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New York Times Company (NYT)
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New York Times (NYT) AI Stock Analysis

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New York Times

(NYSE:NYT)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$61.00
▲(14.45%Upside)
New York Times scores a solid 75, driven by strong financial performance and a positive earnings call. The strategic growth in digital revenue and subscriber base is a key strength. Technical indicators suggest a cautious outlook, and while the P/E ratio indicates overvaluation, the company's financial flexibility and dividend yield provide a balanced view for investors.
Positive Factors
Advertising Revenue
Healthy upside on digital advertising amidst increased macro concerns reflects benefit of growing inventory on non-news platforms.
Audience Expansion
Amazon Alexa's 600 million devices represent a large audience opportunity for NYT, potentially boosting its 'essential subscription' strategy by growing its audience base and engagement.
Strategic Partnerships
The announced deal with Amazon marks NYT's first commercial agreement that allows for its editorial content to be trained by AI, expanding the reach of Times journalism and content across Amazon products and services.
Negative Factors
Growth Risks
Slowing customer growth poses a risk to NYT's premium multiple, potentially impacting its financial performance.
Litigation Risks
NYT's ongoing litigation with OpenAI and Microsoft over alleged copyright infringement adds a layer of complexity to its licensing strategy.
Subscriber Growth Concerns
Risks to long-term subscriber growth guide remain a concern despite the upside to 1Q news net adds.

New York Times (NYT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

New York Times Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe New York Times Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides news and information for readers and viewers across various platforms worldwide. It offers The New York Times (The Times), a daily and Sunday newspaper in the United States, as well as international edition of The Times; and operates the NYTimes.com Website. The company also transmits articles, graphics, and photographs from The Times and other publications to approximately 1,500 newspapers, magazines, and websites; licenses electronic databases to resellers in the business, professional, and library markets; and offers magazine licensing, news digests, book development, and rights and permissions. In addition, it engages in the live events business, which hosts physical and virtual live events to connect audiences with journalists and outside thought leaders; direct-sold website, mobile application, podcast, email, and video advertisements, as well as digital advertising services; operates Wirecutter, a product review and recommendation products; develops mobile applications, including games and cooking products; prints and distributes products for third parties; and offers other products and services. The company was founded in 1851 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe New York Times Company generates revenue through a diversified model that includes subscription, advertising, and other streams. Subscription revenue, which is the largest portion, comes from digital and print subscriptions to its news products, including its digital-only packages and print newspaper sales. Advertising revenue is derived from both digital and print ad sales, with digital ads becoming increasingly significant. Other revenue streams include licensing fees, affiliate revenue, and branded content. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships and acquisitions that enhance its content offerings and expand its audience reach.

New York Times Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.54%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was generally positive with strong subscriber growth, digital revenue increases, and recognition for journalistic achievements. While there were some concerns about total advertising revenue growth and economic uncertainties, the highlights significantly outweighed the lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Subscriber Growth
The New York Times added 250,000 net new digital subscribers, surpassing 11 million digital-only subscribers, bringing the total subscriber base to 11.7 million.
Digital Subscription Revenue Surge
Digital subscription revenue, the largest and fastest-growing revenue stream, increased by more than 14%.
Digital Advertising Growth
Digital advertising revenue grew 12%, marking the strongest growth rate in three years.
Pulitzer Prize Recognition
The New York Times was awarded four Pulitzer Prizes for various outstanding reporting projects.
Significant Free Cash Flow
The company generated approximately $90 million of free cash flow in the first quarter, including a one-time benefit of approximately $33 million from the sale of excess land.
Engagement and Product Innovation
High engagement levels were reported, driven by new content, shows, features, and games. On-platform engagement with audio and video more than doubled in Q1.
Negative Updates
Limited Revenue Growth in Total Advertising
Total advertising revenues increased by only 4%, which, while higher than expected, shows limited growth compared to digital advertising.
Potential Economic Uncertainty Impact
Concerns were mentioned about navigating an uncertain economic and geopolitical environment, although no immediate impact on the company was noted.
Company Guidance
In the New York Times Company's first quarter 2025 earnings call, several key metrics were highlighted, showcasing a robust start to the year. The company added 250,000 net new digital subscribers, surpassing 11 million digital-only subscribers and bringing the total subscriber base to 11.7 million. Digital subscription revenue increased by over 14%, while digital advertising revenue grew by 12%, the strongest in three years. Total subscription revenues grew by 8%, and affiliate, licensing, and other revenues rose by 4%. Adjusted operating profit (AOP) increased by 22% year-over-year, with an AOP margin expansion of 180 basis points. Free cash flow was approximately $90 million, including $33 million from a one-time asset sale, and the company returned $81 million to shareholders. Looking ahead to Q2, digital-only subscription revenues are expected to rise by 13% to 16%, while total subscription revenues are anticipated to grow by 8% to 10%. Digital advertising revenues are projected to increase in high single digits, and operating costs are expected to rise by 5% to 6%. Overall, the company expressed confidence in its strategy and long-term growth drivers.

New York Times Financial Statement Overview

Summary
New York Times showcases commendable financial health with strong revenue and profit growth, effective cost and cash flow management, and zero debt, significantly reducing financial risk. However, the lack of key balance sheet metrics in 2024 limits a complete picture of financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
New York Times has demonstrated strong revenue growth, increasing from $2.42 billion in 2023 to $2.59 billion in 2024, reflecting a growth rate of 6.58%. The gross profit margin has improved to 49.37% in 2024, and the net profit margin is 11.36%, showing efficient cost management and profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 13.57% and 18.03% respectively, indicating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet shows a strong position with zero total debt in 2024, reducing financial risk. However, the lack of reported stockholders' equity in 2024 limits the calculation of debt-to-equity ratio and return on equity, which could impact comprehensive financial assessment. The equity ratio in 2023 was 64.95%, reflecting solid equity base relative to assets.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Operating cash flow has increased to $410.51 million, supporting a robust free cash flow of $381.34 million in 2024. The free cash flow growth rate of 12.82% from 2023 indicates strong cash generation capability. Operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.40 suggests efficient conversion of earnings to cash.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.59B2.43B2.31B2.07B1.78B
Gross Profit1.28B1.18B1.10B1.04B823.42M
EBITDA476.46M398.95M328.58M358.26M186.86M
Net Income293.82M232.39M173.91M219.97M100.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.84B2.71B2.53B2.56B2.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments565.92M451.57M347.36M661.05M595.16M
Total Debt37.26M42.91M59.12M63.61M52.70M
Total Liabilities1.04B951.38M933.78M1.02B979.58M
Stockholders Equity1.93B1.76B1.60B1.54B1.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow381.34M337.95M113.73M234.46M263.48M
Operating Cash Flow410.51M360.62M150.69M269.10M297.93M
Investing Cash Flow-306.09M-159.69M-73.56M-180.81M-199.08M
Financing Cash Flow-192.72M-132.71M-174.31M-54.95M-44.97M

New York Times Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price53.30
Price Trends
50DMA
55.17
Negative
100DMA
51.99
Positive
200DMA
52.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.19
Positive
RSI
35.37
Neutral
STOCH
13.80
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NYT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 53.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 55.36, below the 50-day MA of 55.17, and above the 200-day MA of 52.54, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.80 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NYT.

New York Times Risk Analysis

New York Times disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. New York Times reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

New York Times Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$17.77B34.985.88%0.67%-5.43%135.46%
NYNYT
75
Outperform
$8.69B29.0716.68%1.35%6.85%21.26%
NWNWS
73
Outperform
$17.77B40.375.88%0.58%-5.43%135.46%
PSPSO
72
Outperform
$9.06B17.2210.99%2.94%-0.59%24.06%
66
Neutral
$568.36M35.741.92%3.75%-3.10%-58.47%
62
Neutral
$41.14B-1.94-12.05%3.98%2.10%-69.66%
GCGCI
56
Neutral
$518.38M11.6126.63%-7.04%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NYT
New York Times
53.30
-1.15
-2.11%
NWSA
News Corp
29.86
2.34
8.50%
PSO
Pearson
14.19
1.21
9.32%
SCHL
Scholastic
21.32
-7.38
-25.71%
GCI
Gannett
3.54
-1.31
-27.01%
NWS
News Class B
34.46
6.02
21.17%

New York Times Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingStock BuybackDividends
New York Times Secures $400M Credit Agreement
Positive
Jun 18, 2025

On June 13, 2025, The New York Times Company entered into a Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, providing up to $400 million in revolving credit loans through June 13, 2030. This agreement includes various financial and incurrence-based covenants, allowing the company to maintain financial flexibility while ensuring compliance with leverage ratios and other conditions. The agreement permits the continuation of regular dividends and stock repurchases, provided financial covenants are met and no specified defaults occur.

The most recent analyst rating on (NYT) stock is a Hold with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on New York Times stock, see the NYT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 16, 2025