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New York Times Company (NYT)
NYSE:NYT

New York Times (NYT) AI Stock Analysis

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NYT

New York Times

(NYSE:NYT)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$81.00
▲(11.62% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality (debt-free balance sheet, improving margins, and robust free cash flow). Technicals add support with a positive trend and neutral-to-positive momentum. Offsetting factors are a relatively expensive valuation (high P/E, modest yield), while the latest earnings call reinforces solid operating momentum and guidance; the corporate event is mildly supportive but not a major fundamental catalyst.
Positive Factors
Digital Subscription Growth
The significant increase in digital subscribers indicates strong demand for the company's digital content, supporting long-term revenue growth and market expansion.
Cash Flow Generation
Robust free cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing for strategic investments and shareholder returns, supporting long-term stability.
Advancements in Video and AI
Investments in video and AI enhance content delivery and personalization, potentially increasing user engagement and competitive advantage in digital media.
Negative Factors
Increased Operating Costs
Rising operating costs, driven by investments, could pressure margins if not offset by revenue growth, impacting long-term profitability.
Volatile Advertising Revenue
Volatility in advertising revenue can lead to unpredictable cash flows, affecting financial planning and potentially hindering long-term growth.
Legal Challenges
Ongoing legal challenges can lead to financial and reputational risks, potentially diverting resources and focus from core business operations.

New York Times (NYT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

New York Times Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe New York Times Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides news and information for readers and viewers across various platforms worldwide. It offers The New York Times (The Times), a daily and Sunday newspaper in the United States, as well as international edition of The Times; and operates the NYTimes.com Website. The company also transmits articles, graphics, and photographs from The Times and other publications to approximately 1,500 newspapers, magazines, and websites; licenses electronic databases to resellers in the business, professional, and library markets; and offers magazine licensing, news digests, book development, and rights and permissions. In addition, it engages in the live events business, which hosts physical and virtual live events to connect audiences with journalists and outside thought leaders; direct-sold website, mobile application, podcast, email, and video advertisements, as well as digital advertising services; operates Wirecutter, a product review and recommendation products; develops mobile applications, including games and cooking products; prints and distributes products for third parties; and offers other products and services. The company was founded in 1851 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe New York Times generates revenue through several key streams, primarily focusing on subscription-based models. The company offers digital subscriptions, which have become a significant source of income, allowing readers access to online content, including articles, podcasts, and newsletters. Additionally, NYT generates revenue from print subscriptions and single-copy sales of its newspapers. Advertising is another crucial revenue stream, with the company selling ad space on its digital platforms and in print editions. NYT has also ventured into branded content and partnerships with other organizations, enhancing its revenue through collaborations and sponsored content. Significant factors contributing to its earnings include its strong brand reputation, a loyal subscriber base, and a growing emphasis on digital transformation to capture a wider audience.

New York Times Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The New York Times Company's Q3 2025 earnings call highlighted strong performance in digital subscriptions, advertising revenue, and free cash flow generation. The company showed significant advancements in video and AI integration while maintaining operational efficiency. However, there was a slight increase in operating costs, mainly due to investments in journalism and product experiences. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Digital Subscription Growth
The New York Times added 460,000 net new digital subscribers in Q3 2025, bringing the total subscriber base to 12.3 million, with digital subscription revenue increasing by 14%.
Significant Advertising Revenue Increase
Digital advertising revenues grew over 20%, and total advertising revenues increased nearly 12% in Q3 2025.
Record Free Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns
Generated approximately $393 million of free cash flow in the first 9 months of 2025 and returned $191 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends.
Advancements in Video and AI Integration
Substantial growth in video journalism and AI-powered personalization, including new video formats and AI-driven features in products like Wirecutter.
Operational Efficiency and Margin Expansion
Adjusted operating profit (AOP) grew by 26% with a margin expansion of 240 basis points year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Increased Operating Costs
Adjusted operating costs grew by 6.2% in Q3, slightly above the guidance range, driven by investments in journalism and product experiences.
Company Guidance
During The New York Times Company's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported robust financial performance and growth metrics. They achieved a notable addition of 460,000 net new digital subscribers, raising their total subscriber base to 12.3 million, with a target of 15 million in sight. Digital subscription revenue saw a 14% increase, and digital advertising revenue grew over 20%, contributing to total advertising revenue growth of nearly 12%. The company also highlighted a 9.5% year-over-year increase in consolidated revenues, a 26% rise in adjusted operating profit (AOP), and a 240 basis point expansion in AOP margin. Free cash flow generation was strong, with approximately $393 million generated in the first nine months. For the fourth quarter, the company projected digital-only subscription revenue to grow between 13% and 16%, with total subscription revenue expected to rise by 8% to 10%. Additionally, digital advertising revenue is anticipated to increase by mid to high teens, while affiliate licensing and other revenues are expected to grow mid-single digits. The company emphasized disciplined expense growth alongside strategic investments in journalism and product enhancements as a source of long-term advantage.

New York Times Financial Statement Overview

Summary
High-quality fundamentals: improving profitability (TTM net margin ~11.9%), strong free cash flow generation (~$537M TTM) with solid earnings quality (FCF/net income ~0.93), and an extremely conservative balance sheet (no debt, rising equity). The main limitation is modest recent revenue growth, implying a more mature growth profile.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) results show steady top-line growth (revenue up 2.3%) and strong profitability for the sector, with a ~50.0% gross margin and ~11.9% net margin. Margins have generally expanded versus prior years (net margin ~7.5% in 2022 to ~11–12% in 2024–TTM), indicating improved operating leverage. The main weakness is that recent revenue growth is modest versus earlier post-2020 growth rates, suggesting a more mature growth profile.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The balance sheet is very conservative: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) shows no debt, and even in recent annual periods leverage was minimal (debt-to-equity ~0.02–0.04 from 2020–2024). Equity has grown over time (about $1.33B in 2020 to ~$1.98B TTM), supporting financial flexibility. Returns on equity are healthy and improving (about 7.6% in 2020 to ~16.9% TTM). A potential drawback is that with essentially no leverage, future return expansion depends more on operating performance than balance-sheet optimization.
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength: TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) operating cash flow is ~$572M and free cash flow is ~$537M, with free cash flow up ~17.9% versus the prior period. Free cash flow closely tracks earnings (free cash flow to net income ~0.93 TTM), indicating solid earnings quality. The primary watch item is that cash conversion can vary year to year (operating cash flow relative to net income improved from ~0.26 in 2022 to ~0.85 TTM), implying some working-capital or timing volatility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.75B2.59B2.43B2.31B2.07B1.78B
Gross Profit1.42B1.28B1.18B1.10B1.04B824.33M
EBITDA532.63M476.46M398.95M328.58M358.26M186.86M
Net Income337.87M293.82M232.39M173.91M219.97M100.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.89B2.84B2.71B2.53B2.56B2.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments617.35M565.92M451.57M347.36M661.05M595.16M
Total Debt0.0047.77M42.91M59.12M63.61M52.70M
Total Liabilities906.87M914.27M951.38M933.78M1.02B979.58M
Stockholders Equity1.98B1.93B1.76B1.60B1.54B1.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow536.52M381.34M337.95M113.73M234.46M263.48M
Operating Cash Flow572.03M410.51M360.62M150.69M269.10M297.93M
Investing Cash Flow-257.74M-306.09M-159.69M-73.56M-180.81M-199.08M
Financing Cash Flow-268.80M-192.72M-132.71M-174.31M-54.95M-44.97M

New York Times Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price72.57
Price Trends
50DMA
68.21
Positive
100DMA
62.81
Positive
200DMA
58.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.23
Positive
RSI
65.64
Neutral
STOCH
82.73
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NYT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 72.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.07, above the 50-day MA of 68.21, and above the 200-day MA of 58.72, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 65.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.73 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NYT.

New York Times Risk Analysis

New York Times disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. New York Times reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

New York Times Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$11.82B35.4817.63%0.95%8.43%21.38%
74
Outperform
$8.22B15.0711.74%2.11%1.93%34.40%
69
Neutral
$1.64B16.4513.61%4.48%-5.33%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
52
Neutral
$34.96M-0.87-8.02%-44.34%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NYT
New York Times
72.57
19.18
35.93%
WLY
John Wiley Sons Cl A
31.36
-8.54
-21.40%
LEE
Lee Enterprises
5.41
-7.61
-58.44%
PSO
Pearson
13.01
-3.52
-21.31%

New York Times Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
New York Times Adopts New Executive Severance and Protections
Positive
Jan 21, 2026

On January 15, 2026, The New York Times Company’s board Compensation Committee approved a new Executive Severance Plan to standardize severance arrangements for senior leaders and better align them with market practice, while also bolstering retention of key executives. The plan covers Executive Committee members and Section 16 officers who sign restrictive covenant agreements and do not already have individual severance contracts, offering structured cash severance, prorated annual incentives, continued health coverage, and outplacement support following qualifying terminations, with enhanced lump-sum payments and COBRA subsidies for senior executives terminated without cause or for good reason within a year of a change in control; it is structured to comply with U.S. tax rules and includes mechanisms to limit excess parachute payments. On the same date, the company amended CEO Meredith Kopit Levien’s employment agreement, extending her post-employment non-solicitation period to 18 months, updating her non-compete to match the current business, and providing richer change-in-control severance protections—larger lump-sum cash payments tied to salary and target bonus plus extended COBRA support—moves that collectively reinforce leadership retention, clarify protections in potential M&A or control-shift scenarios, and tighten post-employment restrictions to protect the company’s talent and competitive position.

The most recent analyst rating on (NYT) stock is a Hold with a $60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on New York Times stock, see the NYT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 22, 2026