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The New York Times Company (NYT)
NYSE:NYT

New York Times (NYT) AI Stock Analysis

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NYT

New York Times

(NYSE:NYT)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$92.00
▲(14.40% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is driven mainly by strong financial performance (margin expansion, strong free cash flow, and a debt-free balance sheet) and supportive earnings-call guidance pointing to continued growth and capital returns. Offsetting factors are a stretched technical setup (overbought signals) and a rich valuation (high P/E with modest yield).
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
NYT’s elimination of debt and rising equity produce a structurally conservative balance sheet that materially lowers financial risk and preserves optionality. Debt-free status supports sustained capital returns, strategic M&A or product investments, and resilience through cyclical ad or macro slowdowns without leveraging the business.
Free Cash Flow Generation
Consistently rising operating and free cash flow underpin long-term financial flexibility. Strong FCF funds dividends, buybacks and ongoing product investments without reliance on external financing, enabling durable shareholder returns while supporting allocation to growth initiatives like video and product expansion.
Subscriber & Digital Revenue Momentum
Robust net subscriber additions and a milestone >$2B in digital revenue reflect durable product-market fit for core journalism and lifestyle verticals. Recurring subscription economics, rising ARPU and cross-product monetization (Athletic, Games, Cooking, Wirecutter) create predictable revenue streams and diversified digital growth drivers.
Negative Factors
Print Revenue Declines
Ongoing print revenue erosion is a structural headwind that shrinks a legacy revenue base and forces higher reliance on digital growth to sustain aggregate top-line. Fixed costs and legacy distribution economics mean print declines can pressure margins and require continued reallocation of resources to digital transformation.
Elevated Cost & Investment Pace
Management’s stepped-up investments (video production, marketing) and incentive payouts have raised the structural cost base. If revenue growth or ad strength slows, higher fixed and variable costs could compress operating leverage and make margin expansion targets harder to sustain over the medium term.
AI / Legal & Ecosystem Risks
Uncertain outcomes from AI-related licensing, potential litigation and platform dynamics create structural risk to content value and monetization. Legal exposure or disrupted distribution terms could force higher content protection costs or reduce ad/licensing revenue, affecting long-term margin and subscriber economics.

New York Times (NYT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

New York Times Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe New York Times Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides news and information for readers and viewers across various platforms worldwide. It offers The New York Times (The Times), a daily and Sunday newspaper in the United States, as well as international edition of The Times; and operates the NYTimes.com Website. The company also transmits articles, graphics, and photographs from The Times and other publications to approximately 1,500 newspapers, magazines, and websites; licenses electronic databases to resellers in the business, professional, and library markets; and offers magazine licensing, news digests, book development, and rights and permissions. In addition, it engages in the live events business, which hosts physical and virtual live events to connect audiences with journalists and outside thought leaders; direct-sold website, mobile application, podcast, email, and video advertisements, as well as digital advertising services; operates Wirecutter, a product review and recommendation products; develops mobile applications, including games and cooking products; prints and distributes products for third parties; and offers other products and services. The company was founded in 1851 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe New York Times generates revenue through several key streams, primarily focusing on subscription-based models. The company offers digital subscriptions, which have become a significant source of income, allowing readers access to online content, including articles, podcasts, and newsletters. Additionally, NYT generates revenue from print subscriptions and single-copy sales of its newspapers. Advertising is another crucial revenue stream, with the company selling ad space on its digital platforms and in print editions. NYT has also ventured into branded content and partnerships with other organizations, enhancing its revenue through collaborations and sponsored content. Significant factors contributing to its earnings include its strong brand reputation, a loyal subscriber base, and a growing emphasis on digital transformation to capture a wider audience.

New York Times Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 04, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong execution and clear progress on strategic priorities, highlighted by meaningful subscriber additions, record digital revenues, robust advertising growth, AOP and margin expansion, and strong free cash flow and shareholder returns. Near-term concerns include higher-than-expected Q4 costs (incentive compensation) and continued investment-driven cost growth in early 2026, plus persistent print declines and AI/legal uncertainties. Overall the positives (subscriber momentum, revenue and profit growth, cash generation, and confident guidance) materially outweigh the manageable lowlights.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Subscriber Growth
Added 1,400,000 net new digital subscribers in 2025, bringing total digital subscribers to 12,800,000; added 450,000 net new digital subscribers in Q4 alone, supporting funnel expansion and cross-product engagement.
Digital Revenue Milestone
Generated more than $2.0 billion in total digital revenues for the first time in 2025, driven by increases in subscription revenue and digital advertising.
Digital Subscription Performance and ARPU
Digital-only subscription revenues grew ~14% in Q4 to $382 million; total subscription revenues grew ~9% in Q4 to $510 million. Total digital-only ARPU increased to $9.72, aided by promotional step-ups and selected price increases.
Robust Advertising Growth
Digital advertising revenue rose ~25% in Q4 to $147 million and grew ~20% for the full year, reflecting stronger marketer demand, new ad supply and better ad product performance.
Operating Profit and Margin Expansion
Adjusted Operating Profit (AOP) grew ~21% in 2025 to $550 million with AOP margin expanding ~190 basis points to 19.5% for the full year. Q4 AOP grew ~13% to ~$192 million with margin of ~24% (+50 bps).
Strong Free Cash Flow and Capital Returns
Generated approximately $551 million of free cash flow in 2025. Returned ~$275 million to shareholders (about $165 million in repurchases and ~$110 million in dividends) and raised the quarterly dividend from $0.18 to $0.23. $350 million remains on repurchase authorization.
Portfolio Diversification and Product Momentum
Multiple non-news products (The Athletic, Games, Cooking, Wirecutter) contributed to subscriber additions and ad growth; family plan rollout is performing well as a monetized 'carrot' approach to sharing and retention.
Positive 2026 Guidance
Company expects another year of subscriber growth, revenue growth, AOP growth, margin expansion and strong free cash flow. Q1 guidance: digital-only subscription revenues +14% to +17%; total subscription revenues +9% to +11%; digital advertising high-teens to low-20s growth; adjusted operating costs +8% to +9%.
Negative Updates
Costs Above Guidance in Q4
Adjusted operating costs grew ~9.7% in Q4, above the prior guidance range of 6%–7%. Primary drivers were higher incentive compensation tied to financial outperformance and ramped investments (notably video production).
Near-Term Cost Pressure and Elevated Cost Guidance
Q1 2026 adjusted operating cost growth is guided to 8%–9%, reflecting continued investment (video, production scale) and potential for higher marketing or sales support when attractive opportunities arise.
Print Revenue Declines Persist
Overall revenue growth (~9% for the full year) was partially offset by ongoing declines in print, requiring continued reliance on digital growth to drive overall top-line performance.
ARPU Volatility / Deceleration Risk
Although ARPU rose to $9.72, management noted ARPU growth can fluctuate by quarter based on mix, promotions, and timing of price increases; Q4 ARPU growth was characterized as having decelerated more than some expected.
Ecosystem Headwinds and AI-related Uncertainties
Management cited a polarized, low-trust information ecosystem and platform-related headwinds. AI raises both opportunities and risks (including litigation and licensing complexity); timing and resolution of related legal/industry issues remain uncertain.
Company Guidance
For Q1 2026 management guided digital‑only subscription revenues to grow 14%–17% and total subscription revenues to grow 9%–11%; digital advertising to increase in the high‑teens to low‑20s with total advertising up in the low double‑digit range; affiliate, licensing and other revenues to rise high single digits; and adjusted operating costs to increase 8%–9%. For full‑year 2026 they expect another year of subscriber growth, revenue growth, AOP margin expansion and strong free cash flow while staying on track to hit mid‑term targets for subscribers, AOP growth and capital returns (targeting at least 50% of free cash flow returned to shareholders). They also said they will discontinue certain subscriber‑category disclosures, raised the quarterly dividend from $0.18 to $0.23, and have approximately $350 million remaining on the share‑repurchase authorization.

New York Times Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong fundamentals: expanding operating and net margins, robust and rising free cash flow, and an exceptionally conservative balance sheet with debt falling to zero. Minor offsets include modest most-recent revenue growth and some historical variability in cash conversion.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
NYT shows steady top-line momentum with revenue rising from ~$1.78B (2020) to ~$2.82B (2025), and the latest annual period posting ~2.8% growth. Profitability has strengthened materially over the cycle: net margin improved from ~5.6% (2020) to ~12.2% (2025), while operating margin expanded from ~6.5% to ~16.0%, indicating better cost discipline and operating leverage. A watch item is that gross margin has been broadly stable-to-slightly down versus the 2021 peak (high-40%s range), suggesting some input-cost or mix pressure even as below-the-line profitability improves.
Balance Sheet
93
Very Positive
The balance sheet is a clear strength: debt is very low and drops to zero in 2025, down from modest levels in prior years, leaving the company with exceptionally low financial risk. Equity has steadily increased (from ~$1.33B in 2020 to ~$2.04B in 2025), supporting asset growth and balance sheet resilience. Returns on equity are solid and improving (about 7.6% in 2020 to ~16.9% in 2025), though future returns could normalize if profit growth slows now that leverage is minimal.
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
Cash generation is strong and improving: operating cash flow increased to ~$584M (2025) from ~$298M (2020), and free cash flow rose to ~$551M (2025) from ~$263M (2020). Free cash flow consistently tracks net income well (roughly ~0.75x to ~0.94x across the period), supporting earnings quality. The main weakness is variability in cash conversion relative to profits year-to-year (operating cash flow coverage ranges from ~0.26 to ~0.88), including a notably weaker 2022, even though more recent years have recovered.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.82B2.59B2.43B2.31B2.07B
Gross Profit1.35B1.28B1.18B1.10B1.04B
EBITDA536.26M476.46M398.95M328.58M358.26M
Net Income343.98M293.82M232.39M173.91M219.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.00B2.84B2.71B2.53B2.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments642.16M565.92M451.57M347.36M661.05M
Total Debt48.72M47.77M42.91M59.12M63.61M
Total Liabilities955.73M914.27M951.38M933.78M1.02B
Stockholders Equity2.04B1.93B1.76B1.60B1.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow550.50M381.34M337.95M113.73M234.46M
Operating Cash Flow584.49M410.51M360.62M150.69M269.10M
Investing Cash Flow-221.32M-306.09M-159.69M-73.56M-180.81M
Financing Cash Flow-306.14M-192.72M-132.71M-174.31M-54.95M

New York Times Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price80.42
Price Trends
50DMA
72.13
Positive
100DMA
66.42
Positive
200DMA
61.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.26
Negative
RSI
71.49
Negative
STOCH
94.18
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NYT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 80.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 73.87, above the 50-day MA of 72.13, and above the 200-day MA of 61.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.49 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.18 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NYT.

New York Times Risk Analysis

New York Times disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. New York Times reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

New York Times Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$12.95B38.2617.34%0.95%8.43%21.38%
69
Neutral
$1.61B16.4913.61%4.48%-5.33%
64
Neutral
$8.03B19.0311.74%2.11%1.93%34.40%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
51
Neutral
$209.05M-2.17-8.02%-44.34%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NYT
New York Times
80.42
33.94
73.03%
WLY
John Wiley Sons Cl A
30.50
-6.47
-17.50%
LEE
Lee Enterprises
9.40
0.69
7.92%
PSO
Pearson
12.82
-4.05
-23.99%

New York Times Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
New York Times Adopts New Executive Severance and Protections
Positive
Jan 21, 2026

On January 15, 2026, The New York Times Company’s board Compensation Committee approved a new Executive Severance Plan to standardize severance arrangements for senior leaders and better align them with market practice, while also bolstering retention of key executives. The plan covers Executive Committee members and Section 16 officers who sign restrictive covenant agreements and do not already have individual severance contracts, offering structured cash severance, prorated annual incentives, continued health coverage, and outplacement support following qualifying terminations, with enhanced lump-sum payments and COBRA subsidies for senior executives terminated without cause or for good reason within a year of a change in control; it is structured to comply with U.S. tax rules and includes mechanisms to limit excess parachute payments. On the same date, the company amended CEO Meredith Kopit Levien’s employment agreement, extending her post-employment non-solicitation period to 18 months, updating her non-compete to match the current business, and providing richer change-in-control severance protections—larger lump-sum cash payments tied to salary and target bonus plus extended COBRA support—moves that collectively reinforce leadership retention, clarify protections in potential M&A or control-shift scenarios, and tighten post-employment restrictions to protect the company’s talent and competitive position.

The most recent analyst rating on (NYT) stock is a Hold with a $60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on New York Times stock, see the NYT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026