated meaningful growth in total adjusted EBITDA compared to the previous year. The company expects free cash flow to increase by over 100% versus the prior year, driven by a recently announced $100 million cost reduction program and a strategic AI content licensing agreement with Perplexity. Specific financial results from Q2 showed a total adjusted EBITDA of $64.2 million, a sequential increase of 27%, and free cash flow generation of $17.6 million, representing a 73% sequential growth. Additionally, Gannett repaid $23.4 million of debt in the second quarter, contributing to a total debt repayment of nearly $100 million for the first half of the year. The company also saw improvements in same-store revenue trends, notably in its digital advertising revenues, which grew 4% year-over-year.

Gannett Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Gannett faces significant financial challenges with declining revenues and profitability pressures. The company's balance sheet is heavily leveraged, indicating financial risk. However, improvements in gross profit margins and cash flows demonstrate effective cost management. Addressing revenue decline and high debt levels will be critical for sustainable growth.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows declining revenues over the years, with total revenue decreasing from approximately $3.4 billion in 2020 to $2.45 billion TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) as of March 2025. Gross profit margin has improved in the TTM period to 50.9%, indicating better cost management. However, net income has been volatile, with negative figures in previous periods and a low net profit margin of 2.1% in the TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also been inconsistent, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio due to significant leverage, with total debt of $1.2 billion against stockholders' equity of $150 million as of the TTM period. This poses a financial risk. The equity ratio is low at 7.7%, suggesting limited asset backing for creditors. However, the company has managed to maintain a stable asset base around $2 billion, showcasing some level of stability in asset management.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals positive operational cash flows, with an improvement in free cash flow from negative figures in 2022 to $51.1 million in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. However, the free cash flow growth rate is modest, and capital expenditures remain a drain on cash resources.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.39B2.51B2.66B2.95B3.21B3.41B
Gross Profit902.19M963.73M971.52M1.08B1.31B1.37B
EBITDA254.23M183.31M261.53M289.52M478.86M-263.12M
Net Income115.72M-26.35M-27.79M-78.25M-136.17M-672.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.01B2.04B2.18B2.39B2.83B3.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments88.54M106.30M100.18M94.25M130.76M170.72M
Total Debt1.18B1.29B1.29B1.38B1.49B1.87B
Total Liabilities1.77B1.89B1.86B2.10B2.30B2.74B
Stockholders Equity237.09M153.14M317.79M295.74M532.10M364.11M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow43.18M50.78M56.46M-4.60M87.89M20.80M
Operating Cash Flow98.60M100.31M94.57M40.78M127.45M57.77M
Investing Cash Flow16.12M-27.95M46.98M22.12M70.65M160.14M
Financing Cash Flow-127.49M-68.85M-135.51M-102.87M-261.17M-201.34M

Gannett Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.89
Price Trends
50DMA
3.66
Positive
100DMA
3.45
Positive
200DMA
4.14
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Negative
RSI
53.67
Neutral
STOCH
59.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GCI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.89 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.80, above the 50-day MA of 3.66, and below the 200-day MA of 4.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GCI.

Gannett Risk Analysis

Gannett disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Gannett reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Gannett Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$432.57M7.5414.21%-4.71%-14.88%
73
Outperform
$9.37B29.6017.13%1.08%7.82%19.39%
63
Neutral
$221.03M5.188.30%5.25%
62
Neutral
$79.22M2.66-24.74%3.60%-8.00%-46.22%
60
Neutral
$43.34B4.05-7.48%4.16%2.19%-39.41%
57
Neutral
$570.34M5.9947.54%-8.00%
42
Neutral
$27.14M0.00%-5.68%-127.26%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GCI
Gannett
3.89
-0.32
-7.60%
DALN
DallasNews
14.80
10.60
252.38%
SSP
E. W. Scripps Company Class A
2.52
0.40
18.87%
GRVY
Gravity Co
62.25
-1.32
-2.08%
LEE
Lee Enterprises
4.36
-4.42
-50.34%
NYT
New York Times
57.49
4.29
8.06%

Gannett Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Gannett Stockholders Elect Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

At the Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on June 2, 2025, Gannett Co., Inc. stockholders elected nine directors to serve until the 2026 meeting and ratified the appointment of Grant Thornton LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. However, stockholders did not approve several proposals to amend the company’s bylaws and charter, including those aimed at eliminating supermajority voting requirements, which would have required an 80% affirmative vote.

The most recent analyst rating on (GCI) stock is a Buy with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Gannett stock, see the GCI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2025