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New York Times (NYT) AI Stock Analysis

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NYT

New York Times

(NYSE:NYT)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$69.00
▲(20.02% Upside)
New York Times demonstrates strong financial performance and a positive earnings outlook, driven by subscriber and digital advertising growth. However, the stock's high valuation and technical indicators suggest caution. The new credit agreement adds financial flexibility, but the stock may face headwinds from AI-related traffic challenges.
Positive Factors
Advertising Revenue
Strong digital advertising results led the second-quarter revenue upside, with NYT's expanding non-news inventory positioned to capture the current ad market.
Digital Subscription Growth
The core digital subscription business, which is the primary driver of long-term growth, continues to increase at a healthy mid-teens percentage year over year.
Strategic Partnerships
The announced deal with Amazon marks NYT's first commercial agreement that allows for its editorial content to be trained by AI.
Negative Factors
Litigation Concerns
NYT's ongoing litigation with OpenAI and Microsoft over alleged copyright infringement adds a layer of complexity to its licensing strategy.
Subscriber Growth Risks
Risks to multiple if subscription growth decelerates.
Subscriber Growth Uncertainty
Risks to long-term subscriber growth guide remain a concern despite the upside to 1Q news net adds.

New York Times (NYT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

New York Times Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe New York Times Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides news and information for readers and viewers across various platforms worldwide. It offers The New York Times (The Times), a daily and Sunday newspaper in the United States, as well as international edition of The Times; and operates the NYTimes.com Website. The company also transmits articles, graphics, and photographs from The Times and other publications to approximately 1,500 newspapers, magazines, and websites; licenses electronic databases to resellers in the business, professional, and library markets; and offers magazine licensing, news digests, book development, and rights and permissions. In addition, it engages in the live events business, which hosts physical and virtual live events to connect audiences with journalists and outside thought leaders; direct-sold website, mobile application, podcast, email, and video advertisements, as well as digital advertising services; operates Wirecutter, a product review and recommendation products; develops mobile applications, including games and cooking products; prints and distributes products for third parties; and offers other products and services. The company was founded in 1851 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe New York Times generates revenue through multiple key streams. The primary source is subscription revenue, which includes digital subscriptions to its online content and traditional print subscriptions. The company has seen significant growth in its digital subscriber base, particularly in recent years, as it focuses on delivering high-quality journalism. Advertising revenue is another important stream, encompassing both print and digital ads, though it has been more volatile due to shifts in media consumption. Additionally, the New York Times has diversified revenue through ancillary products, including its Cooking and Games sections, which offer subscription-based models. Partnerships with various organizations and platforms for content distribution also contribute to its earnings, enhancing its reach and engagement with audiences.

New York Times Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.22%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in subscriber growth, digital advertising revenue, and strategic partnerships, particularly with Amazon. The company's robust financial performance and strategic video expansion indicate a positive outlook. However, there are challenges with traffic headwinds due to AI developments impacting traffic from tech companies.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Subscriber Growth
The company added 230,000 net new digital subscribers, reaching a total of approximately 11.9 million subscribers, further advancing towards the milestone of 15 million by 2027.
Digital Advertising Revenue Surge
Digital advertising revenue grew nearly 19%, reflecting the success of the strategy to create a larger digital ad business with compelling brands and a large engaged audience.
Strong Revenue and Free Cash Flow
Revenue grew nearly 10%, adjusted operating profit by approximately 28%, and generated approximately $193 million of free cash flow in the first half of the year.
Amazon Deal for AI Content Licensing
Signed a multiyear deal with Amazon to bring Times journalism to wider audiences across Amazon's products, marking the company's first agreement with generative AI at the center.
Video Expansion Strategy
The company is scaling video production across news, full-length shows, and lifestyle products, showing promise in building presence on video-first platforms.
Negative Updates
Traffic Headwinds from AI Overviews
Decreased traffic due to tech companies' moves and products like chat GPT and Google's AI overviews, leading to less traffic for publishers.
Company Guidance
During The New York Times Company's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported significant growth across multiple metrics. They added approximately 230,000 net new digital subscribers, bringing their total subscriber count to around 11.9 million, and achieved a 15% increase in digital subscription revenue, reaching $350 million. Their digital advertising revenue grew nearly 19% to $94 million, contributing to a total advertising revenue increase of over 12%. The company also reported a 28% growth in adjusted operating profit (AOP) and a 280 basis point expansion in AOP margin. Free cash flow for the first half of the year was approximately $193 million, with $134 million returned to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends. Looking ahead, they expect digital-only subscription revenues to increase by 13% to 16% in the third quarter and plan to maintain their strategic investments in journalism and digital products.

New York Times Financial Statement Overview

Summary
New York Times showcases commendable financial health with strong revenue and profit growth, coupled with effective cost and cash flow management. The elimination of debt significantly reduces financial risk, though the absence of key balance sheet metrics in 2024 limits a complete picture of financial stability. Overall, the company is on a positive financial trajectory, demonstrating resilience in the traditional media industry.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
New York Times has demonstrated strong revenue growth, increasing from $2.42 billion in 2023 to $2.59 billion in 2024, reflecting a growth rate of 6.58%. The gross profit margin has improved to 49.37% in 2024, and the net profit margin is 11.36%, showing efficient cost management and profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 13.57% and 18.03% respectively, indicating operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet shows a strong position with zero total debt in 2024, reducing financial risk. However, the lack of reported stockholders' equity in 2024 limits the calculation of debt-to-equity ratio and return on equity, which could impact comprehensive financial assessment. The equity ratio in 2023 was 64.95%, reflecting solid equity base relative to assets.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Operating cash flow has increased to $410.51 million, supporting a robust free cash flow of $381.34 million in 2024. The free cash flow growth rate of 12.82% from 2023 indicates strong cash generation capability. Operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.40 suggests efficient conversion of earnings to cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.69B2.59B2.43B2.31B2.07B1.78B
Gross Profit1.35B1.28B1.18B1.10B1.04B823.42M
EBITDA508.50M476.46M398.95M328.58M358.26M186.86M
Net Income320.36M293.82M232.39M173.91M219.97M100.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.81B2.84B2.71B2.53B2.56B2.31B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments540.25M565.92M451.57M347.36M661.05M595.16M
Total Debt0.0037.26M42.91M59.12M63.61M52.70M
Total Liabilities869.33M914.27M951.38M933.78M1.02B979.58M
Stockholders Equity1.94B1.93B1.76B1.60B1.54B1.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow455.24M381.34M337.95M113.73M234.46M263.48M
Operating Cash Flow489.93M410.51M360.62M150.69M269.10M297.93M
Investing Cash Flow-262.00M-306.09M-159.69M-73.56M-180.81M-199.08M
Financing Cash Flow-252.12M-192.72M-132.71M-174.31M-54.95M-44.97M

New York Times Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price57.49
Price Trends
50DMA
55.00
Positive
100DMA
52.93
Positive
200DMA
52.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.60
Negative
RSI
58.99
Neutral
STOCH
73.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NYT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 57.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 54.06, above the 50-day MA of 55.00, and above the 200-day MA of 52.48, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.60 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NYT.

New York Times Risk Analysis

New York Times disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. New York Times reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

New York Times Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$9.27B16.8011.74%2.10%1.93%34.40%
73
Outperform
$9.37B29.6017.13%1.08%7.82%19.39%
69
Neutral
$16.95B35.035.69%0.70%-11.42%75.42%
66
Neutral
$614.47M37.85-0.19%3.26%2.25%-103.50%
62
Neutral
$16.95B40.475.69%0.61%-11.42%75.42%
60
Neutral
$43.34B4.96-7.57%4.20%2.22%-40.28%
57
Neutral
$570.34M5.9947.54%-8.00%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NYT
New York Times
57.49
4.29
8.06%
NWSA
News Corp
28.52
1.61
5.98%
PSO
Pearson
14.46
1.47
11.32%
SCHL
Scholastic
24.53
-3.56
-12.67%
GCI
Gannett
3.89
-0.32
-7.60%
NWS
News Class B
32.95
5.04
18.06%

New York Times Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingStock BuybackDividends
New York Times Secures $400M Credit Agreement
Positive
Jun 18, 2025

On June 13, 2025, The New York Times Company entered into a Second Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, providing up to $400 million in revolving credit loans through June 13, 2030. This agreement includes various financial and incurrence-based covenants, allowing the company to maintain financial flexibility while ensuring compliance with leverage ratios and other conditions. The agreement permits the continuation of regular dividends and stock repurchases, provided financial covenants are met and no specified defaults occur.

The most recent analyst rating on (NYT) stock is a Hold with a $58.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on New York Times stock, see the NYT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025